FinalWin Prob.pScore
1541%96
102
1259%100
103
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
110.99299.1
MEM logo MEM
114.49084.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN102
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMCunningham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMCunningham 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)102
6.2%
103
93.8%
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Gay 17' Jump Shot102
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
58.4%
101
41.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENBrewer 1' Putback Dunk (26 PTS)102
58.4%
101
41.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Miller 2' Layup100
24.1%
101
75.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)100
40.0%
101
60.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)100
19.8%
101
80.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENGay BLOCK (3 BLK)100
24.8%
101
75.2%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)100
39.9%
101
60.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
24.6%
101
75.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)100
40.3%
101
59.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
43.4%
100
56.6%
Q4 - 1:12DENFaried 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)100
54.7%
99
45.3%
Q4 - 1:30MEMGay 16' Pullup Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Conley 7 AST)98
42.2%
99
57.8%
Q4 - 1:48DENMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)98
53.1%
97
46.9%
Q4 - 2:11MEMGay 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)95
32.8%
97
67.2%
Q4 - 2:34DENLawson 5' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)95
39.6%
95
60.4%
Q4 - 2:48MEMConley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)93
33.5%
95
66.5%
Q4 - 2:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)93
19.1%
95
80.9%
Q4 - 2:52DENGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)93
24.6%
95
75.4%
Q4 - 3:12MEMAllen 2' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)93
33.5%
95
66.5%
Q4 - 3:17DENConley STEAL (5 STL)93
40.1%
93
59.9%
Q4 - 3:27MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P7.T17)93
56.4%
93
43.6%
Q4 - 3:47DENFaried 3' Layup (16 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)93
41.4%
93
58.6%
Q4 - 4:09MEMSpeights Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)91
33.2%
93
66.8%
Q4 - 4:34DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
51.1%
90
48.9%
Q4 - 4:34DENBrewer 2' Tip Shot (24 PTS)91
51.1%
90
48.9%
Q4 - 4:36DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot89
35.2%
90
64.8%
Q4 - 4:49MEMAllen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T16)89
42.2%
90
57.8%
Q4 - 5:20DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
15.6%
90
84.4%
Q4 - 5:20DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot86
17.1%
90
82.9%
Q4 - 5:38MEMMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
19.1%
90
80.9%
Q4 - 5:38DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
15.5%
90
84.5%
Q4 - 5:59DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
15.5%
90
84.5%
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 285
14.2%
90
85.8%
Q4 - 5:59DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
15.7%
90
84.3%
Q4 - 6:00DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
12.7%
90
87.3%
Q4 - 6:16DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)85
17.8%
90
82.2%
Q4 - 6:16MEMMISS Conley 19' Jump Shot85
16.4%
90
83.6%
Q4 - 6:30DENMayo STEAL (2 STL)85
13.5%
90
86.5%
Q4 - 6:52DENNuggets Rebound85
17.7%
90
82.3%
Q4 - 6:54MEMMISS Gasol 10' Turnaround Hook Shot85
16.3%
90
83.7%
Q4 - 7:22DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)85
15.0%
90
85.0%
Q4 - 7:30MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)83
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q4 - 7:59DENFaried Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)83
9.1%
90
90.9%
Q4 - 8:06MEMAllen 10' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Gay 6 AST)83
13.4%
90
86.6%
Q4 - 8:25DENFaried 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)83
16.7%
88
83.3%
Q4 - 8:44DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)81
13.3%
88
86.7%
Q4 - 8:46MEMMISS Conley 18' Step Back Jump Shot81
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q4 - 8:58MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
10.7%
88
89.3%
Q4 - 8:59DENMISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
11.4%
88
88.6%
Q4 - 9:13MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)81
14.7%
88
85.3%
Q4 - 9:39DENBrewer 1' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)81
11.9%
88
88.1%
Q4 - 9:46MEMPargo 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)79
9.6%
88
90.4%
Q4 - 10:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)79
12.9%
86
87.1%
Q4 - 10:06DENFaried 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)79
12.9%
86
87.1%
Q4 - 10:08DENSpeights BLOCK (2 BLK)77
9.1%
86
90.9%
Q4 - 10:30MEMPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 5 AST)77
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 10:55DENBrewer Layup (20 PTS)77
15.5%
83
84.5%
Q4 - 10:57MEMAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)75
12.8%
83
87.2%
Q4 - 11:10DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)75
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 11:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
13.7%
83
86.3%
Q4 - 11:17MEMMISS Mayo 2' Driving Layup75
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 11:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 11:33DENAndersen 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)75
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 11:35DENMISS Faried 3' Running Bank Shot73
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q4 - 11:46DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 11:48MEMMISS Gay 4' Jump Shot73
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM73
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound73
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Pargo 40' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENLawson 1' Tip Shot (16 PTS)73
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMayo BLOCK (1 BLK)71
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0MEMGasol 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T12)71
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENAndersen 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)71
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MEMMISS Gasol 4' Running Hook Shot69
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0DENFaried 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)69
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 1:12MEMMayo 2' Slam Dunk (17 PTS)67
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 1:15MEMCunningham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 1:16DENAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)67
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 1:31MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
5.2%
81
94.8%
Q3 - 1:31MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)67
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 1:46MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)67
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 1:49DENMISS Brewer 2' Layup67
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 1:59DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 1:59MEMMISS Gasol 22' Jump Shot67
