for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 7, 2012
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Hawks
22%88
86
2
Heat
78%98
89
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
96.68996.1
MIA logo MIA
96.79285.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHaslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)84
6.2%
87
93.8%
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLPargo Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
15.1%
85
84.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)81
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
10.1%
83
89.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 280
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 1:07MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q4 - 1:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
20.7%
81
79.3%
Q4 - 1:30ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot80
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 2:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
42.4%
79
57.6%
Q4 - 2:03ATLMISS Smith 11' Fadeaway Jumper80
47.6%
79
52.4%
Q4 - 2:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
60.4%
79
39.6%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot80
55.1%
79
44.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
42.4%
79
57.6%
Q4 - 2:41ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
48.1%
79
51.9%
Q4 - 3:02MIABosh 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)80
56.2%
79
43.8%
Q4 - 3:29ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)80
64.0%
77
36.0%
Q4 - 3:55ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
39.8%
77
60.2%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot77
36.8%
77
63.2%
Q4 - 4:19ATLTeague 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
30.3%
77
69.7%
Q4 - 4:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
23.4%
77
76.6%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
21.1%
77
78.9%
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
16.6%
77
83.4%
Q4 - 4:44ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q4 - 5:07ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
23.8%
77
76.2%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot75
21.9%
77
78.1%
Q4 - 5:26ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)75
17.9%
77
82.1%
Q4 - 5:30MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)73
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q4 - 5:47ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)73
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q4 - 6:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot71
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 6:27ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P5.T22)71
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 6:37ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup71
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 6:44ATLHaslem STEAL (4 STL)71
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q4 - 6:53MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T13)71
8.4%
77
91.6%
Q4 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 7:03ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)71
7.5%
77
92.5%
Q4 - 7:29MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)71
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q4 - 7:47ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
12.3%
75
87.7%
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
15.2%
75
84.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 271
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q4 - 8:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot71
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q4 - 8:20MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup71
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q4 - 8:27ATLHaslem STEAL (3 STL)71
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q4 - 8:35ATLHawks Rebound71
18.8%
74
81.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
17.7%
74
82.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
15.2%
74
84.8%
Q4 - 8:45ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot71
16.3%
74
83.7%
Q4 - 9:08MIAJames 2' Layup (29 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)71
19.1%
74
80.9%
Q4 - 9:14ATLBattier STEAL (2 STL)71
23.2%
72
76.8%
Q4 - 9:32ATLHawks Rebound71
27.6%
72
72.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Pittman 3' Jump Hook Shot71
26.2%
72
73.8%
Q4 - 9:34MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
23.2%
72
76.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Haslem Driving Dunk71
26.2%
72
73.8%
Q4 - 9:52ATLDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T18)71
23.2%
72
76.8%
Q4 - 10:07MIABattier 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)71
27.3%
72
72.7%
Q4 - 10:25ATLPargo Foul Turnover (P3.T17)71
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q4 - 10:25ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
37.1%
70
62.9%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Battier 8' Jump Hook Shot71
35.5%
70
64.5%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
32.0%
70
68.0%
Q4 - 10:41ATLMISS Stackhouse 10' Jump Shot71
33.5%
70
66.5%
Q4 - 10:59ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
37.2%
70
62.8%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot71
34.7%
70
65.3%
Q4 - 11:20ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
31.6%
70
68.4%
Q4 - 11:42MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL68
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound68
31.5%
68
68.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)68
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0ATLHawks Rebound68
30.8%
68
69.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)68
28.1%
68
71.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
30.8%
68
69.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
29.6%
68
70.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)65
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 265
20.1%
67
79.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)65
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup65
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 1:01ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)65
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 1:20MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)65
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 1:39ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)65
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q3 - 2:06MIAPittman 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)65
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 2:25ATLBattier STEAL (1 STL)65
37.5%
62
62.5%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)65
42.1%
62
57.9%
Q3 - 2:39ATLWade STEAL (3 STL)65
46.7%
60
53.3%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)65
51.4%
60
48.6%
Q3 - 2:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
56.1%
58
43.9%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
57.5%
58
42.5%
Q3 - 3:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
58.3%
58
41.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 265
57.7%
58
42.3%
Q3 - 3:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)65
54.8%
58
45.2%
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
58.1%
57
41.9%
Q3 - 3:25ATLJames BLOCK (2 BLK)65
59.5%
57
40.5%
Q3 - 3:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
62.6%
57
37.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 4:00ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 4:00ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)64
65.4%
55
34.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
61.3%
55
38.7%
Q3 - 4:48ATLPachulia 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
64.7%
53
35.3%
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
59.2%
53
40.8%
Q3 - 5:36ATLHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
62.9%
51
37.1%
Q3 - 5:41ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot58
