FinalWin Prob.pScore
2415%93
91
185%107
107
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
92.998105.5
MIA logo MIA
110.39790.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEMISS Eyenga 21' Jump Shot91
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 6 AST)91
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0CLEWade STEAL (3 STL)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (James 5 AST)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHEAT Rebound91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11CLEMISS Harangody 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames 8' Floating Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46CLEVarejao 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Irving 6 AST)91
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (26 PTS)89
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 2:10CLEMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 2:23MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)89
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 2:41CLEGee 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)89
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAHaslem 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)86
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:18CLEVarejao Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T16)86
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T16)86
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 3:31CLEMISS Irving 7' Jump Shot86
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 3:51MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)86
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 4:06CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 4:06CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 4:20CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)84
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot84
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40CLEJamison 4' Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 4:41CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:42CLEMISS Irving 6' Jump Shot82
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 5:04MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 5:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)82
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:17CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:17CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 5:23CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot80
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 5:37CLEIrving Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:37CLEIrving Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:37MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:53CLEIrving Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)78
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:13MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)78
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 6:25CLEMISS Jamison 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup78
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)78
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 6:46CLEMISS Eyenga 2' Driving Layup78
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 7:01MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)78
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHEAT Rebound78
1.9%
88
98.1%
Q4 - 7:21CLEMISS Sessions 19' Jump Shot78
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 7:25CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 7:26CLEMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 7:42MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 7:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)78
3.2%
86
96.8%
Q4 - 7:47CLEMISS Jamison 1' Layup78
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q4 - 8:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)78
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 8:22CLEMISS Sessions 9' Jump Shot78
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q4 - 8:49MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS)78
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 9:03CLESessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 9:03CLESessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q4 - 9:07CLECavaliers Rebound76
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 9:08CLEMISS Irving 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:11CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 9:12CLEMISS Irving 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup76
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 9:21MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)76
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 9:35CLEIrving 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
5.3%
82
94.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)74
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot74
7.8%
80
92.2%
Q4 - 10:06MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 10:07CLEMISS Eyenga 11' Floating Jump Shot74
7.5%
80
92.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMiller 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)74
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
10.7%
78
89.3%
Q4 - 10:46CLEMISS Harangody 3PT Jump Shot74
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q4 - 10:54CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
13.0%
78
87.0%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Miller 2' Tip Shot74
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Cole 19' Jump Shot74
12.2%
78
87.8%
Q4 - 11:10CLEIrving Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T14)74
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 11:11CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
13.2%
78
86.8%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Cole 7' Running Hook Shot74
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q4 - 11:33CLEHarangody 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)74
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q4 - 11:34CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)72
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 11:36CLEMISS Harangody 2' Tip Shot72
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 11:38CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 11:39CLEMISS Samuels 2' Hook Shot72
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 11:40CLESamuels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 11:41CLEMISS Sessions 1' Layup72
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 11:46CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS James 14' Jump Bank Shot72
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0CLESessions Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)72
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0CLECavaliers Rebound72
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 0:41.0CLEHollins Foul Turnover (P3.T12)72
7.8%
78
92.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJames 2' Dunk (20 PTS)72
9.3%
78
90.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Battier 1' Layup72
