FinalWin Prob.pScore
342%96
99
758%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.69295.4
DAL logo DAL
115.29288.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL99
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DALTerry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)99
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)99
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:41.0DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03SASDuncan 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)96
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 1:10DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)94
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 1:27DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 1:29SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 1:35DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)94
5.0%
100
95.0%
Q4 - 1:51SASGreen 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)94
3.4%
100
96.6%
Q4 - 1:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 1:57DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot92
1.8%
100
98.2%
Q4 - 2:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 2:06DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot92
1.9%
100
98.1%
Q4 - 2:27SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)92
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 2:46DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)89
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:09SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)89
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 3:22DALMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 3:22DALMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)86
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)86
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 3:38SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 3:39SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 3:49DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 3:49DALMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 286
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 3:59SASGreen 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)86
3.3%
94
96.7%
Q4 - 4:07DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)84
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 4:26SASParker 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 4:37SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 4:38DALMISS Beaubois 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 4:58SASParker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 5:20DALBeaubois 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 5:43SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)80
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 6:03DALBeaubois 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 6:19SASGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T10)78
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 6:28SASParker Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)78
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 6:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 6:40DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 6:53DALCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 6:53DALMISS Wright 8' Driving Jump Shot77
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 7:01DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)77
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 7:02SASMISS Green 7' Driving Jump Shot77
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 7:27DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)77
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 7:34SASWright STEAL (1 STL)77
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 7:54DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q4 - 8:04DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q4 - 8:05SASMISS Neal 14' Pullup Jump Shot77
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q4 - 8:24DALWright Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)77
13.7%
84
86.3%
Q4 - 8:31DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q4 - 8:32SASMISS Splitter 3' Driving Layup77
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q4 - 8:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
20.8%
82
79.2%
Q4 - 8:48DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper77
19.6%
82
80.4%
Q4 - 8:53DALMAVERICKS Rebound77
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q4 - 8:54DALMISS Beaubois 21' Jump Shot77
19.6%
82
80.4%
Q4 - 9:15SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)77
18.3%
82
81.7%
Q4 - 9:20SASNeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
12.1%
82
87.9%
Q4 - 9:20SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot74
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
12.1%
82
87.9%
Q4 - 9:32DALMISS Odom 21' Jump Shot74
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q4 - 10:02SASSplitter 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)74
10.8%
82
89.2%
Q4 - 10:13DALTerry 6' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST)72
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q4 - 10:32SASSplitter 5' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)72
10.7%
80
89.3%
Q4 - 10:41SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q4 - 10:42DALMISS Wright 2' Layup70
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 10:44DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 10:45DALMISS Cardinal 3PT Jump Shot70
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q4 - 11:04SASJackson Driving Layup (5 PTS)70
7.9%
80
92.1%
Q4 - 11:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q4 - 11:15DALMISS Terry 19' Pullup Jump Shot68
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 11:27DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q4 - 11:41DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q4 - 11:41DALWright 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)68
6.4%
80
93.6%
Q4 - 11:42DALMISS Beaubois 3' Driving Layup68
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL68
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Odom 67' 3PT Running Jump Shot68
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSplitter 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)68
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASMISS Neal 14' Running Jump Shot66
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)66
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASSplitter 1' Layup (9 PTS)66
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q3 - 1:07SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 1:08DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot64
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 1:27SASNeal 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
9.3%
74
90.7%
Q3 - 1:32DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T8)61
