FinalWin Prob.pScore
1763%96
85
2837%92
86
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
104.98179.2
DET logo DET
106.28182.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL85
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)85
50.2%
86
49.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)85
67.4%
84
32.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T20)83
50.3%
84
49.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
31.3%
84
68.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0DETMISS Prince 13' Pullup Jump Shot83
44.5%
84
55.5%
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
35.8%
84
64.2%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 282
31.6%
84
68.4%
Q4 - 1:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
38.2%
84
61.8%
Q4 - 1:15DETMISS Monroe Layup82
33.9%
84
66.1%
Q4 - 1:34DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
27.8%
84
72.2%
Q4 - 1:35ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot82
31.7%
84
68.3%
Q4 - 1:48DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)82
41.5%
84
58.5%
Q4 - 2:06ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
28.0%
84
72.0%
Q4 - 2:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
22.2%
84
77.8%
Q4 - 2:18DETMISS Prince 19' Pullup Jump Shot80
18.6%
84
81.4%
Q4 - 2:44DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q4 - 2:45ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot80
14.6%
84
85.4%
Q4 - 3:00ATLHawks Rebound80
24.9%
84
75.1%
Q4 - 3:01ATLHawks Rebound80
24.9%
84
75.1%
Q4 - 3:01ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 280
16.5%
84
83.5%
Q4 - 3:01ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 280
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q4 - 3:22DETMaxiell 1' Putback Dunk (19 PTS)80
24.8%
84
75.2%
Q4 - 3:23DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)80
30.5%
82
69.5%
Q4 - 3:25DETMISS Prince 13' Fadeaway Jumper80
40.8%
82
59.2%
Q4 - 3:33DETPISTONS Rebound80
37.7%
82
62.3%
Q4 - 3:34DETMISS Maxiell 14' Jump Shot80
44.5%
82
55.5%
Q4 - 3:37DETPISTONS Rebound80
37.5%
82
62.5%
Q4 - 3:38DETMISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot80
44.4%
82
55.6%
Q4 - 4:01ATLSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)80
36.8%
82
63.2%
Q4 - 4:09DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)77
21.7%
82
78.3%
Q4 - 4:30ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)77
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q4 - 4:48DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)74
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 5:04ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)74
14.9%
80
85.1%
Q4 - 5:25DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)71
8.3%
80
91.7%
Q4 - 5:49ATLTeague 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q4 - 6:12DETPrince 14' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q4 - 6:28ATLJohnson 1' Layup (10 PTS)69
18.3%
75
81.7%
Q4 - 6:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
14.4%
75
85.6%
Q4 - 6:33ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 267
11.3%
75
88.7%
Q4 - 6:33ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q4 - 6:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q4 - 6:36ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot66
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q4 - 6:49DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)66
11.0%
75
89.0%
Q4 - 6:53DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
8.2%
75
91.8%
Q4 - 6:56ATLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)66
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 7:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
13.9%
75
86.1%
Q4 - 7:06DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot66
12.9%
75
87.1%
Q4 - 7:30ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS)66
10.6%
75
89.4%
Q4 - 7:35DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)64
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q4 - 7:53ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
6.3%
75
93.7%
Q4 - 7:53ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 263
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q4 - 8:09DETJerebko 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)63
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 8:28ATLJerebko STEAL (1 STL)63
10.5%
73
89.5%
Q4 - 8:50ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q4 - 8:52DETMISS Jerebko 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q4 - 9:13DETPISTONS Rebound63
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 9:14ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot63
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q4 - 9:24ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)63
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q4 - 9:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 9:39DETMISS Gordon 1' Layup62
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 9:49DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q4 - 9:51ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup62
10.6%
73
89.4%
Q4 - 10:17DETMonroe Layup (18 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)62
13.9%
73
86.1%
Q4 - 10:32ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)62
