FinalWin Prob.pScore
1526%92
91
174%101
93
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
97.89386.2
MIA logo MIA
98.99483.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0IND91
0%
93
100%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS)91
2.8%
93
97.2%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)91
30.0%
91
70.0%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
47.7%
91
52.3%
OT1 - 0:46.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
31.5%
91
68.5%
OT1 - 0:47.0INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
36.8%
91
63.2%
OT1 - 1:03MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)91
48.7%
91
51.3%
OT1 - 1:25INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)91
59.9%
89
40.1%
OT1 - 1:44MIAJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)91
70.0%
89
30.0%
OT1 - 2:03INDGranger 9' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS)91
85.7%
86
14.3%
OT1 - 2:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)89
81.6%
86
18.4%
OT1 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 289
83.0%
85
17.0%
OT1 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
78.5%
85
21.5%
OT1 - 2:32MIAMISS James 3' Layup89
85.7%
85
14.3%
OT1 - 2:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
78.5%
85
21.5%
OT1 - 2:36INDMISS West 1' Tip Shot89
82.1%
85
17.9%
OT1 - 2:37INDWest REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)89
88.2%
85
11.8%
OT1 - 2:38INDMISS West 1' Tip Shot89
82.1%
85
17.9%
OT1 - 2:39INDWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
88.2%
85
11.8%
OT1 - 2:40INDMISS West 2' Tip Shot89
82.1%
85
17.9%
OT1 - 2:41INDWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)89
88.2%
85
11.8%
OT1 - 2:42INDMISS Hibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot89
82.1%
85
17.9%
OT1 - 3:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
84.1%
85
15.9%
OT1 - 3:02MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 289
83.1%
85
16.9%
OT1 - 3:02MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 289
78.8%
85
21.2%
OT1 - 3:26INDGranger 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (West 1 AST)89
75.4%
85
24.6%
OT1 - 3:31INDPacers Rebound87
60.0%
85
40.0%
OT1 - 3:32INDJames BLOCK (1 BLK)87
53.1%
85
46.9%
OT1 - 3:35INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
60.3%
85
39.7%
OT1 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup87
57.3%
85
42.7%
OT1 - 3:53INDWest 1' Layup (15 PTS)87
50.6%
85
49.4%
OT1 - 3:54INDWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
42.0%
85
58.0%
OT1 - 3:55INDMISS West 7' Jump Hook Shot85
35.1%
85
64.9%
OT1 - 4:10INDPacers Rebound85
42.1%
85
57.9%
OT1 - 4:11MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot85
39.0%
85
61.0%
OT1 - 4:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
32.3%
85
67.7%
OT1 - 4:19INDBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)85
35.1%
85
64.9%
OT1 - 4:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)85
42.2%
85
57.8%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to Chalmers85
32.3%
85
67.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)85
62.1%
85
37.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
87.9%
82
12.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
86.5%
82
13.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)83
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
50.6%
82
49.4%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
47.4%
82
52.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)81
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)81
64.5%
79
35.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMISS Collison 6' Floating Jump Shot81
69.3%
79
30.7%
Q4 - 1:05MIAJames Dunk (18 PTS)81
76.8%
79
23.2%
Q4 - 1:07INDJames STEAL (4 STL)81
85.2%
77
14.8%
Q4 - 1:15INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
90.7%
77
9.3%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
88.8%
77
11.2%
Q4 - 1:31INDCollison 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
80.9%
77
19.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)79
70.0%
77
30.0%
Q4 - 1:47INDWade STEAL (1 STL)79
57.1%
77
42.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)79
71.8%
77
28.2%
Q4 - 2:21INDWest 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)79
78.5%
75
21.5%
Q4 - 2:42INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
73.3%
75
26.7%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot77
68.9%
75
31.1%
Q4 - 3:05INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
54.4%
75
45.6%
Q4 - 3:05INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 276
52.8%
75
47.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIACole Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T17)76
59.3%
75
40.7%
Q4 - 3:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
40.9%
75
59.1%
Q4 - 3:38INDMISS Jones 2' Dunk76
44.0%
75
56.0%
Q4 - 3:40INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
51.2%
75
48.8%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS James 2' Layup76
48.1%
75
51.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
41.2%
75
58.8%
Q4 - 4:04INDMISS Hibbert 18' Jump Shot76
44.4%
75
55.6%
Q4 - 4:22MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)76
51.8%
75
48.2%
Q4 - 4:45INDCollison 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
60.7%
73
39.3%
Q4 - 5:07INDPacers Rebound74
48.5%
73
51.5%
Q4 - 5:08INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
42.3%
73
57.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)74
48.6%
73
51.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)74
57.0%
72
43.0%
Q4 - 5:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q4 - 5:44INDMISS West 16' Jump Shot74
67.2%
70
32.8%
Q4 - 6:04MIAJames 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)74
67.5%
70
32.5%
Q4 - 6:18INDWest 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)74
73.5%
68
26.5%
Q4 - 6:36INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
67.8%
68
32.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot72
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q4 - 7:04INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
56.9%
68
43.1%
Q4 - 7:29MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
43.8%
68
56.2%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 269
44.9%
67
55.1%
Q4 - 7:45INDHansbrough 17' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Price 4 AST)69
43.3%
67
56.7%
Q4 - 7:58MIACole 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)67
37.2%
67
62.8%
Q4 - 8:10INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T9)67
42.2%
65
57.8%
Q4 - 8:24MIACole 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)67
48.4%
65
51.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
55.0%
63
45.0%
Q4 - 8:35INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
56.9%
63
43.1%
Q4 - 8:48INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)67
61.2%
63
38.8%
Q4 - 8:49INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
56.9%
63
43.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)67
58.6%
63
41.4%
Q4 - 9:20INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
52.9%
63
47.1%
Q4 - 9:20INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)66
