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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Hornets44%9389
28Cavaliers56%9584
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.1
38.4
25.1
13
55%
2
5
1
1
0
6
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
35.0
31.2
21
41%
13
3
1
1
2
4
6
7
1-1
100%
10-25
6-14
40%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.9
33.3
24.1
9
51%
17
4
2
1
1
0
6
11
1-4
25%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.9
32.8
28.7
19
68%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
7-9
2-5
78%
45%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.6
20.1
35.6
1
7%
6
3
0
2
2
0
3
3
1-2
50%
0-5
4-9
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
30.2
25.8
16
57%
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
6-7
86%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
15.9
18.3
6
43%
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
13.1
17.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
11.5
12.9
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.8
9.9
12.9
2
26%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
9.5
0
1-3
55%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
7.6
0
1-2
47%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
4.3
0
0-1
42%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 19.9
37.4
34.6
6
22%
2
11
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
6-12
22%
48%
0-4
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.7
37.0
35.6
22
44%
12
1
2
1
0
2
6
6
4-7
57%
6-14
6-12
43%
48%
2-8
25%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
33.9
31.0
7
31%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
0-2
2-4
0%
40%
1-7
14%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
19.8
24.5
6
51%
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
7.9
16.0
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
28.8
15.6
5
91%
6
2
0
0
2
1
3
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
28.2
29.4
13
43%
5
0
1
1
0
1
3
2
4-5
80%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
24.7
26.7
11
81%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 20.9
15.7
22.0
10
43%
10
0
1
0
0
1
6
4
2-8
25%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.1
6.7
2.6
0
0%
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
0-5
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.4
6.8
0
1-1
40%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
5.6
0
1-1
44%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.1
4.1
0
1-1
46%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.