for complete access.
All Games Sunday, February 19, 2012
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Magic
33%93
78
1
Heat
67%99
90
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
88.68882.0
MIA logo MIA
101.18996.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA78
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLWafer 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)78
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLWafer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Wafer 2' Driving Layup76
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Pittman 10' Hook Shot76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)76
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Pittman 7' Turnaround Hook Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23ORLWafer 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53ORLRichardson 8' Turnaround Bank Shot (7 PTS)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Pittman 10' Turnaround Jump Shot69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)69
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 268
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35ORLClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMISS Wafer 21' Jump Shot68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAJames Running Dunk (25 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLHaslem STEAL (2 STL)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAJames 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot66
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 266
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 4:37MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)66
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 4:48ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 5:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)66
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 5:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 5:27ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 266
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 5:27ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)65
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot65
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 6:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 6:03ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 265
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 6:03ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 6:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)64
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Rebound64
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 6:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)64
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot64
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 7:03ORLDavis 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 7:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)62
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot62
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 7:37ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 7:37ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 7:37ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 7:38ORLMISS Wafer 6' Running Jump Shot60
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)60
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 8:13MIAHEAT Rebound60
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 8:14ORLMISS Wafer 2' Driving Layup60
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 8:31ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Battier 9' Floating Jump Shot60
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:54ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot60
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 9:16MIACole 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 8 AST)60
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 9:33ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q4 - 9:33ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 9:57MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)58
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q4 - 10:11ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 10:11ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 10:25ORLMISS Wafer Free Throw Technical56
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)56
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 10:45ORLWafer 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)56
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMiller 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)54
0.9%
74
99.1%
Q4 - 11:22ORLDuhon Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)54
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q4 - 11:44MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)54
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL54
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)54
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0ORLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)54
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)54
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 1:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q3 - 1:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)54
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 1:17ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 1:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 1:44ORLDavis 2' Layup (4 PTS)54
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q3 - 1:47MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)52
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 1:52ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 2:11MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)50
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 2:23ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 2:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)50
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 2:48MIAMISS James 10' Floating Jump Shot50
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 2:59MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Redick: Tip to James50
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 3:18MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)50
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 3:26ORLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)50
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 3:31ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 3:32ORLMISS Richardson 16' Jump Shot50
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 3:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot50
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q3 - 4:16ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)50
6.9%
61
93.1%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)47
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 4:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 4:45ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot47
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 4:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup47
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIAJames 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)47
7.4%
59
92.6%
Q3 - 5:39ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)47
8.5%
57
91.5%
Q3 - 5:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 5:56MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q3 - 5:57ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)44
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q3 - 6:42ORLAnderson 2' Driving Dunk (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)44
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q3 - 6:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Anthony 9' Jump Shot42
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 7:09ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)42
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q3 - 7:34MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (25 PTS)39
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup39
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 7:44ORLJames STEAL (2 STL)39
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 1' Layup (23 PTS) (James 5 AST)39
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
8.3%
50
91.7%
Q3 - 8:25ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 239
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q3 - 8:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q3 - 8:26ORLWade BLOCK (3 BLK)38
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q3 - 8:43MIABosh 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)38
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup38
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q3 - 8:53ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)38
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q3 - 9:01ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade 7' Floating Jump Shot38
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q3 - 9:24ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)38
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)35
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q3 - 10:14ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q3 - 10:35MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)33
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q3 - 10:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)33
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q3 - 10:56ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 133
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q3 - 11:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 231
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q3 - 11:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)31
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q3 - 11:20ORLWade STEAL (2 STL)31
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q3 - 11:32MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)31
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)31
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q3 - 11:38ORLMISS Turkoglu 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup31
8.4%
43
91.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA31
9.2%
43
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot31
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot31
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)31
9.5%
43
90.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0ORLWade STEAL (1 STL)31
11.1%
41
88.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
12.1%
41
87.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)31
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 1:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper29
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 1:51MIAHEAT Rebound29
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 1:52ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 1:56ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
13.7%
38
86.3%
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot29
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 2:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 2:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
15.8%
36
84.2%
Q2 - 2:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 129
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 2:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 3:04ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 3:08ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 3:09MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot27
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot27
14.0%
36
86.0%
Q2 - 3:30ORLJames STEAL (1 STL)27
12.8%
36
87.2%
Q2 - 3:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)27
14.5%
36
85.5%
Q2 - 3:51ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 3:51ORLMagic Rebound27
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 3:53ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)27
