FinalWin Prob.pScore
159%97
98
1241%94
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09888.7
ORL logo ORL
107.29788.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
104
100%
OT1 - 0:05.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
0.1%
104
99.9%
OT1 - 0:05.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
0.1%
103
99.9%
OT1 - 0:07.0ORLMAGIC Rebound98
0.5%
102
99.5%
OT1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.7%
102
99.3%
OT1 - 0:20.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
4.2%
102
95.8%
OT1 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 298
4.6%
102
95.4%
OT1 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 298
3.0%
102
97.0%
OT1 - 0:21.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:21)98
1.8%
102
98.2%
OT1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
2.7%
102
97.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)98
6.3%
102
93.7%
OT1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 298
5.5%
102
94.5%
OT1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 298
3.7%
102
96.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:20)98
2.4%
102
97.6%
OT1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
3.4%
102
96.6%
OT1 - 0:36.0ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T24)98
6.5%
102
93.5%
OT1 - 0:52.0MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)98
5.7%
102
94.3%
OT1 - 0:55.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (25 PTS)96
3.4%
102
96.6%
OT1 - 1:17MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T16)96
8.7%
100
91.3%
OT1 - 1:34ORLNelson 1' Layup (23 PTS)96
17.9%
100
82.1%
OT1 - 1:42MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)96
30.2%
98
69.8%
OT1 - 1:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
26.8%
98
73.2%
OT1 - 1:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:19)96
26.8%
98
73.2%
OT1 - 1:43MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)96
30.3%
98
69.7%
OT1 - 2:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
41.6%
98
58.4%
OT1 - 2:13ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Bank Shot96
36.4%
98
63.6%
OT1 - 2:28ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)96
25.7%
98
74.3%
OT1 - 2:29MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot96
30.1%
98
69.9%
OT1 - 2:43ORLRedick Foul Turnover (P3.T23)96
42.1%
98
57.9%
OT1 - 2:46MIANelson STEAL (2 STL)96
25.6%
98
74.4%
OT1 - 2:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)96
42.8%
98
57.2%
OT1 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Bank Shot96
38.4%
98
61.6%
OT1 - 3:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
28.8%
98
71.2%
OT1 - 3:08MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper96
32.8%
98
67.2%
OT1 - 3:23ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
43.2%
98
56.8%
OT1 - 3:23ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)96
47.3%
97
52.7%
OT1 - 3:45MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (26 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)96
53.0%
96
47.0%
OT1 - 4:08ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)94
44.1%
96
55.9%
OT1 - 4:22ORLMAGIC Rebound94
52.8%
94
47.2%
OT1 - 4:23ORLMISS Redick 22' Jump Shot94
60.1%
94
39.9%
OT1 - 4:44ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)94
52.8%
94
47.2%
OT1 - 4:45MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot94
56.0%
94
44.0%
OT1 - 5:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers94
63.2%
94
36.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
72.0%
94
28.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
63.0%
94
37.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)94
46.0%
94
54.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0ORLNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)91
17.9%
94
82.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
47.3%
91
52.7%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
53.1%
91
46.9%
Q4 - 1:14ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T22)91
65.0%
91
35.0%
Q4 - 1:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:17)91
49.9%
91
50.1%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot91
54.7%
91
45.3%
Q4 - 1:45ORLTurkoglu 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)91
63.8%
91
36.2%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 8 AST)91
72.7%
89
27.3%
Q4 - 2:25ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
66.5%
89
33.5%
Q4 - 2:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
70.3%
88
29.7%
Q4 - 2:30MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
72.6%
87
27.4%
Q4 - 2:30MIABattier 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)89
72.6%
87
27.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot87
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q4 - 2:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
66.6%
87
33.4%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS James 15' Pullup Jump Shot87
54.5%
87
45.5%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHeat Rebound87
65.2%
87
34.8%
Q4 - 2:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 287
63.4%
87
36.6%
Q4 - 2:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 287
58.3%
87
41.7%
Q4 - 3:19MIAJames 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)87
50.2%
87
49.8%
Q4 - 3:31ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
44.9%
87
55.1%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 285
46.0%
86
54.0%
Q4 - 3:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:16)85
43.5%
86
56.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot85
46.6%
86
53.4%
Q4 - 4:11ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
53.8%
86
46.3%
Q4 - 4:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)85
62.3%
84
37.7%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot85
65.3%
84
34.7%
Q4 - 4:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
71.7%
84
28.3%
Q4 - 4:46ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
69.0%
84
31.0%
Q4 - 5:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)85
61.9%
84
