FinalWin Prob.pScore
141%94
102
259%97
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.08589.5
CHI logo CHI
117.89085.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI102
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHILucas III Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)102
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHILucas III Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)99
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0CHIKorver Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)99
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)99
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHIKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)96
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0CHIKorver Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)96
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)96
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot96
2.2%
100
97.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHeat Rebound96
8.8%
100
91.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
7.2%
100
92.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (36 PTS)96
6.6%
100
93.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
4.4%
100
95.6%
Q4 - 1:30CHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
3.8%
100
96.2%
Q4 - 1:59MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (34 PTS)94
3.3%
100
96.7%
Q4 - 2:16CHINoah REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 2:16CHINoah 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)92
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 2:17CHIMISS Brewer 6' Jump Shot92
4.9%
98
95.1%
Q4 - 2:31MIAWade 3' Running Layup (32 PTS) (James 4 AST)92
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 2:35CHIKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)90
2.3%
98
97.7%
Q4 - 2:54MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (30 PTS)90
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 3:12CHINoah 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)88
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJames 9' Running Jump Shot (35 PTS)88
3.6%
96
96.4%
Q4 - 3:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 3:40CHIMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (28 PTS)86
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 4:16CHILucas III 10' Driving Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)84
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)83
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 4:53CHILucas III 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 5:13CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 182
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 5:30CHILucas III 9' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 5:43CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Bosh 16' Turnaround Jump Shot80
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 6:03CHIDeng 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)80
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
6.0%
88
94.0%
Q4 - 6:35CHILucas III Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)77
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 6:59CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot77
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 7:24CHILucas III 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)77
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 8:00CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)77
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 8:00CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 8:01CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot77
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q4 - 8:42CHIGibson Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)75
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 8:55CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot75
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 9:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 9:18CHIMISS Lucas III 3PT Jump Shot75
7.3%
85
92.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 9:49CHIMISS Lucas III 20' Jump Shot73
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q4 - 9:52CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup73
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 9:58MIANoah BLOCK (4 BLK)73
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 10:12CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 10:12CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 10:28CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Cole 11' Jump Shot73
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q4 - 10:32MIAHeat Rebound73
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 10:32MIAGibson BLOCK (2 BLK)73
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q4 - 10:56CHIButler 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)73
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 11:19CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
11.6%
81
88.4%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Cole 8' Floating Jump Shot73
12.2%
81
87.8%
Q4 - 11:30MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
13.8%
81
86.2%
Q4 - 11:31CHIMISS Gibson 17' Jump Shot73
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 11:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)73
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHI70
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0CHIKorver Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0CHIKorver Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0CHILucas III 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)67
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 1:04MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot64
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 1:17CHIMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot64
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q3 - 1:32CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot64
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 1:43CHIAsik Foul Turnover (P2.T12)64
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)64
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 2:08CHIGibson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)61
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 2:21CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper61
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 2:50CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 2:50CHIAsik 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)61
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 2:51CHIMISS Gibson 7' Jump Shot61
5.5%
75
94.5%
Q3 - 3:05MIAPittman Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAPittman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q3 - 3:16CHIWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
4.6%
75
95.4%
Q3 - 3:16CHIMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 259
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 3:25MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 3:26CHIWatson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:31CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 3:32MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Battier 4' Tip Shot57
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 3:33MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
4.8%
72
95.2%
Q3 - 4:06CHIBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)57
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 4:28CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 4:30MIAHeat Rebound57
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 257
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 4:30MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 257
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 4:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAHeat Rebound57
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 4:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 4:57CHIMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 5:05CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot57
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 5:32CHIDeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)57
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 5:50MIAJames 6' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)57
13.2%
66
86.8%
Q3 - 6:06CHIWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)55
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 6:12CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup55
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q3 - 6:28CHINoah 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)55
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q3 - 6:50MIAChalmers 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)55
13.8%
64
86.2%
