Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 20, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	13	Grizzlies	49%	96	93
	15	Rockets	51%	97	97

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	108.1	86	84.4
HOU	111.5	87	88.7

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-13

HOU

+12

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.8%

HOU

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	HOU
Q4 - 0:00.0	HOU		93 0%	97 100%
Q4 - 0:02.0	MEM	MISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	93 0.2%	97 99.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	93 0.5%	97 99.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	93 0.6%	96 99.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0	MEM	Pondexter 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)	93 4.4%	95 95.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0	MEM	Pondexter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	91 1.8%	95 98.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0	MEM	MISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	91 0.9%	95 99.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0	HOU	Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	91 3.7%	95 96.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0	HOU	Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	91 4.2%	94 95.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0	MEM	Gay Driving Layup (23 PTS)	91 7.4%	93 92.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0	HOU	Lee Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	89 4.6%	93 95.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0	HOU	Lee Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	89 5.2%	92 94.8%
Q4 - 0:27.0	MEM	Mayo 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	89 10.6%	91 89.4%
Q4 - 0:32.0	MEM	Mayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	87 5.7%	91 94.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0	HOU	MISS Patterson 20' Jump Shot	87 4.3%	91 95.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	87 4.7%	91 95.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	86 4.1%	91 95.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	85 2.6%	91 97.4%
Q4 - 0:52.0	MEM	MISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	85 1.6%	91 98.4%
Q4 - 1:09	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	85 3.7%	91 96.3%
Q4 - 1:10	HOU	MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	85 3.1%	91 96.9%
Q4 - 1:31	HOU	Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	85 3.1%	91 96.9%
Q4 - 1:32	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2	85 3.4%	91 96.6%
Q4 - 1:32	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	85 4.7%	91 95.3%
Q4 - 1:36	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	84 3.5%	91 96.5%
Q4 - 1:38	HOU	MISS Parsons 2' Layup	84 3.1%	91 96.9%
Q4 - 2:01	MEM	Martin STEAL (1 STL)	84 2.3%	91 97.7%
Q4 - 2:20	HOU	Patterson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)	84 4.4%	91 95.6%
Q4 - 2:46	MEM	Gay 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)	84 5.7%	89 94.3%
Q4 - 2:54	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	82 5.7%	89 94.3%
Q4 - 2:55	HOU	MISS Parsons Layup	82 4.8%	89 95.2%
Q4 - 3:13	MEM	Lowry STEAL (4 STL)	82 3.2%	89 96.8%
Q4 - 3:28	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	82 5.5%	89 94.5%
Q4 - 3:30	HOU	MISS Martin Layup	82 4.6%	89 95.4%
Q4 - 3:48	MEM	Gasol Foul Turnover (P2.T11)	82 5.8%	89 94.2%
Q4 - 3:56	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	82 8.3%	89 91.7%
Q4 - 3:57	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	82 5.7%	89 94.3%
Q4 - 3:57	HOU	MISS Lowry 2' Tip Shot	82 7.4%	89 92.6%
Q4 - 3:58	HOU	MISS Patterson 8' Jump Shot	82 7.4%	89 92.6%