38.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
64.4%
84
35.6%
Q4 - 5:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
69.9%
84
30.1%
Q4 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
69.9%
84
30.1%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS James 2' Tip Shot85
64.4%
84
35.6%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
64.5%
84
35.5%
Q4 - 5:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
69.9%
84
30.1%
Q4 - 5:27ORLMISS Nelson 1' Layup85
67.6%
84
32.4%
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (23 PTS)85
61.9%
84
38.1%
Q4 - 5:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
54.2%
84
45.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
47.9%
84
52.1%
Q4 - 6:05ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)83
55.2%
84
44.8%
Q4 - 6:29MIAChalmers 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)83
68.9%
81
31.1%
Q4 - 6:32ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T21)81
62.5%
81
37.5%
Q4 - 6:49MIAWade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (19 PTS)81
54.7%
81
45.3%
Q4 - 6:55ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)79
47.5%
81
52.5%
Q4 - 7:15MIACole 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
41.9%
81
58.1%
Q4 - 7:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)77
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q4 - 7:48MIABosh 9' Jump Hook Shot (21 PTS)77
48.7%
78
51.3%
Q4 - 8:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
42.3%
78
57.7%
Q4 - 8:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot75
42.0%
78
58.0%
Q4 - 8:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)75
37.8%
78
62.2%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Wade 13' Running Bank Shot75
39.6%
78
60.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
43.8%
78
56.2%
Q4 - 8:28ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup75
41.9%
78
58.1%
Q4 - 8:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)75
37.6%
78
62.4%
Q4 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot75
39.5%
78
60.5%
Q4 - 9:15ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)75
45.0%
78
55.0%
Q4 - 9:30ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)75
57.0%
75
43.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Cole 22' Pullup Jump Shot75
58.7%
75
41.3%
Q4 - 9:38ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)75
62.6%
75
37.4%
Q4 - 9:53MIAHaslem 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)75
57.0%
75
43.0%
Q4 - 10:23ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)73
51.4%
75
48.6%
Q4 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)73
62.4%
72
37.6%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot73
64.0%
72
36.0%
Q4 - 10:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
67.6%
72
32.4%
Q4 - 10:54ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
66.0%
72
34.0%
Q4 - 11:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)73
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Bosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot73
63.7%
72
36.3%
Q4 - 11:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
67.0%
72
33.0%
Q4 - 11:36ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
65.6%
72
34.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
62.2%
72
37.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound73
67.0%
72
33.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 22' Pullup Jump Shot73
63.7%
72
36.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)73
66.7%
72
33.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 273
67.6%
71
32.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMAGIC Rebound73
67.0%
71
33.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot73
69.8%
71
30.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
67.0%
71
33.0%
Q3 - 1:00ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)70
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 1:24MIAHoward STEAL (3 STL)70
66.7%
68
33.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
70.7%
68
29.3%
Q3 - 1:38ORLMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot70
69.5%
68
30.5%
Q3 - 2:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
66.2%
68
33.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot70
67.5%
68
32.5%
Q3 - 2:11ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)70
70.3%
68
29.7%
Q3 - 2:26ORLMAGIC Rebound70
66.3%
68
33.7%
Q3 - 2:26ORLMISS Davis 10' Hook Shot70
69.1%
68
30.9%
Q3 - 2:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
66.3%
68
33.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot70
67.6%
68
32.4%
Q3 - 3:05ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
70.4%
68
29.6%
Q3 - 3:05ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
70.8%
67
29.2%
Q3 - 3:12MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)70
73.9%
66
26.1%
Q3 - 3:32ORLNelson Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
70.4%
66
29.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIATurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)68
73.8%
64
26.2%
Q3 - 3:56ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)68
77.3%
64
22.7%
Q3 - 4:09ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
82.1%
61
17.9%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot68
83.0%
61
17.0%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound68
84.9%
61
15.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS James 13' Fadeaway Jumper68
83.0%
61
17.0%
Q3 - 4:44ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)68
85.0%
61
15.0%
Q3 - 4:44ORLAnderson 1' Putback Layup (15 PTS)68
85.0%
61
15.0%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS Turkoglu 28' 3PT Jump Shot68
88.3%
59
11.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q3 - 5:30ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)65
81.8%
59
18.2%
Q3 - 5:30ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)65
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMISS Nelson 2' Layup65
87.5%
56
12.5%
Q3 - 5:35ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
