FinalWin Prob.pScore
1249%98
113
1651%99
109
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
117.79693.8
IND logo IND
112.497101.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN113
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)113
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDPACERS Rebound113
99.5%
109
0.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.8%
109
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)113
97.9%
109
2.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)112
97.5%
109
2.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDWest Backcourt Turnover (P3.T19)111
95.1%
109
4.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)111
78.6%
109
21.4%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENMISS Afflalo 6' Jump Shot111
82.8%
109
17.2%
Q4 - 0:46.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)111
87.1%
109
12.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 1111
85.5%
109
14.5%
Q4 - 1:04INDPACERS Rebound111
90.7%
107
9.3%
Q4 - 1:05DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot111
92.2%
107
7.8%
Q4 - 1:21INDWest 4' Layup (20 PTS)111
93.8%
107
6.2%
Q4 - 1:35DENAfflalo 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)111
95.2%
105
4.8%
Q4 - 1:55DENNuggets Rebound108
86.5%
105
13.5%
Q4 - 1:56INDMISS Granger 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
84.6%
105
15.4%
Q4 - 2:16DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)108
78.5%
105
21.5%
Q4 - 2:16DENKoufos 2' Tip Shot (7 PTS)108
78.5%
105
21.5%
Q4 - 2:18DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup106
62.1%
105
37.9%
Q4 - 2:40INDCollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)106
73.3%
105
26.7%
Q4 - 2:43INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
85.8%
102
14.2%
Q4 - 2:44DENMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot106
88.4%
102
11.6%
Q4 - 3:07INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)106
90.4%
102
9.6%
Q4 - 3:30DENHarrington 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)106
95.5%
99
4.5%
Q4 - 3:46INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (West 2 AST)104
90.0%
99
10.0%
Q4 - 3:55INDPACERS Rebound104
95.0%
96
5.0%
Q4 - 3:57INDMISS Collison 1' Layup104
96.2%
96
3.8%
Q4 - 4:01INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
95.0%
96
5.0%
Q4 - 4:02DENHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)104
95.6%
96
4.4%
Q4 - 4:15INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
96.7%
96
3.3%
Q4 - 4:15INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
97.0%
95
3.0%
Q4 - 4:28INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
97.7%
94
2.3%
Q4 - 4:28DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2104
97.8%
94
2.2%
Q4 - 4:28DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2104
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 4:42INDWest 2' Driving Slam Dunk (18 PTS)104
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 4:46INDPACERS Rebound104
98.9%
92
1.1%
Q4 - 4:46INDMISS Granger 1' Layup104
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 5:11DENLawson 1' Layup (27 PTS)104
98.0%
92
2.0%
Q4 - 5:12DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
97.3%
92
2.7%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Lawson 7' Jump Shot102
96.6%
92
3.4%
Q4 - 5:24DENNuggets Rebound102
97.4%
92
2.6%
Q4 - 5:26DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
97.4%
92
2.6%
Q4 - 5:26DENMISS Harrington 2' Tip Shot102
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 5:27DENMISS Koufos 6' Jump Shot102
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 5:42DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)102
97.4%
92
2.6%
Q4 - 5:43INDMISS Hibbert 6' Jump Shot102
97.1%
92
2.9%
Q4 - 6:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
94.9%
92
5.1%
Q4 - 6:03DENMISS Lawson 12' Jump Shot102
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 6:24INDWest 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T18)102
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 6:43DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)102
95.0%
92
5.0%
Q4 - 6:58INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 7 AST)99
91.4%
92
8.6%
Q4 - 7:25DENMiller 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Koufos 1 AST)99
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 7:42DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)97
92.2%
89
7.8%
Q4 - 7:44INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
91.5%
89
8.5%
Q4 - 8:00DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)97
89.8%
89
10.2%
Q4 - 8:15INDWest 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)95
85.3%
89
14.7%
Q4 - 8:25INDPACERS Rebound95
88.3%
87
11.7%
Q4 - 8:26DENMISS Fernandez 18' Jump Shot95
89.1%
87
10.9%
Q4 - 8:38INDWest 2' Layup (14 PTS)95
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 9:02DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)95
91.3%
85
8.7%
Q4 - 9:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
89.2%
85
10.8%
Q4 - 9:07INDMISS Jones 1' Layup93
88.5%
85
11.5%
Q4 - 9:27DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
86.8%
85
13.2%
Q4 - 9:27DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
86.4%
85
13.6%