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 2:23DENBrewer 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)67
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q3 - 2:41MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:41MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 2:57DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)64
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 3:03DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q3 - 3:05MEMMISS Gay 16' Pullup Jump Shot61
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 3:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)61
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 3:20MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.3%
77
95.7%
Q3 - 3:29DENConley STEAL (4 STL)61
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 3:47MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)61
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q3 - 3:50MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
6.3%
74
93.7%
Q3 - 3:51MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 4:13DENLawson 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 4:22DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 4:23MEMMISS Gay 2' Layup59
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q3 - 4:42MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 4:43DENMISS Afflalo 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 4:50DENNuggets Rebound59
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 4:50DENGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)59
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 5:06MEMConley 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)59
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 5:17MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound59
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 5:24DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 5:25MEMMISS Speights 2' Layup59
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 5:34MEMGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 5:34DENMISS Mozgov 10' Jump Shot59
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 5:52MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 5:52MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q3 - 5:53MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 5:54MEMMISS Speights 20' Jump Shot59
10.8%
70
89.2%
Q3 - 6:12DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)59
10.3%
70
89.7%
Q3 - 6:25DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 6:26MEMMISS Gay 2' Layup56
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 6:47DENLawson 1' Layup (12 PTS)56
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 7:00MEMAllen 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)54
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 7:16DENLawson 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)54
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 7:30MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)52
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q3 - 7:49DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T10)52
5.3%
68
94.7%
Q3 - 8:09MEMSpeights Dunk (9 PTS)52
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 8:10MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
7.4%
66
92.6%
Q3 - 8:12MEMMISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot52
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 8:35DENBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)52
7.4%
66
92.6%
Q3 - 8:45DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 8:47MEMMISS Gay 8' Running Jump Shot49
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 9:12DENBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)49
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 9:18MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)46
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 9:34DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)46
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 9:52MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q3 - 9:52MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 9:55DENConley STEAL (3 STL)43
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 10:16MEMAllen 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Gay 4 AST)43
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 10:21MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
4.2%
62
95.8%
Q3 - 10:22DENGay BLOCK (2 BLK)43
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 10:42MEMSpeights 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)43
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 10:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 10:49DENGay BLOCK (1 BLK)43
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q3 - 10:53MEMGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)43
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 11:06MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 11:07DENMISS Harrington 1' Driving Layup43
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 11:22MEMAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)43
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 11:42MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q3 - 11:43DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 11:48DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw Technical43
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM43
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound43
5.9%
60
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Pargo 41' 3PT Jump Shot43
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)41
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0MEMMISS Mayo 8' Jump Bank Shot41
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENLawson 8' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MEMMayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)39
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
5.8%
57
94.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 1:11MEMGasol 5' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS)39
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 1:27MEMPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q2 - 1:28DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.9%
55
92.1%
Q2 - 1:43MEMMayo 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)39
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q2 - 1:52MEMMISS Mayo Free Throw Technical39
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 2:11DENFernandez 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)39
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q2 - 2:24MEMAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 2:33DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
11.2%
50
88.8%
Q2 - 2:33DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 2:46MEMGay 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)35
10.0%
50
90.0%
Q2 - 3:07DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)35
11.5%
48
88.5%
Q2 - 3:20MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:30MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 3:32DENSpeights BLOCK (1 BLK)32
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q2 - 3:39MEMConley 2' Layup (9 PTS)32
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 3:44DENConley STEAL (2 STL)32
