for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 4, 2012
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Nuggets
35%100
99
7
Spurs
65%105
94
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.28985.5
SAS logo SAS
100.09498.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS99
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)99
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)97
99.4%
94
0.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)97
91.8%
94
8.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASDuncan Dunk (14 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)95
76.1%
94
23.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
87.4%
92
12.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENMISS Afflalo 5' Jump Shot95
87.3%
92
12.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
89.4%
92
10.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 295
88.3%
92
11.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 295
83.6%
92
16.4%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)95
80.4%
92
19.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMISS Miller 12' Jump Shot95
83.6%
92
16.4%
Q4 - 1:16DENNuggets Rebound95
86.8%
92
13.2%
Q4 - 1:16DENMISS Harrington 1' Layup95
80.8%
92
19.2%
Q4 - 1:34SASParker 2' Layup (25 PTS)95
84.4%
92
15.6%
Q4 - 1:53DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)95
88.0%
90
12.0%
Q4 - 1:53DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 294
86.6%
90
13.4%
Q4 - 1:54SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)94
88.5%
90
11.5%
Q4 - 2:10DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)94
81.7%
90
18.3%
Q4 - 2:10DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 293
79.7%
90
20.3%
Q4 - 2:13DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
84.3%
90
15.7%
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot93
81.4%
90
18.6%
Q4 - 2:33DENParker STEAL (2 STL)93
73.0%
90
27.0%
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
84.8%
90
15.2%
Q4 - 2:50SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
85.6%
89
14.4%
Q4 - 3:06DENFaried 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Lawson 11 AST)93
85.6%
88
14.4%
Q4 - 3:27SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)91
81.7%
88
18.3%
Q4 - 3:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
85.1%
85
14.9%
Q4 - 3:34DENMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot91
86.7%
85
13.3%
Q4 - 3:49SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)91
90.1%
85
9.9%
Q4 - 4:03DENMiller 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)91
86.1%
85
13.9%
Q4 - 4:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
81.5%
85
18.5%
Q4 - 4:18DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 289
75.4%
85
24.6%
Q4 - 4:18DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
79.4%
85
20.6%
Q4 - 4:42SASDuncan 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)88
75.2%
85
24.8%
Q4 - 4:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
81.3%
83
18.7%
Q4 - 4:57DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 288
82.2%
83
17.8%
Q4 - 4:57DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 288
85.1%
83
14.9%
Q4 - 4:57DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
86.9%
83
13.1%
Q4 - 4:59DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
83.2%
83
16.8%
Q4 - 5:05DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
82.4%
83
17.6%
Q4 - 5:07SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
80.8%
83
19.2%
Q4 - 5:15SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
76.8%
83
23.2%
Q4 - 5:16DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
78.7%
83
21.3%
Q4 - 5:28DENNuggets Rebound88
82.6%
83
17.4%
Q4 - 5:28DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot88
78.8%
83
21.2%
Q4 - 5:46DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
82.7%
83
17.3%
Q4 - 5:47SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
81.1%
83
18.9%
Q4 - 6:08DENAndersen 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)88
73.2%
83
26.8%
Q4 - 6:32SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)86
67.5%
83
32.5%
Q4 - 6:40DENParker STEAL (1 STL)86
78.9%
80
21.1%
Q4 - 6:50SASParker Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)86
83.8%
80
16.2%
Q4 - 7:01DENAfflalo 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)86
75.9%
80
24.1%
Q4 - 7:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)84
71.0%
80
29.0%
Q4 - 7:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)84
72.1%
79
27.9%
Q4 - 7:27DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)84
76.0%
78
24.0%
Q4 - 7:49SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
65.1%
78
34.9%
Q4 - 7:49SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)81
66.6%
77
33.4%
Q4 - 8:09SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
68.5%
76
31.5%
Q4 - 8:11DENMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
73.6%
76
26.4%
Q4 - 8:11DENMISS Miller 7' Jump Bank Shot81
70.1%
76
29.9%
Q4 - 8:13DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot81
70.1%
76
29.9%
Q4 - 8:25DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
73.7%
76
26.3%
Q4 - 8:27DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
70.2%
76
29.8%
Q4 - 8:44DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
73.8%
76
26.2%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Green 15' Jump Shot81
72.3%
76
27.7%
Q4 - 9:00DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
68.6%
76
31.4%
Q4 - 9:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
55.0%
76
45.0%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
53.2%
76
46.8%
Q4 - 9:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
49.2%
76
50.8%
Q4 - 9:19DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)78
51.0%
76
49.0%
Q4 - 9:38DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
55.1%
76
44.9%