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q4 - 9:35MIABosh 1' Dunk (8 PTS)65
46.8%
63
53.2%
Q4 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
52.9%
61
47.1%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot65
57.0%
61
43.0%
Q4 - 9:57INDAmundson 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)65
53.0%
61
47.0%
Q4 - 9:59INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)63
46.9%
61
53.1%
Q4 - 10:00INDHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)63
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
45.4%
61
54.6%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 263
46.6%
60
53.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
45.5%
60
54.5%
Q4 - 10:30INDBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)63
47.2%
60
52.8%
Q4 - 10:48MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T15)63
51.2%
60
48.8%
Q4 - 11:18INDHansbrough 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Price 3 AST)63
44.4%
60
55.6%
Q4 - 11:40INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q4 - 11:41INDMISS Hansbrough 13' Turnaround Jump Shot61
35.7%
60
64.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND61
39.1%
60
60.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
38.1%
60
61.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
36.8%
60
63.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
36.8%
60
63.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
33.8%
60
66.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 261
34.4%
60
65.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
37.7%
60
62.3%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
33.5%
60
66.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 260
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 1:18INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
33.1%
59
66.9%
Q3 - 1:18INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
32.3%
59
67.7%
Q3 - 1:37MIABattier 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)58
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q3 - 1:54INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)58
33.2%
57
66.8%
Q3 - 2:02INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 2:03INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot55
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q3 - 2:08INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 2:09INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q3 - 2:19INDPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot55
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 2:36INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 2:36INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 254
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q3 - 2:50MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)54
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 2:57MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 254
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q3 - 2:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q3 - 3:11MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q3 - 3:12INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot54
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 254
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q3 - 3:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 3:27INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot54
25.1%
55
74.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q3 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup54
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q3 - 4:13INDGranger 12' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)54
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q3 - 4:42INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
31.2%
52
68.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup52
29.9%
52
70.1%
Q3 - 5:05MIAHEAT Rebound52
26.7%
52
73.3%
Q3 - 5:06INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Hook Shot52
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
30.5%
52
69.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
33.8%
50
66.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup52
36.7%
50
63.3%
Q3 - 5:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
33.8%
50
66.2%
Q3 - 5:51INDMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
35.1%
50
64.9%
Q3 - 5:59INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)52
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Anthony 7' Jump Hook Shot52
36.8%
50
63.2%
Q3 - 6:10INDHibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (George 3 AST)52
33.0%
50
67.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)50
29.8%
50
70.2%
Q3 - 6:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
33.1%
48
66.9%
Q3 - 6:52INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 250
33.6%
48
66.4%
Q3 - 6:52INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q3 - 7:02MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)49
32.4%
48
67.6%
Q3 - 7:28INDGranger 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)49
29.0%
48
71.0%
Q3 - 7:35INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
26.1%
48
73.9%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q3 - 7:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q3 - 7:43INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
24.0%
48
76.0%
Q3 - 8:10MIAAnthony 1' Layup (4 PTS)47
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q3 - 8:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup47
31.0%
46
69.0%
Q3 - 8:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup47
31.0%
46
69.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q3 - 8:25INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot47
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q3 - 8:54MIAAnthony 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)47
32.1%
46
67.9%
Q3 - 9:15INDGranger 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)47
34.5%
44
65.5%
Q3 - 9:18MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)45
31.3%
44
68.7%
Q3 - 9:25INDJames STEAL (3 STL)45
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)45
31.3%
44
68.7%
Q3 - 9:42INDGeorge 12' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)45
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIAJames 1' Dunk (11 PTS)43
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q3 - 10:12INDJames STEAL (2 STL)43
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q3 - 10:26INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper43
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q3 - 10:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q3 - 10:41INDMISS Hibbert 14' Jump Shot43
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q3 - 10:45INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q3 - 10:48INDMISS Hibbert 1' Dunk43
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q3 - 10:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)43
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q3 - 10:52INDMISS West 2' Layup43
28.5%
42
71.5%
Q3 - 11:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 243
30.8%
41
69.2%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
30.0%
41
70.0%
Q3 - 11:18INDMISS West 1' Tip Shot43
