FinalWin Prob.pScore
158%100
114
2042%97
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
123.99291.4
MIL logo MIL
103.29393.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL114
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MILMISS Brockman 1' Layup114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MILHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Gladness Layup114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAGladness REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAGladness REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MILMISS Leuer 12' Jump Shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Gladness 13' Jump Shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10MIACurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Harris 2' Layup114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14MILHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MILMISS Leuer 14' Jump Shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20MILMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIACurry Foul Turnover (P1.T16)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MILUdrih 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)114
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MILJump Ball Harris vs. Gladness: Tip to Sanders114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIAGladness REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14MILMISS Harris 11' Jump Shot114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)114
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)113
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MILSanders 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)112
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)112
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MIAHeat Rebound109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MIABrockman BLOCK (1 BLK)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23MILLeuer 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)109
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38MILLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:02MILMISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 1109
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)109
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)108
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16MILUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47MILMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57MIACole 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)107
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13MILJackson 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)105
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 5:29MIAHaslem 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)105
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 5:39MILUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)103
99.8%
86
0.2%
Q4 - 5:50MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17MILHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:30MILMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:43MILBUCKS Rebound103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Hook Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:22MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:34MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:34MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)101
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 8:00MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (22 PTS)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 8:34MILMISS Ilyasova 2' Layup99
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 8:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)99
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 8:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)98
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 8:57MILMISS Jackson 5' Running Hook Shot97
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 9:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)97
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 296
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS Battier 1' Layup96
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 9:14MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 9:16MIAIlyasova BLOCK (2 BLK)96
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 9:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)96
99.3%
77
0.7%
Q4 - 9:31MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)96
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 9:41MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot96
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 9:57MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 9:58MILMISS Dunleavy 15' Jump Shot96
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIABattier 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)96
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 10:47MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 11:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)94
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 11:07MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (35 PTS)94
98.7%
75
1.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup92
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
98.4%
75
1.6%
Q4 - 11:22MILMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 292
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 11:22MILDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIAJames 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (33 PTS)92
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL90
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound90
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Jackson 30' 3PT Jump Shot90
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Running Dunk (31 PTS)90
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
96.6%
73
3.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0MILDunleavy 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)88
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIABattier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)88
98.1%
70
1.9%
Q3 - 1:12MILMbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)86
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q3 - 1:25MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
97.8%
68
2.2%
Q3 - 1:25MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q3 - 1:29MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)84
97.3%
68
2.7%
Q3 - 1:33MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q3 - 1:34MILMISS Jennings 12' Jump Shot84
97.2%
68
2.8%
Q3 - 1:51MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q3 - 1:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)83