Q4 - 9:40SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot78
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q4 - 10:06SASSPURS Rebound78
48.2%
76
51.8%
Q4 - 10:07DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot78
49.9%
76
50.1%
Q4 - 10:25SASFord 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
53.8%
76
46.2%
Q4 - 10:32SASFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
59.4%
74
40.6%
Q4 - 10:33DENMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
61.1%
74
38.9%
Q4 - 10:55SASJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)78
64.8%
74
35.2%
Q4 - 10:58SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
74.3%
71
25.7%
Q4 - 11:00SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
77.2%
71
22.8%
Q4 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
72.5%
71
27.5%
Q4 - 11:08DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot78
73.7%
71
26.3%
Q4 - 11:23DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
76.5%
71
23.5%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot78
75.3%
71
24.7%
Q4 - 11:47DENHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)78
72.6%
71
27.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
63.2%
71
36.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
63.2%
71
36.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot75
61.7%
71
38.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASSPURS Rebound75
57.1%
71
42.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
58.5%
71
41.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
61.7%
71
38.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 175
61.1%
71
38.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
66.7%
69
33.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
65.5%
69
34.5%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
61.7%
69
38.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot73
60.3%
69
39.7%
Q3 - 1:12DENBrewer 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)73
55.9%
69
44.1%
Q3 - 1:30SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)71
50.8%
69
49.2%
Q3 - 1:38SASFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 1:40DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot71
62.1%
66
37.9%
Q3 - 1:54DENNuggets Rebound71
65.1%
66
34.9%
Q3 - 1:54DENMISS Afflalo 7' Jump Shot71
62.1%
66
37.9%
Q3 - 2:14SASFord Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)71
63.3%
66
36.7%
Q3 - 2:15SASFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
58.8%
66
41.2%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
60.2%
66
39.8%
Q3 - 2:23DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
63.4%
66
36.6%
Q3 - 2:26SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q3 - 2:32SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
58.9%
66
41.1%
Q3 - 2:33DENMISS Miller 2' Layup71
60.3%
66
39.7%
Q3 - 2:45SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
63.4%
66
36.6%
Q3 - 2:45SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
64.5%
65
35.5%
Q3 - 3:02SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
65.9%
64
34.1%
Q3 - 3:03DENMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot71
67.2%
64
32.8%
Q3 - 3:06DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q3 - 3:07DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 271
66.5%
64
33.5%
Q3 - 3:07DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
69.2%
64
30.8%
Q3 - 3:18SASSplitter Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)70
66.2%
64
33.8%
Q3 - 3:41DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)70
69.9%
62
30.1%
Q3 - 3:58SASParker 15' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)67
62.1%
62
37.9%
Q3 - 4:13DENHarrington 1' Layup (13 PTS)67
64.6%
60
35.4%
Q3 - 4:26SASParker 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)65
61.3%
60
38.7%
Q3 - 4:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw Technical65
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 4:53DENFaried 1' Dunk (6 PTS)65
64.7%
58
35.3%
Q3 - 4:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
61.4%
58
38.6%
Q3 - 4:57DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
58.0%
58
42.0%
Q3 - 5:13SASParker 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)63
59.9%
58
40.1%
Q3 - 5:35DENLawson 4' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)63
63.5%
56
36.5%
Q3 - 5:49DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
60.0%
56
40.0%
Q3 - 5:50SASMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
58.6%
56
41.4%
Q3 - 6:06DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)61
54.3%
56
45.7%
Q3 - 6:23SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)58
46.7%
56
53.3%
Q3 - 6:45SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
54.4%
53
45.6%
Q3 - 6:47DENMISS Harrington 17' Step Back Jump Shot58
55.7%
53
44.3%
Q3 - 7:03SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)58
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q3 - 7:03SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)58
58.3%
52
41.7%
Q3 - 7:12DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)58
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q3 - 7:16SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)56
57.1%
51
42.9%
Q3 - 7:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
53.2%
51
46.8%
Q3 - 7:30DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup56
54.4%
51
45.6%
Q3 - 7:38DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
57.2%
51
42.8%
Q3 - 7:40SASMISS Bonner 20' Jump Shot56
56.0%
51
44.0%
Q3 - 7:54SASSPURS Rebound56
53.2%
51
46.8%
Q3 - 7:55SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
56.0%
51
44.0%
Q3 - 8:07DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)56
52.5%
51
47.5%
Q3 - 8:22SASDuncan 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)54
49.0%
51
51.0%
Q3 - 8:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
