Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	76ers	58%	93	94
	18	Pacers	42%	90	111

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
PHI	114.6	82	85.9
IND	133.7	83	80.9

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-9

IND

+14

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.16 58.0%

IND

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	IND
Q4 - 0:00.0	IND		94 0%	111 100%
Q4 - 0:20.0	PHI	Turner 20' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)	94 0%	111 100%
Q4 - 0:29.0	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	92 0%	111 100%
Q4 - 0:29.0	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	92 0%	110 100%
Q4 - 0:49.0	PHI	Williams 2' Layup (7 PTS)	92 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0	IND	Hibbert 1' Layup (12 PTS)	90 0.1%	109 99.9%
Q4 - 1:20	PHI	Turner 2' Layup (19 PTS)	90 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 1:28	PHI	Meeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	88 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 1:30	IND	MISS Hill 18' Jump Shot	88 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 1:52	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	88 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 1:54	PHI	Hibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)	88 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 2:19	IND	West 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)	88 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 2:32	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	88 0.1%	105 99.9%
Q4 - 2:33	PHI	MISS Turner 19' Jump Shot	88 0.1%	105 99.9%
Q4 - 2:56	IND	Granger 6' Running Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Hibbert 5 AST)	88 0.1%	105 99.9%
Q4 - 3:07	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	88 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 3:08	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	88 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 3:08	IND	MISS Hibbert 1' Putback Dunk	88 0.2%	103 99.8%
Q4 - 3:10	IND	MISS Granger 15' Jump Shot	88 0.2%	103 99.8%
Q4 - 3:27	IND	PACERS Rebound	88 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 3:27	IND	MISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot	88 0.2%	103 99.8%
Q4 - 3:44	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	88 0.4%	103 99.6%
Q4 - 3:46	PHI	MISS Iguodala 13' Jump Shot	88 0.4%	103 99.6%
Q4 - 4:11	IND	Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)	88 0.5%	103 99.5%
Q4 - 4:17	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	88 1.1%	100 98.9%
Q4 - 4:20	PHI	Granger BLOCK (1 BLK)	88 1.2%	100 98.8%
Q4 - 4:31	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 1.6%	100 98.4%
Q4 - 4:33	IND	MISS Hansbrough 2' Layup	88 1.4%	100 98.6%
Q4 - 4:46	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	88 1.0%	100 99.0%
Q4 - 4:47	PHI	MISS Holiday 16' Jump Shot	88 1.2%	100 98.8%
Q4 - 5:08	IND	Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)	88 2.8%	100 97.2%
Q4 - 5:30	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 5.1%	97 94.9%
Q4 - 5:33	PHI	MISS Young 18' Jump Shot	88 5.7%	97 94.3%
Q4 - 5:41	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	88 7.1%	97 92.9%
Q4 - 5:43	IND	MISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot	88 6.4%	97 93.6%
Q4 - 5:52	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	88 5.1%	97 94.9%
Q4 - 5:53	PHI	MISS Brand 17' Jump Shot	88 5.6%	97 94.4%
Q4 - 6:19	IND	West 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)	88 9.6%	97 90.4%
Q4 - 6:38	PHI	Brand 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iguodala 9 AST)	88 12.3%	95 87.7%
Q4 - 6:56	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	86 9.5%	95 90.5%
Q4 - 6:57	IND	MISS Price 8' Jump Shot	86 8.7%	95 91.3%
Q4 - 7:21	PHI	Turner 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)	86 9.0%	95 91.0%
Q4 - 7:26	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	84 7.1%	95 92.9%