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q4 - 10:32ATLHawks Rebound62
20.1%
71
79.9%
Q4 - 10:33ATLMISS McGrady 47' 3PT Jump Shot62
17.7%
71
82.3%
Q4 - 10:56DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)62
20.1%
71
79.9%
Q4 - 11:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
18.4%
71
81.6%
Q4 - 11:11ATLMISS Hinrich 5' Running Jump Shot62
19.4%
71
80.6%
Q4 - 11:27DETMonroe Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)62
21.7%
71
78.3%
Q4 - 11:32ATLKnight STEAL (1 STL)62
25.7%
69
74.3%
Q4 - 11:43DETJerebko Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)62
29.8%
69
70.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound62
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wilkins 22' Jump Shot62
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
36.4%
67
63.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLWilkins BLOCK (1 BLK)62
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMonroe Layup (14 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)62
40.8%
67
59.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)62
46.1%
65
53.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLHawks Rebound62
50.8%
65
49.2%
Q3 - 1:00DETMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot62
49.4%
65
50.6%
Q3 - 1:14ATLHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
46.9%
65
53.1%
Q3 - 1:14ATLHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
46.0%
65
54.0%
Q3 - 1:40DETKnight Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
41.8%
65
58.2%
Q3 - 1:46DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
46.9%
63
53.1%
Q3 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup60
48.3%
63
51.7%
Q3 - 2:12DETMaxiell 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)60
52.4%
63
47.6%
Q3 - 2:35ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 2:35ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
56.3%
61
43.7%
Q3 - 2:50DETKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 2:50DETKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
53.1%
60
46.9%
Q3 - 3:00DETJump Ball Maxiell vs. Pachulia: Tip to Knight58
56.9%
59
43.1%
Q3 - 3:01ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup58
59.3%
59
40.7%
Q3 - 3:26DETStuckey 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)58
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 3:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)58
66.2%
57
33.8%
Q3 - 3:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
65.6%
57
34.4%
Q3 - 4:13DETMonroe Driving Layup (12 PTS)56
62.7%
57
37.3%
Q3 - 4:28DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)56
65.9%
55
34.1%
Q3 - 4:29DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot56
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 4:55ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T6)56
66.0%
55
34.0%
Q3 - 5:11DETPrince 16' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
69.9%
55
30.1%
Q3 - 5:23DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
73.0%
53
27.0%
Q3 - 5:24ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot56
74.1%
53
25.9%
Q3 - 5:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
76.5%
53
23.5%
Q3 - 5:36DETMISS Maxiell 6' Turnaround Jump Shot56
75.5%
53
24.5%
Q3 - 5:48ATLStuckey STEAL (1 STL)56
73.0%
53
27.0%
Q3 - 6:07DETPrince 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)56
76.3%
53
23.7%
Q3 - 6:23DETPISTONS Rebound56
78.9%
51
21.1%
Q3 - 6:24DETMISS Knight Layup56
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 6:27DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
78.9%
51
21.1%
Q3 - 6:30ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Reverse Layup56
79.8%
51
20.2%
Q3 - 6:49DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
81.6%
51
18.4%
Q3 - 7:06ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
83.0%
49
17.0%
Q3 - 7:06ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
82.5%
49
17.5%
Q3 - 7:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
80.9%
49
19.1%
Q3 - 7:22DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 254
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 7:22DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 254
79.3%
49
20.7%
Q3 - 7:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
78.2%
49
21.8%
Q3 - 7:28ATLMonroe BLOCK (1 BLK)54
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q3 - 7:42DETMonroe Driving Layup (8 PTS)54
80.9%
49
19.1%
Q3 - 7:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q3 - 7:55ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot54
83.8%
47
16.2%
Q3 - 8:08ATLHawks Rebound54
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q3 - 8:09DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 254
84.7%
47
15.3%
Q3 - 8:09DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 254
83.4%
47
16.6%
Q3 - 8:30DETPISTONS Rebound54
82.8%
47
17.2%
Q3 - 8:31ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
83.5%
47
16.5%
Q3 - 8:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q3 - 8:40ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 154
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q3 - 9:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
80.4%
47
19.6%
Q3 - 9:02ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q3 - 9:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q3 - 9:18DETMISS Monroe Layup52