86.7%
56
13.3%
Q3 - 5:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 5:46ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 5:57ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
86.1%
56
13.9%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot65
86.8%
56
13.2%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 6:14ORLMISS Anderson 2' Dunk65
87.0%
56
13.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIARedick STEAL (2 STL)65
85.6%
56
14.4%
Q3 - 6:53ORLNelson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)65
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 7:03ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)65
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot65
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 7:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
89.9%
54
10.1%
Q3 - 7:19ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 265
89.7%
54
10.3%
Q3 - 7:19ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
88.6%
54
11.4%
Q3 - 7:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)65
89.8%
53
10.2%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Bank Shot65
90.3%
53
9.7%
Q3 - 7:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 7:47ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot65
90.8%
53
9.2%
Q3 - 8:09ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)65
89.5%
53
10.5%
Q3 - 8:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
90.7%
53
9.3%
Q3 - 8:10ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
90.1%
53
9.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)65
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)65
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot63
88.5%
52
11.5%
Q3 - 8:38ORLAnderson 1' Dunk (10 PTS)63
89.6%
52
10.4%
Q3 - 8:40ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)63
90.8%
50
9.2%
Q3 - 8:41ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
91.7%
50
8.3%
Q3 - 9:05MIABosh 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
90.4%
50
9.6%
Q3 - 9:15ORLMAGIC Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#17)61
89.1%
50
10.9%
Q3 - 9:15ORLMAGIC Rebound61
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 9:15ORLMISS Nelson 1' Driving Layup61
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 9:25ORLMISS Redick Free Throw Technical61
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)61
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 9:59ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)61
89.2%
50
10.8%
Q3 - 10:13MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)61
90.0%
48
10.0%
Q3 - 10:28ORLRedick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)58
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q3 - 10:42MIAAnderson STEAL (2 STL)58
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q3 - 11:00ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)58
87.3%
48
12.7%
Q3 - 11:19MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 7 AST)58
89.7%
45
10.3%
Q3 - 11:34ORLAnderson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)56
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q3 - 11:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
86.9%
45
13.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper56
87.4%
45
12.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
88.5%
45
11.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
88.0%
45
12.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIALiggins STEAL (1 STL)56
86.6%
45
13.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 256
87.7%
45
12.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIABosh Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
88.8%
45
11.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)55
86.2%
45
13.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
86.5%
44
13.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)55
88.1%
43
11.9%
Q2 - 1:03ORLRedick 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)55
88.7%
43
11.3%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)55
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q2 - 1:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
87.3%
41
12.7%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 252
87.2%
41
12.8%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 252
86.4%
41
13.6%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWade Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)52
86.3%
41
13.7%
Q2 - 1:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
84.7%
41
15.3%
Q2 - 1:50ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
85.5%
41
14.5%
Q2 - 2:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
83.9%
41
16.1%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
84.5%
41
15.5%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
85.6%
41
14.4%
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
85.1%
41
14.9%
Q2 - 2:34ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
84.0%
41
16.0%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot51
84.5%
41
15.5%
Q2 - 2:47MIAHeat Rebound51
85.6%
41
14.4%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
84.5%
41
15.5%
Q2 - 2:58ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T14)51
85.6%
41
14.4%
Q2 - 2:59ORLMISS Howard 1' Dunk51
85.2%
41
14.8%
Q2 - 2:59ORLMAGIC Rebound51
84.0%
41
16.0%
Q2 - 3:16MIAJames 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
83.7%
41
16.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
82.2%
41
17.8%
Q2 - 3:24ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
81.6%
41
18.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIABosh 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)49
80.0%
41
20.0%
Q2 - 3:52ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)47
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 4:06MIAJames 3' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q2 - 4:12ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)45
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)45
70.9%
41
29.1%