Q4 - 4:20	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	82 5.5%	89 94.5%
Q4 - 4:22	MEM	MISS Allen 1' Layup	82 6.2%	89 93.8%
Q4 - 4:27	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	82 8.1%	89 91.9%
Q4 - 4:29	HOU	MISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot	82 7.1%	89 92.9%
Q4 - 4:46	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	82 5.4%	89 94.6%
Q4 - 4:47	MEM	MISS Allen 22' Jump Shot	82 6.1%	89 93.9%
Q4 - 5:00	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)	82 7.9%	89 92.1%
Q4 - 5:21	MEM	Allen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)	82 18.7%	86 81.3%
Q4 - 5:25	MEM	Mayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 14.3%	86 85.7%
Q4 - 5:26	HOU	MISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	80 13.0%	86 87.0%
Q4 - 5:44	MEM	Allen Layup (8 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)	80 10.4%	86 89.6%
Q4 - 5:50	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	78 7.8%	86 92.2%
Q4 - 5:52	HOU	MISS Lee Layup	78 7.0%	86 93.0%
Q4 - 6:09	MEM	Conley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	78 7.5%	86 92.5%
Q4 - 6:26	HOU	ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)	78 10.0%	86 90.0%
Q4 - 6:26	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	78 7.4%	86 92.6%
Q4 - 6:26	HOU	MISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot	78 9.1%	86 90.9%
Q4 - 6:51	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	78 7.4%	86 92.6%
Q4 - 6:52	MEM	MISS Gay 10' Jump Shot	78 8.1%	86 91.9%
Q4 - 7:13	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	78 11.9%	86 88.1%
Q4 - 7:14	MEM	MISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot	78 9.8%	86 90.2%
Q4 - 7:36	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 11.8%	86 88.2%
Q4 - 7:37	HOU	MISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 10.8%	86 89.2%
Q4 - 7:41	HOU	Dragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	78 9.0%	86 91.0%
Q4 - 7:43	HOU	MISS Dragic 5' Jump Shot	78 10.8%	86 89.2%
Q4 - 8:02	MEM	Allen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	78 10.9%	86 89.1%
Q4 - 8:06	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	78 13.6%	86 86.4%
Q4 - 8:08	MEM	Lee BLOCK (1 BLK)	78 11.7%	86 88.3%
Q4 - 8:09	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	78 13.6%	86 86.4%
Q4 - 8:12	MEM	Parsons BLOCK (1 BLK)	78 11.6%	86 88.4%
Q4 - 8:21	MEM	Mayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 13.5%	86 86.5%
Q4 - 8:23	HOU	MISS Lowry 13' Jump Shot	78 12.6%	86 87.4%
Q4 - 8:36	MEM	Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	78 10.8%	86 89.2%
Q4 - 8:36	MEM	Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	77 10.3%	86 89.7%
Q4 - 8:39	HOU	Dragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)	76 8.5%	86 91.5%
Q4 - 8:56	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	76 6.7%	86 93.3%
Q4 - 8:58	MEM	MISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot	76 7.2%	86 92.8%
Q4 - 9:19	HOU	Lee 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)	76 9.9%	86 90.1%
Q4 - 9:38	HOU	Lee Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	76 15.1%	83 84.9%
Q4 - 9:38	HOU	Lee Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	76 15.6%	82 84.4%
Q4 - 9:39	MEM	Lee STEAL (1 STL)	76 22.3%	81 77.7%
Q4 - 9:50	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	76 26.5%	81 73.5%
Q4 - 9:51	HOU	MISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot	76 25.2%	81 74.8%
Q4 - 10:13	HOU	Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	76 23.4%	81 76.6%
Q4 - 10:14	MEM	MISS Mayo 12' Jump Shot	76 24.6%	81 75.4%
Q4 - 10:37	HOU	Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)	76 27.6%	81 72.4%