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 3:52MEMAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 3:59MEMGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 4:00MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 4:00MEMMISS Gay Putback Dunk32
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 4:02MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot32
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 4:16MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:19DENMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Layup32
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 4:34MEMGay 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)32
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:56DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 4:56DENAndersen 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)32
13.2%
44
86.8%
Q2 - 4:59DENMISS Miller 14' Pullup Jump Shot30
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 5:18MEMAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 5:22DENAllen STEAL (1 STL)30
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 5:30DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 5:33MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 5:33MEMMISS Speights 1' Tip Shot30
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 5:35MEMMISS Gasol 1' Layup30
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 5:37MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 5:39MEMMISS Allen 3' Layup30
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 6:02DENMiller 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)30
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 6:07DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 6:07MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q2 - 6:20MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 6:21DENMISS Andersen 1' Layup28
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 6:35MEMConley 17' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 6:40MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound28
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 6:40MEMMISS Allen 3' Reverse Layup28
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 6:58MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound28
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 6:58DENMISS Miller 3' Layup28
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 7:18MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 7:18MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 1 of 228
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 7:35DENFaried 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)28
13.3%
41
86.7%
Q2 - 8:00MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 8:00MEMGay 1' Layup (9 PTS)26
12.2%
41
87.8%
Q2 - 8:03MEMMISS Gay 3' Jump Shot26
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 8:20DENFernandez 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)26
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 8:32MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
12.7%
39
87.3%
Q2 - 8:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)24
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 8:53DENFaried 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)24
11.5%
39
88.5%
Q2 - 8:55DENMISS Miller 2' Driving Layup22
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 9:16MEMSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
10.9%
39
89.1%
Q2 - 9:16MEMMISS Speights Free Throw 1 of 222
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 9:21DENPargo STEAL (1 STL)22
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 9:28MEMSpeights 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cunningham 1 AST)22
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 9:40DENFernandez 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 9:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 9:50MEMMISS Mayo 10' Pullup Jump Shot20
11.6%
36
88.4%
Q2 - 10:05MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 10:05DENMISS Faried 15' Jump Shot20
11.4%
36
88.6%
Q2 - 10:19DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 10:20MEMMISS Gay 17' Jump Shot20
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 10:38DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
11.1%
36
88.9%
Q2 - 10:56MEMCunningham 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Speights 2 AST)17
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 11:14DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 117
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q2 - 11:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 11:14DENFaried 1' Dunk (2 PTS)17
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 11:15DENMISS Fernandez 2' Layup15
9.0%
34
91.0%
Q2 - 11:18DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q2 - 11:20MEMMISS Cunningham 4' Jump Shot15
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q2 - 11:40DENCunningham STEAL (1 STL)15
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN15
9.6%
34
90.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Cunningham 20' Jump Shot15
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
9.3%
34
90.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENMISS Faried 2' Layup15
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MEMGasol 10' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENAfflalo 10' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q1 - 1:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q1 - 1:10DENMISS Miller 15' Pullup Bank Shot13
9.9%
32
90.1%
Q1 - 1:37MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q1 - 1:37MEMAllen 2' Layup (2 PTS)13
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q1 - 1:39MEMMISS Allen 3' Layup13
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q1 - 1:43MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q1 - 1:43MEMMISS Cunningham 21' Jump Shot13
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q1 - 2:05DENMiller 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
11.8%
30
88.2%
Q1 - 2:16DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 2:17MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q1 - 2:27MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.0%
30
90.0%
Q1 - 2:28DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
10.2%
30
89.8%
Q1 - 2:45DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q1 - 2:46MEMMISS Mayo 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q1 - 3:07MEMAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.1%
30
89.9%
Q1 - 3:07DENMISS Mozgov 9' Jump Shot11
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q1 - 3:27MEMMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)11
11.0%
30
89.0%
Q1 - 3:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q1 - 3:44DENMISS Afflalo 23' Jump Shot11
13.2%
27
86.8%
Q1 - 4:06MEMMayo 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)11
14.2%
27
85.8%
Q1 - 4:25MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
15.2%
25
84.8%
Q1 - 4:26DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 211
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 4:26DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)11
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q1 - 4:34DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 4:36MEMMISS Conley 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 4:40MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.1%