Q2 - 4:35ORLAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)43
68.6%
41
31.4%
Q2 - 4:37ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 4:38ORLMISS Liggins 10' Jump Shot43
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 5:00MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)43
65.7%
41
34.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
60.6%
41
39.4%
Q2 - 5:07ORLMISS Anderson 8' Jump Bank Shot40
59.8%
41
40.2%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)40
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 5:53ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P5.T10)37
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWade 2' Layup (13 PTS)37
49.3%
41
50.7%
Q2 - 6:18ORLLiggins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)35
47.0%
41
53.0%
Q2 - 6:39ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
43.7%
41
56.3%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot35
44.7%
41
55.3%
Q2 - 6:55ORLAnderson 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)35
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q2 - 6:57ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
49.3%
39
50.7%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Liggins 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
51.6%
39
48.4%
Q2 - 7:13MIABosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)35
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q2 - 7:40ORLAnderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)33
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)33
52.6%
36
47.4%
Q2 - 7:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 7:59ORLMISS Davis 3' Layup33
54.7%
36
45.3%
Q2 - 8:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)33
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 8:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)32
52.7%
36
47.3%
Q2 - 8:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
50.6%
36
49.4%
Q2 - 8:38ORLMISS Davis 6' Hook Shot31
49.8%
36
50.2%
Q2 - 8:58ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
49.8%
36
50.2%
Q2 - 9:07ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
48.3%
36
51.7%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Cole 8' Turnaround Jump Shot31
49.1%
36
50.9%
Q2 - 9:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 9:23ORLMISS Davis 4' Running Hook Shot31
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 9:45MIAJones 16' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)31
48.2%
36
51.8%
Q2 - 10:05ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)29
46.0%
36
54.0%
Q2 - 10:18MIADuhon STEAL (1 STL)29
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 10:39ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)29
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 10:59ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
50.7%
33
49.3%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot29
51.6%
33
48.4%
Q2 - 11:18ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)29
53.4%
33
46.6%
Q2 - 11:44MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)29
58.2%
30
41.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
55.9%
30
44.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound27
55.9%
30
44.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot27
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0ORLDavis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)27
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
58.5%
28
41.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot27
59.1%
28
40.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
60.6%
27
39.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)27
63.1%
26
36.9%
Q1 - 1:00ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)27
63.3%
26
36.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIAHeat Rebound24
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot24
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q1 - 1:47ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
58.2%
26
41.8%
Q1 - 1:47ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q1 - 2:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q1 - 2:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
60.6%
24
39.4%
Q1 - 2:09ORLDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)22
56.7%
24
43.3%
Q1 - 2:41ORLDavis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)19
51.9%
24
48.1%
Q1 - 2:57ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Anthony: Tip to Davis19
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper19
55.0%
22
45.0%
Q1 - 3:20ORLNelson Driving Layup (5 PTS)19
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q1 - 3:37MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 3:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Wade 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot19
59.7%
20
40.3%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot19
60.6%
20
39.4%
Q1 - 3:58MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)19
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 4:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 119
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q1 - 4:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)19
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 4:13ORLMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot19
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q1 - 4:24MIARedick STEAL (1 STL)19
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q1 - 4:49ORLHoward 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)19
65.4%
18
34.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIABosh 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
66.7%
16
33.3%
Q1 - 5:22ORLHoward 5' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)17
65.0%
16
35.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWade 1' Layup (11 PTS) (James 3 AST)17
66.8%
14
33.2%
Q1 - 5:48ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)15
65.1%
14
34.9%
Q1 - 6:09MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
62.9%