Q4 - 10:59	HOU	Lee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	76 37.5%	78 62.5%
Q4 - 11:00	MEM	MISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot	76 39.1%	78 60.9%
Q4 - 11:10	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	76 43.1%	78 56.9%
Q4 - 11:11	HOU	MISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot	76 41.5%	78 58.5%
Q4 - 11:27	HOU	Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	76 38.0%	78 62.0%
Q4 - 11:28	MEM	MISS Conley 5' Running Jump Shot	76 39.6%	78 60.4%
Q4 - 11:47	HOU	Patterson 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)	76 43.1%	78 56.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU		76 48.5%	76 51.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	76 48.5%	76 51.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU	MISS Lee 3PT Jump Shot	76 52.2%	76 47.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	76 48.5%	76 51.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0	HOU	MISS Lowry 1' Layup	76 52.0%	76 48.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	76 48.8%	76 51.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0	MEM	MISS Speights 20' Jump Shot	76 50.2%	76 49.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	76 53.5%	76 46.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	76 54.3%	75 45.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0	MEM	Lowry STEAL (3 STL)	76 58.9%	74 41.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	76 63.4%	74 36.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0	HOU	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	76 64.1%	73 35.9%
Q3 - 1:06	MEM	Cunningham Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	76 67.5%	72 32.5%
Q3 - 1:06	MEM	Cunningham Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	75 66.3%	72 33.7%
Q3 - 1:06	HOU	Dragic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)	74 62.8%	72 37.2%
Q3 - 1:16	HOU	Dragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	74 58.4%	72 41.6%
Q3 - 1:17	HOU	MISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot	74 61.5%	72 38.5%
Q3 - 1:34	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	74 58.4%	72 41.6%
Q3 - 1:35	MEM	MISS Mayo Free Throw 2 of 2	74 59.0%	72 41.0%
Q3 - 1:35	MEM	MISS Mayo Free Throw 1 of 2	74 62.2%	72 37.8%
Q3 - 1:58	HOU	Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)	74 62.8%	72 37.2%
Q3 - 2:21	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	74 70.4%	69 29.6%
Q3 - 2:21	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	73 69.5%	69 30.5%
Q3 - 2:39	MEM	Mayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	72 66.4%	69 33.6%
Q3 - 2:40	HOU	MISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot	72 65.1%	69 34.9%
Q3 - 3:07	MEM	Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)	72 61.6%	69 38.4%
Q3 - 3:26	HOU	Martin 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)	69 53.1%	69 46.9%
Q3 - 3:40	MEM	Conley 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)	69 57.3%	67 42.7%
Q3 - 3:57	HOU	Martin Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)	67 53.1%	67 46.9%
Q3 - 4:19	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	67 48.1%	67 51.9%
Q3 - 4:19	MEM	MISS Gay 20' Jump Shot	67 49.6%	67 50.4%
Q3 - 4:43	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	67 53.2%	67 46.8%
Q3 - 4:43	HOU	MISS Lowry 23' Jump Shot	67 51.6%	67 48.4%
Q3 - 4:57	MEM	Gay Layup (17 PTS)	67 48.1%	67 51.9%
Q3 - 5:03	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	65 44.3%	67 55.7%
Q3 - 5:04	HOU	MISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot	65 43.0%	67 57.0%
Q3 - 5:28	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	65 39.8%	67 60.2%
Q3 - 5:28	MEM	MISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65 41.2%	67 58.8%