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q3 - 1:05CLEMISS Harangody 5' Jump Shot72
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:12CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)72
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q3 - 1:27CLEMISS Harangody 5' Hook Shot72
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:29CLEHarangody REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q3 - 1:31CLEMISS Casspi 3PT Jump Shot72
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:49MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q3 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
17.9%
73
82.1%
Q3 - 2:15CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 172
18.3%
73
81.7%
Q3 - 2:22CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot69
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q3 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q3 - 2:44CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 269
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q3 - 2:44CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 1 of 269
12.5%
73
87.5%
Q3 - 2:56MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 269
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q3 - 3:14CLESessions 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)69
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIAJames 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)67
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 3:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
12.8%
70
87.2%
Q3 - 3:38CLEMISS Gee 18' Jump Shot67
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 3:43CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup67
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 4:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 4:05CLEMISS Harangody 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw Technical67
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 4:26MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)67
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 4:33CLEWade STEAL (2 STL)67
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q3 - 4:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)67
23.1%
67
76.9%
Q3 - 4:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
23.6%
66
76.4%
Q3 - 5:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
25.1%
65
74.9%
Q3 - 5:04CLEMISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 267
25.6%
65
74.4%
Q3 - 5:04CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q3 - 5:28MIABosh 9' Hook Shot (10 PTS)66
25.5%
65
74.5%
Q3 - 5:45CLEGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
28.4%
63
71.6%
Q3 - 5:45CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 5:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)64
25.5%
63
74.5%
Q3 - 6:01CLECasspi Foul Turnover (P2.T10)64
21.4%
63
78.6%
Q3 - 6:09CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot64
23.5%
63
76.5%
Q3 - 6:26CLEJamison 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Irving 5 AST)64
21.5%
63
78.5%
Q3 - 6:30CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup62
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 7:05CLEVarejao 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Casspi 3 AST)62
16.3%
63
83.7%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)60
14.4%
63
85.6%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 7:42CLEIrving Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)60
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 7:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)60
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 7:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
16.3%
61
83.7%
Q3 - 7:51CLEMISS Jamison 12' Jump Shot60
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 8:11MIAWade 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)60
18.4%
61
81.6%
Q3 - 8:17CLEGee 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Varejao 1 AST)60
20.5%
59
79.5%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)58
18.4%
59
81.6%
Q3 - 8:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot58
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q3 - 8:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 8:43CLEMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 258
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 8:43CLEJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 8:54CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
16.2%
59
83.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 257
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 8:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 9:00CLEMISS Irving 18' Jump Shot57
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 9:07MIAJames 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 9:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q3 - 9:14CLEMISS Gee 2' Driving Layup57
20.7%
56
79.3%
Q3 - 9:34CLECavaliers Rebound57
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q3 - 9:52CLECasspi 2' Layup (6 PTS)57
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q3 - 9:56MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)55
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q3 - 10:07CLEVarejao Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
15.2%
56
84.8%
Q3 - 10:07CLEVarejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
14.7%
56
85.3%
Q3 - 10:13MIAChalmers 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)53
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 10:29CLEGee 2' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q3 - 10:30CLEGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 10:31CLEMISS Gee 7' Jump Shot51
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q3 - 10:45CLEMISS Irving Free Throw Technical51
13.6%
54
86.4%
Q3 - 11:05MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)51
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 11:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q3 - 11:19CLEMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T6)51
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 11:47CLECasspi 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gee 1 AST)51
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE48
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound48
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Jamison 10' Jump Shot48
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot48
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot48
9.1%
54
90.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAHEAT Rebound48
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0CLEMISS Varejao 20' Jump Shot48
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q2 - 1:08MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)48
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q2 - 1:29CLEJamison 8' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Irving 4 AST)48
12.1%
51
87.9%
Q2 - 1:53CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper46
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q2 - 2:06CLEGee 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)46
