FinalWin Prob.pScore
155%96
107
1345%94
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.19391.0
ATL logo ATL
96.79092.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIACole 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)107
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Curry 1' Layup105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLStackhouse 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)105
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAPargo STEAL (1 STL)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08ATLRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 3 AST)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16ATLDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18ATLMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47ATLStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIABattier 6' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)103
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHeat Rebound101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30ATLMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49ATLHAWKS Rebound101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Green 18' Jump Shot101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55ATLDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Pittman 7' Jump Shot101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17ATLRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIABattier 10' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41ATLPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46MIAHoward 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04ATLRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36ATLGreen 14' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Pittman 11' Hook Shot97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10ATLMISS Stackhouse 2' Putback Layup97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10ATLStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11ATLMISS Stackhouse 1' Putback Layup97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12ATLStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13ATLMISS Stackhouse 1' Running Layup97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:23ATLHAWKS Rebound97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Cole Layup97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40ATLStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 2 AST)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:44ATLMISS Dampier Putback Layup97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:46ATLDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47ATLMISS Stackhouse 1' Driving Layup97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T8)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17ATLGreen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:22ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:43ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)97
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)97
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:22ATLMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:10ATLPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)94
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)92
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot92
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:54MIACole 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)92
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:10ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:25ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Bosh 11' Fadeaway Jumper90
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:56ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)90
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 10:02ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:22ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)90
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)88
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:59ATLMISS Green 16' Jump Shot88
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:19ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Cole 11' Jump Shot88
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:45MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:47ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Hinrich 37' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot88
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0ATLPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)88
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)87
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Green 3' Driving Layup86
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)86
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q3 - 1:27ATLGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)83
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 1:48MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)83
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 2:12ATLHinrich 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
99.5%
55
0.5%
Q3 - 2:19ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot81
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 2:44ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)81
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 3:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.6%
51
0.4%
Q3 - 3:20ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)81
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 3:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
99.7%
49
0.3%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot81
99.7%
49
0.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)81
99.8%
49
0.2%
Q3 - 3:43ATLMISS Green 20' Jump Shot81
99.8%
49
0.2%
Q3 - 4:02MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)81
99.7%
49
0.3%
Q3 - 4:08ATLGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)78
99.6%
49
0.4%
Q3 - 4:35MIAAnthony 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)78
99.5%
49
0.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
99.4%
49
0.6%
Q3 - 4:49ATLMISS Smith 2' Running Layup76
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 4:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
99.2%
49
0.8%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot76
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 5:17ATLGreen 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS)76
99.2%
49
0.8%
Q3 - 5:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
99.4%
47
0.6%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 275
