FinalWin Prob.pScore
2522%94
97
978%104
110
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
109.08987.1
DEN logo DEN
125.08889.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOHMISS Henry 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENHamilton Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01NOHThomas 1' Putback Layup (18 PTS)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04NOHMISS Henry 17' Step Back Jump Shot95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DENAfflalo 10' Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29NOHAminu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00NOHMISS Aminu Free Throw 2 of 292
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00NOHAminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:03DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28NOHHenry 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Vasquez 8 AST)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56NOHFoote Layup (4 PTS) (Vasquez 7 AST)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08DENMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28NOHFaried STEAL (2 STL)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DENGallinari 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:05NOHHenry 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Vasquez 6 AST)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20NOHMISS Henry 21' Jump Shot85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 4:55DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 5:07NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)85
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 5:33DENAndersen 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 5:53NOHHenry 2' Layup (8 PTS)85
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 6:04NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 6:05DENMISS Brewer 2' Driving Layup83
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 6:20NOHJack 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)83
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 6:38DENGallinari 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)80
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 6:52NOHHenry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:52NOHHenry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:53NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:54NOHMISS Thomas 1' Layup78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:55NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56NOHMISS Thomas 1' Layup78
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 7:01NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:02NOHMISS Henry 16' Jump Shot78
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:05NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:07NOHMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25DENBrewer 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 7:45DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:46NOHMISS Jack 10' Floating Jump Shot78
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:59DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 7:59DENMiller Tip Shot (7 PTS)78
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 8:00DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup78
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 8:20NOHThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)78
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 8:20NOHMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 277
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 8:30DENHarrington 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)77
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 8:56NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)77
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 9:18NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 9:21DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 177
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 9:27DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q4 - 9:41DENMiller Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)77
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 9:52NOHThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q4 - 9:52NOHThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 10:12DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 10:12DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q4 - 10:14DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 10:15NOHAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)75
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 10:44DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brewer 4 AST)75
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 11:09NOHThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q4 - 11:09NOHThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
8.8%
81
91.2%
Q4 - 11:09NOHThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 11:11NOHMISS Henry 16' Step Back Jump Shot73
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q4 - 11:30DENMiller 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)73
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 11:50NOHVasquez Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
9.2%
79
90.8%
Q4 - 11:50NOHVasquez Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)72
8.9%
79
91.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0NOHThomas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)71
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENMISS Harrington 1' Reverse Layup69
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 269
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 269
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHHenry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHHenry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)67
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 1:03NOHHenry Foul Turnover (P1.T12)67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 1:08NOHFoote REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot67
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 1:29NOHHenry 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q3 - 1:47DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)65
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q3 - 1:47DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)65
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 1:58DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 2:04NOHMISS Kaman Layup65
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 2:05NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 2:06NOHMISS Jack 5' Floating Jump Shot65
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 2:18NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
7.0%
74
93.0%
Q3 - 2:19DENMISS Harrington 16' Step Back Jump Shot65
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 2:42NOHKaman 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)65