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 1:44DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot61
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 2:03DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 2:27DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 2:27SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 2:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 2:40DALMISS Terry 14' Pullup Jump Shot61
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 2:56SASBonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)61
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 3:06DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q3 - 3:06DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 3:22DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
12.4%
70
87.6%
Q3 - 3:23SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot61
13.0%
70
87.0%
Q3 - 3:29SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 3:30DALMISS Kidd 23' Jump Shot61
13.8%
70
86.2%
Q3 - 3:47SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)61
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 4:01DALOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 4:01DALOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 4:02DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 4:03DALMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot58
12.4%
68
87.6%
Q3 - 4:17DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
10.9%
68
89.1%
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Parker 7' Turnaround Jump Shot58
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 4:39DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)58
13.0%
68
87.0%
Q3 - 4:58DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
17.1%
65
82.9%
Q3 - 4:59SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 158
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 5:14DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)56
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q3 - 5:29SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
20.2%
62
79.8%
Q3 - 5:29SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 5:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
17.9%
62
82.1%
Q3 - 5:52DALMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot54
17.1%
62
82.9%
Q3 - 6:10DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 6:11SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot54
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 6:19SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
18.5%
62
81.5%
Q3 - 6:20DALMISS Kidd 16' Fadeaway Jumper54
17.7%
62
82.3%
Q3 - 6:33DALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 6:34SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot54
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 6:57DALCarter 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)54
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 7:11SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)54
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 7:27DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)54
24.1%
60
75.9%
Q3 - 7:41SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
30.0%
57
70.0%
Q3 - 7:41SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)53
29.1%
57
70.9%
Q3 - 8:01DALMahinmi Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)52
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q3 - 8:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q3 - 8:13SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot52
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 8:25SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q3 - 8:26DALMISS Beaubois 3PT Jump Shot52
26.3%
57
73.7%
Q3 - 8:42DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q3 - 8:43SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q3 - 9:02DALMahinmi Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)52
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q3 - 9:09SASDuncan 4' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)52
30.2%
55
69.8%
Q3 - 9:23SASParker Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)50
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 9:38DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)49
24.5%
55
75.5%
Q3 - 9:49DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q3 - 9:51SASMISS Leonard Driving Layup49
31.2%
52
68.8%
Q3 - 10:10DALBeaubois 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q3 - 10:31SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)49
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q3 - 10:48DALBeaubois 3' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)47
33.6%
50
66.4%
Q3 - 11:08SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)47
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 11:31DALCarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)44
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q3 - 11:45DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
33.7%
46
66.3%
Q3 - 11:47SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot44
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL44
37.0%
46
63.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
33.7%
46
66.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 1' Driving Layup44
35.2%
46
64.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
36.7%
46
63.3%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 244
36.4%
46
63.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 244
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot44
36.1%
46
63.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASBeaubois STEAL (1 STL)44
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P3.T6)44
36.8%
46
63.2%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASDuncan 6' Fadeaway Bank Shot (7 PTS)44
34.5%
46
65.5%
Q2 - 1:06DALBeaubois Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)42
30.9%
46
69.1%
Q2 - 1:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
29.0%
46
71.0%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Duncan 6' Driving Hook Shot42
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 1:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)42
30.9%
46
69.1%
Q2 - 1:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)42
31.2%
45
68.8%
Q2 - 1:47DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 242
34.9%
44
65.1%
Q2 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q2 - 2:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
34.3%
44
65.7%
Q2 - 2:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)41
34.5%
43
65.5%
Q2 - 2:14DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 2:15SASMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot41
38.0%
42
62.0%
Q2 - 2:29DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T4)41
40.1%
42
59.9%
Q2 - 2:40SASParker 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)41
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 2:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
34.2%
42
65.8%
