| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 TOR | 97.8 | 91 | 85.4 |
 MIA | 104.4 | 91 | 97.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
75
+14
-16
89
MIA
77
+11
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | TOR | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 89 0% | 95 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 89 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 89 0.4% | 95 99.6% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 89 0.4% | 95 99.6% |
| Q4 - 0:22.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS) | 89 0.2% | 95 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | TOR | Kleiza 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 89 0.4% | 94 99.6% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 87 0.2% | 94 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 87 0.2% | 94 99.8% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 87 0.3% | 93 99.7% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | TOR | Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST) | 87 0.5% | 93 99.5% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Haslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 84 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 84 0.5% | 91 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 83 0.4% | 91 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 82 0.4% | 91 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 82 0.5% | 90 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 82 0.7% | 89 99.3% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | TOR | MISS Bayless 1' Driving Layup | 82 0.8% | 89 99.2% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14) | 82 1.6% | 89 98.4% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 82 0.9% | 89 99.1% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | TOR | MISS Johnson 1' Tip Shot | 82 1.1% | 89 98.9% |
| Q4 - 1:40 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 82 1.7% | 89 98.3% |
| Q4 - 1:41 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 8' Floating Jump Shot | 82 1.2% | 89 98.8% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | MIA | James 1' Slam Dunk (29 PTS) | 82 2.1% | 89 97.9% |
| Q4 - 2:10 | TOR | James STEAL (1 STL) | 82 2.8% | 87 97.2% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS) | 82 5.6% | 87 94.4% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS) | 82 6.1% | 86 93.9% |
| Q4 - 2:38 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 82 7.2% | 85 92.8% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | TOR | MISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 82 8.9% | 85 91.1% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 82 13.9% | 85 86.1% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | MIA | MISS Bosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper | 82 11.8% | 85 88.2% |
| Q4 - 3:23 | TOR | Bayless 7' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 82 7.9% | 85 92.1% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 80 7.1% | 85 92.9% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | MIA | MISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 80 6.3% | 85 93.7% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | TOR | Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST) | 80 4.7% | 85 95.3% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | TOR | Bayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 77 2.3% | 85 97.7% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 77 2.0% | 85 98.0% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | TOR | Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST) | 77 1.5% | 85 98.5% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | MIA | Bosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T13) | 74 1.2% | 85 98.8% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | TOR | Kleiza Foul Turnover (P3.T15) | 74 0.8% | 85 99.2% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | MIA | Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 74 1.1% | 85 98.9% |
| Q4 - 5:50 | TOR | DeRozan 4' Floating Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 74 0.8% | 85 99.2% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | TOR | Bayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | MIA | MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot | 72 0.5% | 85 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:18 | TOR | Johnson 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST) | 72 0.6% | 85 99.4% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 70 0.4% | 85 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 70 0.5% | 84 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot | 70 0.5% | 84 99.5% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 70 0.6% | 84 99.4% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 70 0.6% | 83 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:11 | TOR | Kleiza 3' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) | 70 1.0% | 82 99.0% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 68 0.8% | 82 99.2% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | TOR | MISS Bayless 22' Jump Shot | 68 0.6% | 82 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 68 0.8% | 82 99.2% |
| Q4 - 8:11 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 68 1.7% | 79 98.3% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | TOR | MISS Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 | 68 1.7% | 79 98.3% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 68 2.0% | 79 98.0% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 67 1.6% | 79 98.4% |