25
85.9%
Q1 - 4:44DENGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)10
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 4:56MEMSpeights 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)10
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 5:01DENConley STEAL (1 STL)10
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 5:15MEMConley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)10
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 5:33DENHarrington Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)10
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 5:33MEMSpeights Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 5:37DENMozgov 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)10
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 6:04MEMGasol 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)8
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 6:24DENLawson 5' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 6:39MEMMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)6
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 6:46MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 6:47DENMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot6
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 7:09MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)6
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 7:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
27.4%
12
72.6%
Q1 - 7:15MEMMISS Mayo 10' Running Jump Shot6
28.6%
12
71.4%
Q1 - 7:38DENKoufos Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
27.3%
12
72.7%
Q1 - 7:56MEMGay 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)6
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 8:17DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
30.8%
10
69.2%
Q1 - 8:36MEMConley 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)4
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 8:47MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 8:49DENMISS Koufos 5' Turnaround Hook Shot4
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 9:02DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 9:03MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot4
32.3%
8
67.7%
Q1 - 9:26MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 9:28DENMISS Lawson 9' Running Jump Shot4
31.6%
8
68.4%
Q1 - 9:39DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 9:40MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 14
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 9:59DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:59DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)3
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 10:04MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 10:10MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.3%
6
68.7%
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Harrington 3' Driving Layup2
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 10:32MEMMayo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 10:38DENMayo STEAL (1 STL)2
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 10:44MEMGasol 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)2
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 10:46MEMSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:49MEMMISS Gay 16' Step Back Jump Shot2
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 11:08MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:09DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 22
37.9%
2
62.1%
Q1 - 11:09DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
39.0%
2
61.0%
Q1 - 11:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 11:16DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 21
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:16DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:36MEMGay 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)0
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Koufos: Tip to Conley0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.8%
MEM
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
24
45
53%
MEM
24
38
63%
Midrange
DEN
9
21
43%
MEM
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
MEM
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
DEN
12
18
67%
MEM
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Brewer2693%13.0 / 14
T. Lawson1860%9.0 / 15
K. Faried1856%9.0 / 16
A. Miller1350%6.5 / 13
A. Afflalo844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen750%3.5 / 7
R. Fernandez643%3.0 / 7
A. Harrington433%2.0 / 6
T. Mozgov233%1.0 / 3
K. Koufos0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2048%10.0 / 21
O. Mayo1761%8.5 / 14
M. Gasol1657%8.0 / 14
M. Conley1667%8.0 / 12
T. Allen1365%6.5 / 10
M. Speights1267%6.0 / 9
J. Pargo563%2.5 / 4
D. Cunningham440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
77
+16
-15
93
MEM
73
+18
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.8%
MEM
1.11 55.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
104.1
DEN 110.9
MEM 114.4 +3.6
Pace
94.1
90.7
DEN 99.1 +14.9
MEM 84.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.8
DEN 14.5 +2.6
MEM 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
47.3%
DEN 54.2% +0.5%
MEM 53.7%
TO %
15.7%
15.3%
DEN 14.2% +3.2%
MEM 17.4%
ORB %
27.7%
29.9%
DEN 34.1%
MEM 40.5% +6.4%
FTrt
32.6
27.7
DEN 21.7
MEM 23.2 +1.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
53.2%
DEN 48.8%
MEM 61.0% +12.2%
STL %
8.6%
10.5%
DEN 10.9%
MEM 11.1% +0.2%
BLK %
8.1%
8.8%
DEN 10.6%
MEM 15.2% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
50.1%
DEN 54.8%
MEM 55.4% +0.6%
Rim FG%
59.7%
57.1%
DEN 53.3%
MEM 63.2% +9.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.9%
DEN 42.9% +3.6%
MEM 39.3%
3P %
33.2%
32.6%
DEN 47.1% +9.6%
MEM 37.5%
FT %
73.6%
75.9%
DEN 66.7%
MEM 78.9% +12.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
48.0%
37.4%
DEN 54.2% +7.9%
MEM 46.3%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
47.0%
DEN 25.3% +8.8%
MEM 34.1%
3P Att. %
24.3%
15.7%
DEN 20.5% +1.0%
MEM 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes22.325.6
Points102103
Rebounds3744
Assists2025
Steals1010
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals41-8341-82
At-the-Rim FG24-4524-38
Midrange FG9-2111-28
2-Point FG33-6635-66
3-Point FG8-176-16
Free Throws12-1815-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 24
37.5
18
60%
3
6
2
0
2
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 186 · 26
31.5
26
93%
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
3
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
5-6
83%
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
25.1
4
33%
3
0
2
0
2
4
1
2
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
24.2
8
44%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 265 · 23
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 36
30.0
13
50%
4
9
2
0
2
3
1
3
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
24.8
18
56%
10
0
1
2
1
2
5
5
0-1
0%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
24.3
7
50%
7
2
0
2
2
3
4
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 185 · 27
21.1
6
43%
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 275 · 26
15.6
2
33%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
55%
37
20
10
7
15
0
15
22
12-18
67%
33-66
50%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.