FinalWin Prob.pScore
949%90
78
2051%91
83
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
87.68981.4
ATL logo ATL
93.38998.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL78
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLTurkoglu 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)76
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLRadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)74
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLRadmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)73
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 273
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 271
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLRadmanovic STEAL (2 STL)71
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 1:01ATLGreen 10' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)71
5.9%
76
94.1%
Q4 - 1:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)71
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q4 - 1:04ATLMISS Teague 11' Jump Shot71
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q4 - 1:26ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)71
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 1:32ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)68
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q4 - 1:36ATLHAWKS Rebound68
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 1:36ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup68
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q4 - 1:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)68
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q4 - 1:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q4 - 2:09ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)68
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q4 - 2:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q4 - 2:30ORLMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 2:48ATLGreen 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
7.2%
74
92.8%
Q4 - 2:52ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q4 - 2:53ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot68
13.8%
72
86.2%
Q4 - 3:15ATLGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)68
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q4 - 3:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
33.8%
69
66.2%
Q4 - 3:21ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot68
44.5%
69
55.5%
Q4 - 3:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
37.7%
69
62.3%
Q4 - 3:43ORLMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot68
40.7%
69
59.3%
Q4 - 4:09ATLRadmanovic Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T16)68
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q4 - 4:32ORLHoward 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)68
37.3%
69
62.7%
Q4 - 4:56ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
29.3%
69
70.7%
Q4 - 4:57ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot66
26.6%
69
73.4%
Q4 - 5:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
24.6%
69
75.4%
Q4 - 5:18ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
31.8%
69
68.2%
Q4 - 5:18ORLMISS Davis 1' Tip Shot66
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Redick 18' Jump Shot66
26.7%
69
73.3%
Q4 - 5:31ORLMagic Rebound66
31.8%
69
68.2%
Q4 - 5:33ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
26.6%
69
73.4%
Q4 - 5:43ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
31.7%
69
68.3%
Q4 - 5:45ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)66
26.6%
69
73.4%
Q4 - 5:51ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
31.7%
69
68.3%
Q4 - 5:53ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot66
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q4 - 6:06ORLDavis 1' Layup (6 PTS)66
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q4 - 6:38ATLRadmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)64
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q4 - 7:01ORLRedick 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)64
34.9%
66
65.1%
Q4 - 7:02ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
29.4%
66
70.6%
Q4 - 7:04ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
25.2%
66
74.8%
Q4 - 7:10ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)62
29.3%
66
70.7%
Q4 - 7:18ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
23.5%
66
76.5%
Q4 - 7:20ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot62
25.1%
66
74.9%
Q4 - 7:36ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q4 - 7:37ATLMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q4 - 7:47ATLHAWKS Rebound62
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q4 - 7:48ATLMISS Smith 3' Hook Shot62
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q4 - 8:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
25.7%
66
74.3%
Q4 - 8:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
27.2%
66
72.8%
Q4 - 8:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
30.7%
66
69.3%
Q4 - 8:20ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Jump Shot62
29.1%
66
70.9%
Q4 - 8:38ORLRedick 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)62
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q4 - 8:47ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
20.9%
66
79.1%
Q4 - 8:48ATLMISS Green 5' Jump Shot60
19.6%
66
80.4%
Q4 - 8:59ORLDavis 1' Layup (4 PTS)60
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q4 - 9:06ATLGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)58
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q4 - 9:06ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
12.5%
66
87.5%
Q4 - 9:11ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)58
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q4 - 9:12ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q4 - 9:37ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)58
15.2%
66
84.8%
Q4 - 9:37ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)58
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q4 - 9:48ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q4 - 9:49ORLMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q4 - 10:03ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
23.7%
64
76.3%
Q4 - 10:04ATLMISS Teague Free Throw 2 of 258
23.1%
64
76.9%
Q4 - 10:04ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q4 - 10:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
23.6%
63
76.4%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot58
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q4 - 10:47ATLJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)58
27.9%
63
72.1%
Q4 - 10:55ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q4 - 10:56ORLMISS Redick 16' Jump Shot58
34.2%
61
65.8%
Q4 - 11:13ATLGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)58
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q4 - 11:35ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
48.9%
58
51.1%
Q4 - 11:40ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)55
38.3%
58
61.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL55
33.5%
58
66.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)55
38.8%
58
61.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 255
35.0%
58
65.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)55
38.8%
58