Q3 - 5:46	MEM	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	65 44.4%	67 55.6%
Q3 - 5:48	HOU	MISS Martin 12' Jump Shot	65 43.0%	67 57.0%
Q3 - 6:08	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	65 40.3%	67 59.7%
Q3 - 6:08	MEM	Allen Putback Layup (6 PTS)	65 40.3%	67 59.7%
Q3 - 6:10	MEM	MISS Gay 17' Jump Shot	63 34.0%	67 66.0%
Q3 - 6:28	HOU	Martin 1' Dunk (20 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)	63 36.8%	67 63.2%
Q3 - 6:30	HOU	Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	63 40.3%	65 59.7%
Q3 - 6:32	MEM	MISS Conley 4' Jump Shot	63 41.5%	65 58.5%
Q3 - 6:44	HOU	Lowry Driving Layup (9 PTS)	63 44.5%	65 55.5%
Q3 - 7:01	MEM	Conley Layup (11 PTS)	63 47.9%	63 52.1%
Q3 - 7:05	HOU	Lowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)	61 44.3%	63 55.7%
Q3 - 7:20	MEM	Gasol Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	61 40.3%	63 59.7%
Q3 - 7:37	MEM	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	61 44.3%	63 55.7%
Q3 - 7:38	HOU	MISS Patterson 14' Jump Shot	61 43.1%	63 56.9%
Q3 - 7:51	MEM	Gay Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	61 40.3%	63 59.7%
Q3 - 7:51	MEM	Gay Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	60 39.6%	63 60.4%
Q3 - 8:10	HOU	Parsons 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)	59 37.2%	63 62.8%
Q3 - 8:25	MEM	Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	59 40.5%	61 59.5%
Q3 - 8:43	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56 33.7%	61 66.3%
Q3 - 8:44	HOU	MISS Scola 7' Jump Shot	56 32.6%	61 67.4%
Q3 - 9:04	MEM	Lowry STEAL (2 STL)	56 30.6%	61 69.4%
Q3 - 9:16	HOU	Scola Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	56 33.9%	61 66.1%
Q3 - 9:27	MEM	Gasol 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)	56 30.6%	61 69.4%
Q3 - 9:41	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	54 27.7%	61 72.3%
Q3 - 9:43	HOU	MISS Martin 23' Jump Shot	54 26.8%	61 73.2%
Q3 - 10:05	MEM	Parsons STEAL (1 STL)	54 25.4%	61 74.6%
Q3 - 10:22	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	54 28.4%	61 71.6%
Q3 - 10:22	HOU	MISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 2	54 28.0%	61 72.0%
Q3 - 10:22	HOU	Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	54 26.1%	61 73.9%
Q3 - 10:27	HOU	Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 28.2%	60 71.8%
Q3 - 10:29	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	54 31.3%	60 68.7%
Q3 - 10:29	MEM	MISS Allen 4' Jump Shot	54 29.1%	60 70.9%
Q3 - 10:32	MEM	Scola BLOCK (1 BLK)	54 29.1%	60 70.9%
Q3 - 10:49	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	54 31.3%	60 68.7%
Q3 - 10:50	HOU	MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 30.3%	60 69.7%
Q3 - 11:05	HOU	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	54 29.0%	60 71.0%
Q3 - 11:06	MEM	MISS Gay Layup	54 29.9%	60 70.1%
Q3 - 11:19	HOU	Parsons Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)	54 32.1%	60 67.9%
Q3 - 11:43	HOU	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	54 34.9%	58 65.1%
Q3 - 11:45	MEM	MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot	54 35.9%	58 64.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM		54 38.3%	58 61.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	HOU	Martin 5' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)	54 38.3%	58 61.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0	HOU	Martin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	54 42.4%	56 57.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0	HOU	MISS Martin 9' Jump Shot	54 44.0%	56 56.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0	MEM	MISS Speights 17' Jump Shot	54 43.1%	56 56.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	54 42.3%	56 57.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0	MEM	MISS Conley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	54 43.1%	56 56.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0	HOU	ROCKETS Rebound	54 42.3%	56 57.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0	HOU	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	54 44.8%	56 55.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0	HOU	MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 2	54 45.2%	55 54.8%