| Q4 - 8:36 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 67 2.1% | 77 97.9% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | TOR | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 67 2.3% | 77 97.7% |
| Q4 - 8:57 | TOR | Bayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 67 2.7% | 77 97.3% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | TOR | MISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 2 | 67 2.2% | 77 97.8% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | TOR | Bayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 67 2.6% | 77 97.4% |
| Q4 - 9:15 | MIA | Battier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11) | 66 2.4% | 77 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | TOR | Davis 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST) | 66 1.9% | 77 98.1% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | MIA | Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 64 1.5% | 77 98.5% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 64 1.2% | 77 98.8% |
| Q4 - 9:39 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 6' Hook Shot | 64 1.3% | 77 98.7% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | MIA | Haslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 64 1.8% | 77 98.2% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | TOR | Battier STEAL (1 STL) | 64 2.2% | 75 97.8% |
| Q4 - 10:51 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 64 2.7% | 75 97.3% |
| Q4 - 10:52 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Tip Shot | 64 2.5% | 75 97.5% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 64 2.2% | 75 97.8% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 64 2.5% | 75 97.5% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | TOR | Kleiza 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 64 2.4% | 75 97.6% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 62 2.0% | 75 98.0% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot | 62 1.7% | 75 98.3% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 62 2.0% | 75 98.0% |
| Q4 - 11:41 | MIA | MISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot | 62 1.8% | 75 98.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 62 1.6% | 75 98.4% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 62 1.6% | 75 98.4% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 2.1% | 75 97.9% |
| Q3 - 0:08.0 | TOR | Forbes 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 62 1.8% | 75 98.2% |
| Q3 - 0:29.0 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 1.5% | 75 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | MIA | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 60 1.4% | 75 98.6% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | TOR | Barbosa Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 60 1.2% | 75 98.8% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | MIA | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 60 1.6% | 75 98.4% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | TOR | Haslem STEAL (1 STL) | 60 1.9% | 73 98.1% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 60 2.3% | 73 97.7% |
| Q3 - 1:30 | MIA | MISS James 19' Jump Shot | 60 2.2% | 73 97.8% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | TOR | Bayless 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST) | 60 1.9% | 73 98.1% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | TOR | Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 1.4% | 73 98.6% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | MIA | MISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 57 1.3% | 73 98.7% |
| Q3 - 2:23 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 57 1.2% | 73 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:24 | TOR | MISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 1.2% | 73 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 57 1.4% | 73 98.6% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 57 1.2% | 73 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | TOR | MISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot | 57 1.2% | 73 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 57 1.4% | 73 98.6% |
| Q3 - 2:50 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 1.3% | 73 98.7% |
| Q3 - 3:12 | TOR | Forbes Foul Turnover (P1.T11) | 57 1.3% | 73 98.7% |
| Q3 - 3:27 | MIA | James 16' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS) | 57 1.5% | 73 98.5% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 57 1.8% | 71 98.2% |
| Q3 - 3:49 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 1.9% | 71 98.1% |
| Q3 - 4:09 | MIA | Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 57 2.3% | 71 97.7% |
| Q3 - 4:17 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 57 3.1% | 68 96.9% |
| Q3 - 4:18 | TOR | MISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot | 57 3.3% | 68 96.7% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 57 3.8% | 68 96.2% |
| Q3 - 4:54 | TOR | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 57 5.2% | 65 94.8% |
| Q3 - 5:06 | TOR | Forbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 5:07 | MIA | MISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 6.0% | 65 94.0% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 57 5.3% | 65 94.7% |
| Q3 - 5:14 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup | 57 5.6% | 65 94.4% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 57 6.3% | 65 93.7% |
| Q3 - 5:28 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 57 6.5% | 64 93.5% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | TOR | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 57 7.3% | 63 92.7% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 57 8.7% | 63 91.3% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 57 8.2% | 63 91.8% |