Q4 - 9:29DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)91
83.8%
85
16.2%
Q4 - 9:31DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
81.4%
85
18.6%
Q4 - 9:45INDPrice Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)91
83.8%
85
16.2%
Q4 - 10:04DENFernandez 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)91
78.9%
85
21.1%
Q4 - 10:13INDHansbrough Foul Turnover (P1.T16)89
74.9%
85
25.1%
Q4 - 10:26INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
70.5%
85
29.5%
Q4 - 10:27DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
71.9%
85
28.1%
Q4 - 10:51DENNuggets Rebound89
75.0%
85
25.0%
Q4 - 10:52INDMISS Stephenson 2' Layup89
73.7%
85
26.3%
Q4 - 11:04INDJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)89
69.5%
85
30.5%
Q4 - 11:31DENMiller 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)89
73.9%
84
26.1%
Q4 - 11:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
69.4%
84
30.6%
Q4 - 11:45DENMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot87
66.2%
84
33.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND87
69.4%
84
30.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound87
64.8%
84
35.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Stephenson 54' 3PT Jump Shot87
68.1%
84
31.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENLawson 1' Layup (25 PTS)87
64.3%
84
35.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0INDStephenson 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)85
59.1%
84
40.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
64.3%
82
35.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 185
67.9%
82
32.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
73.0%
80
27.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 284
71.9%
80
28.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENNuggets Rebound84
72.7%
80
27.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDMISS Stephenson 22' Jump Shot84
71.6%
80
28.4%
Q3 - 1:02INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
68.0%
80
32.0%
Q3 - 1:03DENMISS Harrington 1' Layup84
69.2%
80
30.8%
Q3 - 1:20INDJones 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)84
71.9%
80
28.1%
Q3 - 1:27DENStephenson STEAL (2 STL)84
75.9%
78
24.1%
Q3 - 1:30DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
79.2%
78
20.8%
Q3 - 1:31INDMISS Price 17' Jump Shot84
78.2%
78
21.8%
Q3 - 1:35INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)84
75.9%
78
24.1%
Q3 - 1:37INDMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
78.2%
78
21.8%
Q3 - 2:03DENBrewer 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
74.6%
78
25.4%
Q3 - 2:20INDGranger Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)82
71.0%
78
29.0%
Q3 - 2:32DENHarrington Layup (8 PTS)82
67.0%
78
33.0%
Q3 - 2:46INDHansbrough 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Hibbert 4 AST)80
62.8%
78
37.2%
Q3 - 3:08DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
66.4%
76
33.6%
Q3 - 3:08DENKoufos 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)80
66.4%
76
33.6%
Q3 - 3:08DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup78
59.4%
76
40.6%
Q3 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
62.5%
76
37.5%
Q3 - 3:26INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
63.0%
75
37.0%
Q3 - 3:29INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
66.4%
74
33.6%
Q3 - 3:31INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
69.2%
74
30.8%
Q3 - 3:46INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
66.4%
74
33.6%
Q3 - 3:47DENMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot78
67.7%
74
32.3%
Q3 - 3:58DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
70.4%
74
29.6%
Q3 - 3:59INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot78
69.2%
74
30.8%
Q3 - 4:16DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)78
65.6%
74
34.4%
Q3 - 4:16DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
64.9%
74
35.1%
Q3 - 4:27INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
62.3%
74
37.7%
Q3 - 4:27INDHibbert Putback Dunk (10 PTS)76
62.3%
74
37.7%
Q3 - 4:28INDMISS Collison 4' Jump Shot76
68.7%
72
31.3%
Q3 - 4:38INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
65.6%
72
34.4%
Q3 - 4:38DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 276
66.2%
72
33.8%
Q3 - 4:38DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)76
68.7%
72
31.3%
Q3 - 4:45DENNuggets Rebound75
66.3%
72
33.7%
Q3 - 4:46DENCollison BLOCK (1 BLK)75
63.1%
72
36.9%
Q3 - 4:59DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
66.3%
72
33.7%
Q3 - 5:01INDMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot75
64.1%
72
35.9%
Q3 - 5:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
61.1%
72
38.9%
Q3 - 5:14DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
62.4%
72
37.6%
Q3 - 5:34DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
65.4%
72
34.6%
Q3 - 5:35INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
64.1%
72
35.9%
Q3 - 5:52DENAfflalo 1' Layup (11 PTS)75
61.1%
72
38.9%
Q3 - 6:13INDCollison 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
57.2%
72
42.8%
Q3 - 6:24INDPACERS Rebound73
60.8%
70
39.2%
Q3 - 6:25DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup73
62.1%
70
37.9%
Q3 - 6:44INDGranger 2' Layup (24 PTS)73
64.9%
70
35.1%
