FinalWin Prob.pScore
2414%93
108
186%108
120
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
112.59692.2
MIA logo MIA
125.096100.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA108
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SACMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0SACWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Pittman 8' Hook Shot108
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0SACEvans 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)108
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)106
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0SACThompson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)106
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27SACThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27SACThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)103
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38SACThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51SACWade STEAL (3 STL)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22SACMISS Cousins 12' Fadeaway Jumper102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39SACThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46SACMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (30 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)102
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33SACMISS Cousins 4' Jump Shot102
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 3:36SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)102
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 3:37SACMISS Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2102
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 3:37SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)102
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)101
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.4%
113
99.6%
Q4 - 4:29SACEvans 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)101
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 4:34SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 11' Floating Jump Shot99
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 4:50SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)99
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 4:50SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 1 of 298
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 4:50SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 4:51SACMISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot98
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T13)98
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 5:22MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 5:23SACMISS Garcia 3PT Jump Shot98
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (26 PTS)98
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 5:45SACWade STEAL (2 STL)98
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 6:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
0.8%
110
99.2%
Q4 - 6:00MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)98
0.9%
109
99.1%
Q4 - 6:17SACGarcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Evans 10 AST)98
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 6:34MIAHaslem 1' Putback Dunk (10 PTS)95
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
1.4%
106
98.6%
Q4 - 6:58SACGarcia 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 9 AST)95
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMiller 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)92
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Cole 9' Jump Shot92
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 7:20SACMiller STEAL (1 STL)92
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIACole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)92
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 7:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 7:52SACBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)92
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)92
2.9%
102
97.1%
Q4 - 8:25SACEvans Foul Turnover (P2.T13)92
3.7%
100
96.3%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)92
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 8:56SACCole STEAL (1 STL)92
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)92
10.0%
97
90.0%
Q4 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
8.1%
97
91.9%
Q4 - 9:14SACMISS Evans 8' Running Hook Shot92
8.6%
97
91.4%
Q4 - 9:32SACHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
10.0%
97
90.0%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot92
9.4%
97
90.6%
Q4 - 9:53SACHayes 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
8.1%
97
91.9%
Q4 - 10:14MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
6.8%
97
93.2%
Q4 - 10:14MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
7.1%
96
92.9%
Q4 - 10:19SACBattier STEAL (1 STL)90
8.4%
95
91.6%
Q4 - 10:33MIABosh Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)90
10.3%
95
89.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)90
8.4%
95
91.6%
Q4 - 10:51SACMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIABattier 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)90
10.6%
95
89.4%
Q4 - 11:44SACGreene 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garcia 2 AST)90
12.8%
93
87.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper88
10.0%
93
90.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0SACThomas Free Throw 3 of 3 (24 PTS)88
9.1%
93
90.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 3 (23 PTS)87
8.8%
93
91.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 3 (22 PTS)86
8.5%
93
91.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIACole 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)85
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q3 - 1:02MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot85
8.6%
91
91.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAHEAT Rebound85
7.6%
91
92.4%
Q3 - 1:25SACMISS Thompson 1' Tip Shot85
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q3 - 1:26SACThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
9.0%
91
91.0%
Q3 - 1:27SACMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot85
8.0%
91
92.0%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)85
9.0%
91
91.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
10.7%
89
89.3%
Q3 - 2:04SACAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)85
11.2%
89
88.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)85
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q3 - 2:40SACThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)85
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q3 - 2:58SACThornton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
10.7%
87
89.3%
Q3 - 2:59SACMISS Evans 2' Driving Layup82
9.5%
87
90.5%
Q3 - 3:09SACKings Rebound82
10.6%
87
89.4%
Q3 - 3:09SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
9.5%
87
90.5%
Q3 - 3:31MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)82
10.6%
87
89.4%
Q3 - 3:49SACEvans 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)82
14.5%
84
85.5%
Q3 - 3:58SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
12.5%
84
87.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q3 - 4:16SACThornton 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)80
10.5%
84
89.5%
Q3 - 4:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)78
9.2%
84
90.8%
Q3 - 4:27SACThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Evans 8 AST)78
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q3 - 4:49MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)75
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q3 - 4:49MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q3 - 5:08SACThomas 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)75
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)72
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)72
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)72
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 5:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 5:46SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)72
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 6:23SACEvans 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS)72
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 6:39MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)70
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 6:55SACThompson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Evans 7 AST)70
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q3 - 7:08MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)68
10.6%
73
89.4%
Q3 - 7:25SACEvans 1' Layup (13 PTS)68
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 7:30MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)66