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q3 - 11:19INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q3 - 11:20INDMISS West 4' Jump Shot43
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q3 - 11:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
33.2%
41
66.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
33.8%
40
66.2%
Q3 - 11:39INDBosh STEAL (2 STL)43
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q3 - 11:45INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)43
39.6%
39
60.4%
Q3 - 11:47INDAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)43
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q3 - 11:50MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)43
39.6%
39
60.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound43
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot43
38.5%
39
61.5%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0INDMISS Granger 19' Fadeaway Jumper43
36.8%
39
63.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Pittman 8' Jump Hook Shot43
37.7%
39
62.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDCollison 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
36.1%
39
63.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
29.1%
39
70.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
29.6%
38
70.4%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical40
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
32.7%
37
67.3%
Q2 - 1:22INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot40
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)40
34.7%
37
65.3%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)40
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 1:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
38.7%
35
61.3%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 2:04INDGranger Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
37.3%
35
62.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)40
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 2:32INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)40
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 2:45MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)40
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAHEAT Rebound40
37.4%
35
62.6%
Q2 - 2:57INDMISS West 8' Jump Hook Shot40
38.3%
35
61.7%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWade 4' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)40
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 3:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
42.2%
33
57.8%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Bosh 4' Running Jump Shot40
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 3:46INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
42.3%
33
57.7%
Q2 - 3:46INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 4:06INDPacers Rebound38
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 4:07INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot38
36.6%
33
63.4%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)38
38.7%
33
61.3%
Q2 - 4:38INDJames STEAL (1 STL)38
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)38
44.6%
31
55.4%
Q2 - 5:12INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)38
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)35
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)35
41.3%
28
58.7%
Q2 - 5:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
43.7%
27
56.3%
Q2 - 5:44INDMISS Price 4' Running Jump Shot35
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWade 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)35
45.7%
27
54.3%
Q2 - 6:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q2 - 6:15INDMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)35
49.0%
25
51.0%
Q2 - 6:31MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
53.7%
23
46.3%
Q2 - 6:38INDMISS West 4' Jump Hook Shot35
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q2 - 6:52MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 7:09INDPrice 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
57.8%
21
42.2%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
56.0%
20
44.0%
Q2 - 7:43INDAmundson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)33
57.9%
19
42.1%
Q2 - 8:00INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
60.8%
19
39.2%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot33
58.3%
19
41.7%
Q2 - 8:28INDJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Price 2 AST)33
56.5%
19
43.5%
Q2 - 8:46MIAHaslem Putback Dunk (2 PTS)30
51.4%
19
48.6%
Q2 - 8:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
54.0%
17
46.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup30
55.9%
17
44.1%
Q2 - 9:06INDJones 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)30
52.5%
17
47.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)28
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIAHEAT Rebound28
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q2 - 9:30INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Driving Layup28
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)28
50.2%
17
49.8%
Q2 - 9:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q2 - 9:59INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 1 of 128
47.8%
17
52.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
44.6%
17
55.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.9%
17
58.1%
Q2 - 10:40INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
42.7%
17
57.3%
Q2 - 11:01MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q2 - 11:14INDMISS Amundson 12' Jump Shot26
42.2%
17
57.8%
Q2 - 11:35INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
44.0%
17
56.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot26
43.2%
17
56.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND26
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
44.1%
17
55.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper26
42.1%
17
57.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 225
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Pittman 1' Layup25
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot25
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
38.0%
17
62.0%
Q1 - 1:10INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot25
38.4%
17
61.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAPittman Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)25
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Pittman Free Throw 1 of 225
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 1:34MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
40.2%
16
59.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot25
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 1:56MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
40.2%
16
59.8%
Q1 - 1:57INDMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 125
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 2:12MIAPittman 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)23
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 2:15MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot23
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 2:43INDMISS Granger 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 3:02MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)23