Q3 - 6:53INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
68.2%
68
31.8%
Q3 - 6:54DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
69.3%
68
30.7%
Q3 - 7:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
70.6%
68
29.4%
Q3 - 7:07INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot73
69.6%
68
30.4%
Q3 - 7:20DENLawson 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)73
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q3 - 7:28DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
60.3%
68
39.7%
Q3 - 7:31INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot70
59.1%
68
40.9%
Q3 - 7:43DENKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)70
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 7:43DENMISS Koufos Free Throw 1 of 269
55.1%
68
44.9%
Q3 - 7:43DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
56.6%
68
43.4%
Q3 - 7:44DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup69
53.8%
68
46.2%
Q3 - 7:48DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
56.6%
68
43.4%
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot69
53.8%
68
46.2%
Q3 - 8:08INDGranger Foul Turnover (P4.T14)69
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 8:20INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q3 - 8:21DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot69
53.7%
68
46.3%
Q3 - 8:28INDWest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)69
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q3 - 8:45DENNuggets Rebound69
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q3 - 8:45DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q3 - 8:45DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 268
51.4%
68
48.6%
Q3 - 9:05INDGeorge 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)68
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q3 - 9:16DENBrewer Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)68
56.0%
66
44.0%
Q3 - 9:20INDCollison Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)66
52.5%
66
47.5%
Q3 - 9:33DENBrewer 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
48.7%
66
51.3%
Q3 - 9:37DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
45.1%
66
54.9%
Q3 - 9:39DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot64
42.5%
66
57.5%
Q3 - 9:57INDWest 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)64
45.1%
66
54.9%
Q3 - 10:19DENKoufos Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)64
48.7%
64
51.3%
Q3 - 10:33INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P2.T11)64
52.5%
64
47.5%
Q3 - 10:38DENNene 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)64
48.7%
64
51.3%
Q3 - 10:58INDHibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)62
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q3 - 11:00INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
48.7%
62
51.3%
Q3 - 11:01INDMISS Collison 19' Jump Shot62
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 11:26DENAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
49.0%
62
51.0%
Q3 - 11:44INDGranger Layup (22 PTS) (West 1 AST)60
45.8%
62
54.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND60
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound60
49.0%
60
51.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Price 38' 3PT Jump Shot60
51.6%
60
48.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENLawson 5' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
49.8%
60
50.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
45.6%
60
54.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENNuggets Rebound58
52.2%
58
47.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 258
50.1%
58
49.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 258
52.1%
58
47.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0INDPrice 14' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)58
52.2%
58
47.8%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENLawson Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
56.3%
56
43.7%
Q2 - 1:08INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
52.1%
56
47.9%
Q2 - 1:08INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 256
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q2 - 1:13INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q2 - 1:13DENMISS Nene 4' Jump Shot56
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q2 - 1:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
55.3%
55
44.7%
Q2 - 1:25INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
54.6%
55
45.4%
Q2 - 1:45DENAfflalo 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)56
53.1%
55
46.9%
Q2 - 1:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
48.8%
55
51.2%
Q2 - 1:50INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup54
48.1%
55
51.9%
Q2 - 2:09DENBrewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)54
46.2%
55
53.8%
Q2 - 2:30INDGranger 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)51
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q2 - 2:46INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
43.1%
53
56.9%
Q2 - 2:47DENWest BLOCK (1 BLK)51
44.0%
53
56.0%
Q2 - 2:59INDGranger Foul Turnover (P3.T10)51
46.2%
53
53.8%
Q2 - 3:05DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)51
43.2%
53
56.8%