53.9%
51
46.1%
Q3 - 6:01ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
48.8%
51
51.2%
Q3 - 6:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
45.2%
51
54.8%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup56
43.9%
51
56.1%
Q3 - 6:32ATLWilliams 1' Layup (7 PTS)56
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 6:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q3 - 6:36ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)54
34.7%
51
65.3%
Q3 - 6:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup54
36.2%
51
63.8%
Q3 - 7:16ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)54
32.5%
51
67.5%
Q3 - 7:39MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
26.3%
51
73.7%
Q3 - 7:51ATLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)51
29.3%
49
70.7%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)51
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q3 - 8:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
35.3%
47
64.7%
Q3 - 8:13ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
32.2%
47
67.8%
Q3 - 9:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
34.4%
45
65.6%
Q3 - 9:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
33.9%
45
66.1%
Q3 - 9:10MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)47
31.2%
45
68.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
28.1%
45
71.9%
Q3 - 9:26ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot47
29.1%
45
70.9%
Q3 - 9:36ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot47
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q3 - 9:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup47
30.3%
45
69.7%
Q3 - 9:56ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T11)47
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS)47
30.4%
45
69.6%
Q3 - 10:11ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)47
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q3 - 10:28ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
36.8%
43
63.2%
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup47
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q3 - 10:45ATLMISS Pachulia 8' Jump Shot47
34.4%
43
65.6%
Q3 - 11:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot47
34.8%
43
65.2%
Q3 - 11:28ATLTeague 1' Dunk (10 PTS)47
32.6%
43
67.4%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
29.8%
43
70.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q3 - 11:39ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
29.8%
43
70.2%
Q3 - 11:41ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot45
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
29.8%
43
70.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
26.9%
43
73.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot45
28.9%
43
71.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)45
27.0%
43
73.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames 2' Layup (15 PTS)42
21.5%
43
78.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
24.4%
41
75.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot42
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
24.4%
41
75.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)42
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 1:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot42
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 1:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot42
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 2:11ATLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)42
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
21.3%
41
78.7%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 2:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 2:44ATLMISS Smith 1' Alley Oop Dunk40
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 2:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 2:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 3:03ATLTeague 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 3:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
23.2%
38
76.8%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup38
22.5%
38
77.5%
Q2 - 3:35ATLSmith 5' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)38
20.8%
38
79.2%
Q2 - 3:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 4:22ATLSmith 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)36
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 4:50MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 5:14ATLTeague 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 5:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 232
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 5:40ATLJames BLOCK (1 BLK)32
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 5:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot32
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 6:09ATLJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS)32
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 6:11ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 6:12ATLMISS Radmanovic 18' Jump Shot30
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMiller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 6:32ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)30
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 6:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 6:36ATLMISS Radmanovic 1' Driving Layup30
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 6:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
17.1%
33
82.9%
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
16.5%
33
83.5%
Q2 - 7:16ATLTeague 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 7:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper28
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 7:54ATLStackhouse Running Dunk (4 PTS)28
12.6%
33
87.4%
Q2 - 7:59MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)26
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 8:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q2 - 8:17ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Shot26
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 8:31MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)26
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 8:43ATLStackhouse 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIABosh 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)24
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 9:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 9:15ATLHaslem STEAL (2 STL)24
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:19MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)24
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 9:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.8%
29
87.2%
Q2 - 9:30ATLMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 9:44ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot24
13.6%
29
86.4%
Q2 - 10:01ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)24
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIACole 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 10:25ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)22
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 10:36MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q2 - 10:36MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q2 - 10:37ATLCole STEAL (1 STL)22
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q2 - 10:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot22
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q2 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Dunk22
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q2 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q2 - 11:14ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup22
15.8%
25
84.2%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q2 - 11:46ATLMiller STEAL (1 STL)22
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLRadmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)22
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLHawks Rebound19