Q3 - 7:04CHIBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
12.7%
64
87.3%
Q3 - 7:10CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup53
17.1%
61
82.9%
Q3 - 7:33CHIWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)53
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 7:37CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 7:38CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot53
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 7:46CHIBULLS Rebound53
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 7:46CHIMISS Deng 14' Jump Shot53
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 7:57MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)53
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 8:01CHIBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q3 - 8:07CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
24.0%
58
76.0%
Q3 - 8:09MIANoah BLOCK (3 BLK)53
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q3 - 8:23CHIWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)53
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q3 - 8:23CHIMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 253
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q3 - 8:38MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)53
26.8%
57
73.2%
Q3 - 8:38MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)52
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAJames Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)51
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q3 - 8:40CHINoah Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)50
21.5%
57
78.5%
Q3 - 8:56MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)50
18.9%
57
81.1%
Q3 - 9:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q3 - 9:15CHIMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot48
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q3 - 9:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)48
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q3 - 9:25MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 9:43CHIWatson 3' Layup (4 PTS)46
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)46
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 9:52CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot46
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q3 - 10:06MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)46
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 10:20CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q3 - 10:20CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
18.0%
54
82.0%
Q3 - 10:33MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 2 AST)46
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q3 - 10:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
17.6%
53
82.4%
Q3 - 10:39CHIMISS Noah 15' Jump Shot44
16.9%
53
83.1%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)44
16.1%
53
83.9%
Q3 - 11:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
14.4%
53
85.6%
Q3 - 11:37CHIMISS Watson 10' Jump Shot42
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
12.7%
53
87.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHINoah Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
14.4%
53
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHINoah Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAJames 6' Driving Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot40
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS)40
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 1:01CHILucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)38
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 1:15CHILucas III Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)38
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 1:15MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T6)38
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 1:16CHILucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)38
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIAJames 2' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)38
12.6%
50
87.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 1:38CHIMISS Noah 2' Layup36
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 1:39CHINoah REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 1:41CHIMISS Deng 3' Layup36
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)36
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 2:21CHILucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q2 - 2:35MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 2:52CHILucas III 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Noah 2 AST)32
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 3:09CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)32
11.7%
45
88.3%
Q2 - 3:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 3' Tip Shot32
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot32
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 3:39CHILucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Boozer 5 AST)32
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 3:51MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)32
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
18.1%
42
81.9%
Q2 - 3:56CHIMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 4:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot30
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 4:42CHINoah 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)30
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 4:48CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 4:50MIANoah BLOCK (2 BLK)30
17.0%
40
83.0%
Q2 - 5:10CHILucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 5:24CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 5:27MIABoozer BLOCK (1 BLK)28
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 5:45CHIDeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)28
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 6:00MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 6:18CHIKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Asik 1 AST)28
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 6:22CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 6:24CHIMISS Gibson 14' Jump Shot28
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 6:44CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 4' Reverse Layup28
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 6:59CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 6:59CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
27.9%
33
72.1%
Q2 - 7:02CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 7:03MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)28
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 7:15CHIAsik REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 7:15CHIAsik 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)28
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 7:16CHIMISS Gibson 18' Jump Shot28
36.2%
30
63.8%
Q2 - 7:32CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
34.3%
30
65.7%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot28
35.1%
30
64.9%
Q2 - 7:55CHILucas III 14' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q2 - 8:04CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot28
40.2%
28
59.8%
Q2 - 8:17CHIAsik Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)28
42.1%
28
57.9%
Q2 - 8:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
39.4%
28
60.6%
Q2 - 8:50CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
34.6%
28
65.4%
Q2 - 8:50CHIButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 8:52CHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIAAsik BLOCK (1 BLK)25
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 9:23CHIGibson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)25
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 9:46MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
41.7%
24
58.3%
Q2 - 10:07CHIKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)25
44.2%
24
55.8%
Q2 - 10:27CHILucas III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q2 - 10:28CHIMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
50.9%
21
49.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)25
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q2 - 11:12CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q2 - 11:12CHIGibson 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)23
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q2 - 11:13CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q2 - 11:13CHIMISS Gibson 2' Putback Layup23
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q2 - 11:15CHIMISS Butler 2' Reverse Layup23
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q2 - 11:18CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot23
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q2 - 11:45MIAHeat Rebound23
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q2 - 11:46CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot23