Q2 - 2:56DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Driving Layup39
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 3:19SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)39
31.4%
42
68.6%
Q2 - 3:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)36
26.8%
42
73.2%
Q2 - 3:34DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)36
27.0%
41
73.0%
Q2 - 3:34SASMahinmi STEAL (1 STL)36
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 3:47SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 3:48DALMISS Beaubois 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
30.9%
40
69.1%
Q2 - 4:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
29.0%
40
71.0%
Q2 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 136
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 4:24DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)34
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 4:39DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
29.0%
38
71.0%
Q2 - 4:40SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
29.8%
38
70.2%
Q2 - 4:58DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)34
31.8%
38
68.2%
Q2 - 5:09DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 5:10SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot34
35.4%
36
64.6%
Q2 - 5:26SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
37.2%
36
62.8%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot34
36.4%
36
63.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASNeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)34
34.6%
36
65.4%
Q2 - 6:10DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)31
29.9%
36
70.1%
Q2 - 6:15DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 6:17DALMISS Mahinmi 5' Driving Jump Shot31
33.9%
34
66.1%
Q2 - 6:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
31.9%
34
68.1%
Q2 - 6:33SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 231
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 6:33SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
33.9%
34
66.1%
Q2 - 6:46SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 6:47DALMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot30
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 6:59DALMAVERICKS Rebound30
29.5%
34
70.5%
Q2 - 7:00SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 7:18DALKidd 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)30
32.4%
34
67.6%
Q2 - 7:23DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 7:24DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot30
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 7:48SASLeonard 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)30
34.5%
32
65.5%
Q2 - 7:57SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
32.4%
32
67.6%
Q2 - 7:58DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot28
31.6%
32
68.4%
Q2 - 8:10SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 8:17SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q2 - 8:18SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 8:40DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
32.5%
32
67.5%
Q2 - 9:01SASSplitter 2' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)28
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 9:20DALBeaubois 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)26
28.2%
32
71.8%
Q2 - 9:37SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)26
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 9:49SASSpurs Rebound23
26.2%
30
73.8%
Q2 - 9:50DALMISS Odom 19' Jump Shot23
25.5%
30
74.5%
Q2 - 10:00DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)23
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 10:02SASOdom BLOCK (1 BLK)23
24.9%
30
75.1%
Q2 - 10:17DALMahinmi Putback Dunk (3 PTS)23
26.4%
30
73.6%
Q2 - 10:19DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q2 - 10:20DALMISS Beaubois 10' Jump Shot23
29.8%
28
70.2%
Q2 - 10:45SASSplitter Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)23
28.2%
28
71.8%
Q2 - 10:57SASSpurs Rebound21
26.4%
28
73.6%
Q2 - 10:58DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Step Back Jump Shot21
25.7%
28
74.3%
Q2 - 11:20SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
24.5%
28
75.5%
Q2 - 11:20SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 220
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q2 - 11:28DALBeaubois Foul Turnover (P2.T2)20
24.6%
28
75.4%
Q2 - 11:38SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
22.7%
28
77.3%
Q2 - 11:38SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 219
22.2%
28
77.8%
Q2 - 11:38SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q2 - 11:38SASWright BLOCK (1 BLK)19
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL19
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 19' Step Back Jump Shot19
21.5%
28
78.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0DALCardinal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)19
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)19
26.8%
25
73.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DALMISS Cardinal 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.2%
25
75.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
23.2%
25
76.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASMISS Splitter 9' Turnaround Hook Shot17
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q1 - 1:06SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q1 - 1:07DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 1:27DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q1 - 1:28SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 1:40DALBeaubois 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
25.0%
25
75.0%
Q1 - 2:03SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)17
27.4%
23
72.6%
Q1 - 2:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q1 - 2:13DALMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot14
23.3%
23
76.7%
Q1 - 2:40SASGinobili 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
22.3%
23
77.7%
Q1 - 3:01DALTerry 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 3:10SASOdom STEAL (1 STL)12
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q1 - 3:26DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 3:26DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 3:33DALOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 3:34SASMISS Neal 11' Step Back Jump Shot12
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 3:54DALKidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
27.5%
19
72.5%
Q1 - 4:08SASBlair 2' Running Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)12
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:27DALOdom 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)10
29.3%
16
70.7%
Q1 - 4:34SASBlair 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)10
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 4:52DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 4:52DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 5:07SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)8