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 7:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q3 - 7:35SACMISS Cousins 1' Reverse Layup66
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)66
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 8:00SACCousins 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)66
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 8:28SACThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Evans 5 AST)64
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)61
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 8:57SACThomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 9:08SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot58
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 9:30SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)58
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 9:54MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q3 - 9:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 9:59SACMISS Evans 9' Jump Shot55
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)55
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 10:27SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 10:27SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 10:38SACKings Rebound53
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 10:39SACMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot53
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 10:58MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)53
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 11:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 11:07SACWade BLOCK (2 BLK)53
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 11:08SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 11:09SACWade BLOCK (1 BLK)53
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 11:16MIAWade 1' Layup (19 PTS)53
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q3 - 11:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 11:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot53
9.7%
58
90.3%
Q3 - 11:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q3 - 11:33SACMISS Cousins 21' Jump Shot53
9.2%
58
90.8%
Q3 - 11:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
10.1%
58
89.9%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 253
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 11:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 11:50MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
11.0%
57
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot53
10.6%
57
89.4%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)53
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q2 - 1:08MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
10.0%
55
90.0%
Q2 - 1:23SACThornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)50
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q2 - 1:39MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)47
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 1:54SACCousins Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)47
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)47
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q2 - 2:09SACJames BLOCK (2 BLK)47
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q2 - 2:09SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 2:10SACMISS Greene 2' Reverse Layup47
13.0%
49
87.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)47
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 2:27SACAnthony STEAL (1 STL)47
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 2:29SACGreene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 2:30SACJames BLOCK (1 BLK)47
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 2:36SACGreene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
17.4%
46
82.6%
Q2 - 2:50SACMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)47
18.8%
46
81.2%
Q2 - 3:25SACCousins 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Thornton 3 AST)47
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 3:38SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
20.8%
43
79.2%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
20.1%
43
79.9%
Q2 - 3:53SACGarcia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 3:53SACGarcia Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
18.3%
43
81.7%
Q2 - 4:02SACGreene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 4:03SACMISS Greene 19' Jump Shot43
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 243
16.9%
42
83.1%
Q2 - 4:35SACThomas 10' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 5:00SACGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 241
14.6%
42
85.4%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 5:13SACMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)41
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
14.8%
41
85.2%
Q2 - 5:37SACMISS Thornton 10' Jump Shot41
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 5:55MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)41
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 6:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
19.2%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 6:05SACMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 6:18MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
19.3%
38
80.8%
Q2 - 6:19SACMISS Greene 9' Floating Jump Shot41
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 6:30SACThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 6:30SACMISS Greene 20' Jump Shot41
19.9%
38
80.1%
Q2 - 6:49MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 7:05SACEvans 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)41
22.4%
36
77.6%
Q2 - 7:19SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot39
20.1%
36
79.9%
Q2 - 7:38SACThornton 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)39
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q2 - 7:42SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
17.4%
36
82.6%
Q2 - 7:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot37
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot37
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 8:08SACThornton 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)37
15.5%
36
84.5%
Q2 - 8:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 8:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 8:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
15.5%
34
84.5%
Q2 - 8:30SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
16.0%
34
84.0%
Q2 - 8:55MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)35
17.0%
34
83.0%
Q2 - 9:08SACThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)35
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 9:28MIABosh 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
19.7%
32
80.3%
Q2 - 9:47SACGarcia 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)35
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q2 - 9:51SACHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot32
17.7%
30
82.3%
Q2 - 10:13SACGarcia Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)32
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 10:18MIACole 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)32
18.2%
30
81.8%
Q2 - 10:27MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
19.6%
28
80.4%
Q2 - 10:28SACMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot32
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q2 - 10:56MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
21.4%
28
78.6%
Q2 - 11:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
22.7%
26
77.3%
Q2 - 11:05SACMISS Garcia 16' Jump Shot32
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q2 - 11:14MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)32
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q2 - 11:38SACEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
22.8%
26
77.2%
Q2 - 11:45SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot32
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
22.8%
26
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACEvans 40' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
22.8%
26
77.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)29
18.9%
26
81.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0SACThompson 2' Layup (10 PTS)29
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0SACThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)27
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0SACMISS Thompson 8' Jump Shot27
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIACole 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)25
16.2%
24
83.8%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 1:20SACMISS Garcia 19' Jump Shot25
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 1:37SACKings Rebound25