61.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot55
37.4%
58
62.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLDuhon 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)55
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 1:06ORLMagic Rebound53
30.3%
58
69.7%
Q3 - 1:06ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 1:25ORLDuhon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
26.5%
58
73.5%
Q3 - 1:51ATLPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)51
22.7%
58
77.3%
Q3 - 1:57ORLPachulia STEAL (2 STL)51
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 2:10ATLGreen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)51
23.7%
58
76.3%
Q3 - 2:29ORLTurkoglu 21' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)51
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q3 - 2:54ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 2:55ATLMISS Green 19' Jump Shot49
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 3:07ORLAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)49
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 3:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot49
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 3:33ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)49
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 3:37ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 3:38ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 3:59ORLAnderson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)49
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 4:27ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)47
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 4:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q3 - 4:51ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 4:58ORLMagic Rebound47
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q3 - 4:58ORLHinrich BLOCK (2 BLK)47
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 5:16ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
23.0%
55
77.0%
Q3 - 5:29ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)47
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 5:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)44
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 5:36ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot44
14.5%
55
85.5%
Q3 - 5:57ORLAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)44
13.0%
55
87.0%
Q3 - 6:07ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)41
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q3 - 6:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 6:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 6:43ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
10.6%
55
89.4%
Q3 - 6:44ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot41
10.1%
55
89.9%
Q3 - 7:03ORLDuhon 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
9.8%
55
90.2%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMagic Rebound39
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.8%
55
92.2%
Q3 - 7:11ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 7:13ORLMISS Duhon 5' Driving Jump Shot39
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q3 - 7:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 7:24ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q3 - 7:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q3 - 7:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
10.2%
53
89.8%
Q3 - 7:50ATLTeague 7' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 8:04ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q3 - 8:04ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 238
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q3 - 8:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)38
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q3 - 8:05ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
12.2%
51
87.8%
Q3 - 8:27ATLSmith 6' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Hinrich 4 AST)38
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q3 - 8:43ATLHAWKS Rebound38
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q3 - 8:43ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q3 - 8:56ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
17.4%
49
82.6%
Q3 - 8:57ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot38
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q3 - 9:20ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)38
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q3 - 9:26ATLHinrich Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)35
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q3 - 9:36ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T11)35
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q3 - 9:40ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 9:43ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Driving Jump Shot35
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q3 - 9:54ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)35
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q3 - 10:11ATLTeague 5' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q3 - 10:23ATLHAWKS Rebound35
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q3 - 10:23ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot35
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q3 - 10:44ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)35
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q3 - 10:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q3 - 11:01ATLMISS Smith 7' Hook Shot32
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q3 - 11:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q3 - 11:11ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q3 - 11:17ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 11:18ATLMISS Hinrich 17' Jump Shot32
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q3 - 11:34ORLHoward 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)32
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL30
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound30
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper30
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
9.3%
47
90.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot30
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot30
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 1:03ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 1:05ATLMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 1:26ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 1:27ORLMISS Clark 17' Jump Shot30
10.1%
47
89.9%
Q2 - 1:36ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 1:37ATLMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot30
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 1:46ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 1:48ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot30
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 2:06ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
11.5%
47
88.5%
Q2 - 2:08ATLMISS Smith 5' Running Hook Shot30
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 2:22ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)30
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 2:24ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 2:25ORLHinrich BLOCK (1 BLK)30