| Q3 - 6:17 | TOR | Calderon 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 57 7.3% | 63 92.7% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 55 6.4% | 63 93.6% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot | 55 6.1% | 63 93.9% |
| Q3 - 6:48 | TOR | Calderon Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8) | 55 5.4% | 63 94.6% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) | 55 6.5% | 63 93.5% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS) | 55 7.4% | 61 92.6% |
| Q3 - 7:29 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 | 54 7.2% | 61 92.8% |
| Q3 - 7:49 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 54 7.5% | 61 92.5% |
| Q3 - 7:50 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 54 7.1% | 61 92.9% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | TOR | DeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 54 6.4% | 61 93.6% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | MIA | Wade 1' Dunk (21 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 54 7.5% | 61 92.5% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 54 8.5% | 59 91.5% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | TOR | MISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 8.9% | 59 91.1% |
| Q3 - 8:34 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 54 9.9% | 59 90.1% |
| Q3 - 8:35 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot | 54 8.9% | 59 91.1% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS) | 54 9.9% | 59 90.1% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS) | 54 10.1% | 58 89.9% |
| Q3 - 9:01 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 54 10.9% | 57 89.1% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | TOR | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 54 11.4% | 57 88.6% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8) | 54 12.5% | 57 87.5% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 54 10.9% | 57 89.1% |
| Q3 - 9:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 4' Jump Shot | 54 12.0% | 57 88.0% |
| Q3 - 9:24 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 54 11.0% | 57 89.0% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | TOR | MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot | 54 11.4% | 57 88.6% |
| Q3 - 9:53 | MIA | Wade 12' Hook Shot (19 PTS) | 54 12.5% | 57 87.5% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST) | 54 13.7% | 55 86.3% |
| Q3 - 10:12 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 12.2% | 55 87.8% |
| Q3 - 10:13 | MIA | MISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot | 52 11.7% | 55 88.3% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 52 10.7% | 55 89.3% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 51 10.4% | 55 89.6% |
| Q3 - 10:30 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 9.5% | 55 90.5% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot | 50 9.1% | 55 90.9% |
| Q3 - 10:39 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 50 8.3% | 55 91.7% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | TOR | MISS Bayless 1' Driving Layup | 50 8.6% | 55 91.4% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | TOR | Gray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 50 9.5% | 55 90.5% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | MIA | MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot | 50 9.1% | 55 90.9% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 50 8.2% | 55 91.8% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 49 8.0% | 55 92.0% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | MIA | James 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 48 7.3% | 55 92.7% |
| Q3 - 11:40 | TOR | Anthony STEAL (1 STL) | 48 8.2% | 53 91.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 48 9.4% | 53 90.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 48 8.2% | 53 91.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Alley Oop Layup | 48 9.0% | 53 91.0% |
| Q2 - 0:03.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 48 8.6% | 53 91.4% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 19' Jump Shot | 48 8.8% | 53 91.2% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 48 9.3% | 53 90.7% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 48 9.6% | 52 90.4% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 48 9.6% | 52 90.4% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | TOR | MISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 | 48 9.7% | 52 90.3% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | TOR | MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 48 10.6% | 52 89.4% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 48 10.5% | 52 89.5% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | TOR | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 48 12.2% | 50 87.8% |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 48 13.3% | 50 86.7% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 48 12.1% | 50 87.9% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 47 11.9% | 50 88.1% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 46 10.4% | 50 89.6% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Floating Jump Shot | 46 10.2% | 50 89.8% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 46 9.6% | 50 90.4% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Haslem 1' Layup | 46 10.2% | 50 89.8% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | TOR | Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST) | 46 9.6% | 50 90.4% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 43 7.3% | 50 92.7% |
