FinalWin Prob.pScore
151%97
83
449%96
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
97.68585.4
LAL logo LAL
109.48584.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 283
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 281
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIABynum BLOCK (4 BLK)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0LALFisher 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0LALLAKERS Rebound81
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot81
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)81
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Floating Jump Shot81
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:05LALBryant 16' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)81
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 1:32LALFisher Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 1:32LALFisher Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)78
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 1:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)78
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 1:33MIAAnthony 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)78
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 1:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)76
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 1:40LALMISS Bynum 2' Layup76
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q4 - 1:41LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)76
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 1:42LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 2:08LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)76
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 276
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 2:09MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 2:38LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)75
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 3:01MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)75
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 3:01LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)74
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot74
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q4 - 3:27LALBryant 8' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)74
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 3:39LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot74
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)74
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q4 - 3:51LALMISS Bynum 10' Turnaround Jump Shot74
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q4 - 4:19MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)74
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q4 - 4:26LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)72
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 4:36LALLAKERS Rebound72
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot72
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 5:06LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS)72
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q4 - 5:40MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 7 AST)72
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 6:02LALGasol 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T17)70
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 6:15LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)70
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 6:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)70
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q4 - 6:29MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q4 - 6:30LALMISS Bryant 13' Jump Shot70
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 6 AST)70
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 7:08LALWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)68
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 7:11LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 7:14LALMISS World Peace 2' Layup68
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 7:17LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 7:20LALMISS Bryant 15' Jump Shot68
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T12)68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 8:00LALWorld Peace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)68
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot68
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q4 - 8:32MIAHeat Rebound68
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Howard 3' Layup68
9.9%
77
90.1%
Q4 - 8:46LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)68
11.6%
77
88.4%
Q4 - 8:46LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q4 - 9:03MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)68
16.3%
75
83.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q4 - 9:15LALMISS Gasol 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q4 - 9:36LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)66
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot66
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q4 - 9:50LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q4 - 9:50LALBynum 1' Tip Shot (14 PTS)66
13.1%
75
86.9%
Q4 - 9:52LALMISS Goudelock 15' Jump Shot66
18.5%
73
81.5%
Q4 - 10:12MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
17.5%
73
82.5%
Q4 - 10:31LALBynum 2' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)62
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q4 - 10:38MIAWorld Peace STEAL (4 STL)62
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q4 - 10:51LALMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)62
14.4%
71
85.6%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)62
13.1%
71
86.9%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMurphy BLOCK (3 BLK)62
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMurphy BLOCK (2 BLK)62
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 11:13MIAHeat Rebound62
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot62
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q4 - 11:36LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)62
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q4 - 11:36LALLAKERS Rebound62
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q4 - 11:36LALMISS Goudelock 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
14.8%
71
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound62
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 2' Layup62
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot62
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMurphy BLOCK (1 BLK)62
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0LALWorld Peace 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)62
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
21.0%
69
79.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0LALBlake 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)62
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 1:18LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)62
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot62
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 1:40LALBryant 20' Turnaround Fadeaway (24 PTS)62
36.4%
66
63.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
41.5%
64
58.5%
Q3 - 2:10LALBryant Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)60
37.1%
64
62.9%
Q3 - 2:15LALMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 2:16LALMISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot60
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 2:27LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 2:39LALBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
37.0%
64
63.0%
Q3 - 2:51MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
32.7%
64
67.3%
Q3 - 2:51MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
31.6%
64
68.4%
Q3 - 3:11LALLAKERS Rebound58
26.2%
64
73.8%
Q3 - 3:11LALWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
30.0%
64
70.0%
Q3 - 3:11LALMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 258
31.1%
63
68.9%
Q3 - 3:25LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot58
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIAHeat Rebound58
33.8%
63
66.2%
Q3 - 3:38LALMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
32.6%
63
67.4%
Q3 - 3:50MIAWorld Peace STEAL (3 STL)58
29.8%
63
70.2%
Q3 - 4:13LALWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
34.6%
63
65.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAJames 2' Putback Layup (23 PTS)58
42.1%
60
57.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)56
38.6%
60
61.4%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
35.3%
60
64.7%
Q3 - 4:43LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)56
38.6%
60
61.4%
Q3 - 4:43LALLAKERS Rebound56
33.9%
60
66.1%
Q3 - 4:43LALMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
37.1%
60
62.9%
Q3 - 5:09MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
34.5%
60
65.5%
Q3 - 5:33LALBynum 2' Layup (10 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)54
31.2%
60
68.8%
Q3 - 5:47LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot54
35.7%
58
64.3%
Q3 - 5:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
38.8%
58
61.2%
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Running Layup54
35.7%
58
64.3%
Q3 - 6:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
39.3%
58
60.7%
Q3 - 6:13LALMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
38.1%
58
61.9%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)54
35.2%
58
64.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q3 - 6:30LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot51
27.5%
58
72.5%
Q3 - 6:53MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
25.1%
58
74.9%
Q3 - 7:05LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 7:05LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
23.7%
57
76.3%
Q3 - 7:10LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
25.9%
56
74.1%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
26.8%
56
73.2%
Q3 - 7:26LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)49
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 7:43MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)49
25.8%
56
74.2%
Q3 - 7:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 7:50LALMISS Gasol 5' Layup46
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 7:51LALGasol REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)46
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 7:53LALMISS Fisher 11' Jump Shot46
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 8:13MIAWade 2' Reverse Dunk (10 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)46
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 8:22LALGasol Foul Turnover (P3.T9)44
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q3 - 8:45MIAJames 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)44
14.4%
56
85.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
12.8%
56
87.2%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 9:24LALBryant 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)42
13.3%
56
86.7%
Q3 - 9:39MIABattier 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)42
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 10:04LALGasol 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS)40
14.2%
54
85.8%
Q3 - 10:05LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)40
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q3 - 10:07LALMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 10:26LALLAKERS Rebound40
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup40
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q3 - 10:36LALGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)40
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 10:37LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q3 - 10:39LALMISS Bryant 11' Jump Shot40
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q3 - 10:51LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q3 - 10:52MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
16.4%
52
83.6%
Q3 - 11:16LALGasol 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)40
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 11:42MIAJames 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)40
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound38
18.8%
50
81.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound38
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0LALMISS World Peace 28' 3PT Jump Shot38
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade 3' Layup (8 PTS)38
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup36
14.8%
50
85.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0LALBlake Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)36
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0LALLAKERS Rebound36
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)36
14.8%
50
85.2%
Q2 - 1:12MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
16.2%
50
83.8%
Q2 - 1:14LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot36
15.9%
50
84.1%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 1:55LALWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)34
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIABlake STEAL (2 STL)34
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 2:29LALWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 2:29LALWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 2:29LALLAKERS Rebound34
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 2:29LALMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot34
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 2:55MIABattier 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 5 AST)34
21.0%
45
79.0%
Q2 - 3:16LALWorld Peace 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)32
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 3:37LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot32
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 3:49LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)32
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q2 - 3:49LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)32
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 4:08LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 4:09LALMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot32
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 4:19LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot32
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 4:39LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 4:39LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)32
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Battier 11' Jump Shot29
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS Battier 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAHeat Rebound29
27.4%
39
72.6%
Q2 - 5:30LALMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot29
26.8%
39
73.2%
Q2 - 5:49LALMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
25.2%
39
74.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS Anthony 8' Jump Shot29
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 6:08LALGoudelock Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
28.4%
39
71.6%
Q2 - 6:08LALMISS Goudelock Free Throw 1 of 229
28.7%
38
71.3%
Q2 - 6:16LALLAKERS Rebound29
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 6:16LALMISS Goudelock 1' Layup29
29.9%
38
70.1%
Q2 - 6:21MIABlake STEAL (1 STL)29
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 6:35LALBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
30.7%
38
69.3%
Q2 - 6:37LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 7:01LALBynum 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
31.3%
38
68.7%
Q2 - 7:17LALGoudelock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
33.4%
36
66.6%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot29
34.2%
36
65.8%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
36.1%
36
63.9%
Q2 - 7:30LALMISS Murphy 22' Jump Shot29
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)29
33.3%
36
66.7%
Q2 - 8:05LALGoudelock Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
29.6%
36
70.4%
Q2 - 8:14LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 226
27.7%
36
72.3%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
29.1%
36
70.9%
Q2 - 8:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 8:30LALMISS Goudelock 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
26.8%
36
73.2%
Q2 - 8:47LALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
25.3%
36
74.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIABarnes BLOCK (1 BLK)25
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 9:09LALGoudelock 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)25
28.0%
36
72.0%
Q2 - 9:12LALMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 9:13LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Shot25
33.9%
33
66.1%
Q2 - 9:38MIAJames 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)25
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 9:57LALGoudelock 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)23
30.1%
33
69.9%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)23
34.6%
30
65.4%
Q2 - 10:36MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q2 - 10:38LALMISS Barnes Free Throw 2 of 223
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 10:38LALMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 223
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMiller 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)23
34.8%
30
65.2%
Q2 - 11:17LALBynum 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS)21
32.7%
30
67.3%
Q2 - 11:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
34.8%
28
65.2%
Q2 - 11:41MIAMISS Pittman Free Throw 2 of 221
35.1%
28
64.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAPittman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL20
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound20
32.6%
28
67.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0LALMISS Blake 41' 3PT Jump Shot20
34.5%
28
65.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJames 9' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0LALBarnes 4' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)18
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Hook Shot18
33.9%
26
66.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0LALBryant Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0LALBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot18
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
35.0%
26
65.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot18
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q1 - 1:25LALBryant 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)18
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 1:43LALMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot18
38.8%
24
61.2%
Q1 - 1:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 218
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 218
40.1%
24
59.9%
Q1 - 2:07LALBryant 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)18
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (8 PTS)18
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 2:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 2:30LALMISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot16
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMiller 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 3:14LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)14
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)14
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 3:24MIAHeat Rebound14
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 3:24MIABynum BLOCK (3 BLK)14
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 3:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 3:37LALMISS Bryant 19' Turnaround Jump Shot14
40.2%
20
59.8%
Q1 - 3:49LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot14
39.4%
20
60.6%
Q1 - 4:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 4:03LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot14
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 4:20LALLAKERS Rebound14
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 4:21MIABynum BLOCK (2 BLK)14
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 4:35LALBynum 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)14
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 4:42MIAGasol STEAL (1 STL)14
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 5:06LALGasol 3' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)14
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 5:24MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
47.4%
16
52.6%
Q1 - 5:38LALFisher Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 5:43MIAJames 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 6:06LALBryant 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)9
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 6:14LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
41.4%
14
58.6%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot9
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 6:31LALGasol Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)9
43.6%
14
56.4%
Q1 - 6:40LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
41.4%
14
58.6%
Q1 - 6:43MIABynum BLOCK (1 BLK)9
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 7:02LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)9
44.0%
14
56.0%
Q1 - 7:15LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 7:28LALBryant 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)9
49.9%
11
50.1%
Q1 - 7:39MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)9
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
49.9%
9
50.1%
Q1 - 7:43LALMISS Fisher 2' Driving Layup7
49.2%
9
50.8%
Q1 - 7:51LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 7:52MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot7
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 8:16LALWorld Peace 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)7
50.0%
9
50.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)7
51.9%
7
48.1%
Q1 - 8:30LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
53.8%
7
46.2%
Q1 - 8:30LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 27
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 8:30LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 8:31LALMISS Gasol 3' Jump Shot7
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 8:37LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 8:39LALMISS Fisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
53.8%
6
46.2%
Q1 - 9:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
52.3%
6
47.7%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
51.0%
6
49.0%
Q1 - 9:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
52.3%
6
47.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot5
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 9:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
52.2%
6
47.8%
Q1 - 9:40LALMISS Bynum 13' Jump Shot5
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 10:12LALBryant 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)2
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 10:25MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
48.6%
4
51.4%
Q1 - 10:29LALFisher Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
47.1%
4
52.9%
Q1 - 10:46MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 10:53LALBryant 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
47.1%
4
52.9%
Q1 - 11:14LALWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot0
49.4%
2
50.6%
Q1 - 11:40LALGasol 2' Layup (2 PTS)0
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 11:42LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 11:43LALMISS Bynum 6' Jump Bank Shot0
53.3%
0
46.7%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Anthony: Tip to Bryant0
52.3%
0
47.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
LAL
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
29
59%
LAL
15
21
71%
Midrange
MIA
9
35
26%
LAL
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
LAL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
10
15
67%
LAL
18
25
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2546%12.5 / 27
D. Wade1644%8.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1563%7.5 / 12
J. Anthony744%3.5 / 8
S. Battier732%3.5 / 11
M. Miller660%3.0 / 5
N. Cole3-0.0 / 0
J. Howard321%1.5 / 7
D. Pittman150%0.5 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant3363%16.5 / 26
M. World Peace1771%8.5 / 12
A. Bynum1662%8.0 / 13
P. Gasol1146%5.5 / 12
A. Goudelock750%3.5 / 7
D. Fisher440%2.0 / 5
S. Blake338%1.5 / 4
M. Barnes250%1.0 / 2
T. Murphy0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+23
-12
96
LAL
69
+18
-16
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.2%
LAL
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.9
MIA 97.6 +11.8
LAL 109.4
Pace
91.3
90.6
MIA 85.4 +0.7
LAL 84.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.5
MIA 16.9 +0.1
LAL 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
49.1%
MIA 41.5%
LAL 52.8% +11.3%
TO %
15.9%
15.8%
MIA 11.3% +6.7%
LAL 18.0%
ORB %
26.6%
29.2%
MIA 36.7%
LAL 43.3% +6.6%
FTrt
30.7
29.9
MIA 17.0
LAL 35.2 +18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.1%
MIA 66.7% +12.4%
LAL 54.3%
STL %
9.6%
6.4%
MIA 11.8% +3.6%
LAL 8.2%
BLK %
9.0%
7.9%
MIA 9.3%
LAL 15.6% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.8%
MIA 43.2%
LAL 53.4% +10.2%
Rim FG%
61.1%
59.2%
MIA 58.6%
LAL 71.4% +12.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
41.1%
MIA 25.7%
LAL 45.5% +19.8%
3P %
35.9%
32.6%
MIA 29.2%
LAL 29.4% +0.2%
FT %
77.5%
75.6%
MIA 66.7%
LAL 72.0% +5.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
35.2%
MIA 33.0% +3.4%
LAL 29.6%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
43.9%
MIA 39.8% +6.7%
LAL 46.5%
3P Att. %
19.8%
20.9%
MIA 27.3% +3.3%
LAL 23.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points8393
Rebounds3544
Assists2219
Steals107
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (5)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)17 (3)31 (6)
Field Goals33-8835-71
At-the-Rim FG17-2915-21
Midrange FG9-3515-33
2-Point FG26-6430-54
3-Point FG7-245-17
Free Throws10-1518-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
43.0
25
46%
13
7
3
2
3
1
7
6
1-3
33%
12-22
55%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
36.5
15
63%
4
2
3
0
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
34.2
7
44%
4
0
1
1
0
3
3
1
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
31.1
16
44%
4
5
2
1
5
6
2
2
1-2
50%
6-13
46%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
19.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
32.6
7
32%
3
4
1
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-7
14%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
17.7
6
60%
0
3
0
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
11.5
3
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
9.0
3
21%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
3-3
100%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
4.8
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
#32 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
43%
35
22
10
5
12
0
18
17
10-15
67%
26-64
41%
7-24
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.