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)19
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
12.7%
25
87.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSmith 2' Layup (10 PTS)19
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup17
10.4%
25
89.6%
Q1 - 1:04ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)17
11.0%
25
89.0%
Q1 - 1:49ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)17
12.2%
23
87.8%
Q1 - 2:13MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)14
10.4%
23
89.6%
Q1 - 2:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 2:28ATLMISS Pargo 11' Jump Shot14
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
12.2%
21
87.8%
Q1 - 2:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
13.3%
19
86.7%
Q1 - 2:47ATLMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.6%
19
86.4%
Q1 - 2:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
14.2%
19
85.8%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup14
13.9%
19
86.1%
Q1 - 3:14ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)14
13.1%
19
86.9%
Q1 - 3:30MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)12
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 3:33MIAHEAT Rebound12
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 4' Floating Jump Shot12
11.8%
19
88.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
11.2%
19
88.8%
Q1 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot12
11.5%
19
88.5%
Q1 - 4:01MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:15ATLHinrich Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)12
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 4:34MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS)12
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 4:39ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)12
15.0%
15
85.0%
Q1 - 4:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 4:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 5:15ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)10
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup10
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 5:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 5:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 6:06ATLHinrich 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
17.2%
11
82.8%
Q1 - 6:08MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)8
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Hook Shot8
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 6:41MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
17.2%
9
82.8%
Q1 - 6:52ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot8
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 7:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
18.3%
9
81.7%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 28
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot8
19.0%
8
81.0%
Q1 - 7:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
18.1%
8
81.9%
Q1 - 7:25ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot8
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 7:44MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
19.5%
8
80.5%
Q1 - 7:51ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)8
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 7:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 7:55ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
21.0%
6
79.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 8:34ATLSmith 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)8
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:02ATLSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS)6
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 9:08MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 9:20ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 9:43ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.8%
4
83.2%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot2
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 9:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot2
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.8%
4
84.2%
Q1 - 10:16ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot2
16.1%
4
83.9%
Q1 - 10:33MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
16.9%
4
83.1%
Q1 - 10:47ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:07MIAJames 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 11:16ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:33MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Bosh0
17.6%
0
82.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.1%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
25
64%
MIA
20
35
57%
Midrange
ATL
11
28
39%
MIA
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
MIA
10
0%
Free Throws
ATL
8
9
89%
MIA
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2348%11.5 / 24
J. Teague1667%8.0 / 12
J. Stackhouse1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia945%4.5 / 10
J. Pargo990%4.5 / 5
M. Williams758%3.5 / 6
K. Hinrich563%2.5 / 4
V. Radmanovic542%2.5 / 6
I. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3162%15.5 / 25
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
C. Bosh928%4.5 / 16
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
N. Cole440%2.0 / 5
M. Miller440%2.0 / 5
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
D. Pittman250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+13
-21
81
MIA
78
+17
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.1%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
106.6
ATL 96.6
MIA 96.7 +0.1
Pace
89.9
91.3
ATL 96.1 +10.4
MIA 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
ATL 15.0 +1.8
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.5%
ATL 51.3% +7.5%
MIA 43.8%
TO %
14.5%
15.9%
ATL 21.6%
MIA 13.3% +8.3%
ORB %
23.9%
26.6%
ATL 24.3%
MIA 32.5% +8.2%
FTrt
25.9
30.7
ATL 11.8
MIA 31.3 +19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
53.8%
ATL 40.0%
MIA 45.7% +5.7%
STL %
8.8%
9.6%
ATL 10.1%
MIA 17.4% +7.3%
BLK %
7.2%
9.0%
ATL 2.9%
MIA 13.2% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.5%
ATL 53.1% +6.3%
MIA 46.8%
Rim FG%
60.0%
61.1%
ATL 64.0% +6.9%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.0%
ATL 39.3%
MIA 42.9% +3.6%
3P %
37.0%
35.9%
ATL 34.8% +34.8%
MIA 0.0%
FT %
74.0%
77.5%
ATL 88.9% +12.9%
MIA 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
36.7%
ATL 32.9%
MIA 43.8% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
43.6%
ATL 36.8% +6.9%
MIA 43.8%
3P Att. %
24.9%
19.8%
ATL 30.3% +17.8%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points8689
Rebounds3641
Assists1416
Steals916
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)28 (0)
Field Goals35-7635-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2520-35
Midrange FG11-2815-35
2-Point FG27-5335-70
3-Point FG8-230-10
Free Throws8-919-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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18 Atlanta Hawks
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28
41.6
9
45%
10
3
2
0
3
3
2
8
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
37.8
23
48%
6
2
2
1
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
8-18
44%
1-4
25%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24
32.4
16
67%
4
2
1
0
5
3
1
3
0-0
-
8-9
89%
0-3
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26
31.3
7
58%
3
2
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
28.1
5
63%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28
19.3
2
25%
5
0
0
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37
18.5
10
63%
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
14.4
9
90%
2
3
1
0
3
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
12.4
5
42%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 37
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
Al Horford
#15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Joe Johnson
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
53%
36
14
9
2
21
0
9
27
8-9
89%
27-53
51%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.