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 3:53ORLMagic Rebound27
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 3:54ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)27
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 4:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 227
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 227
18.3%
33
81.7%
Q2 - 4:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup27
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q2 - 4:27ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
18.3%
33
81.7%
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)27
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 5:03ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)27
21.8%
31
78.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)27
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q2 - 5:30ORLWafer Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)27
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q2 - 5:43ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 5:45ORLMISS Duhon 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.7%
29
73.3%
Q2 - 6:10MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)27
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q2 - 6:30ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot27
32.3%
27
67.7%
Q2 - 6:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Davis 20' Fadeaway Jumper27
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 7:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q2 - 7:17ORLMISS Wafer 3PT Jump Shot27
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 7:24ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot27
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q2 - 7:37ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)27
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 7:41ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 7:43ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 8:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q2 - 8:07ORLMISS Davis 9' Turnaround Jump Shot27
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q2 - 8:27ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Bosh 7' Hook Shot27
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q2 - 8:57ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)27
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q2 - 9:15ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
32.3%
24
67.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot24
31.6%
24
68.4%
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
30.0%
24
70.0%
Q2 - 9:28ORLMISS Davis 2' Driving Layup24
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 9:42MIACole 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
32.3%
24
67.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Cole 4' Reverse Layup24
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q2 - 9:58ORLRichardson 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)24
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q2 - 10:16ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Bosh 2' Jump Shot22
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q2 - 10:26ORLMISS Anderson 3' Layup22
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q2 - 10:37ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot22
31.5%
22
68.5%
Q2 - 10:56ORLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T4)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q2 - 11:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Cole 12' Floating Jump Shot22
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 11:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q2 - 11:13ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q2 - 11:36ORLMagic Rebound22
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 11:43ORLWafer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)22
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.0%
22
76.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot19
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup19
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)19
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 1:03ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)19
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 1:24ORLMagic Rebound17
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 1:25ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot17
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 1:37ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot17
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 2:10ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)17
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q1 - 2:27MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
18.2%
22
81.8%
Q1 - 2:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
17.0%
22
83.0%
Q1 - 2:43ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot14
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 3:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot14
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 3:33ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)14
16.9%
22
83.1%
Q1 - 3:49MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 4:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 4:01ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 4:18MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)11
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 4:35ORLRedick 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)11
18.2%
18
81.8%
Q1 - 4:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
15.4%
18
84.6%
Q1 - 4:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
14.5%
18
85.5%
Q1 - 4:54ORLMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot8
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)8
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 5:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 5:30ORLMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 28
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 5:30ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 5:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot7
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 5:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 27
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 5:58ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 27
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 5:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 5:59ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 6:20MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 2 AST)7
17.5%
16
82.5%
Q1 - 6:24ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)7
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)7
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 7:05ORLHoward 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 7:29MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 7:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.3%
10
78.7%
Q1 - 7:51ORLMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot5
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
22.6%
10
77.4%
Q1 - 8:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 8:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 8:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 8:35ORLMagic Rebound5
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 8:36ORLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)5
24.5%
8
75.5%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)5
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 9:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)5
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 9:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:24ORLMISS Redick 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup5
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 9:38ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot5
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 9:47ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)5
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 10:14ORLMagic Rebound3
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot3
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:25ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)3
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 10:43MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 10:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
24.7%
3
75.3%
Q1 - 10:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 11:07ORLMagic Rebound0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:25ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to James0
28.3%
0
71.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
20
50%
MIA
18
24
75%
Midrange
ORL
6
25
24%
MIA
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
13
25
52%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Redick1785%8.5 / 10
D. Howard1243%6.0 / 14
G. Davis1246%6.0 / 13
Q. Richardson1056%5.0 / 9
R. Anderson950%4.5 / 9
V. Wafer950%4.5 / 9
J. Nelson729%3.5 / 12
H. Turkoglu110%0.5 / 5
C. Duhon113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2759%13.5 / 23
L. James2574%12.5 / 17
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
C. Bosh840%4.0 / 10
M. Chalmers650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller542%2.5 / 6
N. Cole450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
D. Pittman0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
74
+13
-14
87
MIA
79
+10
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.01 50.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
106.6
ORL 88.6 +12.5
MIA 101.1
Pace
88.9
91.3
ORL 82.0
MIA 96.9 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
ORL 17.6
MIA 14.9 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.5%
ORL 43.9%
MIA 49.4% +5.5%
TO %
15.7%
15.9%
ORL 15.0%
MIA 10.4% +4.6%
ORB %
26.5%
26.6%
ORL 18.8%
MIA 22.5% +3.7%
FTrt
29.2
30.7
ORL 33.8 +16.3
MIA 17.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
53.8%
ORL 55.6% +3.0%
MIA 52.6%
STL %
7.6%
9.6%
ORL 3.4%
MIA 9.0% +5.6%
BLK %
6.7%
9.0%
ORL 4.4%
MIA 15.6% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
53.5%
ORL 44.8%
MIA 50.6% +5.8%
Rim FG%
57.7%
61.1%
ORL 50.0%
MIA 75.0% +25.0%
Mid FG%
34.8%
40.0%
ORL 24.0%
MIA 38.6% +14.6%
3P %
37.5%
35.9%
ORL 37.9% +12.9%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
66.0%
77.5%
ORL 52.0%
MIA 78.6% +26.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.7%
ORL 27.0%
MIA 30.0% +3.0%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
43.6%
ORL 33.8% +21.2%
MIA 55.0%
3P Att. %
34.6%
19.8%
ORL 39.2% +24.2%
MIA 15.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes25.822.1
Points7890
Rebounds4048
Assists1520
Steals38
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)39 (3)
Field Goals27-7438-80
At-the-Rim FG10-2018-24
Midrange FG6-2517-44
2-Point FG16-4535-68
3-Point FG11-293-12
Free Throws13-2511-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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9 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
37.1
12
43%
15
3
1
1
3
2
3
12
2-10
20%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G · 6'4" 200 · 28
34.0
17
85%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-7
71%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
30.9
9
50%
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
30.3
7
29%
4
4
0
0
3
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
1-4
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
24.5
1
10%
0
3
0
0
3
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
23.5
10
56%
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
9
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26
22.4
12
46%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29
17.7
1
13%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 27
14.0
9
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
Daniel Orton
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
DeAndre Liggins
#34 · G · 6'6" 209 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
45%
40
15
3
3
14
0
9
31
13-25
52%
16-45
36%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.