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 2:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
11.4%
47
88.6%
Q2 - 2:47ATLMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot30
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q2 - 2:55ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 2:57ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 3:21ATLPargo 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)30
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 3:25ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 3:27ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 3:55ATLHinrich 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)30
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 4:00ORLPargo STEAL (1 STL)30
16.3%
43
83.7%
Q2 - 4:16ATLPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)30
18.8%
43
81.2%
Q2 - 4:21ORLRadmanovic STEAL (1 STL)30
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 4:31ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22.7%
41
77.3%
Q2 - 4:32ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)30
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 4:32ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Tip Shot30
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 4:34ATLMISS Hinrich 3' Driving Layup30
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 5:06ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)30
21.4%
41
78.6%
Q2 - 5:23ATLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)28
19.4%
41
80.6%
Q2 - 5:36ATLHAWKS Rebound28
17.7%
41
82.3%
Q2 - 5:36ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 5:59ATLMISS McGrady 1' Driving Layup28
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 6:12ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 6:20ATLPachulia Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)28
20.3%
41
79.7%
Q2 - 6:27ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q2 - 6:28ORLMISS Duhon 2' Layup28
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 6:52ATLPargo 18' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)28
20.2%
41
79.8%
Q2 - 6:57ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
21.8%
39
78.2%
Q2 - 6:58ORLMISS Anderson 4' Driving Jump Shot28
22.5%
39
77.5%
Q2 - 7:15ATLPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)28
24.7%
39
75.3%
Q2 - 7:21ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)28
28.8%
36
71.2%
Q2 - 7:38ORLMagic Rebound28
31.3%
36
68.7%
Q2 - 7:39ATLMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot28
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 7:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
28.7%
36
71.3%
Q2 - 7:46ATLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 8:05ORLDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 8:09ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 8:10ATLMISS Radmanovic 2' Driving Layup28
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 8:33ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 8:34ORLMISS Anderson 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
30.2%
36
69.8%
Q2 - 8:56ATLRadmanovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)28
31.8%
36
68.2%
Q2 - 9:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
29.9%
36
70.1%
Q2 - 9:12ORLMISS Redick 19' Jump Shot28
30.6%
36
69.4%
Q2 - 9:32ATLPargo 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)28
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 9:56ORLRichardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)28
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 10:11ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
30.2%
34
69.8%
Q2 - 10:21ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)25
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 10:39ATLPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)22
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 10:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
27.9%
31
72.1%
Q2 - 10:46ATLMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q2 - 11:06ORLRedick 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)22
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q2 - 11:23ATLGreen 10' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)20
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 11:44ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 11:46ORLMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot20
28.9%
29
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL20
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound20
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
28.9%
29
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
30.4%
29
69.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLSmith 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)20
29.0%
29
71.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLGreen 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup18
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLPargo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)18
30.5%
27
69.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot18
36.4%
24
63.6%
Q1 - 1:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
35.8%
24
64.2%
Q1 - 1:03ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
36.3%
24
63.7%
Q1 - 1:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q1 - 1:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 218
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 1:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)18
35.9%
24
64.1%
Q1 - 1:18ATLHAWKS Rebound18
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q1 - 1:19ATLMISS Pachulia 20' Jump Shot18
39.1%
23
60.9%
Q1 - 1:37ORLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
37.9%
23
62.1%
Q1 - 1:37ORLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
37.3%
23
62.7%
Q1 - 1:53ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)16
35.2%
23
64.8%
Q1 - 1:58ORLSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
37.9%
21
62.1%
Q1 - 2:09ATLSmith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)14
35.8%
21
64.2%
Q1 - 2:20ORLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 2:20ORLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
37.5%
19
62.5%
Q1 - 2:40ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
35.8%
19
64.2%
Q1 - 2:48ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 2:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
38.7%
17
61.3%
Q1 - 3:07ATLTeague 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 3:34ORLHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)12
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 3:41ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 3:43ATLMISS Williams Putback Layup10
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 3:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 3:46ATLMISS Smith 11' Hook Shot10
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 4:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 4:03ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 4:23ORLDavis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)10
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 4:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
36.3%
15
63.7%
Q1 - 4:39ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup8
35.7%
15
64.3%