Q2 - 1:12	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	54 45.8%	55 54.2%
Q2 - 1:13	MEM	MISS Gasol 13' Jump Shot	54 46.5%	55 53.5%
Q2 - 1:36	HOU	Scola 1' Layup (10 PTS)	54 48.0%	55 52.0%
Q2 - 1:45	HOU	Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 52.3%	53 47.7%
Q2 - 1:47	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot	54 52.9%	53 47.1%
Q2 - 2:02	HOU	Martin 10' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)	54 54.8%	53 45.2%
Q2 - 2:22	MEM	Mayo Driving Layup (4 PTS)	54 57.9%	51 42.1%
Q2 - 2:38	HOU	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	52 54.8%	51 45.2%
Q2 - 2:38	HOU	Dalembert Putback Slam Dunk (8 PTS)	52 54.8%	51 45.2%
Q2 - 2:39	HOU	MISS Parsons 9' Jump Shot	52 60.0%	49 40.0%
Q2 - 2:57	MEM	Speights Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)	52 57.9%	49 42.1%
Q2 - 3:19	HOU	Scola Layup (8 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)	50 55.0%	49 45.0%
Q2 - 3:23	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	50 57.5%	47 42.5%
Q2 - 3:25	MEM	MISS Gay Layup	50 58.6%	47 41.4%
Q2 - 3:47	HOU	Martin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	50 61.0%	47 39.0%
Q2 - 3:47	HOU	Martin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	50 61.3%	46 38.7%
Q2 - 4:00	MEM	Gay Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	50 63.4%	45 36.6%
Q2 - 4:23	HOU	Dalembert 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)	47 57.5%	45 42.5%
Q2 - 4:35	MEM	Speights 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)	47 60.2%	43 39.8%
Q2 - 4:50	HOU	ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	45 57.6%	43 42.4%
Q2 - 5:23	MEM	Cunningham 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)	45 54.6%	43 45.4%
Q2 - 5:27	MEM	MISS Gay 17' Jump Shot	43 49.7%	43 50.3%
Q2 - 5:46	HOU	Jump Ball Dragic vs. Conley: Tip to Conley	43 51.6%	43 48.4%
Q2 - 5:52	MEM	Gay 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	43 48.8%	43 51.2%
Q2 - 6:20	HOU	Scola 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)	41 46.1%	43 53.9%
Q2 - 6:31	MEM	Conley Driving Layup (6 PTS)	41 48.5%	41 51.5%
Q2 - 6:47	HOU	Scola 10' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)	39 46.1%	41 53.9%
Q2 - 7:12	MEM	Speights Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)	39 48.6%	39 51.4%
Q2 - 7:32	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	37 46.2%	39 53.8%
Q2 - 7:33	HOU	MISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	37 45.2%	39 54.8%
Q2 - 7:46	MEM	Gay 1' Layup (8 PTS)	37 43.2%	39 56.8%
Q2 - 7:48	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	35 40.8%	39 59.2%
Q2 - 7:50	MEM	MISS Mayo 1' Layup	35 38.8%	39 61.2%
Q2 - 7:59	HOU	Dragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	35 40.8%	39 59.2%
Q2 - 8:08	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	35 43.5%	37 56.5%
Q2 - 8:09	MEM	MISS Gay 19' Jump Shot	35 44.3%	37 55.7%
Q2 - 8:21	HOU	Dragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	35 46.2%	37 53.8%
Q2 - 8:21	HOU	Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	35 46.9%	36 53.1%
Q2 - 8:35	MEM	Pondexter 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	35 48.7%	35 51.3%
Q2 - 8:56	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	33 46.2%	35 53.8%
