FinalWin Prob.pScore
632%94
111
468%100
122
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
122.09189.1
SAS logo SAS
134.19193.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL111
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASParker 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)111
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Anderson 2' Layup111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Nelson 9' Jump Bank Shot111
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)111
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:08ORLNelson 7' Running Bank Shot (25 PTS)111
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)109
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)109
0.2%
119
99.8%
Q4 - 1:20ORLMagic Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#8)109
0.3%
118
99.7%
Q4 - 1:20SASLeonard 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)109
0.6%
118
99.4%
Q4 - 1:27ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)109
1.2%
116
98.8%
Q4 - 1:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
0.9%
116
99.1%
Q4 - 1:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)107
0.9%
116
99.1%
Q4 - 1:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
0.6%
116
99.4%
Q4 - 1:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)107
1.1%
116
98.9%
Q4 - 2:00ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)107
2.7%
113
97.3%
Q4 - 2:00ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)106
2.5%
113
97.5%
Q4 - 2:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
1.9%
113
98.1%
Q4 - 2:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
1.5%
113
98.5%
Q4 - 2:40ORLAnderson 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)105
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 2:58SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)103
1.0%
113
99.0%
Q4 - 3:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
2.2%
110
97.8%
Q4 - 3:16ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
2.6%
110
97.4%
Q4 - 3:33SASDuncan 2' Layup (21 PTS)103
5.9%
110
94.1%
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)103
8.0%
108
92.0%
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot103
10.4%
108
89.6%
Q4 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)103
7.7%
108
92.3%
Q4 - 4:16SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)100
3.8%
108
96.2%
Q4 - 4:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
7.4%
105
92.6%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
8.4%
105
91.6%
Q4 - 4:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
10.9%
105
89.1%
Q4 - 4:50SASMISS Green 6' Jump Shot100
9.7%
105
90.3%
Q4 - 5:10ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
9.5%
105
90.5%
Q4 - 5:32SASParker 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 5:46SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
9.4%
103
90.6%
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
10.3%
103
89.7%
Q4 - 6:12SASParker 2' Layup (19 PTS)98
14.3%
103
85.7%
Q4 - 6:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
18.2%
101
81.8%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot98
19.7%
101
80.3%
Q4 - 6:34SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
23.4%
101
76.6%
Q4 - 6:34SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
25.2%
100
74.8%
Q4 - 6:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)98
28.9%
99
71.1%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Neal 6' Floating Jump Shot98
33.7%
99
66.3%
Q4 - 6:59ORLLiggins 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)98
28.9%
99
71.1%
Q4 - 7:15SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
24.0%
99
76.0%
Q4 - 7:15SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
25.1%
98
74.9%
Q4 - 7:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
29.0%
97
71.0%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Jefferson 4' Driving Jump Shot96
33.4%
97
66.6%
Q4 - 7:35ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)96
29.0%
97
71.0%
Q4 - 7:35ORLMagic Rebound96
35.5%
97
64.5%
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Davis 32' 3PT Jump Shot96
30.9%
97
69.1%
Q4 - 8:03SASParker 1' Running Layup (17 PTS)96
35.1%
97
64.9%
Q4 - 8:23ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Liggins 2 AST)96
41.2%
95
58.8%
Q4 - 8:27ORLLiggins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
29.5%
95
70.5%
Q4 - 8:28ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
26.0%
95
74.0%
Q4 - 8:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
29.5%
95
70.5%
Q4 - 8:34SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
27.9%
95
72.1%
Q4 - 8:58ORLLiggins 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)93
24.5%
95
75.5%
Q4 - 9:09ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
20.8%
95
79.2%
Q4 - 9:11SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
19.6%
95
80.4%
Q4 - 9:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
17.2%
95
82.8%
Q4 - 9:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Driving Jump Shot91
18.2%
95
81.8%
Q4 - 9:36SASGinobili 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)91
20.7%
95
79.3%
Q4 - 9:47ORLLiggins Foul Turnover (P1.T6)91
25.0%
93
75.0%
Q4 - 10:06SASNeal 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)91
29.7%
93
70.3%
Q4 - 10:20ORLAnderson 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Liggins 1 AST)91
34.7%
91
65.3%
Q4 - 10:40SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)89
29.7%
91
70.3%
Q4 - 10:56ORLDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)89
25.2%
91
74.8%
Q4 - 11:13SASSplitter 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)86
18.2%
91
81.8%
Q4 - 11:27ORLDavis 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
21.7%
89
78.3%
Q4 - 11:47SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)84
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL84
15.3%
89
84.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSplitter 2' Layup (8 PTS)84
18.2%
89
81.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
22.2%
87
77.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Neal 7' Jump Shot84
24.6%
87
75.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLDuhon 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
22.2%
87
77.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)82
18.6%
87
81.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
27.0%
84
73.0%
Q3 - 1:01SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)82
29.6%
84
70.4%
Q3 - 1:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
38.6%
81
61.4%
Q3 - 1:15ORLHoward 1' Putback Layup (18 PTS)82
38.6%
81
61.4%
Q3 - 1:16ORLMISS Davis 1' Layup80