| Q2 - 2:11 | TOR | Kleiza Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 43 8.3% | 48 91.7% |
| Q2 - 2:24 | TOR | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 43 9.4% | 48 90.6% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | MISS Battier 24' Jump Shot | 43 9.1% | 48 91.0% |
| Q2 - 2:36 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 43 8.4% | 48 91.6% |
| Q2 - 2:37 | TOR | MISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 43 8.7% | 48 91.3% |
| Q2 - 3:02 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 43 9.3% | 48 90.7% |
| Q2 - 3:02 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 43 9.5% | 47 90.5% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | TOR | DeRozan 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) | 43 10.2% | 46 89.8% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 41 9.3% | 46 90.7% |
| Q2 - 3:32 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 41 9.5% | 45 90.5% |
| Q2 - 3:36 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 41 10.2% | 44 89.8% |
| Q2 - 3:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 41 11.2% | 44 88.8% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 41 10.2% | 44 89.8% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | MIA | MISS James 7' Hook Shot | 41 11.2% | 44 88.8% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 41 10.1% | 44 89.9% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | TOR | MISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 | 40 9.9% | 44 90.1% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | MIA | James Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 40 10.2% | 44 89.8% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 40 11.2% | 42 88.8% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | TOR | Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 39 11.0% | 42 89.0% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 38 10.2% | 42 89.8% |
| Q2 - 4:52 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 9.4% | 42 90.6% |
| Q2 - 5:15 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 38 10.1% | 42 89.9% |
| Q2 - 5:16 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 38 10.0% | 42 90.0% |
| Q2 - 5:16 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 38 9.3% | 42 90.7% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 38 10.1% | 41 89.9% |
| Q2 - 5:21 | TOR | MISS Davis 1' Tip Shot | 38 10.5% | 41 89.5% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 38 11.2% | 41 88.8% |
| Q2 - 5:23 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 8' Hook Shot | 38 10.5% | 41 89.5% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | MIA | Cole 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 38 11.2% | 41 88.8% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 38 12.2% | 39 87.8% |
| Q2 - 6:03 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 12.7% | 39 87.3% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 38 13.7% | 39 86.3% |
| Q2 - 6:18 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot | 38 12.7% | 39 87.3% |
| Q2 - 6:23 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 38 13.7% | 39 86.3% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 38 12.3% | 39 87.7% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Putback Layup | 38 13.3% | 39 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:26 | MIA | MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 38 13.3% | 39 86.7% |
| Q2 - 6:35 | TOR | Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST) | 38 12.3% | 39 87.7% |
| Q2 - 6:55 | MIA | Cole 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 35 10.2% | 39 89.8% |
| Q2 - 7:03 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 35 10.9% | 37 89.1% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 22' Jump Shot | 35 11.3% | 37 88.7% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 35 12.2% | 37 87.8% |
| Q2 - 7:28 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 13.3% | 35 86.7% |
| Q2 - 7:29 | TOR | MISS Johnson 3' Tip Shot | 35 13.7% | 35 86.3% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 35 14.7% | 35 85.3% |
| Q2 - 7:31 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 6' Hook Shot | 35 13.7% | 35 86.3% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | TOR | Raptors Rebound | 35 14.7% | 35 85.3% |
| Q2 - 7:46 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 13.7% | 35 86.3% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 35 14.5% | 35 85.5% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | MIA | MISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot | 35 14.1% | 35 85.9% |
| Q2 - 8:31 | TOR | Bayless 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 35 13.2% | 35 86.8% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 33 12.1% | 35 87.9% |
| Q2 - 8:43 | TOR | MISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot | 33 11.3% | 35 88.7% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 33 12.1% | 35 87.9% |
| Q2 - 8:52 | MIA | MISS Battier 7' Running Jump Shot | 33 11.7% | 35 88.3% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | TOR | Davis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST) | 33 10.8% | 35 89.2% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | MIA | Bosh 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS) | 31 9.9% | 35 90.1% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 31 10.8% | 33 89.2% |
| Q2 - 9:35 | MIA | MISS Cole 1' Driving Layup | 31 11.5% | 33 88.5% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 10.8% | 33 89.2% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 17' Jump Shot | 31 11.1% | 33 88.9% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 12.0% | 33 88.0% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | MIA | MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot | 31 11.6% | 33 88.4% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 31 10.8% | 33 89.2% |