31.1%
12
68.9%
Q1 - 5:24DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)8
33.2%
12
66.8%
Q1 - 5:34DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Blair 9' Turnaround Hook Shot8
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 5:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.0%
10
63.0%
Q1 - 5:48DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot8
36.4%
10
63.6%
Q1 - 6:11SASBlair 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
34.8%
10
65.2%
Q1 - 6:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot6
32.6%
10
67.4%
Q1 - 6:35SASParker 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 6:42DALMISS Mahinmi 16' Jump Shot4
29.1%
10
70.9%
Q1 - 6:57DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.8%
10
72.2%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot4
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 7:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 7:14DALMISS Beaubois 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.4%
10
70.6%
Q1 - 7:22DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 7:23SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot4
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 7:41DALNowitzki 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)4
29.9%
10
70.1%
Q1 - 7:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound4
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 7:49DALMISS Beaubois 2' Driving Reverse Layup4
32.7%
8
67.3%
Q1 - 7:58SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 8:20SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 8:21DALMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 24
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 8:21DALMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 8:32DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 8:33SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot4
33.8%
7
66.2%
Q1 - 8:44SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.0%
7
65.0%
Q1 - 8:45DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 9:12DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:24DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
35.3%
4
64.7%
Q1 - 9:26SASMISS Blair 2' Reverse Layup2
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:41DALBeaubois 11' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:47DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 9:48SASMISS Blair 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:01DALMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:21SASGreen Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)2
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 10:25DALBeaubois Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:45SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 20
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:45SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 20
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 10:49SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 10:50DALMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 10:57DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 10:59SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Reverse Layup0
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Hook Shot0
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:43DALBeaubois Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)0
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Mahinmi vs. Duncan: Tip to Carter0
38.6%
0
61.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.15 57.6%
DAL
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
21
27
78%
DAL
11
16
69%
Midrange
SAS
7
28
25%
DAL
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
DAL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
Free Throws
SAS
10
18
56%
DAL
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1761%8.5 / 14
D. Green1794%8.5 / 9
T. Splitter1563%7.5 / 12
T. Parker1346%6.5 / 14
G. Neal964%4.5 / 7
M. Ginobili938%4.5 / 12
D. Blair650%3.0 / 6
K. Leonard542%2.5 / 6
S. Jackson563%2.5 / 4
M. Bonner375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2761%13.5 / 22
J. Terry1777%8.5 / 11
R. Beaubois1650%8.0 / 16
J. Kidd1478%7.0 / 9
V. Carter1063%5.0 / 8
B. Wright850%4.0 / 8
I. Mahinmi758%3.5 / 6
L. Odom425%2.0 / 8
B. Cardinal350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+5
-11
86
DAL
81
+12
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.15 57.6%
DAL
1.12 55.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.9
103.3
SAS 107.6
DAL 115.2 +7.6
Pace
93.0
91.5
SAS 95.4 +6.5
DAL 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.9
SAS 15.1 +1.1
DAL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
48.9%
SAS 56.3% +2.5%
DAL 53.8%
TO %
14.1%
14.6%
SAS 11.2%
DAL 10.9% +0.3%
ORB %
25.1%
23.4%
SAS 11.4%
DAL 23.1% +11.7%
FTrt
26.1
24.6
SAS 22.8
DAL 31.6 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
57.5%
SAS 61.5% +4.7%
DAL 56.8%
STL %
8.0%
9.2%
SAS 4.3%
DAL 5.4% +1.1%
BLK %
6.7%
8.4%
SAS 5.5% +1.9%
DAL 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
51.3%
SAS 57.6% +1.8%
DAL 55.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.4%
SAS 77.8% +9.0%
DAL 68.8%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.1%
SAS 25.0%
DAL 38.5% +13.5%
3P %
39.3%
33.9%
SAS 45.8%
DAL 45.8%
FT %
74.8%
77.1%
SAS 55.6%
DAL 84.0% +28.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
30.5%
SAS 34.2% +13.9%
DAL 20.3%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
42.5%
SAS 35.4% +13.9%
DAL 49.4%
3P Att. %
25.7%
27.1%
SAS 30.4%
DAL 30.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points99106
Rebounds3548
Assists2421
Steals45
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (0)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)39 (1)
Field Goals39-7937-79
At-the-Rim FG21-2711-16
Midrange FG7-2815-39
2-Point FG28-5526-55
3-Point FG11-2411-24
Free Throws10-1821-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 30
34.9
13
46%
2
11
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-7
43%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
29.7
5
42%
5
2
2
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 250 · 36
29.1
17
61%
4
1
0
3
1
3
0
4
3-5
60%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
21.0
17
94%
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
C · 6'7" 270 · 23
15.5
6
50%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 27
27.9
9
64%
4
2
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'6" 205 · 35
24.4
9
38%
3
6
0
0
2
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-7
29%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32
22.1
3
75%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27
18.9
15
63%
6
0
0
0
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
16.6
5
63%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
G · 6'2" 200 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
58%
35
24
4
3
11
0
5
30
10-18
56%
28-55
51%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.