31.0%
81
69.0%
Q3 - 1:26ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
33.8%
81
66.2%
Q3 - 1:27SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
32.6%
81
67.4%
Q3 - 1:43ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)80
29.8%
81
70.2%
Q3 - 1:57ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
33.8%
81
66.2%
Q3 - 1:58SASMISS Jefferson 3' Alley Oop Layup80
32.6%
81
67.4%
Q3 - 2:14SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 180
29.8%
81
70.2%
Q3 - 2:36SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)78
25.6%
81
74.4%
Q3 - 2:53SASSPURS Rebound78
29.3%
79
70.7%
Q3 - 2:55ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
30.5%
79
69.5%
Q3 - 3:22SASBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)78
33.1%
79
66.9%
Q3 - 3:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
37.0%
77
63.0%
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Nelson 6' Floating Jump Shot78
38.3%
77
61.7%
Q3 - 3:41ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
41.4%
77
58.6%
Q3 - 3:43SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup78
40.0%
77
60.0%
Q3 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)78
37.0%
77
63.0%
Q3 - 3:46SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
40.0%
77
60.0%
Q3 - 4:10ORLNelson 2' Reverse Layup (21 PTS)78
36.3%
77
63.7%
Q3 - 4:29SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)76
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q3 - 4:49ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)76
40.5%
74
59.5%
Q3 - 4:59ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
33.1%
74
66.9%
Q3 - 5:00SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Bank Shot73
31.7%
74
68.3%
Q3 - 5:20SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
28.7%
74
71.3%
Q3 - 5:21ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot73
29.8%
74
70.2%
Q3 - 5:38SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)73
32.6%
74
67.4%
Q3 - 5:54SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
39.9%
71
60.1%
Q3 - 5:55ORLMISS Redick 11' Jump Shot73
41.3%
71
58.7%
Q3 - 6:17SASBlair 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)73
43.5%
71
56.5%
Q3 - 6:41ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
47.2%
69
52.8%
Q3 - 6:41ORLAnderson 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)73
47.2%
69
52.8%
Q3 - 6:42ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup71
40.5%
69
59.5%
Q3 - 6:59SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)71
43.5%
69
56.5%
Q3 - 7:13ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
49.8%
66
50.2%
Q3 - 7:35SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)68
42.5%
66
57.5%
Q3 - 7:35SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)68
43.3%
65
56.7%
Q3 - 7:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
46.1%
64
53.9%
Q3 - 7:44ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Step Back Jump Shot68
47.3%
64
52.7%
Q3 - 8:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
49.4%
64
50.6%
Q3 - 8:05SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS)68
49.4%
64
50.6%
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot68
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Green 6' Jump Shot68
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 8:20SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 8:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot68
54.2%
62
45.8%
Q3 - 8:29ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
56.9%
62
43.1%
Q3 - 8:30SASMISS Blair 5' Jump Shot68
55.7%
62
44.3%
Q3 - 8:39ORLRedick 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)68
53.0%
62
47.0%
Q3 - 8:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)66
49.5%
62
50.5%
Q3 - 8:53SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
48.2%
62
51.8%
Q3 - 9:12ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)66
44.7%
62
55.3%
Q3 - 9:28SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 264
42.0%
61
58.0%
Q3 - 9:46ORLHoward 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)64
41.1%
61
58.9%
Q3 - 10:04SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)62
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 10:20ORLAnderson 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)62
40.3%
59
59.7%
Q3 - 10:28ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
37.1%
59
62.9%
Q3 - 10:29SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot60
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q3 - 10:47SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 10:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 260
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 10:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 260
35.7%
59
64.3%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
37.2%
59
62.8%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.1%
59
63.9%
Q3 - 11:16ORLRedick 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
33.5%
59
66.5%
Q3 - 11:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q3 - 11:30SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot58
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 11:44SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
27.6%
59
72.4%
Q3 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot58
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL58
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound58
30.7%
59
69.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
28.8%
59
71.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
30.2%
59
69.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 258
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot58
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)58
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLLeonard STEAL (2 STL)58
36.9%
56
63.1%
Q2 - 1:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Leonard 12' Jump Shot58
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q2 - 1:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
36.6%
56
63.4%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot58
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q2 - 1:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q2 - 1:35SASMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot58
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q2 - 2:01ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)58
35.7%
56
64.3%
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
30.2%
56
69.8%
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
29.4%
56
70.6%
Q2 - 2:43ORLNelson 2' Layup (13 PTS)55
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q2 - 2:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