Q4 - 7:28	IND	MISS Hill 4' Jump Shot	84 6.5%	95 93.5%
Q4 - 7:48	PHI	Turner 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Young 2 AST)	84 5.3%	95 94.7%
Q4 - 8:09	IND	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	82 5.5%	95 94.5%
Q4 - 8:09	IND	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	82 5.8%	94 94.2%
Q4 - 8:34	PHI	Brand 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iguodala 8 AST)	82 7.0%	93 93.0%
Q4 - 9:04	IND	Hill 20' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)	80 6.8%	93 93.2%
Q4 - 9:15	PHI	Turner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	80 8.4%	91 91.6%
Q4 - 9:15	PHI	MISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 2	79 8.0%	91 92.0%
Q4 - 9:15	IND	Hansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	79 8.4%	91 91.6%
Q4 - 9:15	IND	Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	79 8.7%	90 91.3%
Q4 - 9:17	IND	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	79 10.5%	89 89.5%
Q4 - 9:18	IND	MISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot	79 12.1%	89 87.9%
Q4 - 9:22	PHI	Hill STEAL (2 STL)	79 10.4%	89 89.6%
Q4 - 9:25	IND	Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	79 12.8%	89 87.2%
Q4 - 9:38	PHI	Young 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turner 4 AST)	79 10.4%	89 89.6%
Q4 - 10:01	IND	Amundson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)	77 9.6%	89 90.4%
Q4 - 10:20	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 11.7%	87 88.3%
Q4 - 10:22	PHI	MISS Hawes 3' Jump Shot	77 12.4%	87 87.6%
Q4 - 10:38	IND	Jones 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	77 14.2%	87 85.8%
Q4 - 10:52	PHI	Turner 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)	77 17.2%	85 82.8%
Q4 - 11:13	IND	Amundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	75 15.6%	85 84.4%
Q4 - 11:13	IND	Amundson 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	75 15.6%	85 84.4%
Q4 - 11:14	IND	MISS Price 8' Jump Shot	75 21.0%	83 79.0%
Q4 - 11:26	PHI	Hawes Foul Turnover (P1.T8)	75 18.7%	83 81.3%
Q4 - 11:26	PHI	76ers Rebound	75 22.0%	83 78.0%
Q4 - 11:26	PHI	Amundson BLOCK (1 BLK)	75 19.7%	83 80.3%
Q4 - 11:40	IND	Hill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	75 22.0%	83 78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHI		75 18.6%	83 81.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0	IND	Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	75 23.5%	83 76.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0	IND	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	75 31.9%	80 68.1%
Q3 - 0:14.0	PHI	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	75 33.2%	80 66.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0	IND	Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Price 4 AST)	75 36.1%	80 63.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	75 46.2%	77 53.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0	PHI	MISS Young 4' Jump Shot	75 47.7%	77 52.3%
Q3 - 1:06	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	75 51.4%	77 48.6%
Q3 - 1:06	IND	MISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2	75 52.6%	76 47.4%
Q3 - 1:27	PHI	Williams 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 7 AST)	75 51.6%	76 48.4%
Q3 - 1:51	IND	Hill 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	73 46.4%	76 53.6%
Q3 - 2:16	PHI	Young 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)	73 51.8%	74 48.2%
Q3 - 2:18	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	71 47.1%	74 52.9%
Q3 - 2:20	PHI	MISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot	71 43.9%	74 56.1%
Q3 - 2:31	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	71 47.1%	74 52.9%
Q3 - 2:32	PHI	MISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot	71 43.9%	74 56.1%
Q3 - 2:54	IND	Granger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	71 47.1%	74 52.9%
Q3 - 3:09	IND	PACERS Rebound	71 43.6%	74 56.4%