52.5%
49
47.5%
Q3 - 8:37DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
53.8%
49
46.2%
Q3 - 8:45DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
56.5%
49
43.5%
Q3 - 8:47SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot54
55.3%
49
44.7%
Q3 - 9:01SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Faried: Tip to Bonner54
51.7%
49
48.3%
Q3 - 9:01DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)54
52.8%
49
47.2%
Q3 - 9:16SASBlair Foul Turnover (P2.T9)54
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q3 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
51.7%
49
48.3%
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Faried 6' Jump Shot54
52.9%
49
47.1%
Q3 - 9:27DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q3 - 9:29SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot54
54.4%
49
45.6%
Q3 - 9:54DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)54
51.8%
49
48.2%
Q3 - 9:59DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
44.6%
49
55.4%
Q3 - 10:01SASMISS Blair 1' Layup51
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q3 - 10:17DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
40.2%
49
59.8%
Q3 - 10:17DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
39.3%
49
60.7%
Q3 - 10:41SASJefferson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)49
37.1%
49
62.9%
Q3 - 10:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
40.3%
47
59.7%
Q3 - 10:47DENMISS Brewer 15' Jump Shot49
41.4%
47
58.6%
Q3 - 11:16SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)49
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q3 - 11:27SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
46.8%
45
53.2%
Q3 - 11:29DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot49
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q3 - 11:45SASBlair 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)49
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN49
46.8%
45
53.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
46.8%
45
53.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
46.2%
45
53.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P2.T7)47
42.7%
45
57.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
40.3%
45
59.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 2 of 247
40.6%
45
59.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 1:02DENNuggets Rebound46
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
37.6%
45
62.4%
Q2 - 1:21SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)46
39.1%
45
60.9%
Q2 - 1:28SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
46.4%
42
53.6%
Q2 - 1:29DENMISS Afflalo Layup46
47.1%
42
52.9%
Q2 - 1:53SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)46
48.6%
42
51.4%
Q2 - 1:58SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q2 - 2:01DENMISS Faried 8' Turnaround Jump Shot46
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 2:20SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)46
48.5%
42
51.5%
Q2 - 2:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Bank Shot46
52.6%
40
47.4%
Q2 - 2:54SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS)46
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
56.8%
38
43.2%
Q2 - 3:17DENLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)46
57.8%
38
42.2%
Q2 - 3:36SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)46
60.3%
38
39.7%
Q2 - 3:49DENFaried 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)46
65.5%
35
34.5%
Q2 - 4:07DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 4:09SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 244
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 4:09SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 4:17SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
61.7%
34
38.3%
Q2 - 4:20DENSplitter BLOCK (3 BLK)44
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 4:35SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
64.8%
34
35.2%
Q2 - 4:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 4:47SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 244
69.7%
32
30.3%
Q2 - 4:47SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
68.0%
32
32.0%
Q2 - 4:49SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
69.8%
31
30.2%
Q2 - 4:51DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot44
70.7%
31
29.3%
Q2 - 5:04SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)44
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 5:09DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)44
73.8%
29
26.2%
Q2 - 5:15DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
75.9%
29
24.1%
Q2 - 5:17SASMISS Parker Layup44
75.3%
29
24.7%
Q2 - 5:29DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
73.8%
29
26.2%
Q2 - 5:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
71.5%
29
28.5%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 242
71.2%
29
28.8%
Q2 - 5:50SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
69.5%
29
30.5%
Q2 - 6:11DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
70.0%
28
30.0%
Q2 - 6:11DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
69.4%
28
30.6%
Q2 - 6:22SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
68.1%
28
31.9%
Q2 - 6:22SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
68.6%
27
31.4%
Q2 - 6:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot40
71.9%
26
28.1%
Q2 - 6:30SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q2 - 6:37DENSplitter BLOCK (2 BLK)40
70.9%
26
29.1%
Q2 - 6:41SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)40
72.8%
26
27.2%
Q2 - 6:59DENMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T6)40
70.1%
26
29.9%
Q2 - 7:14SASParker Layup (2 PTS)40
71.5%
26
28.5%
Q2 - 7:27DENAnderson STEAL (1 STL)40
73.5%
24
26.5%
Q2 - 7:39DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q2 - 7:41SASMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q2 - 8:13DENMiller 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)40
72.3%
24
27.7%
Q2 - 8:18SASJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)38
70.3%
24
29.7%
Q2 - 8:34DENMiller 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
68.0%
24
32.0%
Q2 - 8:45DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Brewer 13' Jump Shot36
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q2 - 8:58DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q2 - 9:00SASMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot36
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q2 - 9:14DENMiller 2' Layup (4 PTS)36
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q2 - 9:35SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
59.8%
24
40.2%
Q2 - 9:35SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q2 - 9:51DENHarrington 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
62.1%
22
37.9%
Q2 - 9:57DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
59.8%
22
40.2%
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Green 11' Jump Shot32
58.5%
22
41.5%
Q2 - 10:17DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q2 - 10:40SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)29
51.8%
22
48.2%
Q2 - 11:06DENLawson 3' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)29
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q2 - 11:23SASNeal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)27
51.3%
20
48.7%
Q2 - 11:43DENAndersen 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)27
56.1%
17
43.9%
Q2 - 11:46SASNeal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
53.8%
17
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS25
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
51.2%
17
48.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Leonard Layup25
53.0%
17
47.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot25
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0DENMISS Miller 1' Layup25
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot25
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 1:10DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
50.1%
17
49.9%
Q1 - 1:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
49.7%
17
50.3%
Q1 - 1:22SASDuncan 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)23
47.2%
17
52.8%
Q1 - 1:39SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 1:40DENMISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot23
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 1:56DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 1:59DENMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot23
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 2:12DENNuggets Rebound23
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 2:12DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot23
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 2:29DENNuggets Rebound23
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 2:30DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup23
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 2:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 2:35SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup23
51.1%
15
48.9%
Q1 - 2:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
49.6%
15
50.4%
Q1 - 2:44DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 2:57SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 3:13DENLawson 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
49.0%
15
51.0%
Q1 - 3:19DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 3:21SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 3:32SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
44.5%
15
55.5%
Q1 - 3:35DENMISS Brewer 6' Jump Shot21
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 3:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 3:42SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 3:55DENAfflalo 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)21
44.6%
15
55.4%
Q1 - 3:57DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 4:01SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup19
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 4:18DENBonner STEAL (1 STL)19
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 4:37DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:38SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot19
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 4:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 4:50DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot19
40.3%
15
59.7%
Q1 - 5:16SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)19
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 5:24DENSplitter STEAL (1 STL)19
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 5:38DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
47.7%
12
52.3%
Q1 - 5:39SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot19
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 5:48SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 5:51DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
47.7%
12
52.3%
Q1 - 5:51DENSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)19
46.0%
12
54.0%
Q1 - 5:54DENMISS Lawson 7' Jump Shot19
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 6:07SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
46.7%
12
53.3%
Q1 - 6:27DENBrewer 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)19
50.7%
9
49.3%
Q1 - 6:32DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
48.8%
9
51.2%
Q1 - 6:33SASMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot17
48.2%
9
51.8%
Q1 - 6:51DENBrewer 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)17
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 6:57DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
44.8%
9
55.2%
Q1 - 6:59SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup15
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 7:09SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
41.9%
9
58.1%
Q1 - 7:11DENMISS Mozgov 12' Jump Shot15
42.5%
9
57.5%
Q1 - 7:30SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)15
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 7:49DENBrewer 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 8:10SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 8:10SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
45.8%
5
54.2%
Q1 - 8:24DENAfflalo 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)13
47.4%
4
52.6%
Q1 - 8:42SASBonner 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)11
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 8:55DENMozgov Layup (4 PTS)11
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 8:57DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 8:58DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot9
44.1%
2
55.9%
Q1 - 9:06DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 9:08SASMISS Parker 1' Layup9
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 9:23DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:28DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot6
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 9:42DENMozgov 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 9:53SASDuncan 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)6
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:08DENLawson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
40.6%
0
59.4%
Q1 - 10:27DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot4
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 10:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 10:55DENMISS Afflalo 15' Jump Shot4
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:02DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:04SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot4
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:19DENAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)4
36.7%
0
63.3%
Q1 - 11:28SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:43DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:43DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mozgov: Tip to Lawson0
32.2%
0
67.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
27
56%
SAS
14
21
67%
Midrange
DEN
15
42
36%
SAS
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
SAS
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
21
28
75%
SAS
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2258%11.0 / 19
A. Harrington1653%8.0 / 15
A. Afflalo1458%7.0 / 12
C. Brewer1246%6.0 / 13
K. Faried1150%5.5 / 11
A. Miller1132%5.5 / 17
T. Mozgov550%2.5 / 5
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
J. Hamilton375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2566%12.5 / 19
T. Duncan1450%7.0 / 14
K. Leonard1372%6.5 / 9
M. Bonner1169%5.5 / 8
M. Ginobili867%4.0 / 6
R. Jefferson744%3.5 / 8
G. Neal643%3.0 / 7
T. Splitter675%3.0 / 4
D. Green217%1.0 / 6
T. Ford2100%1.0 / 1
D. Blair0-0.0 / 1
J. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+16
-9
96
SAS
80
+6
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.98 49.0%
SAS
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
110.9
DEN 111.2 +11.2
SAS 100.0
Pace
94.1
93.0
DEN 85.5
SAS 98.0 +12.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.5
DEN 16.8
SAS 14.7 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
52.8%
DEN 45.3%
SAS 51.4% +6.1%
TO %
15.7%
14.1%
DEN 8.4% +5.9%
SAS 14.3%
ORB %
27.7%
25.1%
DEN 22.2% +10.8%
SAS 11.4%
FTrt
32.6
26.1
DEN 32.6
SAS 37.5 +4.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
58.5%
DEN 52.8%
SAS 68.8% +16.0%
STL %
8.6%
8.0%
DEN 6.7% +0.3%
SAS 6.4%
BLK %
8.1%
6.7%
DEN 13.3% +4.6%
SAS 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
54.9%
DEN 49.0%
SAS 54.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
59.7%
60.6%
DEN 55.6%
SAS 66.7% +11.1%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.4%
DEN 35.7% +2.4%
SAS 33.3%
3P %
33.2%
39.3%
DEN 35.3%
SAS 37.0% +1.7%
FT %
73.6%
74.8%
DEN 75.0% +0.9%
SAS 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
48.0%
36.1%
DEN 31.4% +2.2%
SAS 29.2%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
38.2%
DEN 48.8%
SAS 33.3% +15.5%
3P Att. %
24.3%
25.7%
DEN 19.8%
SAS 37.5% +17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions8994
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points9994
Rebounds4940
Assists1922
Steals66
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (0)35 (3)
Field Goals36-8632-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2714-21
Midrange FG15-428-24
2-Point FG30-6922-45
3-Point FG6-1710-27
Free Throws21-2820-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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12 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24
38.7
22
58%
9
11
1
0
1
4
1
8
6-6
100%
5-12
42%
2-4
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
36.9
14
58%
6
2
2
0
0
3
1
5
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26
32.7
12
46%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
29.3
11
50%
5
0
0
2
0
4
2
3
3-6
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26
15.4
5
50%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
32.6
16
53%
6
1
1
1
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
2-6
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36
24.6
11
32%
6
4
0
0
2
5
3
3
1-2
50%
5-17
29%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
18.5
5
63%
8
0
1
2
1
3
2
6
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21
11.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
49%
49
19
6
6
9
0
10
39
21-28
75%
30-69
43%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.