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 2:55DENAfflalo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)63
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q3 - 3:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 3:12NOHMISS Henry 19' Jump Shot63
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 3:36DENHarrington 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS)63
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 3:56NOHThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 3:56NOHThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 3:56NOHHornets Rebound61
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 3:56NOHMISS Ariza 17' Jump Shot61
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 4:17DENAndersen 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)61
8.9%
69
91.1%
Q3 - 4:25DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 4:26NOHAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)61
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 4:37DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)61
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 4:37DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 261
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q3 - 4:55DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 4:56NOHMISS Kaman 4' Hook Shot61
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 5:15DENHarrington 1' Layup (12 PTS)61
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 5:22DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
15.9%
64
84.1%
Q3 - 5:23DENMISS Lawson 7' Jump Shot61
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 5:34DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
15.9%
64
84.1%
Q3 - 5:35NOHMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 261
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 5:35NOHThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 5:49DENHarrington 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)60
16.2%
64
83.8%
Q3 - 5:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
18.3%
62
81.7%
Q3 - 5:56DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
20.3%
62
79.7%
Q3 - 6:04NOHKaman 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)60
18.1%
62
81.9%
Q3 - 6:26DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)58
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 6:36NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
13.8%
62
86.2%
Q3 - 6:36NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
13.3%
62
86.7%
Q3 - 6:58DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)56
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q3 - 7:11NOHBelinelli 17' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)56
13.9%
60
86.1%
Q3 - 7:42DENGallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)54
12.2%
60
87.8%
Q3 - 8:05NOHKaman 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)54
15.7%
57
84.3%
Q3 - 8:19DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)52
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 8:40NOHJack 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
15.7%
55
84.3%
Q3 - 8:49DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T9)50
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 8:52NOHNene STEAL (2 STL)50
12.1%
55
87.9%
Q3 - 9:06DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)50
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q3 - 9:06DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q3 - 9:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q3 - 9:10NOHMISS Belinelli 6' Floating Jump Shot50
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 9:30NOHHornets Rebound50
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q3 - 9:31DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot50
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q3 - 9:44DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q3 - 9:45NOHNene BLOCK (1 BLK)50
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 9:53DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)50
17.7%
53
82.3%
Q3 - 10:05NOHAriza 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Kaman 2 AST)50
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q3 - 10:21DENLawson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)48
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 10:34DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 10:35NOHMISS Ariza 1' Layup48
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q3 - 10:43NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q3 - 10:43DENMISS Nene 19' Step Back Jump Shot48
16.8%
51
83.3%
Q3 - 11:00DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)48
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 11:11NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q3 - 11:11NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
16.8%
50
83.2%
Q3 - 11:33NOHHornets Rebound46
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q3 - 11:34DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot46
14.8%
50
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH46
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound46
15.4%
50
84.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Belinelli 27' 3PT Running Jump Shot46
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
15.3%
50
84.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
17.1%
48
82.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0NOHFoote REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
15.3%
48
84.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 244
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
15.7%
47
84.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0NOHMISS Jack 23' Jump Shot44
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 1:27DENBrewer Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)44
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 1:32NOHNene STEAL (1 STL)44
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 1:44DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)44
20.9%
45
79.1%
Q2 - 1:57DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 1:58NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 2:05DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)44
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 2:15NOHAyon 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)44
18.9%
45
81.1%
Q2 - 2:29DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T5)42
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 2:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 2:31NOHMISS Jack 10' Floating Jump Shot42
15.9%
45
84.1%
Q2 - 2:47NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 2:48DENMISS Faried 3' Dunk42
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 2:59NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
15.4%
45
84.6%
Q2 - 2:59NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)41