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q3 - 5:38MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
99.4%
47
0.6%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot75
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q3 - 5:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)75
99.4%
47
0.6%
Q3 - 5:56ATLMISS Green 2' Driving Layup75
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q3 - 6:02ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup75
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 6:10ATLHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)75
99.2%
47
0.8%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 6:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
99.0%
47
1.0%
Q3 - 6:33ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
98.9%
47
1.1%
Q3 - 6:46MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)73
98.8%
47
1.2%
Q3 - 7:07ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)70
98.0%
47
2.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIAChalmers 6' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)70
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 7:41ATLHinrich 9' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)68
98.0%
45
2.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5)68
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)68
98.4%
43
1.6%
Q3 - 8:15ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot68
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 8:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot68
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 8:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
98.4%
43
1.6%
Q3 - 8:55ATLMISS Teague 8' Jump Shot68
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 9:12MIABosh 1' Layup (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
97.9%
43
2.1%
Q3 - 9:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
97.6%
43
2.4%
Q3 - 9:25ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot66
97.5%
43
2.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T4)66
97.3%
43
2.7%
Q3 - 9:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q3 - 9:43ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot66
97.5%
43
2.5%
Q3 - 9:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
97.3%
43
2.7%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot66
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)66
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 10:09ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
97.3%
43
2.7%
Q3 - 10:36MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
97.0%
43
3.0%
Q3 - 11:02ATLJohnson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)64
96.3%
43
3.7%
Q3 - 11:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)64
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q3 - 11:06ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot64
97.0%
41
3.0%
Q3 - 11:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot64
96.9%
41
3.1%
Q3 - 11:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q3 - 11:26ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.1%
41
2.9%
Q3 - 11:41ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 264
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
97.1%
41
2.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL63
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)63
96.3%
41
3.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 262
96.2%
41
3.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
95.8%
41
4.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
95.9%
40
4.1%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
96.4%
39
3.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
96.4%
39
3.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)60
95.8%
39
4.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIABosh 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)60
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)58
96.4%
36
3.6%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)58
97.1%
33
2.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
96.7%
33
3.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWade Putback Layup (20 PTS)57
96.7%
33
3.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup55
95.8%
33
4.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
96.1%
33
3.9%
Q2 - 1:20ATLMISS Williams 4' Driving Jump Shot55
96.0%
33
4.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)55
95.7%
33
4.3%
Q2 - 1:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
96.1%
33
3.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup55
95.8%
33
4.2%
Q2 - 1:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
96.1%
33
3.9%
Q2 - 1:52ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup55
96.0%
33
4.0%
Q2 - 2:07MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)55
95.3%
33
4.7%
Q2 - 2:28ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)52
94.1%
33
5.9%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
94.7%
31
5.3%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
94.6%
31
5.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
94.1%
31
5.9%
Q2 - 2:55ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup50
93.9%
31
6.1%
Q2 - 3:13MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
92.9%
31
7.1%
Q2 - 3:13MIAJames 1' Putback Dunk (13 PTS)50
92.9%
31
7.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)48
92.2%
31
7.8%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot48
91.5%
31
8.5%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot48
91.5%
31
8.5%
Q2 - 3:37ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)48
92.2%
31
7.8%
Q2 - 3:52ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
91.2%
31
8.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 148
91.3%
31
8.7%
Q2 - 4:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
89.7%
31
10.3%
Q2 - 4:10ATLMISS Teague 9' Driving Jump Shot46
89.4%
31
10.6%
Q2 - 4:22ATLHAWKS Rebound46
88.5%
31
11.5%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper46
88.9%
31
11.1%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
89.8%
31
10.2%
Q2 - 4:34ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Turnaround Fadeaway Shot46
89.4%
31
10.6%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)46
88.2%
31
11.8%
Q2 - 5:17ATLPachulia Putback Layup (6 PTS)44
86.9%
31
13.1%
Q2 - 5:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
88.2%
29
11.8%
Q2 - 5:20ATLMISS Smith Putback Layup44
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 5:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
88.2%
29
11.8%
Q2 - 5:23ATLMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup44
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 5:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