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 1:55SACEvans 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)25
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 2:14SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
16.0%
22
84.0%
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot23
15.6%
22
84.4%
Q1 - 2:28SACThornton 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)23
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q1 - 2:38SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 2:53SACThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 2:57SACGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup21
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 3:02MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.4%
22
87.6%
Q1 - 3:03SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q1 - 3:09MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)21
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 3:29SACThompson 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 3:30SACThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:31SACAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)19
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 3:44MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:58MIAHEAT Rebound19
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 4:00SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 219
12.5%
20
87.5%
Q1 - 4:00SACMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 219
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T2)19
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 4:13MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 4:14SACMISS Cousins 5' Hook Shot19
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
13.1%
20
86.9%
Q1 - 4:44SACKings Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)19
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 4:45SACKings Rebound19
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 4:47SACAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)19
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 4:50SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q1 - 4:51SACBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)19
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 5:13MIAJames 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 5:19SACWade STEAL (1 STL)19
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 5:36MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 5:48SACEvans 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)19
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 6:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18.1%
12
81.9%
Q1 - 6:18SACMISS Cousins 18' Jump Shot17
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 6:35MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)17
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:44SACThompson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)17
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 6:49SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot17
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 7:12SACThornton 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)17
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 7:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)15
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 7:30SACEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
18.7%
9
81.3%
Q1 - 7:30SACEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 7:30SACEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 7:31SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 7:49MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)13
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 8:05SACThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)13
19.5%
6
80.5%
Q1 - 8:13SACEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
17.1%
6
82.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS James 1' Layup10
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 8:36SACThompson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)10
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 8:43SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup8
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 8:50SACCousins 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:08MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
13.1%
6
86.9%
Q1 - 9:28SACThompson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)6
13.9%
4
86.1%
Q1 - 9:31SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 9:32SACMISS Cousins 1' Dunk4
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 9:37SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 9:43SACChalmers STEAL (1 STL)4
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 9:46SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:14SACThomas 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)4
12.1%
4
87.9%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 10:46SACMISS Evans 1' Driving Layup2
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 10:51SACEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:05SACMISS Thomas 22' Jump Shot2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 11:24MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:41SACThompson 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 11:42SACThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 11:43SACMISS Evans 21' Jump Shot0
12.1%
0
87.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Thompson: Tip to Evans0
12.6%
0
87.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
21
35
60%
MIA
20
29
69%
Midrange
SAC
6
27
22%
MIA
15
29
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
SAC
15
19
79%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Thomas2475%12.0 / 16
M. Thornton2368%11.5 / 17
T. Evans2155%10.5 / 19
J. Thompson1657%8.0 / 14
F. Garcia1155%5.5 / 10
D. Cousins930%4.5 / 15
C. Hayes2100%1.0 / 1
D. Greene217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3075%15.0 / 20
C. Bosh2059%10.0 / 17
M. Chalmers2071%10.0 / 14
L. James1875%9.0 / 12
N. Cole1275%6.0 / 8
U. Haslem1071%5.0 / 7
M. Miller867%4.0 / 6
S. Battier220%1.0 / 5
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
D. Pittman0-0.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
81
+18
-15
99
MIA
84
+10
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
106.6
SAC 112.5
MIA 125.0 +12.5
Pace
94.4
91.3
SAC 92.2
MIA 100.1 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.8
SAC 15.6
MIA 14.4 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
50.5%
SAC 52.2%
MIA 61.7% +9.5%
TO %
14.6%
15.9%
SAC 14.1%
MIA 12.5% +1.6%
ORB %
29.1%
26.6%
SAC 32.6% +6.9%
MIA 25.7%
FTrt
26.8
30.7
SAC 21.3
MIA 28.4 +7.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.0%
53.8%
SAC 60.0%
MIA 62.2% +2.2%
STL %
8.9%
9.6%
SAC 5.2%
MIA 8.3% +3.1%
BLK %
7.4%
9.0%
SAC 8.6%
MIA 14.5% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.8%
53.5%
SAC 54.5%
MIA 62.5% +8.0%
Rim FG%
56.2%
61.1%
SAC 60.0%
MIA 69.0% +9.0%
Mid FG%
35.8%
40.0%
SAC 22.2%
MIA 51.7% +29.5%
3P %
31.6%
35.9%
SAC 48.1% +4.6%
MIA 43.5%
FT %
73.6%
77.5%
SAC 78.9%
MIA 87.0% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.9%
36.7%
SAC 39.3% +3.5%
MIA 35.8%
Mid Att. %
34.3%
43.6%
SAC 30.3% +5.5%
MIA 35.8%
3P Att. %
22.8%
19.8%
SAC 30.3% +1.9%
MIA 28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points108120
Rebounds4140
Assists2428
Steals58
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals40-8945-81
At-the-Rim FG21-3520-29
Midrange FG6-2715-29
2-Point FG27-6235-58
3-Point FG13-2710-23
Free Throws15-1920-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'4" 205 · 25
42.3
23
68%
3
3
3
1
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
5-6
83%
4-10
40%
G · 6'6" 220 · 22
42.0
21
55%
7
10
1
0
3
3
1
6
2-2
100%
8-16
50%
1-2
50%
G · 5'9" 185 · 23
36.0
24
75%
3
5
0
0
2
4
1
2
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
5-8
63%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
33.1
16
57%
10
1
0
0
2
1
4
6
2-4
50%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 22
30.8
9
30%
7
1
1
1
3
4
4
3
3-4
75%
3-13
23%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30
22.2
11
55%
3
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
3-6
50%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29
15.7
2
100%
2
2
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 226 · 24
14.8
2
17%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 23
1.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 188 · 22
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23
G · 6'2" 195 · 23
F · 6'9" 207 · 27
#5 · F · 6'6" 210 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
55%
41
24
5
5
15
0
15
26
15-19
79%
27-62
44%
13-27
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.