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 2:10MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)44
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 2:30CLEJamison 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS)44
7.5%
51
92.5%
Q2 - 2:33CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 2:34CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 2 of 242
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 2:34CLEMISS Gee Free Throw 1 of 242
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 2:41CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot42
6.4%
51
93.6%
Q2 - 2:52MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
5.9%
51
94.1%
Q2 - 2:54CLEMISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot42
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
6.7%
51
93.3%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)42
6.9%
50
93.1%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 3:09CLEMISS Irving 1' Driving Layup42
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)42
8.4%
49
91.6%
Q2 - 3:39CLEJamison 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Casspi 2 AST)42
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)40
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 4:19CLEIrving 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
7.5%
45
92.5%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 4:42CLEGee 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)37
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 5:01CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS James 1' Layup35
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 5:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 5:17CLEMISS Irving 19' Jump Shot35
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 5:31CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
7.3%
43
92.7%
Q2 - 5:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 5:41CLEMISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot35
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 5:48MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
7.5%
43
92.5%
Q2 - 5:50CLEJamison 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Irving 3 AST)35
6.8%
43
93.2%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWade 2' Layup (8 PTS)33
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 6:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 6:08CLEMISS Irving 2' Driving Layup33
7.1%
41
92.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
7.9%
40
92.1%
Q2 - 6:36MIAHEAT Rebound33
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup33
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 6:40CLEWade STEAL (1 STL)33
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 6:58MIABosh 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)33
9.4%
39
90.6%
Q2 - 7:22CLEJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Irving 2 AST)33
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 7:29CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
8.5%
37
91.5%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot30
8.2%
37
91.8%
Q2 - 7:47MIAHEAT Rebound30
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup30
8.2%
37
91.8%
Q2 - 7:51MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
7.6%
37
92.4%
Q2 - 7:52CLEBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)30
7.8%
37
92.2%
Q2 - 8:04CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
8.5%
37
91.5%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot30
8.3%
37
91.7%
Q2 - 8:28CLEIrving 1' Layup (7 PTS)30
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 8:32CLEIrving REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHEAT Rebound28
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 8:44CLEMISS Irving 21' Jump Shot28
6.5%
37
93.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
7.0%
37
93.0%
Q2 - 9:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 9:09CLEMISS Eyenga 1' Dunk28
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 9:10CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 9:11CLEMISS Harangody 24' Jump Shot28
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 9:19CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 9:20CLEMISS Hollins Free Throw 2 of 228
7.8%
35
92.2%
Q2 - 9:20CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
8.2%
35
91.8%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
7.7%
35
92.3%
Q2 - 9:39MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper27
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q2 - 9:53CLEIrving Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)27
9.3%
32
90.7%
Q2 - 10:08MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)27
10.4%
32
89.6%
Q2 - 10:32CLEHollins 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Eyenga 1 AST)27
11.3%
30
88.7%
Q2 - 10:52MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup25
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 11:10CLEMISS Sessions 22' Jump Shot25
11.7%
28
88.3%
Q2 - 11:16CLEEyenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAMISS Cole 22' Jump Shot25
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 11:40CLEHollins Foul Turnover (P2.T6)25
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE25
12.4%
28
87.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0CLEJames STEAL (2 STL)25
13.5%
26
86.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)25
14.4%
26
85.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0CLEHollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0CLEHollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
16.8%
23
83.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0CLEHollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0CLEMISS Harangody 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 1:09MIABattier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
15.4%
23
84.6%
Q1 - 1:28CLEGee 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)23
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 1:33CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
15.4%
21
84.6%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot21
15.2%
21
84.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.6%
21
85.4%
Q1 - 1:50CLEMISS Sessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 2:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 2:24CLEHollins Foul Turnover (P1.T4)21
16.8%
19
83.2%
Q1 - 2:32CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 3:01CLEHaslem STEAL (1 STL)21
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 3:09MIAAnthony 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)21
17.7%
19
82.3%
Q1 - 3:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 3:11MIAMISS Battier 2' Layup21
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:43CLEVarejao 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)21
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 3:56MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
17.8%
17
82.2%
Q1 - 4:21CLEJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)19
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 4:54CLEJamison 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)16
14.8%
15
85.2%