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q2 - 3:10NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 3:14DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 240
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 3:14DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 3:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 3:15DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot40
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 3:33NOHThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)40
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 3:47DENFaried 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)40
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 3:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
16.8%
42
83.2%
Q2 - 3:53NOHMISS Foote 10' Jump Shot40
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 4:13DENFaried 2' Layup (6 PTS)40
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 4:16DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 4:17DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot40
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 4:36NOHAminu 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)40
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 4:42DENBrewer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)38
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 4:46DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 4:48NOHMISS Aminu Free Throw 2 of 238
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 4:48NOHMISS Aminu Free Throw 1 of 238
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 4:52NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.5%
40
81.5%
Q2 - 4:53DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot38
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 5:09NOHFaried STEAL (1 STL)38
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 5:27DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)38
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 5:33DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 5:34DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
23.5%
37
76.5%
Q2 - 6:00NOHJack 6' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 6:06DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)36
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 6:17NOHAminu 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)36
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 6:29DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 6:29DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 234
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 6:33NOHLawson STEAL (1 STL)34
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 6:50NOHHornets Rebound34
18.4%
36
81.6%
Q2 - 6:51DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.8%
36
82.2%
Q2 - 7:14NOHThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
16.4%
36
83.6%
Q2 - 7:14NOHThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 7:30NOHFoote REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 7:31DENMISS Gallinari 2' Layup32
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 7:37DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 7:38NOHMISS Vasquez 19' Jump Shot32
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 7:51DENLawson 1' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)32
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 8:19NOHFoote 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)32
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 8:40NOHFoote REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.7%
34
85.3%
Q2 - 8:57NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)30
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 8:57NOHHornets Rebound30
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 8:58NOHMISS Henry 2' Layup30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 8:59NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
15.1%
34
84.9%
Q2 - 9:00NOHAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 9:23DENHarrington 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)30
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 9:48NOHThomas 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)30
16.3%
32
83.7%
Q2 - 10:00NOHHornets Rebound28
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 10:00NOHMISS Henry 22' Jump Shot28
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 10:16DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)28
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 10:20NOHAndersen STEAL (1 STL)28
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 10:38NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 10:39DENMISS Gallinari 19' Fadeaway Jumper28
14.7%
32
85.3%
Q2 - 10:55DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 10:56NOHMISS Henry 18' Jump Shot28
14.2%
32
85.8%
Q2 - 11:04NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 11:05DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot28
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 11:25NOHThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 11:25NOHThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 11:48NOHHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q2 - 11:50DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 226
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 11:50DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 226
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH26
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound26
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot26
12.4%
32
87.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)26
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENHarrington 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)23
9.8%
32
90.2%
Q1 - 1:01NOHBelinelli 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)23
11.1%
30
88.9%
Q1 - 1:14DENHarrington Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)21
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q1 - 1:21NOHHarrington STEAL (2 STL)21
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q1 - 1:36DENAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)21
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q1 - 1:58NOHJack 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 2:24DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)19
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q1 - 2:44DENNUGGETS Rebound19
14.1%
23
85.9%
Q1 - 2:52NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot19
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 2:52NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q1 - 2:53NOHMISS Belinelli 1' Layup19
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 3:11NOHHornets Rebound19
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 3:12NOHMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot19
14.2%
23
85.8%
Q1 - 3:31DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 3:31DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 3:42NOHAyon 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)19