79.7%
47
20.3%
Q3 - 9:41ATLJohnson Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)52
78.0%
47
22.0%
Q3 - 9:47DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)50
75.5%
47
24.5%
Q3 - 9:58DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
72.5%
47
27.5%
Q3 - 9:59ATLMISS Smith 5' Hook Shot50
73.5%
47
26.5%
Q3 - 10:10DETMaxiell 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)50
75.5%
47
24.5%
Q3 - 10:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
77.9%
45
22.1%
Q3 - 10:23ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot50
78.7%
45
21.3%
Q3 - 10:44DETMaxiell 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)50
80.4%
45
19.6%
Q3 - 11:06DETPISTONS Rebound50
82.3%
43
17.7%
Q3 - 11:07ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
83.0%
43
17.0%
Q3 - 11:30DETKnight 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
84.4%
43
15.6%
Q3 - 11:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
86.0%
41
14.0%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
86.5%
41
13.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL50
87.7%
41
12.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
87.7%
41
12.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Monroe 1' Dunk50
86.6%
41
13.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
85.8%
41
14.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
86.6%
41
13.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)50
85.8%
41
14.2%
Q2 - 1:03DETMonroe 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
81.5%
41
18.5%
Q2 - 1:21ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)47
84.0%
39
16.0%
Q2 - 1:24DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)47
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 1:41ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)47
84.0%
39
16.0%
Q2 - 1:54ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 1:55DETMISS Stuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot47
84.8%
39
15.2%
Q2 - 2:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
83.4%
39
16.6%
Q2 - 2:13ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
83.9%
39
16.1%
Q2 - 2:19DETKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)47
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 2:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
83.4%
39
16.6%
Q2 - 2:27ATLMISS Teague 5' Running Jump Shot47
83.9%
39
16.1%
Q2 - 2:33DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)47
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 2:52ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)47
83.4%
39
16.6%
Q2 - 3:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
79.8%
39
20.2%
Q2 - 3:03DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
79.1%
39
20.9%
Q2 - 3:14DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
77.4%
39
22.6%
Q2 - 3:15ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot44
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 3:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
79.8%
39
20.2%
Q2 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson 7' Hook Shot44
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 3:46DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
79.8%
39
20.2%
Q2 - 3:46DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 244
80.0%
38
20.0%
Q2 - 4:06DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
79.3%
38
20.7%
Q2 - 4:07ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 244
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 4:07ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
80.9%
38
19.1%
Q2 - 4:07ATLHawks Rebound43
79.4%
38
20.6%
Q2 - 4:08ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
77.9%
38
22.1%
Q2 - 4:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
79.5%
38
20.5%
Q2 - 4:32DETMISS Jerebko 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
78.8%
38
21.2%
Q2 - 4:55ATLSmith Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)43
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 5:00DETKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)41
75.3%
38
24.7%
Q2 - 5:10DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
73.1%
38
26.9%
Q2 - 5:11ATLMISS Williams 9' Running Jump Shot41
73.7%
38
26.3%
Q2 - 5:37DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
75.2%
38
24.8%
Q2 - 5:55ATLHinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
77.4%
36
22.6%
Q2 - 6:15DETJerebko 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)38
73.0%
36
27.0%
Q2 - 6:39ATLHinrich 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)38
74.8%
34
25.2%
Q2 - 6:46DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)36
73.0%
34
27.0%
Q2 - 7:00ATLSmith 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)36
70.4%
34
29.6%
Q2 - 7:11ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
68.5%
34
31.5%
Q2 - 7:13DETMISS Wilkins 16' Fadeaway Jumper34
67.7%
34
32.3%
Q2 - 7:36ATLPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)34
65.8%
34
34.2%
Q2 - 7:56DETJerebko 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)31
61.0%
34
39.0%
Q2 - 8:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 8:13ATLMISS Pargo 1' Layup31
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 8:28ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 8:29ATLMISS Dampier Tip Shot31