| Q2 - 10:18 | TOR | MISS Barbosa 22' Jump Shot | 31 11.2% | 33 88.8% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 31 12.0% | 33 88.0% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 31 12.1% | 32 87.9% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | TOR | Davis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST) | 31 12.9% | 31 87.1% |
| Q2 - 11:09 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 29 12.0% | 31 88.0% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 10.9% | 31 89.1% |
| Q2 - 11:17 | TOR | MISS Johnson 2' Layup | 29 11.2% | 31 88.8% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | TOR | Kleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 12.0% | 31 88.0% |
| Q2 - 11:24 | MIA | MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot | 29 11.6% | 31 88.4% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | TOR | Barbosa 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 29 10.9% | 31 89.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 27 10.0% | 31 90.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | TOR | DeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 27 9.1% | 31 90.9% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 8.3% | 31 91.7% |
| Q1 - 0:07.0 | MIA | MISS James 22' Fadeaway Jumper | 25 8.1% | 31 91.9% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 25 7.7% | 31 92.3% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot | 25 8.1% | 31 91.9% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 7.7% | 31 92.3% |
| Q1 - 0:41.0 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot | 25 7.9% | 31 92.1% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P2.T5) | 25 8.3% | 31 91.7% |
| Q1 - 1:17 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 25 7.8% | 31 92.2% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) | 23 7.0% | 31 93.0% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | TOR | Davis 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS) | 23 7.8% | 29 92.2% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 21 7.0% | 29 93.0% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | TOR | MISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot | 21 6.7% | 29 93.3% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | TOR | Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 7.1% | 29 92.9% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | MIA | MISS Battier 7' Running Jump Shot | 21 6.9% | 29 93.1% |
| Q1 - 2:40 | TOR | DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST) | 21 6.6% | 29 93.4% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 19 5.9% | 29 94.1% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | TOR | DeRozan 6' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS) | 19 7.0% | 26 93.0% |
| Q1 - 3:29 | MIA | Haslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 17 6.5% | 26 93.5% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 17 5.9% | 26 94.1% |
| Q1 - 3:39 | TOR | MISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot | 17 6.1% | 26 93.9% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 17 6.5% | 26 93.5% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 17 6.6% | 25 93.4% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | TOR | Calderon Traveling Turnover (P2.T3) | 17 6.9% | 24 93.1% |
| Q1 - 4:16 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 17 7.5% | 24 92.5% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 17 6.9% | 24 93.1% |
| Q1 - 4:29 | TOR | MISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 17 7.1% | 24 92.9% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | MIA | Anthony 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 17 7.5% | 24 92.5% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 17 8.3% | 22 91.7% |
| Q1 - 5:07 | TOR | MISS Gray 6' Hook Shot | 17 8.5% | 22 91.5% |
| Q1 - 5:29 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 17 9.0% | 22 91.0% |
| Q1 - 5:29 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 17 9.1% | 21 90.9% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 9.6% | 20 90.4% |
| Q1 - 5:49 | TOR | MISS Bayless 6' Jump Shot | 17 9.9% | 20 90.1% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | MIA | Wade 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 17 10.3% | 20 89.7% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | TOR | Gray 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST) | 17 11.0% | 18 89.0% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | MIA | James 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 15 10.3% | 18 89.7% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 11.0% | 16 89.0% |
| Q1 - 6:50 | TOR | MISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 15 11.3% | 16 88.7% |
| Q1 - 7:06 | MIA | James 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 15 11.7% | 16 88.3% |
| Q1 - 7:20 | TOR | Gray 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST) | 15 12.4% | 14 87.6% |
| Q1 - 7:34 | MIA | Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) | 13 11.7% | 14 88.3% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | TOR | Johnson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) | 13 12.4% | 12 87.6% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | TOR | Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 11 11.7% | 12 88.3% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | TOR | MISS Gray 1' Reverse Layup | 11 11.0% | 12 89.0% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | MIA | Wade 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 11 11.3% | 12 88.7% |