50.6%
19
49.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
48.7%
19
51.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup23
49.5%
19
50.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS James 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS James 14' Driving Jump Shot23
49.2%
19
50.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0CHIGibson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)23
50.5%
19
49.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHIMISS Watson 2' Layup23
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q1 - 1:13MIAJames 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)23
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q1 - 1:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot21
48.9%
17
51.1%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 1:29MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot21
48.9%
17
51.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 1:40CHIMISS Gibson 16' Jump Shot21
49.6%
17
50.4%
Q1 - 2:01MIAJames 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
48.1%
17
51.9%
Q1 - 2:18CHIGibson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)19
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 2:29MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
48.1%
15
51.9%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 2:37CHIMISS Deng 9' Running Bank Shot19
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)19
48.1%
15
51.9%
Q1 - 3:03MIAJames Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)16
43.4%
15
56.6%
Q1 - 3:15CHIWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
38.9%
15
61.1%
Q1 - 3:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 3:40CHIMISS Noah 4' Hook Shot13
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 3:54CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)13
34.8%
15
65.2%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 4:14CHIWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 4:14CHIWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
37.1%
14
62.9%
Q1 - 4:23CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
38.6%
13
61.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot13
39.3%
13
60.7%
Q1 - 4:43MIAWade Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)13
40.9%
13
59.1%
Q1 - 4:43CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 4:55CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS James 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
37.3%
13
62.7%
Q1 - 5:20CHIBrewer 3' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Boozer 4 AST)12
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWade 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)12
40.5%
11
59.5%
Q1 - 5:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 5:45CHIMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 5:52CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup10
37.2%
11
62.8%
Q1 - 6:03MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 6:04CHIMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot10
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 6:22MIAJames 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)10
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 6:44CHIBrewer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Boozer 3 AST)8
34.7%
11
65.3%
Q1 - 7:05MIAJames 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)8
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound6
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 7:18CHIMISS Noah 4' Jump Shot6
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.3%
9
68.7%
Q1 - 7:47CHIMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot4
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 7:52CHIWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 7:54MIANoah BLOCK (1 BLK)4
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 8:15CHIBoozer 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Noah 1 AST)4
31.3%
9
68.7%
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
33.0%
7
67.0%
Q1 - 8:51CHIDeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)2
31.3%
7
68.7%
Q1 - 9:08MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 9:31CHIBrewer 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)2
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:48CHINoah REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot2
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 9:58MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 9:59CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 9:59CHIMISS Brewer 1' Tip Shot2
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:00CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
38.4%
2
61.6%
Q1 - 10:00CHIMISS Brewer 2' Layup2
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:01CHIMISS Boozer 16' Jump Shot2
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 10:11CHIBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:25CHIMISS Noah 2' Layup2
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 10:34CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot2
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:46CHIMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot2
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 11:03MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:23CHINoah 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 11:38CHIBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Bosh 5' Turnaround Jump Shot0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Noah vs. Anthony: Tip to Chalmers0
39.8%
0
60.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.8%
CHI
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
30
43%
CHI
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
19
43
44%
CHI
12
32
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
CHI
10
15.0
19
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIA
20
23
87%
CHI
24
26
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3667%18.0 / 27
L. James3567%17.5 / 26
C. Bosh1238%6.0 / 16
J. Jones6300%3.0 / 1
M. Chalmers433%2.0 / 6
N. Cole350%1.5 / 3
S. Battier233%1.0 / 3
U. Haslem220%1.0 / 5
D. Pittman2-0.0 / 0
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lucas III2492%12.0 / 13
J. Noah1458%7.0 / 12
R. Brewer1260%6.0 / 10
K. Korver12120%6.0 / 5
L. Deng1142%5.5 / 13
C. Watson1155%5.5 / 10
T. Gibson840%4.0 / 10
J. Butler850%4.0 / 8
O. Asik4100%2.0 / 2
C. Boozer225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+14
-10
89
CHI
75
+15
-15
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.8%
CHI
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
108.0
MIA 120.0 +2.2
CHI 117.8
Pace
91.3
88.7
MIA 89.5 +3.8
CHI 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.4
MIA 16.1 +0.7
CHI 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
49.0%
MIA 48.2%
CHI 53.2% +5.0%
TO %
15.9%
15.1%
MIA 9.5% +5.8%
CHI 15.3%
ORB %
26.6%
32.7%
MIA 23.4%
CHI 37.8% +14.4%
FTrt
30.7
25.5
MIA 27.1
CHI 33.8 +6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.9%
MIA 44.7%
CHI 55.6% +10.9%
STL %
9.6%
7.7%
MIA 9.4% +6.1%
CHI 3.3%
BLK %
9.0%
8.7%
MIA 8.6%
CHI 11.0% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
50.9%
MIA 54.8%
CHI 57.6% +2.8%
Rim FG%
61.1%
57.0%
MIA 43.3%
CHI 53.8% +10.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.9%
MIA 44.2% +6.7%
CHI 37.5%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
MIA 50.0%
CHI 52.6% +2.6%
FT %
77.5%
72.2%
MIA 87.0%
CHI 92.3% +5.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.3%
MIA 35.3% +1.5%
CHI 33.8%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
43.3%
MIA 50.6%
CHI 41.6% +9.0%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.5%
MIA 14.1%
CHI 24.7% +10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8590
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points102106
Rebounds3450
Assists1720
Steals83
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (3)36 (0)
Field Goals38-8536-77
At-the-Rim FG13-3014-26
Midrange FG19-4312-32
2-Point FG32-7326-58
3-Point FG6-1210-19
Free Throws20-2324-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
39.6
35
67%
5
4
4
0
2
2
1
4
5-5
100%
12-22
55%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
38.9
36
67%
7
1
1
2
3
1
1
6
3-4
75%
15-23
65%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
36.8
12
38%
3
1
0
0
4
4
1
2
6-6
100%
3-15
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
25.8
0
0%
4
1
1
2
0
3
3
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
23.8
4
33%
5
3
1
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
20.1
2
33%
3
3
1
0
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
19.5
3
50%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
17.8
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
14.7
6
300%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
2.9
2
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
34
17
8
5
10
0
11
23
20-23
87%
32-73
44%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.