Q2 - 3:09INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
40.7%
53
59.3%
Q2 - 3:28DENAfflalo 2' Layup (5 PTS)49
37.3%
53
62.7%
Q2 - 3:30DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
34.9%
53
65.1%
Q2 - 3:30DENMISS Brewer 3' Layup47
32.7%
53
67.3%
Q2 - 3:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
34.9%
53
65.1%
Q2 - 3:36INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot47
33.9%
53
66.1%
Q2 - 3:58DENBrewer 5' Running Bank Shot (9 PTS)47
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 4:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
29.8%
53
70.2%
Q2 - 4:06INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q2 - 4:22DENHarrington 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)45
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 4:26INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
25.1%
53
74.9%
Q2 - 4:45DENLawson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q2 - 5:01INDWest 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 1 AST)41
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q2 - 5:13DENBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)41
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q2 - 5:20DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 5:21INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup41
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q2 - 5:31INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q2 - 5:32DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q2 - 5:42INDPrice Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 5:43INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q2 - 5:44DENHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)41
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q2 - 5:56DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
25.6%
51
74.4%
Q2 - 5:57INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot41
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q2 - 6:12DENBrewer 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)41
24.0%
51
76.0%
Q2 - 6:17DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q2 - 6:18INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot39
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 6:25INDJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q2 - 6:26INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot39
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q2 - 6:39DENHansbrough STEAL (1 STL)39
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q2 - 6:58INDWest 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)39
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q2 - 7:16DENNene 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)39
24.7%
49
75.3%
Q2 - 7:31INDPrice 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)37
22.9%
49
77.1%
Q2 - 7:53INDMISS Jones Free Throw Technical37
26.8%
46
73.2%
Q2 - 7:54DENBrewer 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)37
26.8%
46
73.2%
Q2 - 7:57DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 7:58INDMISS Amundson 1' Alley Oop Dunk35
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 8:13DENFernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 8:13DENFernandez Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
23.2%
46
76.8%
Q2 - 8:17INDPrice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 8:21DENPrice STEAL (2 STL)33
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 8:33INDPrice 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
21.7%
46
78.3%
Q2 - 8:39INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS Miller 2' Layup33
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 8:43DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
25.6%
44
74.4%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Miller Layup33
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 8:54DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
25.5%
44
74.5%
Q2 - 8:56DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 9:10INDJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)33
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 9:15INDPrice Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)33
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q2 - 9:15INDPrice Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)33
28.6%
42
71.4%
Q2 - 9:15INDPrice Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)33
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 9:20INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 9:21DENMISS Faried 3' Layup33
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 9:24DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 9:25DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup33
33.1%
40
66.9%
Q2 - 9:32DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 9:33INDMISS Price 19' Jump Shot33
34.0%
40
66.0%
Q2 - 9:56DENFernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)33
32.3%
40
67.7%
Q2 - 10:11INDPrice 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
28.4%
40
71.6%
Q2 - 10:29DENHarrington 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 10:47INDStephenson 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)28
30.5%
37
69.5%
Q2 - 10:51DENStephenson STEAL (1 STL)28