Q2 - 8:57	HOU	MISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	33 45.4%	35 54.6%
Q2 - 9:14	HOU	Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	33 43.5%	35 56.5%
Q2 - 9:15	HOU	MISS Patterson 18' Jump Shot	33 45.4%	35 54.6%
Q2 - 9:35	MEM	Pondexter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	33 43.5%	35 56.5%
Q2 - 9:35	MEM	Pondexter Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	32 42.7%	35 57.3%
Q2 - 9:58	HOU	Patterson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)	31 41.1%	35 58.9%
Q2 - 10:18	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	31 43.4%	33 56.6%
Q2 - 10:19	MEM	MISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot	31 44.2%	33 55.8%
Q2 - 10:37	HOU	Patterson Putback Layup (2 PTS)	31 46.2%	33 53.8%
Q2 - 10:38	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	31 48.4%	31 51.6%
Q2 - 10:38	HOU	MISS Dragic Layup	31 50.3%	31 49.7%
Q2 - 10:41	MEM	Dragic STEAL (2 STL)	31 48.4%	31 51.6%
Q2 - 10:51	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 51.2%	31 48.8%
Q2 - 10:52	HOU	MISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 2	31 50.8%	31 49.2%
Q2 - 10:52	HOU	MISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2	31 49.3%	31 50.7%
Q2 - 11:08	MEM	Pondexter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)	31 48.3%	31 51.7%
Q2 - 11:18	MEM	Cunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 43.6%	31 56.4%
Q2 - 11:20	HOU	MISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot	28 42.8%	31 57.2%
Q2 - 11:43	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 41.0%	31 59.0%
Q2 - 11:44	MEM	MISS Mayo 2' Layup	28 41.8%	31 58.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	HOU		28 43.6%	31 56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM	Gasol 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)	28 41.0%	31 59.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	26 38.7%	31 61.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0	HOU	MISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 1	26 38.4%	31 61.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0	MEM	Cunningham 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)	26 41.5%	29 58.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0	HOU	Dragic Layup (2 PTS)	24 38.7%	29 61.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0	MEM	Dragic STEAL (1 STL)	24 41.4%	27 58.6%
Q1 - 1:03	HOU	Lowry 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)	24 43.5%	27 56.5%
Q1 - 1:08	HOU	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	24 46.4%	25 53.6%
Q1 - 1:12	MEM	MISS Conley 1' Layup	24 46.9%	25 53.1%
Q1 - 1:31	HOU	Lowry 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)	24 48.1%	25 51.9%
Q1 - 1:44	MEM	Speights 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)	24 51.1%	23 48.9%
Q1 - 1:54	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	22 48.1%	23 51.9%
Q1 - 1:55	MEM	MISS Gay 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	22 46.9%	23 53.1%
Q1 - 2:21	HOU	Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	22 48.5%	23 51.5%
Q1 - 2:29	HOU	Patterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 53.2%	20 46.8%
Q1 - 2:30	MEM	MISS Gay 20' Jump Shot	22 53.8%	20 46.2%
Q1 - 2:52	HOU	Dalembert Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)	22 55.3%	20 44.7%
Q1 - 3:02	MEM	Mayo 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	22 53.1%	20 46.9%
Q1 - 3:23	HOU	Martin 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)	20 50.9%	20 49.1%
Q1 - 3:45	MEM	Gay 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	20 53.1%	18 46.9%
Q1 - 3:55	MEM	Speights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 50.9%	18 49.1%
Q1 - 3:57	HOU	MISS Scola 19' Jump Shot	18 50.2%	18 49.8%