Q3 - 3:11	PHI	MISS Young 7' Jump Shot	71 44.9%	74 55.1%
Q3 - 3:33	IND	Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)	71 48.1%	74 51.9%
Q3 - 3:56	PHI	Holiday 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)	71 52.4%	72 47.6%
Q3 - 4:01	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69 48.8%	72 51.2%
Q3 - 4:03	IND	MISS Collison 17' Jump Shot	69 47.2%	72 52.8%
Q3 - 4:42	PHI	Brand 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	69 43.7%	72 56.3%
Q3 - 4:46	PHI	76ers Rebound	67 40.2%	72 59.8%
Q3 - 4:46	PHI	West BLOCK (1 BLK)	67 36.8%	72 63.2%
Q3 - 5:09	IND	Hibbert 7' Hook Bank Shot (9 PTS) (West 4 AST)	67 40.6%	72 59.4%
Q3 - 5:24	PHI	Turner 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)	67 44.2%	70 55.8%
Q3 - 5:28	PHI	Vucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	64 36.6%	70 63.4%
Q3 - 5:30	PHI	Hibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)	64 33.7%	70 66.3%
Q3 - 5:49	IND	Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)	64 36.6%	70 63.4%
Q3 - 6:02	IND	Granger Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)	64 45.1%	67 54.9%
Q3 - 6:15	PHI	Vucevic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)	64 49.1%	66 50.9%
Q3 - 6:22	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	64 53.4%	66 46.6%
Q3 - 6:24	IND	MISS West 10' Jump Shot	64 52.1%	66 47.9%
Q3 - 6:34	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	64 49.0%	66 51.0%
Q3 - 6:35	PHI	MISS Iguodala 27' 3PT Jump Shot	64 50.4%	66 49.6%
Q3 - 6:43	PHI	Holiday Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)	64 53.4%	66 46.6%
Q3 - 6:56	IND	West 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Hibbert 4 AST)	63 49.3%	66 50.7%
Q3 - 7:23	PHI	Holiday 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hawes 3 AST)	63 53.1%	64 46.9%
Q3 - 7:40	IND	Granger 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (West 3 AST)	61 49.4%	64 50.6%
Q3 - 7:55	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	61 53.1%	62 46.9%
Q3 - 7:55	PHI	Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	60 52.0%	62 48.0%
Q3 - 8:07	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	59 49.8%	62 50.2%
Q3 - 8:08	IND	MISS Hibbert 19' Jump Shot	59 48.6%	62 51.4%
Q3 - 8:15	IND	PACERS Rebound	59 45.8%	62 54.2%
Q3 - 8:15	IND	MISS George 15' Jump Shot	59 48.6%	62 51.4%
Q3 - 8:27	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	59 45.8%	62 54.2%
Q3 - 8:28	PHI	MISS Brand 16' Jump Shot	59 47.0%	62 53.0%
Q3 - 8:55	IND	Granger 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 2 AST)	59 49.8%	62 50.2%
Q3 - 9:06	PHI	Holiday Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)	59 53.6%	60 46.4%
Q3 - 9:16	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	59 57.3%	60 42.7%
Q3 - 9:17	IND	MISS Collison 19' Jump Shot	59 56.2%	60 43.8%
Q3 - 9:31	PHI	Hawes Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)	59 53.6%	60 46.4%
Q3 - 9:40	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	57 50.0%	60 50.0%
Q3 - 9:40	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	57 50.9%	59 49.1%
Q3 - 9:59	PHI	Turner 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	57 53.6%	58 46.4%
Q3 - 10:19	IND	Collison 1' Layup (4 PTS)	55 50.7%	58 49.3%
Q3 - 10:23	PHI	George STEAL (1 STL)	55 54.0%	56 46.0%
Q3 - 10:37	IND	PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)	55 57.7%	56 42.3%
Q3 - 10:37	IND	PACERS Rebound	55 54.0%	56 46.0%
Q3 - 10:37	IND	MISS George 12' Jump Shot	55 56.6%	56 43.4%
Q3 - 11:03	PHI	Hawes 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)	55 54.6%	56 45.4%
Q3 - 11:23	IND	Collison 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)	53 51.4%	56 48.6%