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 10:56DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
34.9%
35
65.1%
Q2 - 10:58INDMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot28
34.1%
35
65.9%
Q2 - 11:19DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
32.7%
35
67.3%
Q2 - 11:19DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
32.2%
35
67.8%
Q2 - 11:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30.7%
35
69.3%
Q2 - 11:41INDMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
30.0%
35
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND26
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENPrice STEAL (1 STL)26
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
30.8%
35
69.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDMISS Granger 7' Jump Shot26
30.3%
35
69.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDGranger Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)26
29.2%
35
70.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T5)26
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)26
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q1 - 1:12DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q1 - 1:12DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
37.9%
31
62.1%
Q1 - 1:12INDGranger Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q1 - 1:18DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q1 - 1:18DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 223
33.4%
31
66.6%
Q1 - 1:35INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)23
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q1 - 1:52DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)23
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q1 - 2:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q1 - 2:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
32.3%
28
67.7%
Q1 - 2:16INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
34.2%
27
65.8%
Q1 - 2:17DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
34.7%
27
65.3%
Q1 - 2:36INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Price 1 AST)20
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q1 - 2:47INDPACERS Rebound20
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 2:49DENMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot20
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 2:51DENNuggets Rebound20
42.6%
24
57.4%
Q1 - 2:51DENPrice BLOCK (1 BLK)20
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 3:01DENNuggets Rebound20
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q1 - 3:02DENMISS Nene 2' Layup20
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q1 - 3:20INDCollison Foul Turnover (P2.T4)20
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q1 - 3:33DENNene 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
40.6%
24
59.4%
Q1 - 3:44INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)18
38.6%
24
61.4%
Q1 - 3:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
40.6%
22
59.4%
Q1 - 3:56DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup18
41.3%
22
58.7%
Q1 - 4:09INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)18
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 4:15DENAfflalo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)18
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 4:19DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 4:21INDMISS Granger 1' Layup16
42.2%
20
57.8%
Q1 - 4:38DENBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
40.6%
20
59.4%
Q1 - 4:38DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 215
40.1%
20
59.9%
Q1 - 5:02INDHibbert 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)15
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q1 - 5:20INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot15
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 5:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 5:28INDMISS George 28' 3PT Jump Shot15
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 5:40INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Nene 1' Layup15
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 5:55INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
45.1%
18
54.9%
Q1 - 5:55INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 215
45.4%
17
54.6%
Q1 - 6:17DENKoufos Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 6:33INDGranger 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
47.2%
17
52.8%
Q1 - 6:44DENKoufos 1' Dunk (2 PTS)15
49.1%
15
50.9%
Q1 - 6:46DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
47.2%
15
52.8%
Q1 - 6:47DENMISS Brewer 4' Jump Shot13
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 7:01INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)13
47.3%
15
52.7%
Q1 - 7:13DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 7:13DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 212
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 7:21INDCollison Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
51.3%
12
48.7%
Q1 - 7:36DENGeorge STEAL (1 STL)12
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 7:46INDGranger 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)12
51.3%
12
48.7%
Q1 - 8:00DENBrewer 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)12