96.7%
68
3.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
96.1%
68
3.9%
Q3 - 1:54MILMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
95.9%
68
4.1%
Q3 - 2:05MILLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q3 - 2:07MIAIlyasova BLOCK (1 BLK)82
95.0%
68
5.0%
Q3 - 2:22MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)82
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q3 - 2:44MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
96.3%
66
3.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot82
96.5%
66
3.5%
Q3 - 3:05MIAHeat Rebound82
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q3 - 3:05MILMISS Jennings 16' Jump Shot82
96.4%
66
3.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAJames 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
95.9%
66
4.1%
Q3 - 3:49MILGooden 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)80
95.2%
66
4.8%
Q3 - 3:58MILDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
95.9%
64
4.1%
Q3 - 3:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
96.6%
64
3.4%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 1' Dunk80
96.1%
64
3.9%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot80
96.1%
64
3.9%
Q3 - 4:23MILDelfino 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)80
96.3%
64
3.7%
Q3 - 4:42MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
97.3%
61
2.7%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 279
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 4:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
97.4%
61
2.6%
Q3 - 4:52MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)79
96.4%
61
3.6%
Q3 - 5:24MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
95.1%
61
4.9%
Q3 - 5:24MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
95.3%
60
4.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
95.8%
59
4.2%
Q3 - 6:03MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)74
94.7%
59
5.3%
Q3 - 6:08MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
96.0%
56
4.0%
Q3 - 6:09MILMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot74
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 6:32MIAJames 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS)74
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 6:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
95.5%
56
4.5%
Q3 - 6:46MILMISS Delfino 19' Jump Shot72
95.2%
56
4.8%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)72
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 271
93.8%
56
6.2%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS James 3' Layup71
93.4%
56
6.6%
Q3 - 7:11MILDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)71
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 7:30MIAJames 11' Jump Shot (23 PTS)71
93.1%
56
6.9%
Q3 - 7:55MILDelfino 3' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)69
92.1%
56
7.9%
Q3 - 8:04MIAJennings STEAL (2 STL)69
92.8%
54
7.2%
Q3 - 8:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
93.8%
54
6.2%
Q3 - 8:08MILMISS Livingston 14' Jump Shot69
93.5%
54
6.5%
Q3 - 8:22MIAJames 1' Dunk (21 PTS)69
92.8%
54
7.2%
Q3 - 8:25MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)67
91.8%
54
8.2%
Q3 - 8:33MIAJames 1' Dunk (19 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)67
90.5%
54
9.5%
Q3 - 8:54MILLivingston 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)65
89.2%
54
10.8%
Q3 - 8:58MIAJennings STEAL (1 STL)65
90.5%
52
9.5%
Q3 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)65
91.4%
52
8.6%
Q3 - 9:17MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)64
90.2%
52
9.8%
Q3 - 9:18MILGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 9:19MILMISS Gooden 9' Jump Shot64
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 9:22MILBUCKS Rebound64
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 9:22MILMISS Gooden 2' Layup64
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 9:44MIAChalmers Layup (10 PTS)64
88.8%
52
11.2%
Q3 - 9:59MILJennings 8' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)62
87.3%
52
12.7%
Q3 - 10:08MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)62
88.3%
50
11.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
85.2%
50
14.8%
Q3 - 10:26MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
84.6%
50
15.4%
Q3 - 10:50MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
83.2%
50
16.8%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot59
83.8%
50
16.2%
Q3 - 10:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
85.2%
50
14.8%
Q3 - 11:00MILMISS Gooden 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
84.6%
50
15.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
81.0%
50
19.0%
Q3 - 11:37MILMISS Gooden 7' Running Hook Shot57
80.3%
50
19.7%
Q3 - 11:47MIAChalmers 1' Layup (5 PTS)57
78.6%
50
21.4%
Q3 - 11:51MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)55
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
73.6%
50
26.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILDelfino Foul Turnover (P2.T8)55
75.5%
50
24.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)55
73.7%
50
26.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup53
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
70.4%
50
29.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup53
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMbah a Moute STEAL (1 STL)53
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILLivingston Foul Turnover (P1.T7)53
70.4%
50
29.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
68.3%
50
31.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot53
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q2 - 1:12MILDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWade 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS)53
76.0%
47
24.0%
Q2 - 1:54MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q2 - 1:54MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q2 - 2:11MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (14 PTS)51
75.3%
45
24.7%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot49
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 2:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot49
71.1%
45
28.9%
Q2 - 2:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 2:28MILGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)49
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q2 - 2:28MILMISS Gooden 1' Tip Shot49
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q2 - 2:29MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup49
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q2 - 2:30MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q2 - 2:31MILMISS Livingston 6' Jump Shot49
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q2 - 2:47MIAJames 4' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