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 3:21INDCollison 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
38.8%
14
61.2%
Q1 - 3:27INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup21
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 3:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 3:42INDAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)21
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 3:57INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
36.2%
14
63.8%
Q1 - 4:16INDCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 2 AST)21
33.8%
14
66.2%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)18
30.2%
14
69.8%
Q1 - 4:43INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 1 AST)18
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 5:05INDPacers Rebound15
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot15
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 5:21INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 5:34MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)15
28.0%
12
72.0%
Q1 - 5:51INDWest 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)15
29.6%
10
70.4%
Q1 - 6:13INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 6:22INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)13
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 6:43MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 6:46INDGeorge 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 7:12MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)8
19.9%
10
80.1%
Q1 - 7:26INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
21.0%
8
79.0%
Q1 - 7:26INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 8:12INDGeorge 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
20.9%
6
79.1%
Q1 - 8:20INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot4
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS James 1' Driving Reverse Layup4
19.3%
6
80.7%
Q1 - 8:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 8:34INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot4
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 8:47MIAJames 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 9:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 9:04INDMISS Collison 18' Jump Shot4
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 9:06INDPacers Rebound4
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:07INDChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)4
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 9:10INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:40INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 9:41INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 9:42INDMISS Hibbert Layup2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 9:43INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 9:44INDMISS George 2' Driving Layup2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 9:56INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 9:57INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)2
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 10:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:23INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:25INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:26INDMISS Granger 9' Jump Shot2
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:35MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:59INDMISS Hibbert 17' Jump Shot2
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWade 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 11:37INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)2
22.8%
0
77.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Hibbert: Tip to Collison0
21.6%
0
78.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.89 44.6%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
35
43%
MIA
20
33
61%
Midrange
IND
11
36
31%
MIA
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
IND
18
25
72%
MIA
20
31
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger1948%9.5 / 20
D. West1534%7.5 / 22
D. Collison1464%7.0 / 11
P. George1267%6.0 / 9
D. Jones1169%5.5 / 8
T. Hansbrough956%4.5 / 8
R. Hibbert521%2.5 / 12
L. Amundson450%2.0 / 4
A. Price225%1.0 / 4
L. Stephenson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2867%14.0 / 21
L. James2752%13.5 / 26
C. Bosh1346%6.5 / 14
N. Cole675%3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
J. Anthony542%2.5 / 6
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
D. Pittman338%1.5 / 4
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
80
+21
-13
101
MIA
74
+17
-20
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.89 44.6%
MIA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
106.6
IND 97.8
MIA 98.9 +1.1
Pace
91.1
91.3
IND 86.2 +3.0
MIA 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.8
IND 16.7 +0.6
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.5%
IND 41.5%
MIA 48.7% +7.2%
TO %
14.4%
15.9%
IND 11.6% +6.8%
MIA 18.4%
ORB %
29.3%
26.6%
IND 32.7%
MIA 41.0% +8.3%
FTrt
32.1
30.7
IND 28.4
MIA 41.3 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
53.8%
IND 51.5% +2.9%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
8.7%
9.6%
IND 9.7% +1.2%
MIA 8.5%
BLK %
8.8%
9.0%
IND 6.5%
MIA 12.7% +6.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.5%
IND 44.6%
MIA 50.5% +5.9%
Rim FG%
53.6%
61.1%
IND 42.9%
MIA 60.6% +17.7%
Mid FG%
38.3%
40.0%
IND 30.6%
MIA 41.4% +10.8%
3P %
36.8%
35.9%
IND 41.2% +18.1%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
78.3%
77.5%
IND 72.0% +7.5%
MIA 64.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
36.7%
IND 39.8%
MIA 44.0% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
43.6%
IND 40.9%
MIA 38.7% +2.2%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.8%
IND 19.3% +2.0%
MIA 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.927.1
Points9193
Rebounds4051
Assists1717
Steals98
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (4)16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)35 (3)
Field Goals33-8835-75
At-the-Rim FG15-3520-33
Midrange FG11-3612-29
2-Point FG26-7132-62
3-Point FG7-173-13
Free Throws18-2520-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 29
42.9
19
48%
7
0
1
1
2
4
1
6
4-6
67%
6-12
50%
1-5
20%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
38.5
14
64%
1
6
2
0
7
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
C · 7'2" 270 · 25
35.6
5
21%
7
1
0
2
0
4
4
3
1-2
50%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
35.0
15
34%
10
1
0
0
2
1
5
5
7-8
88%
4-18
22%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 22
32.3
12
67%
2
3
4
0
0
5
2
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31
22.3
11
69%
1
1
0
0
1
5
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
· 6'9" 250 · 26
21.9
9
56%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
14.5
2
25%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 29
13.4
4
50%
5
0
1
1
1
2
5
0
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 22
8.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
91
45%
40
17
9
4
13
0
17
23
18-25
72%
26-71
37%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.