25.1%
56
74.9%
Q2 - 2:49SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup53
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q2 - 2:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
22.9%
56
77.1%
Q2 - 2:57ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot53
23.6%
56
76.4%
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
25.3%
56
74.7%
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q2 - 3:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q2 - 3:14SASMISS Splitter 2' Putback Dunk53
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q2 - 3:16SASMISS Parker 1' Layup53
29.3%
54
70.7%
Q2 - 3:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q2 - 3:22ORLMISS Anderson 2' Layup53
28.1%
54
71.9%
Q2 - 3:31SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)53
30.2%
54
69.8%
Q2 - 3:53ORLLiggins 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)53
27.3%
54
72.7%
Q2 - 4:10SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 4:15SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q2 - 4:16ORLSplitter BLOCK (2 BLK)51
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q2 - 4:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
29.8%
52
70.2%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Parker 1' Running Layup51
28.9%
52
71.1%
Q2 - 4:51SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
27.1%
52
72.9%
Q2 - 4:53ORLMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot51
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q2 - 5:08SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)51
29.6%
52
70.4%
Q2 - 5:26ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
34.8%
49
65.2%
Q2 - 5:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
32.1%
49
67.9%
Q2 - 5:38SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q2 - 5:52ORLAnderson 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)49
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q2 - 6:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
27.4%
49
72.6%
Q2 - 6:08SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 6:31ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)47
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q2 - 6:50SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)44
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q2 - 7:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
22.9%
47
77.1%
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot44
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 7:21SASGreen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)44
25.1%
47
74.9%
Q2 - 7:44ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
27.0%
45
73.0%
Q2 - 8:02SASDuncan 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)42
25.1%
45
74.9%
Q2 - 8:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 8:11ORLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)42
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q2 - 8:30ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Parker Layup42
28.6%
43
71.4%
Q2 - 8:43ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)42
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 8:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 8:53SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup39
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 9:00SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
21.2%
43
78.8%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 9:10ORLMagic Rebound39
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q2 - 9:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
21.8%
43
78.2%
Q2 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 9:29ORLMISS Liggins 1' Driving Layup39
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 9:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 9:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
25.5%
41
74.5%
Q2 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
26.8%
40
73.2%
Q2 - 10:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 10:24ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
29.1%
40
70.9%
Q2 - 10:25ORLMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.5%
40
72.5%
Q2 - 10:49SASNeal 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
29.0%
40
71.0%
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)39
30.9%
38
69.1%
Q2 - 11:23SASLeonard 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)37
28.9%
38
71.1%
Q2 - 11:41ORLDavis 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)37
30.9%
36
69.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL35
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASNeal 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
34.7%
33
65.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Ginobili 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup35
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
39.7%
30
60.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
36.9%
30
63.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
39.1%
28
60.9%
Q1 - 1:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Bonner 8' Jump Shot31
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q1 - 1:17ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)31
35.0%
28
65.0%
Q1 - 1:34ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot31
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q1 - 1:41ORLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)31
35.0%
28
65.0%
Q1 - 1:50SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)31
36.5%
28
63.5%
Q1 - 2:04ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q1 - 2:04ORLRichardson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)31
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q1 - 2:05ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 129
30.9%
28
69.1%
Q1 - 2:26SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)27
28.6%
28
71.4%
Q1 - 2:34SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32.6%
25
67.4%
Q1 - 2:36ORLMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot27
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 2:55SASSplitter Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)27
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q1 - 3:12SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
36.2%
23
63.8%
Q1 - 3:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 127
36.5%
23
63.5%
Q1 - 3:34SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)25
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 3:45SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 3:46ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot25
39.1%
20
60.9%