53.0%
10
47.0%
Q1 - 8:05DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 8:06INDMISS West 20' Jump Shot10
50.7%
10
49.3%
Q1 - 8:25DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 8:34INDWest 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)7
45.5%
10
54.5%
Q1 - 8:51DENLawson 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
47.4%
8
52.6%
Q1 - 9:01INDHibbert 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 9:29DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
47.8%
6
52.2%
Q1 - 9:44INDCollison 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)5
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 10:00DENNene 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)5
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 10:15INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T2)3
49.8%
4
50.2%
Q1 - 10:26DENBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T1)3
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 10:30INDWest 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)3
49.8%
4
50.2%
Q1 - 10:51DENNene 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)3
51.3%
2
48.7%
Q1 - 11:00DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)1
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 11:10INDGranger 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)0
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 11:15INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 11:16DENMISS Brewer 1' Layup0
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 11:30INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 11:38INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.6%
0
50.4%
Q1 - 11:39DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Koufos: Tip to Afflalo0
51.2%
0
48.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.9%
IND
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
27
48
56%
IND
17
27
63%
Midrange
DEN
11
22
50%
IND
17
30
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
IND
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
22
33
67%
IND
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2768%13.5 / 20
A. Afflalo2388%11.5 / 13
C. Brewer1953%9.5 / 18
Nene1150%5.5 / 11
A. Harrington1026%5.0 / 19
K. Koufos770%3.5 / 5
R. Fernandez770%3.5 / 5
A. Miller638%3.0 / 8
K. Faried350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2665%13.0 / 20
D. West2292%11.0 / 12
P. George1575%7.5 / 10
A. Price1372%6.5 / 9
R. Hibbert1250%6.0 / 12
D. Collison750%3.5 / 7
T. Hansbrough675%3.0 / 4
L. Stephenson433%2.0 / 6
D. Jones440%2.0 / 5
L. Amundson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+20
-12
104
IND
77
+11
-20
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.9%
IND
1.22 61.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
106.4
DEN 117.7 +5.3
IND 112.4
Pace
94.1
91.1
DEN 93.8
IND 101.2 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.7
DEN 15.3
IND 14.2 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
47.4%
DEN 52.3%
IND 58.2% +5.9%
TO %
15.7%
14.4%
DEN 10.6% +7.8%
IND 18.4%
ORB %
27.7%
29.3%
DEN 35.9% +16.5%
IND 19.4%
FTrt
32.6
32.1
DEN 37.9 +10.1
IND 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
52.2%
DEN 32.6%
IND 52.4% +19.8%
STL %
8.6%
8.7%
DEN 8.3% +2.1%
IND 6.2%
BLK %
8.1%
8.8%
DEN 7.0%
IND 7.1% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
50.9%
DEN 54.9%
IND 61.2% +6.3%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.6%
DEN 56.3%
IND 63.0% +6.7%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.3%
DEN 50.0%
IND 56.7% +6.7%
3P %
33.2%
36.8%
DEN 29.4%
IND 36.4% +7.0%
FT %
73.6%
78.3%
DEN 66.7%
IND 77.3% +10.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
48.0%
37.8%
DEN 55.2% +21.0%
IND 34.2%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
42.4%
DEN 25.3% +12.7%
IND 38.0%
3P Att. %
24.3%
19.8%
DEN 19.5%
IND 27.8% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes24.623.0
Points113109
Rebounds3931
Assists1422
Steals86
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)25 (4)
Field Goals43-8742-79
At-the-Rim FG27-4817-27
Midrange FG11-2217-30
2-Point FG38-7034-57
3-Point FG5-178-22
Free Throws22-3317-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 5'11" 195 · 24
36.0
27
68%
3
2
2
0
0
2
1
2
5-7
71%
8-14
57%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
35.6
23
88%
5
2
0
0
1
3
1
4
6-6
100%
7-8
88%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 186 · 26
34.2
19
53%
5
1
2
0
3
4
2
3
2-4
50%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 265 · 23
26.1
7
70%
7
1
0
0
2
3
4
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
21.9
11
50%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
1-4
25%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 32
35.8
10
26%
6
1
1
2
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-6
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 36
20.7
6
38%
3
4
2
1
3
4
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
· 6'6" 185 · 27
18.0
7
70%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 22
11.7
3
50%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
C · 7'1" 275 · 26
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
55%
39
14
8
4
12
0
14
25
22-33
67%
38-70
54%
5-17
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.