16.2%
21
83.8%
Q1 - 3:58DENAfflalo 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)17
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 4:03NOHHarrington STEAL (1 STL)17
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 4:15DENNene 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)17
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 4:30NOHBelinelli 30' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)17
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 4:52NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:53DENMISS Gallinari 1' Driving Layup14
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 5:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 5:01NOHMISS Kaman 2' Layup14
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 5:21DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 214
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 5:23NOHAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)14
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 5:39DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)14
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 5:59NOHAriza 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)14
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 6:02DENNene Layup (5 PTS)12
18.1%
13
81.9%
Q1 - 6:20NOHAyon Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)12
19.3%
11
80.7%
Q1 - 6:25NOHHornets Rebound10
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 6:25NOHAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)10
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 6:29DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 6:45NOHJack 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 7:02DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)8
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 7:22NOHJack 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 7:45DENFaried 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)6
15.7%
9
84.3%
Q1 - 8:08NOHJack 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 8:28DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)4
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 8:37DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 8:38NOHMISS Kaman 19' Jump Shot4
16.8%
5
83.2%
Q1 - 8:57DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 9:02DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.6%
3
81.4%
Q1 - 9:03NOHMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
19.0%
3
81.0%
Q1 - 9:23NOHHornets Rebound4
19.8%
3
80.2%
Q1 - 9:24DENMISS Nene 2' Reverse Layup4
19.4%
3
80.6%
Q1 - 9:40NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
18.6%
3
81.4%
Q1 - 9:40NOHHornets Rebound4
19.8%
3
80.2%
Q1 - 9:41NOHMISS Ariza 4' Running Jump Shot4
19.0%
3
81.0%
Q1 - 10:05DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
19.7%
3
80.3%
Q1 - 10:08DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 10:09NOHFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)4
22.3%
0
77.7%
Q1 - 10:27NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.3%
0
76.7%
Q1 - 10:28DENMISS Nene 11' Turnaround Jump Shot4
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 10:50NOHKaman 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)4
21.9%
0
78.1%
Q1 - 11:11NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.1%
0
79.9%
Q1 - 11:12DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:30NOHKaman 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Kaman: Tip to0
18.1%
0
81.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.1%
DEN
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
13
29
45%
DEN
31
39
79%
Midrange
NOH
16
32
50%
DEN
4
11
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
DEN
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
Free Throws
NOH
27
32
84%
DEN
22
32
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Thomas1875%9.0 / 12
J. Jack1757%8.5 / 15
M. Belinelli1246%6.0 / 13
X. Henry1238%6.0 / 16
C. Kaman1056%5.0 / 9
T. Ariza850%4.0 / 8
A. Aminu880%4.0 / 5
G. Ayon6100%3.0 / 3
J. Foote467%2.0 / 3
G. Vasquez233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo2893%14.0 / 15
A. Harrington2053%10.0 / 19
Nene1286%6.0 / 7
T. Lawson1155%5.5 / 10
K. Faried975%4.5 / 6
D. Gallinari938%4.5 / 12
A. Miller788%3.5 / 4
C. Brewer650%3.0 / 6
C. Andersen675%3.0 / 4
J. Hamilton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
78
+17
-11
95
DEN
76
+11
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.02 51.1%
DEN
1.26 63.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
109.3
NOH 109.0
DEN 125.0 +16.0
Pace
88.4
94.1
NOH 87.1
DEN 89.9 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
14.6
NOH 16.5
DEN 16.0 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
51.6%
NOH 48.6%
DEN 60.3% +11.7%
TO %
16.5%
15.7%
NOH 14.8%
DEN 12.1% +2.7%
ORB %
27.6%
27.7%
NOH 27.3%
DEN 33.3% +6.0%
FTrt
27.4
32.6
NOH 44.4 +0.6
DEN 43.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
61.5%
NOH 69.7%
DEN 80.5% +10.8%
STL %
8.3%
8.6%
NOH 7.9%
DEN 10.2% +2.3%
BLK %
8.2%
8.1%
NOH 4.0%
DEN 9.8% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
54.2%
NOH 51.1%
DEN 63.2% +12.1%
Rim FG%
56.0%
59.7%
NOH 44.8%
DEN 79.5% +34.7%
Mid FG%
40.6%
39.3%
NOH 50.0% +13.6%
DEN 36.4%
3P %
33.3%
33.2%
NOH 36.4% +10.3%
DEN 26.1%
FT %
75.7%
73.6%
NOH 84.4% +15.6%
DEN 68.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
48.0%
NOH 40.3%
DEN 53.4% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
27.7%
NOH 44.4%
DEN 15.1% +29.4%
3P Att. %
15.2%
24.3%
NOH 15.3%
DEN 31.5% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsNOHDEN
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points97110
Rebounds3135
Assists2333
Steals79
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)11 (4)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (8)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (4)24 (1)
Field Goals33-7241-73
At-the-Rim FG13-2931-39
Midrange FG16-324-11
2-Point FG29-6135-50
3-Point FG4-116-23
Free Throws27-3222-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
32.0
17
57%
1
4
1
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
26.2
12
46%
2
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
21.3
10
56%
5
2
0
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 27
19.8
8
50%
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 27
18.0
6
100%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
30.1
18
75%
5
0
1
0
2
2
4
1
12-14
86%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21
25.0
12
38%
5
1
2
0
1
4
2
3
4-4
100%
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
C-F · 7'0" 265 · 25
23.1
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 217 · 25
22.9
2
33%
2
8
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
21.8
8
80%
5
0
1
1
1
5
1
4
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26
F · 6'9" 248 · 28
#10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
51%
31
23
7
2
11
0
9
22
27-32
84%
29-61
48%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.