88.2%
29
11.8%
Q2 - 5:31ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot44
89.0%
29
11.0%
Q2 - 5:55MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
88.3%
29
11.7%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
86.4%
29
13.6%
Q2 - 6:04ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
85.9%
29
14.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIACole 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)42
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 6:28ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
83.6%
29
16.4%
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
81.7%
29
18.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
81.4%
29
18.6%
Q2 - 6:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)38
80.3%
29
19.7%
Q2 - 7:00ATLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot38
79.6%
29
20.4%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)38
77.8%
29
22.2%
Q2 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
77.4%
29
22.6%
Q2 - 7:23ATLGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)36
76.0%
29
24.0%
Q2 - 7:43ATLHAWKS Rebound36
79.6%
26
20.4%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Bosh Tip Shot36
80.2%
26
19.8%
Q2 - 7:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)36
81.5%
26
18.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Bosh 1' Tip Shot36
80.2%
26
19.8%
Q2 - 7:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
81.5%
26
18.5%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Bosh 1' Putback Layup36
80.2%
26
19.8%
Q2 - 7:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
81.5%
26
18.5%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Cole 5' Jump Shot36
80.2%
26
19.8%
Q2 - 8:02ATLMcGrady 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)36
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 8:21MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)36
82.4%
24
17.6%
Q2 - 8:22MIAHeat Rebound36
84.0%
24
16.0%
Q2 - 8:22MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)36
82.9%
24
17.1%
Q2 - 8:47ATLGreen 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)36
84.0%
24
16.0%
Q2 - 8:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
85.3%
22
14.7%
Q2 - 8:59ATLMISS McGrady 19' Fadeaway Jumper36
86.3%
22
13.7%
Q2 - 9:09ATLMISS Hinrich Free Throw Technical36
84.7%
22
15.3%
Q2 - 9:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
84.7%
22
15.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot36
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q2 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
86.1%
22
13.9%
Q2 - 9:37ATLMISS Smith 11' Turnaround Hook Shot36
85.7%
22
14.3%
Q2 - 9:56ATLHAWKS Rebound36
84.8%
22
15.2%
Q2 - 9:56MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot36
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
85.7%
22
14.3%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot36
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q2 - 10:23MIACole 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
84.2%
22
15.8%
Q2 - 10:36ATLPachulia 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)34
83.0%
22
17.0%
Q2 - 10:53ATLHAWKS Rebound34
84.3%
20
15.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)34
84.7%
20
15.3%
Q2 - 11:04ATLHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
85.2%
20
14.8%
Q2 - 11:04ATLHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
85.4%
19
14.6%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)34
86.3%
18
13.7%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)33
86.1%
18
13.9%
Q2 - 11:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
85.2%
18
14.8%
Q2 - 11:18ATLMISS Johnson 4' Driving Jump Shot32
84.8%
18
15.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
83.8%
18
16.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAJames Tip Shot (9 PTS)32
83.8%
18
16.2%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup30
81.5%
18
18.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
82.6%
18
17.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound30
82.6%
18
17.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup30
80.9%
18
19.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
81.7%
18
18.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper30
81.4%
18
18.6%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
80.6%
18
19.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
80.3%
18
19.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHeat Rebound28
78.7%
18
21.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)28
77.8%
18
22.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
78.7%
18
21.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Hinrich 20' Jump Shot28
78.3%
18
21.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAPittman Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)28
77.4%
18
22.6%
Q1 - 1:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
78.2%
18
21.8%
Q1 - 1:20ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot28
77.9%
18
22.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAPittman 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
77.1%
18
22.9%
Q1 - 1:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
74.9%
18
25.1%
Q1 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
74.5%
18
25.5%
Q1 - 2:11MIABattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)26
73.3%
18
26.7%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q1 - 2:36ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
67.6%
18
32.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot23
68.2%
18
31.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q1 - 2:49ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
68.9%
18
31.1%
Q1 - 3:09MIAAnthony 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
67.5%
18
32.5%
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 3:28ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot21
65.0%
18
35.0%
Q1 - 3:43MIAChalmers 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
63.5%
18
36.5%
Q1 - 3:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
61.4%
18
38.6%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
60.8%
18
39.2%
Q1 - 4:07ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
59.8%
18
40.2%
Q1 - 4:30ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)19
61.4%
18
38.6%
Q1 - 4:36ATLHAWKS Rebound19
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 4:36ATLMISS Smith 6' Running Hook Shot19
64.8%
16
35.2%
Q1 - 4:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
63.3%
16
36.7%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 219
63.6%
16
36.4%
Q1 - 4:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