14
37.1%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)13
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q1 - 6:39ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)12
59.1%
14
40.9%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWade Layup (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
62.9%
11
37.1%
Q1 - 7:05ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
61.4%
11
38.6%
Q1 - 7:17MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)10
59.2%
11
40.8%
Q1 - 7:38ORLHoward 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)8
57.5%
11
42.5%
Q1 - 7:58MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
59.2%
9
40.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
58.9%
9
41.1%
Q1 - 8:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
57.8%
9
42.2%
Q1 - 8:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 26
57.6%
9
42.4%
Q1 - 8:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 26
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
56.0%
9
44.0%
Q1 - 8:36ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
54.0%
9
46.0%
Q1 - 8:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)4
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 8:52ORLTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)4
59.7%
6
40.3%
Q1 - 9:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)4
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Floating Jump Shot4
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 9:25ORLHoward 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)4
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 9:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 9:29ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 9:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 9:37ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup4
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 9:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS James 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 9:56ORLHoward 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 10:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Reverse Layup4
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 10:33ORLTurkoglu 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 10:48MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
68.3%
0
31.7%
Q1 - 11:02ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 11:05MIATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 11:12ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Jump Shot2
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:30MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
65.2%
0
34.8%
Q1 - 11:36ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.6%
0
36.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Anthony: Tip to Anderson0
62.1%
0
37.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
20
75%
ORL
18
28
64%
Midrange
MIA
17
48
35%
ORL
7
17
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
ORL
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
10
11
91%
ORL
21
37
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2864%14.0 / 22
C. Bosh2372%11.5 / 16
L. James1945%9.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1038%5.0 / 13
J. Jones880%4.0 / 5
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2574%12.5 / 17
D. Howard2457%12.0 / 21
J. Redick1765%8.5 / 13
R. Anderson1667%8.0 / 12
Q. Richardson975%4.5 / 6
H. Turkoglu744%3.5 / 8
G. Davis638%3.0 / 8
C. Duhon0-0.0 / 2
D. Liggins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+14
-16
96
ORL
75
+16
-22
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
ORL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.1
MIA 100.0
ORL 107.2 +7.2
Pace
91.3
88.9
MIA 88.7 +0.2
ORL 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
MIA 16.2 +0.0
ORL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
50.6%
MIA 48.4%
ORL 56.8% +8.4%
TO %
15.9%
15.7%
MIA 14.3% +6.9%
ORL 21.2%
ORB %
26.6%
26.5%
MIA 18.6%
ORL 28.2% +9.6%
FTrt
30.7
29.2
MIA 12.1
ORL 50.7 +38.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
58.1%
MIA 52.5%
ORL 52.8% +0.3%
STL %
9.6%
7.6%
MIA 15.3% +0.9%
ORL 14.4%
BLK %
9.0%
6.7%
MIA 13.3% +10.4%
ORL 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.6%
MIA 50.0%
ORL 56.5% +6.5%
Rim FG%
61.1%
57.7%
MIA 75.0% +10.7%
ORL 64.3%
Mid FG%
40.0%
34.8%
MIA 35.4%
ORL 41.2% +5.8%
3P %
35.9%
37.5%
MIA 34.8%
ORL 39.3% +4.5%
FT %
77.5%
66.0%
MIA 90.9% +34.1%
ORL 56.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.4%
MIA 22.0%
ORL 38.4% +16.4%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
29.0%
MIA 52.7%
ORL 23.3% +29.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
34.6%
MIA 25.3%
ORL 38.4% +13.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes26.526.3
Points98104
Rebounds3646
Assists2119
Steals1514
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)22 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)35 (2)
Field Goals40-9136-73
At-the-Rim FG15-2018-28
Midrange FG17-487-17
2-Point FG32-6825-45
3-Point FG8-2311-28
Free Throws10-1121-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
44.5
23
72%
8
2
1
0
3
5
2
6
5-6
83%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
42.4
19
45%
11
8
1
1
6
0
3
8
3-3
100%
5-16
31%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
38.4
28
64%
6
5
2
2
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
10-19
53%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
31.6
10
38%
2
2
2
0
2
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-8
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
17.5
2
100%
2
0
3
2
1
4
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
28.8
2
20%
4
3
2
0
1
6
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
22.8
4
40%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
18.1
2
17%
0
1
2
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
15.8
8
80%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
98
50%
36
21
15
6
16
0
8
28
10-11
91%
32-68
47%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.