70.4%
45
29.6%
Q2 - 3:04MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
68.0%
45
32.0%
Q2 - 3:04MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
68.4%
44
31.6%
Q2 - 3:04MILGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 3:04MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 3:04MILMISS Gooden 1' Layup47
72.2%
43
27.8%
Q2 - 3:05MILMISS Mbah a Moute 2' Layup47
72.2%
43
27.8%
Q2 - 3:20MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 147
70.6%
43
29.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIAHeat Rebound45
68.0%
43
32.0%
Q2 - 3:41MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
64.8%
43
35.2%
Q2 - 3:41MILMISS Gooden 1' Layup45
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 3:42MILMISS Jackson 1' Layup45
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 3:44MILJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
64.8%
43
35.2%
Q2 - 3:45MILMISS Gooden 15' Jump Shot45
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWade 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
64.8%
43
35.2%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
62.2%
43
37.8%
Q2 - 4:04MILMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot43
61.3%
43
38.7%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)43
59.2%
43
40.8%
Q2 - 4:48MILIlyasova 1' Layup (5 PTS)40
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 4:49MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
56.3%
41
43.7%
Q2 - 4:50MILMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot40
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 5:07MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS)40
56.9%
41
43.1%
Q2 - 5:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot38
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 5:22MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
53.0%
41
47.0%
Q2 - 5:29MIAGooden STEAL (1 STL)38
51.1%
41
48.9%
Q2 - 5:43MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
53.9%
41
46.1%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
51.0%
41
49.0%
Q2 - 6:23MILDunleavy 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)35
46.0%
41
54.0%
Q2 - 6:28MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)35
48.3%
39
51.7%
Q2 - 6:35MILJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)35
51.6%
39
48.4%
Q2 - 6:47MIABrockman STEAL (1 STL)35
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 6:58MIAHeat Rebound35
59.9%
36
40.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot35
57.7%
36
42.3%
Q2 - 7:17MILJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
60.0%
36
40.0%
Q2 - 7:29MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)35
57.1%
36
42.9%
Q2 - 7:38MILJackson 2' Layup (2 PTS)33
54.6%
36
45.4%
Q2 - 8:13MILBUCKS Rebound33
57.4%
34
42.6%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Cole 18' Jump Shot33
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 8:22MILUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)33
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 8:28MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
57.4%
34
42.6%
Q2 - 8:30MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot33
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 8:45MILIlyasova Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIACole 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)33
57.4%
34
42.6%
Q2 - 9:26MILUdrih 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
55.0%
34
45.0%
Q2 - 9:46MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot31
58.2%
32
41.8%
Q2 - 10:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 10:04MILMISS Ilyasova 13' Jump Shot31
59.1%
32
40.9%
Q2 - 10:32MIAJames 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)31
57.2%
32
42.8%
Q2 - 10:44MIAHeat Rebound29
55.0%
32
45.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 11:04MILUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
54.9%
32
45.1%
Q2 - 11:04MILUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
55.2%
31
44.8%
Q2 - 11:21MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)29
57.2%
30
42.8%
Q2 - 11:40MILUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
54.9%
30
45.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL27
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)27
52.8%
30
47.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
47.5%
30
52.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 224
47.9%
29
52.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)24
48.0%
29
52.0%
Q1 - 1:01MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q1 - 1:01MILIlyasova 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q1 - 1:02MILMISS Udrih 5' Jump Shot22
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
48.6%
27
51.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
43.3%
27
56.7%
Q1 - 1:34MILMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
42.8%
27
57.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T6)19
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q1 - 1:54MILDelfino Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)19
43.3%
27
56.7%
Q1 - 2:07MILDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
42.0%
27
58.0%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Miller 2' Layup19
42.7%
27
57.3%
Q1 - 2:19MILGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
44.1%
27
55.9%
Q1 - 2:19MILGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
44.4%
26
55.6%
Q1 - 2:19MILBUCKS Rebound19
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot19
47.2%
25
52.8%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 2:37MILMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q1 - 3:01MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot19
47.6%
25
52.4%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Mbah a Moute 16' Jump Shot19
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q1 - 3:20MILGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot19
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q1 - 3:36MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)19
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q1 - 3:53MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)19
53.5%
22
46.5%
Q1 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
51.7%
22
48.3%
Q1 - 4:06MILMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot17
50.9%
22
49.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 4:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
51.7%
22
48.3%
Q1 - 4:21MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
50.9%
22
49.1%
Q1 - 4:38MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
49.3%
22
50.7%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup17
50.0%
22
50.0%
Q1 - 4:58MILDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)17
51.6%
22
48.4%