Q3 - 11:43	PHI	Brand 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hawes 2 AST)	53 54.6%	54 45.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND		51 51.3%	54 48.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND	PACERS Rebound	51 47.7%	54 52.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	51 47.7%	54 52.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND	MISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot	51 50.2%	54 49.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	IND	MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot	51 50.6%	54 49.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0	IND	PACERS Rebound	51 48.9%	54 51.1%
Q2 - 0:10.0	IND	MISS George Free Throw 1 of 1	51 51.0%	54 49.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0	PHI	Young 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)	51 55.5%	52 44.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0	IND	Granger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	49 51.4%	52 48.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0	IND	Granger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	49 51.8%	51 48.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0	PHI	Holiday 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)	49 55.4%	50 44.6%
Q2 - 1:12	IND	George 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)	47 51.5%	50 48.5%
Q2 - 1:33	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	47 58.9%	47 41.1%
Q2 - 1:34	PHI	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	47 59.6%	47 40.4%
Q2 - 1:49	IND	West Layup (12 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)	47 61.0%	47 39.0%
Q2 - 1:52	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	47 65.0%	45 35.0%
Q2 - 1:53	IND	MISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot	47 66.4%	45 33.6%
Q2 - 2:03	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 64.4%	45 35.6%
Q2 - 2:06	PHI	MISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot	47 65.3%	45 34.7%
Q2 - 2:30	IND	Granger 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)	47 67.3%	45 32.7%
Q2 - 2:50	PHI	Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)	47 70.1%	43 29.9%
Q2 - 3:01	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 64.9%	43 35.1%
Q2 - 3:03	IND	MISS West 2' Layup	44 63.9%	43 36.1%
Q2 - 3:18	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q2 - 3:20	PHI	Hibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)	44 62.6%	43 37.4%
Q2 - 3:27	IND	Collison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	44 64.9%	43 35.1%
Q2 - 3:42	PHI	Holiday 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)	44 61.6%	43 38.4%
Q2 - 4:00	IND	Granger 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	42 59.1%	43 40.9%
Q2 - 4:05	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	42 61.7%	41 38.3%
Q2 - 4:07	IND	MISS Collison 9' Jump Shot	42 63.7%	41 36.3%
Q2 - 4:24	PHI	Brand 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Young 1 AST)	42 61.7%	41 38.3%
Q2 - 4:42	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 59.0%	41 41.0%
Q2 - 4:42	IND	Granger Putback Layup (4 PTS)	40 59.0%	41 41.0%
Q2 - 4:43	IND	MISS West 12' Jump Shot	40 63.8%	39 36.2%
Q2 - 5:06	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	40 62.1%	39 37.9%
Q2 - 5:06	PHI	MISS Brand 1' Tip Shot	40 62.9%	39 37.1%
Q2 - 5:07	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	40 64.7%	39 35.3%
Q2 - 5:08	PHI	MISS Hawes 8' Jump Shot	40 62.9%	39 37.1%
Q2 - 5:31	IND	Hill 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	40 64.7%	39 35.3%
Q2 - 6:01	PHI	Turner 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)	40 66.8%	37 33.2%
Q2 - 6:17	IND	West 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Price 3 AST)	38 64.8%	37 35.2%
Q2 - 6:33	PHI	Meeks 11' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)	38 66.9%	35 33.1%
Q2 - 6:45	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	36 64.8%	35 35.2%
Q2 - 6:46	IND	MISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot	36 63.8%	35 36.2%
Q2 - 6:55	IND	Price REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	36 61.7%	35 38.3%
Q2 - 6:56	PHI	MISS Brand 7' Jump Shot	36 62.7%	35 37.3%
Q2 - 7:24	IND	Hansbrough 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	36 64.7%	35 35.3%
Q2 - 7:32	PHI	West STEAL (1 STL)	36 66.9%	33 33.1%
Q2 - 7:51	IND	West 1' Layup (8 PTS)	36 69.5%	33 30.5%
Q2 - 8:10	PHI	Meeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	36 71.4%	31 28.6%
Q2 - 8:34	IND	Hansbrough Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	33 67.0%	31 33.0%
Q2 - 8:40	IND	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 69.2%	29 30.8%
Q2 - 8:41	PHI	MISS Young 1' Layup	33 69.9%	29 30.1%
Q2 - 9:06	IND	Hansbrough 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Price 2 AST)	33 71.2%	29 28.8%
Q2 - 9:16	IND	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 73.1%	27 26.9%
Q2 - 9:17	PHI	MISS Williams 12' Jump Shot	33 73.8%	27 26.2%
Q2 - 9:30	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	33 75.2%	27 24.8%
Q2 - 9:31	PHI	MISS Young 16' Jump Shot	33 73.8%	27 26.2%
Q2 - 9:59	IND	Amundson 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	33 75.2%	27 24.8%
Q2 - 10:20	PHI	Turner 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	33 76.5%	25 23.5%
Q2 - 10:28	IND	Amundson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	31 74.9%	25 25.1%
Q2 - 10:40	IND	Amundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 72.7%	25 27.3%
Q2 - 10:41	PHI	MISS Williams 14' Jump Shot	31 73.4%	25 26.6%
Q2 - 10:57	IND	Price Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	31 74.9%	25 25.1%
Q2 - 10:57	IND	MISS Price Free Throw 1 of 2	31 75.3%	24 24.7%
Q2 - 11:04	IND	Amundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 74.3%	24 25.7%
Q2 - 11:05	PHI	MISS Meeks 3PT Jump Shot	31 74.9%	24 25.1%
Q2 - 11:16	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 76.2%	24 23.8%
Q2 - 11:17	IND	MISS Hansbrough 19' Jump Shot	31 75.7%	24 24.3%
Q2 - 11:44	PHI	Young 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	31 74.3%	24 25.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND		29 72.5%	24 27.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0	IND	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 70.3%	24 29.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0	PHI	MISS Williams 10' Jump Shot	29 70.8%	24 29.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0	PHI	76ers Rebound	29 71.8%	24 28.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0	PHI	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	29 70.8%	24 29.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0	IND	Price 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	29 71.9%	24 28.1%
Q1 - 1:10	PHI	Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)	29 73.9%	22 26.1%
Q1 - 1:18	PHI	Iguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 69.7%	22 30.3%
Q1 - 1:20	IND	MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot	26 69.2%	22 30.8%
Q1 - 1:36	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 68.2%	22 31.8%
Q1 - 1:36	PHI	MISS Young 11' Jump Shot	26 68.7%	22 31.3%
Q1 - 1:51	PHI	Vucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 69.7%	22 30.3%
Q1 - 1:53	IND	MISS Hill 18' Jump Shot	26 69.2%	22 30.8%
Q1 - 2:04	IND	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 68.0%	22 32.0%
Q1 - 2:05	PHI	MISS Vucevic 9' Jump Shot	26 68.6%	22 31.4%
Q1 - 2:16	PHI	Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 69.8%	22 30.2%
Q1 - 2:18	IND	MISS Hansbrough Layup	26 69.3%	22 30.7%
Q1 - 2:33	PHI	Young Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	26 68.0%	22 32.0%
Q1 - 2:33	PHI	Young Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 67.6%	22 32.4%
Q1 - 2:40	PHI	Holiday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 65.8%	22 34.2%
Q1 - 2:41	IND	MISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot	24 65.3%	22 34.7%
Q1 - 2:58	PHI	Young 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)	24 64.0%	22 36.0%
Q1 - 3:22	IND	Granger 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)	22 62.0%	22 38.0%