Q1 - 5:03CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
13.8%
15
86.2%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper14
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 5:27CLEJamison 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)14
12.8%
15
87.2%
Q1 - 5:36CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 5:37MIAMISS Anthony 9' Turnaround Hook Shot12
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 5:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 5:54CLEMISS Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 6:01CLESessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS Anthony 4' Reverse Layup12
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 6:17CLEGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
10.9%
15
89.1%
Q1 - 6:17CLEGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 6:18MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
10.2%
15
89.8%
Q1 - 6:31CLEVarejao 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 6:32CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 6:33CLEMISS Jamison 6' Floating Jump Shot8
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 6:51CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup8
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 6:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 6:58CLEWade BLOCK (1 BLK)8
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 7:19MIAJames 2' Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 7:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
9.3%
13
90.7%
Q1 - 7:24CLEMISS Irving 17' Jump Shot8
9.5%
13
90.5%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
10.1%
13
89.9%
Q1 - 7:41CLEIrving 2' Layup (5 PTS)8
10.7%
11
89.3%
Q1 - 7:47MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 7:52CLEChalmers STEAL (1 STL)6
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
9.9%
11
90.1%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 8:21MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Anthony 13' Jump Shot6
11.1%
9
88.9%
Q1 - 8:39CLEJamison 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Irving 1 AST)6
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 8:51MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 9:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:04CLEMISS Varejao 1' Layup4
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 9:10CLECasspi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:11CLEMISS Gee 1' Layup4
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 9:16CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 6' Fadeaway Jumper4
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 9:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:32CLEMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot4
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 9:35CLEJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 9:36CLEMISS Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 9:50MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 10:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:06CLEMISS Casspi Free Throw 2 of 24
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:06CLECasspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:35MIAHEAT Rebound3
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:36MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot3
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:41CLEJames STEAL (1 STL)3
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:55CLEVarejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot3
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 11:21CLEIrving 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)3
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 11:40MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
11.8%
2
88.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Varejao: Tip to Bosh0
12.6%
0
87.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
21
38
55%
MIA
21
32
66%
Midrange
CLE
4
25
16%
MIA
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
CLE
20
30
67%
MIA
23
26
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jamison2554%12.5 / 23
A. Gee1761%8.5 / 14
K. Irving1647%8.0 / 17
A. Varejao1169%5.5 / 8
R. Sessions950%4.5 / 9
O. Casspi650%3.0 / 6
R. Hollins550%2.5 / 5
L. Harangody211%1.0 / 9
C. Eyenga0-0.0 / 4
S. Samuels0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2662%13.0 / 21
L. James2463%12.0 / 19
C. Bosh1563%7.5 / 12
M. Chalmers1464%7.0 / 11
U. Haslem1478%7.0 / 9
M. Miller844%4.0 / 9
J. Anthony225%1.0 / 4
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
N. Cole214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
81
+17
-17
98
MIA
81
+16
-16
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.93 46.4%
MIA
1.09 54.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
106.6
CLE 92.9 +17.5
MIA 110.3
Pace
91.3
91.3
CLE 105.5 +14.9
MIA 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.8
CLE 13.7 +2.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.5%
CLE 43.3%
MIA 50.0% +6.7%
TO %
15.9%
15.9%
CLE 15.2%
MIA 14.4% +0.8%
ORB %
29.0%
26.6%
CLE 30.0%
MIA 30.0%
FTrt
30.7
30.7
CLE 36.6 +5.6
MIA 31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
53.8%
CLE 53.1% +4.4%
MIA 48.7%
STL %
7.7%
9.6%
CLE 10.2% +3.0%
MIA 7.2%
BLK %
6.2%
9.0%
CLE 3.0%
MIA 3.2% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
53.5%
CLE 46.4%
MIA 54.6% +8.2%
Rim FG%
54.0%
61.1%
CLE 55.3%
MIA 65.6% +10.3%
Mid FG%
33.7%
40.0%
CLE 16.0%
MIA 34.3% +18.3%
3P %
34.6%
35.9%
CLE 36.8% +1.5%
MIA 35.3%
FT %
71.6%
77.5%
CLE 66.7%
MIA 88.5% +21.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
36.7%
CLE 46.3% +8.2%
MIA 38.1%
Mid Att. %
35.3%
43.6%
CLE 30.5% +11.2%
MIA 41.7%
3P Att. %
23.8%
19.8%
CLE 23.2% +2.9%
MIA 20.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points91107
Rebounds4347
Assists1719
Steals107
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)35 (5)
Field Goals32-8239-84
At-the-Rim FG21-3821-32
Midrange FG4-2512-35
2-Point FG25-6333-67
3-Point FG7-196-17
Free Throws20-3023-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 25
35.3
17
61%
1
1
2
1
0
3
1
0
4-6
67%
5-10
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 36
34.1
25
54%
9
0
2
0
1
4
4
5
1-2
50%
9-17
53%
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 195 · 20
33.8
16
47%
6
6
2
0
5
3
1
5
4-5
80%
3-12
25%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
31.4
11
69%
11
1
3
0
2
1
1
10
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
24.0
6
50%
1
4
0
0
2
3
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 190 · 26
30.1
9
50%
5
4
0
0
4
0
0
5
4-4
100%
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 210 · 23
20.8
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 24
13.9
2
11%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
C · 7'0" 240 · 27
9.7
5
50%
1
0
0
0
3
4
1
0
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 260 · 23
5.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#18 · G · 6'6" 210 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'2" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
46%
43
17
10
2
17
0
15
28
20-30
67%
25-63
40%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.