Q1 - 4:53ORLRichardson 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)8
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 5:02ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
32.9%
15
67.1%
Q1 - 5:03ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot6
31.4%
15
68.6%
Q1 - 5:23ATLSmith 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
32.8%
15
67.2%
Q1 - 5:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.5%
13
65.5%
Q1 - 5:33ORLMISS Richardson 13' Jump Shot6
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 5:48ATLHinrich 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)6
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 5:53ORLHinrich STEAL (1 STL)6
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 6:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 1' Driving Layup6
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:15ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)6
40.8%
11
59.2%
Q1 - 6:29ORLAnderson Putback Layup (2 PTS)6
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 6:32ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 6:33ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.3%
9
60.7%
Q1 - 6:58ATLHinrich 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)4
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 7:02ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 7:03ORLMISS Anderson 20' Jump Shot4
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 7:20ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)4
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 7:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
48.7%
4
51.3%
Q1 - 7:35ORLMISS Turkoglu 2' Driving Layup4
49.4%
4
50.6%
Q1 - 7:49ATLHinrich Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 8:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 8:09ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.6%
4
50.4%
Q1 - 8:21ORLMagic Rebound4
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
50.3%
4
49.7%
Q1 - 8:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 8:39ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.6%
4
50.4%
Q1 - 8:51ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.9%
4
49.1%
Q1 - 8:52ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot4
50.3%
4
49.7%
Q1 - 9:00ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
49.0%
4
51.0%
Q1 - 9:01ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 9:22ATLSmith 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
51.2%
4
48.8%
Q1 - 9:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 9:34ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 14
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 9:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 9:34ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup4
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 9:40ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)4
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 10:05ORLMagic Rebound4
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 10:06ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup4
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 10:16ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 10:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 10:41ATLMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot4
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 10:55ORLRichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.1%
0
45.9%
Q1 - 11:08ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:33ORLHoward 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:37ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.8%
0
49.2%
Q1 - 11:40ATLMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Pachulia0
49.3%
0
50.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.85 42.4%
ATL
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
29
62%
ATL
14
30
47%
Midrange
ORL
6
21
29%
ATL
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
32
22%
33%
ATL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
ORL
9
13
69%
ATL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick1359%6.5 / 11
D. Howard1267%6.0 / 9
H. Turkoglu1132%5.5 / 17
R. Anderson1038%5.0 / 13
I. Smith844%4.0 / 9
J. Richardson735%3.5 / 10
C. Duhon633%3.0 / 9
G. Davis643%3.0 / 7
Q. Richardson3150%1.5 / 1
V. Wafer2100%1.0 / 1
E. Clark0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2244%11.0 / 25
J. Pargo1583%7.5 / 9
W. Green1470%7.0 / 10
J. Teague1343%6.5 / 15
K. Hinrich633%3.0 / 9
V. Radmanovic542%2.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia429%2.0 / 7
M. Williams225%1.0 / 4
I. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
T. McGrady0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
76
+14
-13
90
ATL
71
+16
-18
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.85 42.4%
ATL
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
105.3
ORL 87.6
ATL 93.3 +5.6
Pace
88.9
89.9
ORL 81.4
ATL 98.2 +16.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
ORL 17.7
ATL 14.7 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.0%
ORL 42.1%
ATL 44.2% +2.1%
TO %
15.7%
14.5%
ORL 14.6% +2.6%
ATL 17.2%
ORB %
26.5%
23.9%
ORL 21.7%
ATL 26.8% +5.1%
FTrt
29.2
25.9
ORL 15.9
ATL 25.6 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
61.0%
ORL 61.3%
ATL 61.3%
STL %
7.6%
8.8%
ORL 13.5% +4.5%
ATL 9.0%
BLK %
6.7%
7.2%
ORL 13.1% +5.1%
ATL 8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
52.1%
ORL 42.4%
ATL 46.6% +4.2%
Rim FG%
57.7%
60.0%
ORL 62.1% +15.4%
ATL 46.7%
Mid FG%
34.8%
38.2%
ORL 28.6%
ATL 32.3% +3.7%
3P %
37.5%
37.0%
ORL 21.9%
ATL 41.2% +19.3%
FT %
66.0%
74.0%
ORL 69.2%
ATL 70.0% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
34.6%
ORL 35.4%
ATL 38.5% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
40.6%
ORL 25.6% +14.1%
ATL 39.7%
3P Att. %
34.6%
24.9%
ORL 39.0% +17.2%
ATL 21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes26.321.8
Points7883
Rebounds4047
Assists1919
Steals128
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)36 (2)
Field Goals31-8231-78
At-the-Rim FG18-2914-30
Midrange FG6-2110-31
2-Point FG24-5024-61
3-Point FG7-327-17
Free Throws9-1314-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
39.9
12
67%
12
3
2
5
3
1
2
10
2-5
40%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
35.4
11
32%
3
4
1
1
4
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-9
11%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
31.4
10
38%
5
0
1
1
1
3
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-6
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
28.4
6
33%
3
4
1
1
2
5
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 31
23.4
7
35%
5
3
2
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28
24.6
13
59%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26
21.0
6
43%
4
0
2
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
19.2
8
44%
5
4
2
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
8.0
3
150%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 209 · 27
5.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 209 · 24
C · 6'10" 275 · 22
#32 · F · 6'10" 225 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'0" 190 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
42%
40
19
12
8
13
0
10
30
9-13
69%
24-50
48%
7-32
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.