| Q1 - 8:25 | TOR | Calderon 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST) | 11 12.2% | 10 87.8% |
| Q1 - 8:31 | TOR | DeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 9 11.3% | 10 88.7% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup | 9 11.1% | 10 88.9% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | TOR | Johnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST) | 9 10.6% | 10 89.4% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 7 9.8% | 10 90.2% |
| Q1 - 9:10 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 7 10.0% | 9 90.0% |
| Q1 - 9:30 | TOR | DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 7 10.5% | 8 89.5% |
| Q1 - 9:40 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 4 9.2% | 8 90.8% |
| Q1 - 9:45 | TOR | Calderon 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST) | 4 8.6% | 8 91.4% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 8.0% | 8 92.0% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | TOR | Gray Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 2 7.6% | 8 92.4% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | MIA | Chalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 2 8.2% | 8 91.8% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | TOR | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 2 8.6% | 6 91.4% |
| Q1 - 10:38 | MIA | James 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 9.3% | 6 90.7% |
| Q1 - 10:49 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 9.8% | 4 90.2% |
| Q1 - 10:50 | TOR | MISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 10.0% | 4 90.0% |
| Q1 - 11:07 | MIA | James 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 2 10.3% | 4 89.7% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 10.9% | 2 89.1% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS Bosh 5' Turnaround Jump Shot | 2 11.4% | 2 88.6% |
| Q1 - 11:35 | TOR | Calderon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 11.0% | 2 89.0% |
| Q1 - 11:49 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 0 10.3% | 2 89.7% |
| Q1 - 11:49 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 0 10.4% | 1 89.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Gray: Tip to Bosh | 0 11.0% | 0 89.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
22
59%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
TOR
15
35
43%
MIA
10
28
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
TOR
15
21
71%
MIA
29
34
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Raptors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeRozan | 25 | 60% | 12.5 / 21 | |
| J. Bayless | 17 | 50% | 8.5 / 17 | |
| L. Kleiza | 17 | 53% | 8.5 / 16 | |
| J. Calderon | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| E. Davis | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| A. Gray | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| A. Johnson | 2 | 33% | 1.0 / 3 | |
| L. Barbosa | 2 | 13% | 1.0 / 8 | |
| G. Forbes | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| R. Butler | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 30 | 65% | 15.0 / 23 | |
| D. Wade | 25 | 63% | 12.5 / 20 | |
| C. Bosh | 12 | 38% | 6.0 / 16 | |
| M. Chalmers | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| U. Haslem | 8 | 80% | 4.0 / 5 | |
| N. Cole | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| M. Miller | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| J. Anthony | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| S. Battier | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
TOR
75
+14
-16
89
MIA
77
+11
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
TOR
1.00 50.0%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 100.5 106.6 | TOR 97.8 +6.6 MIA 104.4 |
| Pace | 89.6 91.3 | TOR 85.4 MIA 97.4 +11.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.6 15.8 | TOR 16.9 MIA 14.8 +2.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.5% 50.5% | TOR 46.8% MIA 47.8% +1.0% |
| TO % | 16.1% 15.9% | TOR 15.3% MIA 14.3% +1.0% |
| ORB % | 26.0% 26.6% | TOR 23.8% +11.3% MIA 12.5% |
| FTrt | 27.4 30.7 | TOR 26.6 MIA 49.3 +22.7 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 60.9% 53.8% | TOR 50.0% +1.6% MIA 48.4% |
| STL % | 7.2% 9.6% | TOR 6.6% MIA 8.8% +2.2% |
| BLK % | 8.2% 9.0% | TOR 5.3% +1.8% MIA 3.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.2% 53.5% | TOR 50.0% MIA 52.8% +2.8% |
| Rim FG% | 59.1% 61.1% | TOR 59.1% +0.5% MIA 58.6% |
| Mid FG% | 37.2% 40.0% | TOR 42.9% +7.2% MIA 35.7% |
| 3P % | 34.0% 35.9% | TOR 27.3% MIA 33.3% +6.0% |
| FT % | 77.0% 77.5% | TOR 71.4% MIA 85.3% +13.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.1% 36.7% | TOR 27.8% MIA 42.0% +14.2% |
| Mid Att. % | 45.1% 43.6% | TOR 44.3% MIA 40.6% +3.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 20.9% 19.8% | TOR 27.8% +10.5% MIA 17.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | TOR | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 91 | 91 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.6 | 22.4 |
| Points | 89 | 95 |
| Rebounds | 38 | 36 |
| Assists | 17 | 15 |
| Steals | 6 | 8 |
| Blocks | 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 14 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (4) | 4 (7) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 28 (1) | 32 (3) |
| Field Goals | 34-79 | 31-69 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 13-22 | 17-29 |
| Midrange FG | 15-35 | 10-28 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-57 | 27-57 |
| 3-Point FG | 6-22 | 4-12 |
| Free Throws | 15-21 | 29-34 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.