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 8:30ATLDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 8:31ATLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)31
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 8:46DETWallace Foul Turnover (P2.T8)31
66.2%
32
33.8%
Q2 - 8:51DETPISTONS Rebound31
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 8:52DETMISS Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
65.4%
32
34.6%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHinrich 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 9:32DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 9:39DETJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
66.1%
29
33.9%
Q2 - 9:40ATLMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot29
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q2 - 10:04DETKnight Foul Turnover (P1.T7)29
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 10:15ATLMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)29
65.8%
29
34.2%
Q2 - 10:43DETJerebko 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)29
68.3%
29
31.7%
Q2 - 11:03ATLRadmanovic Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)29
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 11:27DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)27
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q2 - 11:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
72.1%
24
27.9%
Q2 - 11:43ATLMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
72.7%
24
27.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL27
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound27
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot27
72.6%
24
27.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
73.6%
24
26.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETMISS Wilkins 1' Reverse Layup27
73.2%
24
26.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
72.2%
24
27.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Pargo 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
72.6%
24
27.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)27
73.7%
24
26.3%
Q1 - 1:12DETWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
72.2%
24
27.8%
Q1 - 1:13ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot27
72.6%
24
27.4%
Q1 - 1:27ATLHawks Rebound27
73.5%
24
26.5%
Q1 - 1:28DETMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot27
73.2%
24
26.8%
Q1 - 1:50ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)27
72.2%
24
27.8%
Q1 - 2:14DETMaxiell 1' Layup (11 PTS)25
70.1%
24
29.9%
Q1 - 2:15DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q1 - 2:16DETMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot25
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q1 - 2:20DETPISTONS Rebound25
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q1 - 2:21DETMISS Stuckey Layup25
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q1 - 2:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q1 - 2:27ATLMISS Smith 4' Hook Shot25
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q1 - 2:46DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)25
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q1 - 2:49DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q1 - 2:51ATLMISS Teague Layup25
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q1 - 2:56DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
73.7%
22
26.3%
Q1 - 3:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
72.2%
22
27.8%
Q1 - 3:11ATLMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot25
72.8%
22
27.2%
Q1 - 3:29DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)25
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 3:48ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)25
75.7%
20
24.3%
Q1 - 3:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
74.1%
20
25.9%
Q1 - 3:53ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot23
72.8%
20
27.2%
Q1 - 4:11DETMaxiell 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)23
74.0%
20
26.0%
Q1 - 4:30ATLJohnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
75.6%
18
24.4%
Q1 - 4:54DETMaxiell 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)21
74.0%
18
26.0%
Q1 - 5:08DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q1 - 5:09ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot21
75.5%
16
24.5%
Q1 - 5:29DETMonroe 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Maxiell 2 AST)21
76.7%
16
23.3%
Q1 - 5:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
78.0%
14
22.0%
Q1 - 5:36DETMISS Prince 16' Fadeaway Jumper21
79.1%
14
20.9%
Q1 - 5:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
78.0%
14
22.0%
Q1 - 5:42DETMISS Stuckey 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
79.1%
14
20.9%
Q1 - 5:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
78.1%
14
21.9%
Q1 - 5:58ATLMISS Williams Layup21
78.5%
14
21.5%
Q1 - 6:11DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P1.T3)21
79.3%
14
20.7%
Q1 - 6:22ATLJohnson 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)21
77.8%
14
22.2%
Q1 - 6:38DETStuckey Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)19
76.4%
14
23.6%
Q1 - 7:01ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 7:21DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)17
76.3%
12
23.7%