64.9%
16
35.1%
Q1 - 5:00ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
63.5%
16
36.5%
Q1 - 5:24MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 5:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 5:29ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot16
58.3%
16
41.7%
Q1 - 5:52ATLHAWKS Rebound16
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot16
57.4%
16
42.6%
Q1 - 6:11ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
58.9%
16
41.1%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWade Running Layup (8 PTS)16
62.6%
13
37.4%
Q1 - 6:32ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
60.8%
13
39.2%
Q1 - 6:56MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)14
58.7%
13
41.3%
Q1 - 7:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q1 - 7:03ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot12
56.4%
13
43.6%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 7:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot10
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 7:49ATLWilliams Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)10
53.1%
13
46.9%
Q1 - 7:56MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
50.9%
13
49.1%
Q1 - 8:10ATLJohnson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 8:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
51.5%
11
48.5%
Q1 - 8:16ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q1 - 8:21ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
51.5%
11
48.5%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot8
52.0%
11
48.0%
Q1 - 8:37ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)8
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWade 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
57.2%
8
42.8%
Q1 - 9:11ATLSmith 7' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)6
55.8%
8
44.2%
Q1 - 9:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup6
58.1%
6
41.9%
Q1 - 9:37ATLJohnson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)6
59.4%
6
40.6%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 10:12ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)4
59.4%
4
40.6%
Q1 - 10:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:27MIAWade 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
60.9%
2
39.1%
Q1 - 10:29MIATeague BLOCK (1 BLK)2
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 10:33MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 10:35ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 10:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 10:40MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Dunk2
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 10:53ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 11:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 11:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 11:42ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)0
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Anthony: Tip to Teague0
57.7%
0
42.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
ATL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
34
41%
ATL
11
25
44%
Midrange
MIA
19
37
51%
ATL
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
ATL
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
26
31
84%
ATL
6
7
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2355%11.5 / 21
D. Wade2158%10.5 / 18
M. Chalmers15107%7.5 / 7
C. Bosh1439%7.0 / 18
N. Cole1042%5.0 / 12
S. Battier788%3.5 / 4
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
J. Howard4100%2.0 / 2
M. Miller350%1.5 / 3
D. Pittman225%1.0 / 4
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
E. Curry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Green1771%8.5 / 12
J. Johnson1243%6.0 / 14
J. Smith833%4.0 / 12
Z. Pachulia8100%4.0 / 4
J. Stackhouse744%3.5 / 8
J. Teague643%3.0 / 7
M. Williams633%3.0 / 9
K. Hinrich638%3.0 / 8
V. Radmanovic6100%3.0 / 3
I. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
J. Pargo338%1.5 / 4
T. McGrady225%1.0 / 4
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+16
-9
100
ATL
77
+15
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
ATL
0.93 46.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
105.3
MIA 115.1
ATL 96.7 +18.4
Pace
91.3
89.9
MIA 91.0
ATL 92.0 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
MIA 15.8
ATL 15.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
50.0%
MIA 48.8% +3.8%
ATL 45.0%
TO %
15.9%
14.5%
MIA 8.5% +3.8%
ATL 12.3%
ORB %
26.6%
23.9%
MIA 33.3% +9.8%
ATL 23.5%
FTrt
30.7
25.9
MIA 37.3 +29.5
ATL 7.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.0%
MIA 47.4%
ATL 74.3% +26.9%
STL %
9.6%
8.8%
MIA 6.5% +2.1%
ATL 4.4%
BLK %
9.0%
7.2%
MIA 9.5% +3.9%
ATL 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
52.1%
MIA 53.5% +7.2%
ATL 46.3%
Rim FG%
61.1%
60.0%
MIA 41.2%
ATL 44.0% +2.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
38.2%
MIA 51.4% +17.2%
ATL 34.2%
3P %
35.9%
37.0%
MIA 41.7% +1.0%
ATL 40.7%
FT %
77.5%
74.0%
MIA 83.9%
ATL 85.7% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.6%
MIA 41.0% +13.2%
ATL 27.8%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
40.6%
MIA 44.6%
ATL 42.2% +2.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
24.9%
MIA 14.5%
ATL 30.0% +15.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points10787
Rebounds5238
Assists1826
Steals64
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)26 (6)
Field Goals38-8335-90
At-the-Rim FG14-3411-25
Midrange FG19-3713-38
2-Point FG33-7124-63
3-Point FG5-1211-27
Free Throws26-316-7
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
31.6
14
39%
16
1
0
2
1
1
6
10
6-9
67%
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
30.4
23
55%
13
6
1
0
2
1
3
10
10-12
83%
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
26.9
15
107%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
2-2
100%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
23.9
21
58%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
7-7
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
18.5
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
24.1
7
88%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
21.1
4
40%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
21.1
10
42%
0
2
2
0
2
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
20.9
3
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
6.5
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
6.1
4
100%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 295 · 29
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#99 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
54%
52
18
6
6
9
0
13
39
26-31
84%
33-71
46%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.