Q1 - 4:18	HOU	Parsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 48.4%	18 51.6%
Q1 - 4:19	MEM	MISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot	18 49.1%	18 50.9%
Q1 - 4:36	HOU	Parsons 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)	18 50.8%	18 49.2%
Q1 - 4:48	HOU	Martin Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)	18 55.0%	15 45.0%
Q1 - 4:58	MEM	Gasol 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)	18 57.2%	14 42.8%
Q1 - 5:10	HOU	Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)	16 54.7%	14 45.3%
Q1 - 5:15	MEM	Lowry STEAL (1 STL)	16 58.6%	11 41.4%
Q1 - 5:17	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 60.9%	11 39.1%
Q1 - 5:18	MEM	MISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot	16 59.3%	11 40.7%
Q1 - 5:33	HOU	Parsons Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	16 60.9%	11 39.1%
Q1 - 5:54	MEM	Speights 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	16 58.7%	11 41.3%
Q1 - 6:19	HOU	Scola 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)	14 56.4%	11 43.6%
Q1 - 6:37	MEM	Allen Layup (4 PTS)	14 58.3%	9 41.7%
Q1 - 6:40	HOU	Lowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)	12 56.4%	9 43.6%
Q1 - 6:49	MEM	Conley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 54.3%	9 45.7%
Q1 - 7:07	HOU	Dalembert Layup (4 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)	10 52.3%	9 47.7%
Q1 - 7:19	MEM	Conley Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)	10 54.0%	7 46.0%
Q1 - 7:29	HOU	Dalembert 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	8 52.3%	7 47.7%
Q1 - 8:01	MEM	Speights Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	8 54.2%	5 45.8%
Q1 - 8:21	HOU	Parsons Layup (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)	6 52.2%	5 47.8%
Q1 - 8:42	MEM	Gay 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	6 54.2%	3 45.8%
Q1 - 9:01	HOU	ROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	4 52.4%	3 47.6%
Q1 - 9:02	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	4 50.5%	3 49.5%
Q1 - 9:03	HOU	MISS Lowry 14' Jump Shot	4 51.8%	3 48.2%
Q1 - 9:29	MEM	Gay 1' Layup (2 PTS)	4 50.5%	3 49.5%
Q1 - 9:34	HOU	Lowry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)	2 48.6%	3 51.4%
Q1 - 9:44	HOU	Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 46.8%	3 53.2%
Q1 - 9:46	MEM	MISS Gasol 9' Jump Shot	2 47.3%	3 52.7%
Q1 - 9:58	MEM	MISS Allen Free Throw Technical	2 48.6%	3 51.4%
Q1 - 10:16	HOU	Martin 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)	2 48.8%	3 51.2%
Q1 - 10:31	HOU	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2 52.1%	0 47.9%
Q1 - 10:32	MEM	MISS Conley 14' Jump Shot	2 52.7%	0 47.3%
Q1 - 10:42	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 54.1%	0 45.9%
Q1 - 10:44	HOU	MISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 53.5%	0 46.5%
Q1 - 10:53	HOU	Dalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 52.1%	0 47.9%
Q1 - 10:54	MEM	MISS Allen 15' Jump Shot	2 52.7%	0 47.3%
Q1 - 10:56	MEM	Conley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 54.1%	0 45.9%
Q1 - 11:05	HOU	MISS Lowry 2' Tip Shot	2 53.0%	0 47.0%
Q1 - 11:05	HOU	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 52.0%	0 48.0%
Q1 - 11:07	HOU	MISS Parsons 13' Running Jump Shot	2 53.0%	0 47.0%
Q1 - 11:25	MEM	Allen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	2 52.0%	0 48.0%
Q1 - 11:33	MEM	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 50.2%	0 49.8%
Q1 - 11:34	MEM	MISS Gay 15' Jump Shot	0 49.1%	0 50.9%
Q1 - 11:50	HOU	Lowry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	0 50.2%	0 49.8%
Q1 - 12:00	HOU	Jump Ball Dalembert vs. Gasol: Tip to Scola	0 48.6%	0 51.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.8%