Q1 - 7:40ATLSmith Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS)17
77.6%
10
22.4%
Q1 - 7:55DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
76.3%
10
23.7%
Q1 - 7:55DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
76.7%
9
23.3%
Q1 - 8:11ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 8:27DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
79.1%
8
20.9%
Q1 - 8:28DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
81.5%
5
18.5%
Q1 - 8:29DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot15
82.3%
5
17.7%
Q1 - 8:48ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)15
81.5%
5
18.5%
Q1 - 9:13ATLHawks Rebound12
79.1%
5
20.9%
Q1 - 9:14DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 212
78.9%
5
21.1%
Q1 - 9:14DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
78.0%
5
22.0%
Q1 - 9:28ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 9:35DETMonroe Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 9:48ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)10
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 10:09DETStuckey 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)7
73.6%
4
26.4%
Q1 - 10:34ATLSmith Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)7
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 10:39DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
73.6%
2
26.4%
Q1 - 10:57ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
72.0%
2
28.0%
Q1 - 11:15DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)2
69.1%
2
30.9%
Q1 - 11:34ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
70.6%
0
29.4%
Q1 - 11:39ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 11:41DETMISS Monroe 1' Layup0
68.7%
0
31.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Monroe vs. Smith: Tip to Knight0
67.7%
0
32.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.98 48.9%
DET
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
31
52%
DET
20
29
69%
Midrange
ATL
7
23
30%
DET
17
31
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
DET
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
ATL
15
22
68%
DET
9
15
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2148%10.5 / 22
J. Johnson1864%9.0 / 14
M. Williams1667%8.0 / 12
I. Johnson1063%5.0 / 8
K. Hinrich975%4.5 / 6
J. Teague440%2.0 / 5
J. Pargo325%1.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia225%1.0 / 4
V. Radmanovic250%1.0 / 2
T. McGrady0-0.0 / 2
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe2067%10.0 / 15
J. Maxiell1979%9.5 / 12
T. Prince1757%8.5 / 15
R. Stuckey1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jerebko1071%5.0 / 7
B. Knight650%3.0 / 6
B. Gordon321%1.5 / 7
D. Wilkins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+14
-8
87
DET
61
+14
-20
75
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.98 48.9%
DET
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
100.8
ATL 104.9
DET 106.2 +1.2
Pace
89.9
89.5
ATL 79.2
DET 82.8 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.2
ATL 18.2
DET 17.4 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.8%
ATL 47.9%
DET 56.6% +8.7%
TO %
14.5%
16.2%
ATL 10.8% +10.3%
DET 21.1%
ORB %
23.9%
28.1%
ATL 23.7%
DET 34.8% +11.1%
FTrt
25.9
27.9
ATL 30.1 +8.0
DET 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
53.8%
ATL 61.3% +0.8%
DET 60.5%
STL %
8.8%
7.7%
ATL 18.5% +14.8%
DET 3.7%
BLK %
7.2%
6.9%
ATL 8.3% +0.9%
DET 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
49.5%
ATL 48.9%
DET 57.3% +8.4%
Rim FG%
60.0%
54.5%
ATL 51.6%
DET 69.0% +17.4%
Mid FG%
38.2%
37.3%
ATL 30.4%
DET 54.8% +24.4%
3P %
37.0%
34.6%
ATL 42.1% +29.6%
DET 12.5%
FT %
74.0%
75.2%
ATL 68.2% +8.2%
DET 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
40.5%
ATL 42.5%
DET 42.6% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
42.0%
ATL 31.5% +14.1%
DET 45.6%
3P Att. %
24.9%
17.5%
ATL 26.0% +14.3%
DET 11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions8181
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points8586
Rebounds2437
Assists1923
Steals153
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)29 (4)
Field Goals31-7338-68
At-the-Rim FG16-3120-29
Midrange FG7-2317-31
2-Point FG23-5437-60
3-Point FG8-191-8
Free Throws15-229-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 31
35.7
18
64%
2
4
3
0
2
1
1
1
5-5
100%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
35.6
21
48%
7
3
1
2
2
5
1
6
4-8
50%
7-17
41%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 237 · 26
35.5
16
67%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
G · 6'2" 189 · 24
30.6
4
40%
2
3
2
2
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 28
14.7
2
25%
2
0
2
0
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 255 · 28
30.5
10
63%
4
2
5
0
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
17.4
9
75%
0
1
1
0
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
16.0
0
0%
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
10.6
3
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 37
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
5.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 218 · 37
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
#34 · C · 7'0" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
49%
24
19
15
5
8
0
9
15
15-22
68%
23-54
43%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.