Q1 - 4:58MILDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)17
52.1%
21
47.9%
Q1 - 4:59MIADelfino STEAL (2 STL)17
53.7%
20
46.3%
Q1 - 5:12MILDelfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)17
56.0%
20
44.0%
Q1 - 5:29MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
59.9%
17
40.1%
Q1 - 5:30MILMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot17
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 5:41MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)17
59.9%
17
40.1%
Q1 - 6:00MILDelfino 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
58.0%
17
42.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIALivingston STEAL (2 STL)15
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 6:11MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
61.4%
15
38.6%
Q1 - 6:24MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 6:26MIAMbah a Moute BLOCK (1 BLK)15
60.6%
15
39.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
62.0%
15
38.0%
Q1 - 6:38MILMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
61.4%
15
38.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
59.9%
15
40.1%
Q1 - 7:30MILGooden 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)13
58.4%
15
41.6%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
60.1%
13
39.9%
Q1 - 7:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
59.7%
13
40.3%
Q1 - 8:04MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
58.6%
13
41.4%
Q1 - 8:13MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
62.4%
10
37.6%
Q1 - 8:35MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)8
58.6%
10
41.4%
Q1 - 8:40MILLivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
60.5%
8
39.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)8
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 8:58MILJennings 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)8
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 9:05MIADelfino STEAL (1 STL)8
64.4%
6
35.6%
Q1 - 9:15MILJennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)8
66.1%
6
33.9%
Q1 - 9:34MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)8
69.3%
3
30.7%
Q1 - 9:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
67.7%
3
32.3%
Q1 - 9:49MILMISS Gooden 13' Jump Shot6
67.2%
3
32.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
65.7%
3
34.3%
Q1 - 10:18MILMbah a Moute Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
64.4%
3
35.6%
Q1 - 10:18MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 24
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 10:35MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 10:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Reverse Layup2
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:02MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)2
62.5%
2
37.5%
Q1 - 11:09MIALivingston STEAL (1 STL)2
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 11:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
65.5%
0
34.5%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMISS Wade 9' Hook Shot2
64.6%
0
35.4%
Q1 - 11:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:23MILMISS Livingston 6' Jump Shot2
65.1%
0
34.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
64.2%
0
35.8%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gooden vs. Anthony: Tip to Chalmers0
62.5%
0
37.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.0%
MIL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
31
48%
MIL
16
29
55%
Midrange
MIA
21
38
55%
MIL
8
32
25%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
MIL
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
21
25
84%
MIL
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3580%17.5 / 22
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1393%6.5 / 7
N. Cole1050%5.0 / 10
M. Miller964%4.5 / 7
C. Bosh844%4.0 / 9
U. Haslem744%3.5 / 8
S. Battier758%3.5 / 6
J. Howard233%1.0 / 3
J. Anthony150%0.5 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 2
M. Gladness0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Delfino2492%12.0 / 13
B. Jennings1255%6.0 / 11
D. Gooden1233%6.0 / 18
B. Udrih1179%5.5 / 7
L. Mbah a Moute950%4.5 / 9
E. Ilyasova750%3.5 / 7
S. Jackson739%3.5 / 9
M. Dunleavy536%2.5 / 7
T. Harris338%1.5 / 4
S. Livingston225%1.0 / 4
J. Leuer225%1.0 / 4
L. Sanders2100%1.0 / 1
J. Brockman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+17
-16
93
MIL
80
+17
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.0%
MIL
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.7
MIA 123.9 +20.7
MIL 103.2
Pace
91.3
93.7
MIA 91.4
MIL 93.7 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.2
MIA 15.7
MIL 15.4 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
48.1%
MIA 56.0% +11.4%
MIL 44.6%
TO %
15.9%
14.6%
MIA 14.5%
MIL 12.8% +1.7%
ORB %
26.6%
27.8%
MIA 40.0% +10.8%
MIL 29.2%
FTrt
30.7
25.0
MIA 30.1 +0.3
MIL 29.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
62.0%
MIA 44.2%
MIL 63.6% +19.4%
STL %
9.6%
8.8%
MIA 9.8%
MIL 11.8% +2.0%
BLK %
9.0%
8.0%
MIA 6.6%
MIL 7.2% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
51.0%
MIA 60.0% +11.5%
MIL 48.5%
Rim FG%
61.1%
56.2%
MIA 48.4%
MIL 55.2% +6.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.6%
MIA 55.3% +30.3%
MIL 25.0%
3P %
35.9%
34.5%
MIA 50.0% +10.9%
MIL 39.1%
FT %
77.5%
77.5%
MIA 84.0%
MIL 84.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.5%
MIA 37.3% +2.8%
MIL 34.5%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
40.1%
MIA 45.8%
MIL 38.1% +7.7%
3P Att. %
19.8%
22.4%
MIA 16.9%
MIL 27.4% +10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.123.8
Points11496
Rebounds4835
Assists1921
Steals911
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)21 (3)
Field Goals43-8333-84
At-the-Rim FG15-3116-29
Midrange FG21-388-32
2-Point FG36-6924-61
3-Point FG7-149-23
Free Throws21-2521-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
32.9
35
80%
8
3
1
0
2
3
3
5
3-3
100%
16-21
76%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
30.0
8
44%
7
4
0
1
2
1
0
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
28.0
22
65%
5
4
0
1
5
2
3
2
6-8
75%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
21.9
13
93%
1
1
2
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
16.9
1
50%
4
0
1
2
0
4
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
26.3
7
44%
6
2
1
0
1
3
3
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
26.1
10
50%
2
2
2
0
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
23.0
9
64%
8
1
1
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
19.1
7
58%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
4.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
4.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 220 · 26
2.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
60%
48
19
9
4
16
0
14
34
21-25
84%
36-69
52%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.