Q1 - 3:41	PHI	Holiday Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	22 64.0%	20 36.0%
Q1 - 3:56	IND	Hill 1' Layup (2 PTS)	22 66.1%	20 33.9%
Q1 - 4:01	PHI	Hill STEAL (1 STL)	22 67.8%	18 32.2%
Q1 - 4:18	IND	Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Price 1 AST)	22 69.9%	18 30.1%
Q1 - 4:38	PHI	Holiday Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	22 71.6%	16 28.4%
Q1 - 4:53	IND	Hansbrough Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	19 68.0%	16 32.0%
Q1 - 5:01	PHI	Iguodala 4' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	19 69.0%	14 31.0%
Q1 - 5:05	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17 67.4%	14 32.6%
Q1 - 5:07	IND	MISS Collison 27' 3PT Jump Shot	17 66.8%	14 33.2%
Q1 - 5:28	IND	Granger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 65.4%	14 34.6%
Q1 - 5:29	PHI	MISS Hawes 16' Jump Shot	17 66.0%	14 34.0%
Q1 - 5:49	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	17 67.5%	14 32.5%
Q1 - 5:49	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	17 67.9%	13 32.1%
Q1 - 6:11	PHI	Brand 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)	17 68.9%	12 31.1%
Q1 - 6:30	IND	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	15 67.2%	12 32.8%
Q1 - 6:30	IND	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	15 67.5%	11 32.5%
Q1 - 6:30	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	15 68.9%	10 31.1%
Q1 - 6:32	IND	MISS Collison 29' 3PT Jump Shot	15 70.2%	10 29.8%
Q1 - 6:50	PHI	Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)	15 68.9%	10 31.1%
Q1 - 7:21	IND	West 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 65.4%	10 34.6%
Q1 - 7:36	PHI	Vucevic Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	12 66.9%	8 33.1%
Q1 - 7:41	PHI	Vucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 68.8%	8 31.2%
Q1 - 7:43	IND	MISS Granger 14' Jump Shot	12 68.3%	8 31.7%
Q1 - 7:58	PHI	Holiday 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	12 66.9%	8 33.1%
Q1 - 8:23	IND	West 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)	9 63.7%	8 36.3%
Q1 - 8:35	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	9 65.5%	6 34.5%
Q1 - 8:35	PHI	MISS Turner Free Throw 2 of 2	9 65.7%	6 34.3%
Q1 - 8:35	PHI	Turner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	9 66.8%	6 33.2%
Q1 - 8:40	IND	Hibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	8 65.4%	6 34.6%
Q1 - 8:49	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 63.7%	6 36.3%
Q1 - 8:50	PHI	MISS Brand 18' Jump Shot	8 64.2%	6 35.8%
Q1 - 9:03	PHI	Brand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 65.7%	6 34.3%
Q1 - 9:03	IND	MISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2	8 65.4%	6 34.6%
Q1 - 9:03	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	8 64.4%	6 35.6%
Q1 - 9:31	PHI	Hawes 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)	8 65.7%	5 34.3%
Q1 - 9:40	PHI	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 63.9%	5 36.1%
Q1 - 9:41	IND	MISS West 19' Jump Shot	6 63.4%	5 36.6%
Q1 - 9:53	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 62.2%	5 37.8%
Q1 - 9:54	PHI	MISS Turner 15' Jump Shot	6 62.7%	5 37.3%
Q1 - 10:16	IND	George 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)	6 63.9%	5 36.1%
Q1 - 10:35	PHI	Brand 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)	6 66.9%	2 33.1%
Q1 - 10:49	PHI	Hawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 65.6%	2 34.4%
Q1 - 10:50	IND	MISS George 1' Layup	4 65.0%	2 35.0%
Q1 - 10:57	PHI	Brand 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 63.7%	2 36.3%
Q1 - 11:16	IND	Hibbert 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	2 62.0%	2 38.0%
Q1 - 11:38	PHI	Holiday 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)	2 63.7%	0 36.3%
Q1 - 11:43	IND	Collison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	0 62.1%	0 37.9%
Q1 - 12:00	IND	Jump Ball Hibbert vs. Hawes: Tip to West	0 60.6%	0 39.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.16 58.0%

IND

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

47%

IND

65%

Midrange

PHI

57%

IND

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

9.0

46%

69%

IND

10.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

PHI

80%

IND

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Turner	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Holiday	17	106%	8.5 / 8
E. Brand	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Young	12	43%	6.0 / 14
A. Iguodala	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Williams	7	32%	3.5 / 11
S. Hawes	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Meeks	5	83%	2.5 / 3
N. Vučević	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Granger	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. West	18	69%	9.0 / 13
G. Hill	17	85%	8.5 / 10
R. Hibbert	14	64%	7.0 / 11
T. Hansbrough	14	70%	7.0 / 10
P. George	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Jones	7	88%	3.5 / 4
L. Amundson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Collison	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Price	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

-9

IND

+14

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.16 58.0%

IND

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	103.9 106.4	PHI 114.6 IND 133.7 +19.1
Pace	89.8 91.1	PHI 85.9 +5.1 IND 80.9
Avg. Poss. Time	15.9 15.7	PHI 16.8 +1.1 IND 17.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.0% 47.4%	PHI 56.6% IND 61.2% +4.6%
TO %	11.9% 14.4%	PHI 10.1% IND 8.5% +1.6%
ORB %	24.5% 29.3%	PHI 15.2% IND 30.0% +14.8%
FTrt	21.7 32.1	PHI 13.2 IND 28.9 +15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.8% 52.2%	PHI 62.5% +9.0% IND 53.5%
STL %	8.9% 8.7%	PHI 7.3% +2.5% IND 4.8%
BLK %	8.0% 8.8%	PHI 10.2% +0.7% IND 9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.31 and 3.31.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	49.8% 50.9%	PHI 58.0% IND 61.7% +3.7%
Rim FG%	57.6% 53.6%	PHI 47.1% IND 65.0% +17.9%
Mid FG%	40.1% 38.3%	PHI 56.5% IND 59.0% +2.5%
3P %	36.2% 36.8%	PHI 46.2% +5.0% IND 41.2%
FT %	74.2% 78.3%	PHI 80.0% IND 81.8% +1.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.7% 37.8%	PHI 22.4% IND 26.3% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	51.9% 42.4%	PHI 60.5% IND 51.3% +9.2%
3P Att. %	17.5% 19.8%	PHI 17.1% IND 22.4% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	IND
Possessions	82	83
Possession Minutes	22.9	24.6
Points	94	111
Rebounds	26	37
Assists	25	23
Steals	6	4
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (3)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (0)	28 (1)
Field Goals	40-76	43-76
At-the-Rim FG	8-17	13-20
Midrange FG	26-46	23-39
2-Point FG	34-63	36-59
3-Point FG	6-13	7-17
Free Throws	8-10	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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10 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Turner G · 6'7" 220 · 23	38.3	21	75%	5	4	3	2	0	3	1	4	2-4	50%	8-11	73%	1-1	100%
Jrue Holiday G · 6'4" 205 · 22	35.0	17	106%	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 33	33.6	16	62%	5	2	2	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Andre Iguodala F · 6'6" 215 · 28	33.3	10	63%	3	9	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Spencer Hawes C · 7'1" 245 · 24	19.6	6	50%	2	3	0	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 24	28.8	12	43%	3	2	1	2	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 25	23.6	7	32%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 25	14.2	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Nikola Vucevic C · 6'10" 260 · 21	10.3	0	0%	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Battie C · 6'11" 240 · 36
Andres Nocioni · 6'7" 225 · 32
Craig Brackins F · 6'10" 230 · 24
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	58%	26	25	6	6	9	0	5	21	8-10	80%	34-63	54%	6-13	46%

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10 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Turner G · 6'7" 220 · 23	38.3	21	75%	5	4	3	2	0	3	1	4	2-4	50%	8-11	73%	1-1	100%
Jrue Holiday G · 6'4" 205 · 22	35.0	17	106%	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-1	100%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 33	33.6	16	62%	5	2	2	0	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Andre Iguodala F · 6'6" 215 · 28	33.3	10	63%	3	9	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Spencer Hawes C · 7'1" 245 · 24	19.6	6	50%	2	3	0	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young F · 6'8" 230 · 24	28.8	12	43%	3	2	1	2	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 25	23.6	7	32%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 25	14.2	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Nikola Vucevic C · 6'10" 260 · 21	10.3	0	0%	3	0	0	1	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23	3.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Battie C · 6'11" 240 · 36
Andres Nocioni · 6'7" 225 · 32
Craig Brackins F · 6'10" 230 · 24
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	58%	26	25	6	6	9	0	5	21	8-10	80%	34-63	54%	6-13	46%

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18 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 29	33.4	20	71%	7	1	0	1	1	2	2	5	3-3	100%	7-9	78%	1-4	25%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 25	31.4	14	64%	9	5	0	3	1	1	3	6	8-10	80%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 32	29.0	18	69%	3	4	1	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 25	21.3	4	29%	0	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Paul George G · 6'8" 220 · 22	19.4	8	50%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 26	28.6	17	85%	7	4	2	0	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-3	100%
AJ Price G · 6'2" 195 · 25	26.8	3	25%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 26	24.6	14	70%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31	14.6	7	88%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 29	10.9	6	100%	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 22
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
Jeff Foster F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	62%	37	23	4	6	7	0	9	28	18-22	82%	36-59	61%	7-17	41%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE