FinalWin Prob.pScore
166%101
98
2034%96
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.08689.1
UTA logo UTA
116.58582.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound98
6.2%
99
93.8%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot98
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0UTAHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)98
14.4%
99
85.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
85.1%
96
14.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
87.4%
96
12.6%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)98
93.0%
96
7.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)97
89.0%
96
11.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAJefferson 2' Tip Shot (20 PTS)97
89.0%
96
11.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0UTAMISS Miles 2' Layup97
97.6%
94
2.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (35 PTS)97
92.7%
94
7.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
82.2%
94
17.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot95
78.2%
94
21.8%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)95
67.5%
94
32.5%
Q4 - 1:20MIAHeat Rebound92
41.0%
94
59.0%
Q4 - 1:21UTAMISS Howard 23' Jump Shot92
36.6%
94
63.4%
Q4 - 1:46UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)92
30.8%
94
69.2%
Q4 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade 9' Running Jump Shot92
34.6%
94
65.4%
Q4 - 2:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
45.4%
94
54.6%
Q4 - 2:05UTAMISS Harris Free Throw 3 of 392
43.1%
94
56.9%
Q4 - 2:05UTAHarris Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)92
35.3%
94
64.7%
Q4 - 2:05UTAHarris Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)92
37.6%
93
62.4%
Q4 - 2:20UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)92
53.1%
92
46.9%
Q4 - 2:22UTAMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot92
65.2%
92
34.8%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)92
52.8%
92
47.2%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)91
50.5%
92
49.5%
Q4 - 2:55UTAJefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)90
47.4%
92
52.6%
Q4 - 3:06UTAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
54.9%
90
45.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot90
59.6%
90
40.4%
Q4 - 3:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
69.8%
90
30.2%
Q4 - 3:26UTAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 290
68.0%
90
32.0%
Q4 - 3:26UTAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 290
61.6%
90
38.4%
Q4 - 3:47MIAHaslem 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)90
58.0%
90
42.0%
Q4 - 3:55UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)88
49.3%
90
50.7%
Q4 - 3:58UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
38.9%
90
61.1%
Q4 - 4:00UTAMISS Howard 2' Layup88
46.0%
90
54.0%
Q4 - 4:03UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
38.9%
90
61.1%
Q4 - 4:05MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)88
41.9%
90
58.1%
Q4 - 4:31UTAJefferson 10' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
49.0%
90
51.0%
Q4 - 4:49MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (30 PTS)88
57.8%
88
42.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
48.8%
88
51.2%
Q4 - 4:58UTAMISS Millsap 11' Jump Shot86
45.6%
88
54.4%
Q4 - 5:21MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)86
42.2%
88
57.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIAHeat Rebound84
34.7%
88
65.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 6' Running Jump Shot84
29.3%
88
70.7%
Q4 - 5:48UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)84
34.6%
88
65.4%
Q4 - 5:48UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 284
37.1%
87
62.9%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWade Slam Dunk (28 PTS) (James 6 AST)84
38.2%
87
61.8%
Q4 - 6:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
31.6%
87
68.4%
Q4 - 6:28UTAMISS Burks 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
29.5%
87
70.5%
Q4 - 6:51UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
25.0%
87
75.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Pittman Free Throw 2 of 282
25.8%
87
74.2%
Q4 - 6:52MIAPittman Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)82
29.1%
87
70.9%
Q4 - 6:53MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
25.3%
87
74.7%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Pittman 2' Layup81
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 7:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
29.3%
87
70.7%
Q4 - 7:05UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
23.5%
87
76.5%
Q4 - 7:05UTAMISS Miles 2' Tip Shot81
27.4%
87
72.6%
Q4 - 7:07UTAMISS Miles 5' Jump Shot81
27.4%
87
72.6%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
23.3%
87
76.7%
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (26 PTS)81
23.3%
87
76.7%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot79
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 7:50UTABurks 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)79
19.0%
87
81.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAJames 1' Layup (26 PTS)79
26.8%
85
73.2%
Q4 - 8:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
21.9%
85
78.1%
Q4 - 8:24MIAWatson BLOCK (1 BLK)77
19.1%
85
80.9%
Q4 - 8:30UTAMiles Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)77
21.9%
85
78.1%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJames 20' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)77
17.8%
85
82.2%
Q4 - 9:12UTAMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)75
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q4 - 9:19UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
24.5%
82
75.5%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot75
25.8%
82
74.2%
Q4 - 9:40MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
29.0%
82
71.0%
Q4 - 9:41UTAMISS Howard 1' Reverse Layup75
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q4 - 9:58UTAJAZZ Rebound75
24.4%
82
75.6%
Q4 - 9:58UTAMISS Miles 8' Running Jump Shot75
27.5%
82
72.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS)75
26.3%
82
73.7%
Q4 - 10:40UTAKanter 8' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)73
22.1%
82
77.9%
Q4 - 11:01MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)73
28.1%
80
71.9%
Q4 - 11:20UTAKanter 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)71
23.8%
80
76.2%
Q4 - 11:40UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
28.0%
78
72.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot71
29.3%
78
70.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA71
32.3%
78
67.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound71
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Howard 28' 3PT Jump Shot71
30.9%
78
69.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAAnthony Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)71
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)69
25.6%
78
74.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAJames 11' Running Bank Shot (18 PTS)69
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHeat Rebound67
20.1%
78
79.9%
Q3 - 1:07UTAMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 267
19.7%
78
80.3%
Q3 - 1:07UTAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)67
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)67
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q3 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q3 - 1:37UTAMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q3 - 1:37UTAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 1:54MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)65
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q3 - 2:01UTAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (21 PTS)62
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 2:37UTAJefferson 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)60
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)60
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q3 - 3:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 3:06UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot58
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q3 - 3:25MIAChalmers 10' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)58
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 3:35UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)56
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 3:38UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)56
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 3:39UTAMISS Hayward 3' Jump Shot56
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 3:51MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)56
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 4:15UTAHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 5 AST)56
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q3 - 4:25UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot56
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 4:48UTAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)56
14.4%
71
85.6%
Q3 - 5:11MIAJames 2' Layup (14 PTS)56
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHeat Rebound54
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHayward BLOCK (1 BLK)54
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 5:33UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot54
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 5:50UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
10.3%
71
89.7%
Q3 - 6:09UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 6:09UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 6:09UTAHayward 2' Layup (11 PTS)54
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 6:09UTAMISS Harris 3' Layup54
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q3 - 6:17UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
16.9%
68
83.1%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot54
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 6:33UTAMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot54
18.6%
68
81.4%
Q3 - 6:45MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)54
16.8%
68
83.2%
Q3 - 6:57UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)54
19.3%
68
80.7%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)54
26.0%
65
74.0%
Q3 - 7:46UTAHayward 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)52
23.3%
65
76.7%
Q3 - 7:55UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
26.0%
63
74.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 8:01MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
30.4%
63
69.6%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 3' Reverse Layup52
28.0%
63
72.0%
Q3 - 8:29UTAHoward 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)52
30.3%
63
69.7%
Q3 - 8:33UTAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 8:34UTAMISS Hayward 4' Jump Shot52
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 8:41UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
33.3%
61
66.7%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot52
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 8:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
36.9%
61
63.1%
Q3 - 8:51UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot52
35.8%
61
64.2%
Q3 - 9:11UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 252
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 9:13MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)52
36.9%
61
63.1%
Q3 - 9:27MIAHeat Rebound51
34.5%
61
65.5%
Q3 - 9:28UTAMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot51
33.5%
61
66.5%
Q3 - 9:32UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 9:33UTAMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot51
33.4%
61
66.6%
Q3 - 9:38UTAJAZZ Rebound51
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 9:38UTAMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot51
33.4%
61
66.6%
Q3 - 9:55MIAWade 13' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 3 AST)51
31.1%
61
68.9%
Q3 - 10:10UTAMillsap 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)49
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q3 - 10:34MIAWade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
32.7%
59
67.3%
Q3 - 11:01UTAHoward 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 11:23MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)47
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 11:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
28.6%
57
71.4%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
26.5%
57
73.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 11:46UTAMISS Millsap 3' Jump Shot44
27.6%
57
72.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
29.8%
57
70.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
29.2%
57
70.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAJames Running Slam Dunk (12 PTS)44
27.7%
57
72.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
24.5%
57
75.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
27.6%
55
72.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 241
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
27.0%
55
73.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0UTAJAZZ Rebound41
25.0%
55
75.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot41
25.6%
55
74.4%
Q2 - 1:20UTAJefferson 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)41
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q2 - 1:33MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 2 AST)41
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q2 - 1:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
25.4%
53
74.6%
Q2 - 1:43UTAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
23.7%
53
76.3%
Q2 - 2:22UTAJefferson 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)36
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q2 - 2:31UTAHarris Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)36
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q2 - 2:38UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 2:39UTAMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot36
28.7%
50
71.3%
Q2 - 2:47MIAHarris STEAL (2 STL)36
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 3:02UTAHarris 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)36
31.2%
50
68.8%
Q2 - 3:07UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
33.4%
48
66.6%
Q2 - 3:08MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)36
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 3:28UTAJefferson 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)36
36.6%
48
63.4%
Q2 - 3:40UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q2 - 3:41UTAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot36
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 4:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 4:08UTAMISS Hayward 19' Jump Shot33
33.8%
46
66.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAKanter STEAL (1 STL)33
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q2 - 4:32UTAKanter 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)33
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 4:37UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
37.2%
44
62.8%
Q2 - 4:39UTAMISS Millsap 4' Jump Shot33
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q2 - 4:47UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
37.2%
44
62.8%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q2 - 5:09UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
41.3%
44
58.7%
Q2 - 5:15UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)33
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot33
39.4%
44
60.6%
Q2 - 5:39UTAWatson 13' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
41.2%
44
58.8%
Q2 - 5:59UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)33
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 233
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q2 - 6:00MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q2 - 6:03UTABurks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)32
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAWade Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)32
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q2 - 6:45UTABurks 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)30
39.8%
42
60.2%
Q2 - 6:54UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMISS James 10' Turnaround Jump Shot30
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 7:06MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 7:07UTAMISS Favors 1' Reverse Layup30
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 7:23UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 7:25UTAMISS Watson 16' Jump Shot30
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 7:31UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup30
44.2%
40
55.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
46.3%
40
53.7%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 230
43.7%
40
56.3%
Q2 - 7:42MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
45.3%
40
54.7%
Q2 - 7:53UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
43.6%
40
56.4%
Q2 - 7:53UTAMiles 2' Tip Shot (11 PTS)29
43.6%
40
56.4%
Q2 - 7:55UTAMISS Kanter 2' Jump Hook Shot29
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 8:08UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
47.2%
38
52.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot29
48.0%
38
52.0%
Q2 - 8:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
49.9%
38
50.1%
Q2 - 8:24UTAMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 229
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 8:24UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
47.7%
38
52.3%
Q2 - 8:24UTABurks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 8:27UTAMISS Kanter 5' Jump Bank Shot29
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 8:50MIAWatson STEAL (1 STL)29
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 9:06UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 9:06UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
53.6%
36
46.4%
Q2 - 9:24UTAJAZZ Rebound29
55.6%
35
44.4%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup29
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 9:32UTABurks 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)29
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 9:36UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
60.6%
33
39.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup29
61.4%
33
38.6%
Q2 - 9:52UTAKanter 1' Layup (5 PTS)29
63.1%
33
36.9%
Q2 - 9:53UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)29
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 9:55UTAMISS Miles 2' Layup29
67.0%
31
33.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)29
65.1%
31
34.9%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
64.7%
31
35.3%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)27
63.1%
31
36.9%
Q2 - 10:42UTAFavors Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)26
60.7%
31
39.3%
Q2 - 10:48MIAFavors STEAL (1 STL)26
62.8%
29
37.2%
Q2 - 11:09UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 11:09UTAMiles 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)26
65.2%
29
34.8%
Q2 - 11:11UTAMISS Burks 1' Layup26
68.9%
27
31.1%
Q2 - 11:16UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot26
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q2 - 11:40UTABurks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
67.3%
27
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound26
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot26
68.0%
27
32.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0UTAKanter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
69.3%
27
30.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
73.7%
24
26.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0UTAMISS Miles 17' Jump Shot26
74.6%
24
25.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0UTAJAZZ Rebound26
73.7%
24
26.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot26
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAHeat Rebound26
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0UTAMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot26
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0UTAJAZZ Rebound26
73.6%
24
26.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0UTAMISS Kanter 1' Layup26
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
73.6%
24
26.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0UTAMISS Favors 3' Jump Shot26
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q1 - 1:10MIACole 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)26
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q1 - 1:14MIAHeat Rebound24
71.5%
24
28.5%
Q1 - 1:16MIAFavors BLOCK (1 BLK)24
70.5%
24
29.5%
Q1 - 1:20UTAFavors Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
71.4%
24
28.6%
Q1 - 1:31MIAAnthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)24
70.1%
24
29.9%
Q1 - 1:49UTAMiles 3' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)24
71.4%
24
28.6%
Q1 - 1:58UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q1 - 2:00UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q1 - 2:00UTAMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot24
74.7%
22
25.3%
Q1 - 2:01UTAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot24
74.9%
22
25.1%
Q1 - 2:07UTAJAZZ Rebound24
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q1 - 2:07UTAMISS Miles 1' Driving Layup24
74.9%
22
25.1%
Q1 - 2:23MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)24
73.8%
22
26.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q1 - 2:30MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)21
68.7%
22
31.3%
Q1 - 2:46UTAHoward 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)21
69.9%
22
30.1%
Q1 - 3:06UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
72.2%
20
27.8%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q1 - 3:29UTAHoward 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)21
74.0%
20
26.0%
Q1 - 3:35MIAHoward STEAL (2 STL)21
75.6%
18
24.4%
Q1 - 3:46UTAMiles 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)21
77.3%
18
22.7%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
78.7%
16
21.3%
Q1 - 4:16MIAHeat Rebound19
77.3%
16
22.7%
Q1 - 4:16UTAMISS Miles 7' Jump Shot19
76.8%
16
23.2%
Q1 - 4:17UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 4:20UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 4:20UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup19
76.8%
16
23.2%
Q1 - 4:22UTAMISS Miles 3' Layup19
76.8%
16
23.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)19
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 4:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
72.4%
16
27.6%
Q1 - 4:46UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot16
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q1 - 5:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 5:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
69.7%
16
30.3%
Q1 - 5:13UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
68.5%
16
31.5%
Q1 - 5:13UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
68.9%
15
31.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
70.1%
14
29.9%
Q1 - 5:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
69.8%
14
30.2%
Q1 - 5:46UTAMillsap 2' Layup (4 PTS)12
68.5%
14
31.5%
Q1 - 5:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
70.1%
12
29.9%
Q1 - 5:50UTAMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot12
71.5%
12
28.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)12
70.1%
12
29.9%
Q1 - 6:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 6:14UTAMISS Hayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T3)10
66.7%
12
33.3%
Q1 - 6:45UTAMillsap 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)10
68.7%
12
31.3%
Q1 - 6:54UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
70.2%
10
29.8%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot10
70.8%
10
29.2%
Q1 - 7:08UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 7:08UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
72.6%
9
27.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
73.7%
8
26.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
70.7%
8
29.3%
Q1 - 7:34UTAMISS Howard 23' Jump Shot7
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 7:53MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)7
68.8%
8
31.2%
Q1 - 8:08UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
71.0%
8
29.0%
Q1 - 8:08UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
71.3%
7
28.7%
Q1 - 8:11UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot7
73.1%
6
26.9%
Q1 - 8:29UTAHayward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
74.1%
6
25.9%
Q1 - 8:47MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 9:06MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
70.0%
6
30.0%
Q1 - 9:08UTAMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot4
69.5%
6
30.5%
Q1 - 9:27MIAJames Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
68.4%
6
31.6%
Q1 - 9:49UTAJefferson 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)2
66.7%
6
33.3%
Q1 - 10:03UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot2
69.0%
4
31.0%
Q1 - 10:08MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
69.0%
4
31.0%
Q1 - 10:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 10:17UTAMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 10:29UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
68.5%
4
31.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
69.0%
4
31.0%
Q1 - 10:54UTAJefferson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)2
70.2%
4
29.8%
Q1 - 11:06MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)2
71.8%
2
28.2%
Q1 - 11:27UTAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)2
73.0%
2
27.0%
Q1 - 11:45MIAJames 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Anthony: Tip to Chalmers0
73.0%
0
27.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
UTA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
24
54%
UTA
18
40
45%
Midrange
MIA
16
34
47%
UTA
17
40
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
UTA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
16
22
73%
UTA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3570%17.5 / 25
D. Wade3162%15.5 / 25
S. Battier18129%9.0 / 7
J. Anthony450%2.0 / 4
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
M. Chalmers321%1.5 / 7
N. Cole213%1.0 / 8
D. Pittman125%0.5 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2048%10.0 / 21
C. Miles1444%7.0 / 16
D. Harris1359%6.5 / 11
G. Hayward1260%6.0 / 10
E. Kanter1169%5.5 / 8
J. Howard1029%5.0 / 17
P. Millsap850%4.0 / 8
A. Burks660%3.0 / 5
D. Favors338%1.5 / 4
E. Watson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+13
-11
88
UTA
74
+28
-11
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
UTA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
106.4
MIA 114.0
UTA 116.5 +2.5
Pace
91.3
91.9
MIA 89.1 +6.9
UTA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.1
MIA 16.2 +1.4
UTA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
48.1%
MIA 54.7% +10.8%
UTA 43.9%
TO %
15.9%
14.5%
MIA 11.5%
UTA 9.7% +1.8%
ORB %
26.6%
30.3%
MIA 22.9%
UTA 48.9% +26.0%
FTrt
30.7
30.2
MIA 29.3
UTA 30.0 +0.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
57.0%
MIA 45.9%
UTA 57.9% +12.0%
STL %
9.6%
8.8%
MIA 10.5% +1.1%
UTA 9.4%
BLK %
9.0%
9.5%
MIA 10.0%
UTA 10.3% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.0%
MIA 55.7% +7.6%
UTA 48.1%
Rim FG%
61.1%
60.3%
MIA 54.2% +9.2%
UTA 45.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
36.9%
MIA 47.1% +4.6%
UTA 42.5%
3P %
35.9%
32.3%
MIA 47.1% +17.1%
UTA 30.0%
FT %
77.5%
75.5%
MIA 72.7%
UTA 74.1% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
40.2%
MIA 32.0%
UTA 44.4% +12.4%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
44.5%
MIA 45.3%
UTA 44.4% +0.9%
3P Att. %
19.8%
15.3%
MIA 22.7% +11.6%
UTA 11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points9899
Rebounds3250
Assists1722
Steals98
Blocks86
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)23 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (5)27 (3)
Field Goals37-7538-90
At-the-Rim FG13-2418-40
Midrange FG16-3417-40
2-Point FG29-5835-80
3-Point FG8-173-10
Free Throws16-2220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
44.4
35
70%
10
6
0
3
0
2
1
9
2-3
67%
15-20
75%
1-4
25%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
37.1
4
50%
4
0
3
0
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
36.0
31
62%
6
2
1
0
3
3
2
4
10-11
91%
9-19
47%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
32.0
18
129%
4
3
0
4
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
6-7
86%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
24.6
3
21%
2
2
2
0
4
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
28.0
4
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
14.8
2
13%
0
3
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
10.8
1
25%
2
0
1
0
0
4
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 25
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
32
17
9
8
11
0
8
24
16-22
73%
29-58
50%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.