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 4:14ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)25
41.9%
18
58.1%
Q1 - 4:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 4:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 4:27SASMISS Parker 4' Layup22
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 4:45ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 5:05SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 5:15ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 5:32SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 5:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
39.2%
14
60.8%
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 120
39.5%
14
60.5%
Q1 - 6:03SASDuncan 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)18
36.7%
14
63.3%
Q1 - 6:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 6:27ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 6:45SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)18
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
44.5%
9
55.5%
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Redick 16' Step Back Jump Shot18
45.2%
9
54.8%
Q1 - 7:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 7:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 218
45.4%
9
54.6%
Q1 - 7:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
44.2%
9
55.8%
Q1 - 7:22ORLTurkoglu 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)18
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 7:27ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 7:52ORLTurkoglu 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 7:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 7:58SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 8:21ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 8:31SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 8:46ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)12
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 8:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 8:54ORLSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)9
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 9:11SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)9
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 9:30ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 9:40SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 9:57ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)6
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 10:05ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot3
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 10:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 10:23ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup3
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 10:33ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:34SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot3
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 10:59ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
25.9%
4
74.1%
Q1 - 11:11SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 11:26SASSPURS Rebound0
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 11:51SASGreen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Parker0
27.2%
0
72.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 57.2%
SAS
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
23
36
64%
SAS
21
35
60%
Midrange
ORL
11
23
48%
SAS
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
SAS
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
10
16
63%
SAS
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2578%12.5 / 16
D. Howard2258%11.0 / 19
R. Anderson1963%9.5 / 15
H. Turkoglu1753%8.5 / 16
C. Duhon788%3.5 / 4
J. Redick638%3.0 / 8
D. Liggins675%3.0 / 4
Q. Richardson583%2.5 / 3
G. Davis433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3167%15.5 / 23
T. Duncan2162%10.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1470%7.0 / 10
K. Leonard12100%6.0 / 6
T. Splitter1286%6.0 / 7
R. Jefferson1142%5.5 / 13
D. Green758%3.5 / 6
G. Neal750%3.5 / 7
D. Blair450%2.0 / 4
M. Bonner350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
85
+10
-6
95
SAS
85
+11
-6
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 57.2%
SAS
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
110.9
ORL 122.0
SAS 134.1 +12.1
Pace
88.9
93.0
ORL 89.1
SAS 93.0 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.5
ORL 16.2
SAS 15.5 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
52.8%
ORL 58.7%
SAS 59.6% +0.9%
TO %
15.7%
14.1%
ORL 7.9%
SAS 5.9% +2.0%
ORB %
26.5%
25.1%
ORL 19.0%
SAS 26.8% +7.8%
FTrt
29.2
26.1
ORL 18.6
SAS 32.5 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
58.5%
ORL 44.4%
SAS 62.8% +18.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
ORL 3.3% +1.1%
SAS 2.2%
BLK %
6.7%
6.7%
ORL 12.3% +7.2%
SAS 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
54.9%
ORL 57.2%
SAS 63.5% +6.3%
Rim FG%
57.7%
60.6%
ORL 63.9% +3.9%
SAS 60.0%
Mid FG%
34.8%
41.4%
ORL 47.8% +6.9%
SAS 40.9%
3P %
37.5%
39.3%
ORL 40.7%
SAS 50.0% +9.3%
FT %
66.0%
74.8%
ORL 62.5%
SAS 85.2% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.1%
ORL 41.9%
SAS 42.2% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
38.2%
ORL 26.7%
SAS 26.5% +0.2%
3P Att. %
34.6%
25.7%
ORL 31.4% +0.1%
SAS 31.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points111122
Rebounds3845
Assists2027
Steals32
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals45-8643-83
At-the-Rim FG23-3621-35
Midrange FG11-239-22
2-Point FG34-5930-57
3-Point FG11-2713-26
Free Throws10-1623-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
38.8
22
58%
12
1
2
3
3
2
2
10
4-10
40%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
38.1
17
53%
4
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
35.0
19
63%
8
2
1
2
0
4
4
4
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 200 · 28
33.8
6
38%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
31.8
25
78%
5
7
0
1
0
5
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
5-7
71%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26
18.9
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
16.2
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
15.2
5
83%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 209 · 24
12.2
6
75%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
C · 6'10" 275 · 22
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
#1 · G · 6'5" 209 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'6" 225 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
57%
38
20
3
7
6
0
8
30
10-16
63%
34-59
58%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.