HOU

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

66%

HOU

65%

Midrange

MEM

39%

HOU

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

4.5

23%

35%

HOU

10.5

32%

48%

Free Throws

MEM

78%

HOU

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gay	23	50%	11.5 / 23
M. Conley	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Speights	12	75%	6.0 / 8
M. Gasol	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Allen	10	45%	5.0 / 11
Q. Pondexter	9	113%	4.5 / 4
O. Mayo	6	23%	3.0 / 13
D. Cunningham	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	24	60%	12.0 / 20
K. Martin	22	73%	11.0 / 15
L. Scola	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Parsons	9	41%	4.5 / 11
S. Dalembert	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Lee	9	56%	4.5 / 8
P. Patterson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
G. Dragic	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-13

HOU

+12

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.06 52.8%

HOU

1.08 53.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	104.1 105.3	MEM 108.1 HOU 111.5 +3.4
Pace	90.7 92.0	MEM 84.4 HOU 88.7 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 15.6	MEM 17.1 HOU 16.2 +0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.3% 49.2%	MEM 50.0% HOU 52.0% +2.0%
TO %	15.3% 14.8%	MEM 13.0% +1.1% HOU 14.1%
ORB %	29.9% 27.5%	MEM 27.8% +1.5% HOU 26.3%
FTrt	27.7 23.5	MEM 22.8 HOU 33.8 +11.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	53.2% 56.4%	MEM 44.7% HOU 60.0% +15.3%
STL %	10.5% 8.1%	MEM 7.0% HOU 10.3% +3.3%
BLK %	8.8% 7.4%	MEM 5.8% +1.3% HOU 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.1% 51.4%	MEM 52.8% HOU 53.9% +1.1%
Rim FG%	57.1% 57.8%	MEM 65.7% +0.3% HOU 65.4%
Mid FG%	38.9% 39.6%	MEM 38.7% HOU 42.3% +3.6%
3P %	32.6% 35.9%	MEM 23.1% HOU 31.8% +8.7%
FT %	75.9% 78.2%	MEM 77.8% HOU 80.0% +2.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	37.4% 33.9%	MEM 44.3% +9.2% HOU 35.1%
Mid Att. %	47.0% 42.1%	MEM 39.2% HOU 35.1% +4.1%
3P Att. %	15.7% 24.0%	MEM 16.5% HOU 29.7% +13.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	HOU
Possessions	86	87
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	93	97
Rebounds	38	36
Assists	17	21
Steals	6	9
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	26 (5)
Field Goals	38-79	35-74
At-the-Rim FG	23-35	17-26
Midrange FG	12-31	11-26
2-Point FG	35-66	28-52
3-Point FG	3-13	7-22
Free Throws	14-18	20-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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13 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 26	40.9	23	50%	7	3	1	1	2	2	2	5	5-5	100%	9-20	45%	0-2	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 24	40.2	16	62%	3	3	2	1	4	5	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 27	38.2	11	50%	7	5	0	1	2	5	2	5	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Marreese Speights F · 6'10" 255 · 25	30.1	12	75%	7	0	0	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 30	24.6	10	45%	5	2	2	0	2	4	4	1	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 24	31.6	6	23%	4	3	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-6	0%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 25	15.6	6	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 24	9.9	9	113%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jeremy Pargo G · 6'2" 219 · 26	8.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 27
Sam Young F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh Selby #2 · G · 6'2" 183 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zach Randolph #50 · F · 6'9" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	53%	38	17	6	3	13	0	10	28	14-18	78%	35-66	53%	3-13	23%

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13 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 26	40.9	23	50%	7	3	1	1	2	2	2	5	5-5	100%	9-20	45%	0-2	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'0" 175 · 24	40.2	16	62%	3	3	2	1	4	5	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-4	50%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 27	38.2	11	50%	7	5	0	1	2	5	2	5	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Marreese Speights F · 6'10" 255 · 25	30.1	12	75%	7	0	0	0	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 30	24.6	10	45%	5	2	2	0	2	4	4	1	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 24	31.6	6	23%	4	3	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	0-6	0%
Dante Cunningham F · 6'8" 230 · 25	15.6	6	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 24	9.9	9	113%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jeremy Pargo G · 6'2" 219 · 26	8.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 27
Sam Young F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh Selby #2 · G · 6'2" 183 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Zach Randolph #50 · F · 6'9" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	53%	38	17	6	3	13	0	10	28	14-18	78%	35-66	53%	3-13	23%

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15 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 26	47.0	24	60%	7	9	4	0	4	3	3	4	7-7	100%	4-10	40%	3-7	43%
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 23	37.5	9	41%	7	3	1	1	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-4	25%
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 29	34.3	22	73%	1	3	1	0	1	1	1	0	4-6	67%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 32	20.8	10	71%	2	2	0	1	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 32	19.8	9	90%	6	0	0	0	1	4	1	5	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 23	30.2	8	40%	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	7	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 26	24.0	9	56%	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	6-6	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 26	14.8	6	38%	3	2	2	0	3	1	3	0	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 21	11.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chase Budinger F · 6'7" 209 · 24
Marcus Morris F · 6'9" 235 · 22
Terrence Williams G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25
Jonny Flynn G · 6'0" 185 · 23
Hasheem Thabeet #32 · C · 7'3" 263 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jordan Hill #27 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	54%	36	21	9	3	11	0	10	26	20-25	80%	28-52	54%	7-22	32%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE