| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIA | 134.8 | 89 | 91.2 |
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
72
+16
-16
88
MIA
78
+12
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | SAS | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 98 0% | 120 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | SAS | Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST) | 98 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | SAS | Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 0:29.0 | MIA | MISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Gladness REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | SAS | MISS Thomas 6' Turnaround Hook Shot | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | MIA | Harris Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | SAS | Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 95 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 1:01 | SAS | MISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 94 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | SAS | Joseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 94 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS Howard 12' Jump Shot | 94 0% | 120 100% |
| Q4 - 1:38 | SAS | Joseph 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST) | 94 0.1% | 120 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:52 | MIA | Cole 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 120 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:59 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 92 0.1% | 118 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | MISS Cole 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 92 0.1% | 118 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | MIA | Gladness REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 92 0.1% | 118 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | SAS | MISS Neal 2' Driving Layup | 92 0.1% | 118 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:32 | MIA | Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 118 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 92 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:52 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 91 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:06 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | MIA | MISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:17 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | SAS | MISS Joseph 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | SAS | Joseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:28 | MIA | MISS Haslem 2' Driving Layup | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | SAS | Anderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 90 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | SAS | MISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 89 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST) | 89 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:09 | SAS | Blair Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17) | 89 0.1% | 112 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:26 | MIA | Bosh 13' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (James 10 AST) | 89 0.1% | 112 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:46 | SAS | Blair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16) | 89 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:49 | MIA | Haslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 89 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:03 | SAS | Joseph 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 89 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 87 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:24 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:39 | SAS | Joseph Foul Turnover (P2.T15) | 87 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 87 0.1% | 110 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | SAS | Bosh STEAL (4 STL) | 87 0.1% | 107 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | MIA | Haslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 87 0.2% | 107 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:44 | SAS | Splitter Foul Turnover (P3.T13) | 87 0.2% | 105 99.8% |
| Q4 - 6:54 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 87 0.3% | 105 99.7% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | SAS | Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST) | 87 0.7% | 102 99.3% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 84 0.4% | 102 99.6% |
| Q4 - 7:30 | SAS | MISS Anderson 21' Jump Shot | 84 0.3% | 102 99.7% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | MIA | Haslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 84 0.4% | 102 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | SAS | Green 20' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 84 0.7% | 100 99.3% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 82 0.6% | 100 99.4% |
| Q4 - 8:38 | SAS | Bosh STEAL (3 STL) | 82 0.9% | 97 99.1% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Dunk (28 PTS) | 82 1.2% | 97 98.8% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 82 1.5% | 95 98.5% |
| Q4 - 9:01 | SAS | MISS Bonner 9' Running Hook Shot | 82 2.1% | 95 97.9% |
| Q4 - 9:08 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 82 2.4% | 95 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | SAS | MISS Neal 18' Jump Shot | 82 2.1% | 95 97.9% |
| Q4 - 9:20 | MIA | Bosh 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 82 2.4% | 95 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:36 | SAS | Neal 7' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 82 3.1% | 93 96.9% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | MIA | Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 80 2.4% | 93 97.6% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | SAS | Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Neal 1 AST) | 80 4.3% | 90 95.7% |
| Q4 - 10:33 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) | 77 2.8% | 90 97.2% |
| Q4 - 10:39 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 77 3.5% | 88 96.5% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 77 4.0% | 88 96.0% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | SAS | Green Foul Turnover (P3.T11) | 77 3.4% | 88 96.5% |
| Q4 - 11:01 | SAS | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 77 4.8% | 88 95.2% |
| Q4 - 11:02 | MIA | MISS Cole 18' Jump Shot | 77 4.5% | 88 95.5% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | SAS | Splitter 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 77 3.9% | 88 96.1% |
| Q4 - 11:48 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 75 3.1% | 88 96.9% |
| Q4 - 11:50 | SAS | MISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 2.7% | 88 97.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 75 3.1% | 88 96.9% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 75 2.6% | 88 97.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 18' Fadeaway Jumper | 75 2.9% | 88 97.1% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 75 2.9% | 88 97.1% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | SAS | Splitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 74 2.7% | 88 97.3% |
| Q3 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 73 2.4% | 88 97.6% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | SAS | Green 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST) | 73 3.5% | 85 96.5% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | MIA | Battier 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 70 2.3% | 85 97.7% |
| Q3 - 1:11 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 70 3.1% | 83 96.9% |
| Q3 - 1:12 | SAS | MISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 3.3% | 83 96.7% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 70 3.8% | 83 96.2% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | SAS | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 70 5.5% | 80 94.5% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | MIA | James 15' Jump Shot (33 PTS) | 70 7.0% | 80 93.0% |
| Q3 - 2:11 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 70 8.2% | 78 91.8% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | SAS | MISS Joseph 3PT Jump Shot | 70 8.7% | 78 91.3% |
| Q3 - 2:36 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 70 9.7% | 78 90.3% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 9.3% | 78 90.7% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 70 8.2% | 78 91.8% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | SAS | Joseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 70 9.7% | 78 90.3% |
| Q3 - 3:00 | MIA | MISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 70 9.2% | 78 90.8% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | SAS | Leonard 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 70 8.5% | 78 91.5% |
| Q3 - 3:28 | MIA | James 26' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) | 68 7.2% | 78 92.8% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 68 10.0% | 75 90.0% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | SAS | MISS Green 9' Floating Jump Shot | 68 10.5% | 75 89.5% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | MIA | Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 68 11.8% | 75 88.2% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | SAS | Jones STEAL (2 STL) | 68 15.9% | 72 84.1% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10) | 68 18.8% | 72 81.2% |
| Q3 - 4:31 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 68 15.9% | 72 84.1% |
| Q3 - 4:32 | SAS | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 68 16.8% | 72 83.2% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) | 68 18.8% | 72 81.2% |
| Q3 - 5:03 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 68 24.0% | 69 76.0% |
| Q3 - 5:04 | SAS | MISS Parker 12' Jump Shot | 68 25.1% | 69 74.9% |
| Q3 - 5:17 | MIA | James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) | 68 27.6% | 69 72.4% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 68 34.3% | 66 65.7% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | SAS | MISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 35.6% | 66 64.4% |
| Q3 - 6:12 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 68 37.6% | 66 62.4% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | SAS | Spurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 68 41.1% | 64 58.9% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 68 45.4% | 64 54.6% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | SAS | MISS Neal 8' Jump Shot | 68 42.4% | 64 57.6% |
| Q3 - 6:29 | SAS | Leonard REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1) | 68 45.4% | 64 54.6% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | SAS | MISS Blair 13' Hook Shot | 68 42.4% | 64 57.6% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS) | 68 45.4% | 64 54.6% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS) | 68 45.9% | 63 54.1% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | MIA | Jones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS) | 68 46.6% | 62 53.4% |
| Q3 - 7:00 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 68 53.2% | 61 46.8% |
| Q3 - 7:01 | SAS | MISS Neal 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 52.5% | 61 47.5% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 68 55.4% | 61 44.6% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | SAS | MISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 52.6% | 61 47.4% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | Anthony 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9) | 68 55.5% | 61 44.5% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | SAS | Blair Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 68 51.5% | 61 48.5% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | SAS | MISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 2 | 67 50.2% | 61 49.8% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | MIA | James 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 67 50.7% | 61 49.3% |
| Q3 - 8:18 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 67 54.2% | 59 45.8% |
| Q3 - 8:19 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 55.4% | 59 44.6% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | MIA | James 12' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS) | 67 58.2% | 59 41.8% |
| Q3 - 8:55 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 67 61.6% | 57 38.4% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | SAS | MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot | 67 62.7% | 57 37.3% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | James 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 67 63.7% | 57 36.3% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 67 67.0% | 55 33.0% |
| Q3 - 9:27 | SAS | MISS Leonard 1' Dunk | 67 68.0% | 55 32.0% |
| Q3 - 9:30 | SAS | Leonard REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 67 70.2% | 55 29.8% |
| Q3 - 9:31 | SAS | MISS Blair 1' Layup | 67 68.0% | 55 32.0% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 67 70.2% | 55 29.8% |
| Q3 - 9:33 | MIA | MISS Bosh 1' Layup | 67 69.3% | 55 30.7% |
| Q3 - 9:44 | SAS | Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 67 67.0% | 55 33.0% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | MIA | Bosh 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 65 61.9% | 55 38.1% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 65 65.1% | 53 34.9% |
| Q3 - 10:20 | SAS | MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot | 65 66.1% | 53 33.9% |
| Q3 - 10:39 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 65 68.5% | 53 31.5% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | SAS | Parker 10' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST) | 65 65.2% | 53 34.8% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | MIA | Bosh 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 63 60.5% | 53 39.5% |
| Q3 - 11:24 | SAS | Bosh STEAL (2 STL) | 63 63.6% | 51 36.4% |
| Q3 - 11:43 | MIA | Anthony 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 63 67.0% | 51 33.0% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 63 69.8% | 49 30.2% |
| Q3 - 11:45 | MIA | MISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 63 71.9% | 49 28.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 63 69.8% | 49 30.2% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Green 40' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 63 69.8% | 49 30.2% |
| Q2 - 0:02.0 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 60 61.7% | 49 38.3% |
| Q2 - 0:25.0 | SAS | Neal 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 60 68.6% | 46 31.4% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 65.0% | 46 35.0% |
| Q2 - 0:41.0 | MIA | MISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 64.3% | 46 35.7% |
| Q2 - 0:49.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 58 62.7% | 46 37.3% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | SAS | MISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 63.4% | 46 36.6% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 58 63.6% | 46 36.4% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 58 70.3% | 43 29.7% |
| Q2 - 1:15 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 57 69.7% | 43 30.3% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (18 PTS) | 56 66.6% | 43 33.4% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 70.3% | 41 29.7% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 56 71.6% | 41 28.4% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 56 70.3% | 41 29.7% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 55 69.7% | 41 30.3% |
| Q2 - 1:56 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Dunk (16 PTS) | 54 66.6% | 41 33.4% |
| Q2 - 2:07 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 54 68.3% | 39 31.7% |
| Q2 - 2:08 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 54 69.1% | 39 30.9% |
| Q2 - 2:25 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 54 71.0% | 39 29.0% |
| Q2 - 2:38 | SAS | Neal 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 54 73.6% | 37 26.4% |
| Q2 - 2:59 | MIA | Bosh 1' Running Dunk (14 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 52 71.1% | 37 28.9% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | SAS | Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 52 71.9% | 35 28.1% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | SAS | Spurs Rebound | 49 67.2% | 35 32.8% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | SAS | MISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 64.9% | 35 35.1% |
| Q2 - 3:34 | MIA | James 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 49 67.2% | 35 32.8% |
| Q2 - 3:56 | SAS | Bonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST) | 49 69.5% | 33 30.5% |
| Q2 - 4:04 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 46 62.8% | 33 37.2% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | SAS | MISS Leonard 1' Tip Shot | 46 60.7% | 33 39.3% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | SAS | Leonard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 46 62.8% | 33 37.2% |
| Q2 - 4:08 | SAS | MISS Neal 3PT Jump Shot | 46 60.7% | 33 39.3% |
| Q2 - 4:16 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 46 62.8% | 33 37.2% |
| Q2 - 4:17 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 17' Jump Shot | 46 61.9% | 33 38.1% |
| Q2 - 4:35 | SAS | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 46 59.8% | 33 40.2% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 46 62.9% | 33 37.1% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | MIA | MISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot | 46 62.0% | 33 38.0% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | SAS | Duncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST) | 46 58.9% | 33 41.1% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | SAS | Joseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 44 55.9% | 33 44.1% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | SAS | MISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 54.0% | 33 46.0% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 44 55.9% | 33 44.1% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 55.1% | 33 44.9% |
| Q2 - 5:31 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 44 53.2% | 33 46.8% |
| Q2 - 5:32 | SAS | MISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot | 44 54.0% | 33 46.0% |
| Q2 - 5:54 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 44 56.0% | 33 44.0% |
| Q2 - 6:16 | SAS | Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST) | 44 57.1% | 31 42.9% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 41 52.1% | 31 47.9% |
| Q2 - 6:37 | SAS | MISS Parker 1' Driving Layup | 41 49.8% | 31 50.2% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 41 52.1% | 31 47.9% |
| Q2 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS James 9' Jump Shot | 41 51.1% | 31 48.9% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | SAS | Parker 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 41 47.7% | 31 52.3% |
| Q2 - 7:10 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 39 45.3% | 31 54.7% |
| Q2 - 7:11 | MIA | MISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 39 44.4% | 31 55.6% |
| Q2 - 7:34 | SAS | Duncan 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) | 39 42.3% | 31 57.7% |
| Q2 - 7:55 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 37 40.0% | 31 60.0% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 37 36.5% | 31 63.5% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | SAS | MISS Green 2' Driving Layup | 37 37.3% | 31 62.7% |
| Q2 - 8:14 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 37 39.1% | 31 60.9% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 36.5% | 31 63.5% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | SAS | MISS Duncan 7' Running Hook Shot | 37 37.3% | 31 62.7% |
| Q2 - 8:36 | SAS | Leonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 37 39.1% | 31 60.9% |
| Q2 - 8:37 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 37 38.3% | 31 61.7% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 37 36.6% | 31 63.4% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | SAS | MISS Green Free Throw 2 of 2 | 37 36.9% | 31 63.1% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | SAS | MISS Green Free Throw 1 of 2 | 37 38.5% | 31 61.5% |
| Q2 - 8:58 | MIA | Battier Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 37 39.2% | 31 60.8% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | SAS | Jefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 37 35.7% | 31 64.3% |
| Q2 - 9:22 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 37 38.3% | 31 61.7% |
| Q2 - 9:33 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 37 40.6% | 29 59.4% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 37 42.4% | 29 57.6% |
| Q2 - 9:52 | SAS | Parker 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST) | 37 40.7% | 29 59.3% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 38.1% | 29 61.9% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | MIA | MISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot | 35 37.3% | 29 62.7% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | SAS | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 35 35.5% | 29 64.5% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | SAS | Green REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 38.1% | 29 61.9% |
| Q2 - 10:40 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 35 37.3% | 29 62.7% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | MIA | Cole Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 35 35.5% | 29 64.5% |
| Q2 - 11:00 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 37.8% | 28 62.2% |
| Q2 - 11:01 | SAS | MISS Duncan 2' Reverse Layup | 35 38.2% | 28 61.8% |
| Q2 - 11:15 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 39.9% | 28 60.1% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | MIA | MISS Cole 2' Driving Layup | 35 39.2% | 28 60.8% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | MIA | Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 37.5% | 28 62.5% |
| Q2 - 11:21 | SAS | MISS Duncan 1' Driving Layup | 35 38.2% | 28 61.8% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | MIA | Bosh 1' Driving Dunk (8 PTS) | 35 40.0% | 28 60.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 35 42.2% | 26 57.8% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST) | 35 42.2% | 26 57.8% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 32 36.6% | 26 63.4% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 32 37.1% | 25 62.9% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 39.3% | 24 60.7% |
| Q1 - 0:31.0 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 39.9% | 24 60.1% |
| Q1 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Cole 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST) | 32 41.2% | 24 58.8% |
| Q1 - 1:05 | SAS | Blair 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST) | 32 43.2% | 22 56.8% |
| Q1 - 1:25 | MIA | James 2' Layup (4 PTS) | 30 40.3% | 22 59.7% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 43.2% | 20 56.8% |
| Q1 - 1:32 | MIA | MISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 30 44.4% | 20 55.6% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 30 43.2% | 20 56.8% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | SAS | MISS Leonard 7' Jump Shot | 30 43.7% | 20 56.3% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | SAS | Leonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 30 44.9% | 20 55.1% |
| Q1 - 1:45 | SAS | MISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot | 30 43.7% | 20 56.3% |
| Q1 - 2:08 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 30 44.6% | 20 55.4% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 30 44.3% | 20 55.7% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 30 42.8% | 20 57.2% |
| Q1 - 2:24 | SAS | Leonard 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 30 44.8% | 19 55.2% |
| Q1 - 2:25 | SAS | Leonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 28 42.3% | 19 57.7% |
| Q1 - 2:26 | SAS | MISS Blair 9' Jump Shot | 28 40.9% | 19 59.1% |
| Q1 - 2:45 | MIA | Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 28 42.3% | 19 57.7% |
| Q1 - 2:55 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 47.1% | 16 52.9% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | SAS | MISS Green 13' Jump Shot | 28 47.7% | 16 52.3% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | SAS | Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 28 48.5% | 16 51.5% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 | 28 48.2% | 16 51.8% |
| Q1 - 3:15 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 28 46.7% | 16 53.3% |
| Q1 - 3:26 | SAS | Splitter Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 28 48.4% | 15 51.6% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 28 50.8% | 15 49.2% |
| Q1 - 3:38 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Layup | 28 50.1% | 15 49.9% |
| Q1 - 3:56 | SAS | Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST) | 28 48.4% | 15 51.6% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 43.0% | 15 57.0% |
| Q1 - 4:11 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 43.5% | 14 56.5% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 25 42.9% | 14 57.1% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 25 44.9% | 14 55.1% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 43.5% | 14 56.5% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 25 42.9% | 14 57.1% |
| Q1 - 4:20 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 44.5% | 14 55.5% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | SAS | Blair 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST) | 25 42.9% | 14 57.1% |
| Q1 - 4:51 | SAS | Jefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 41.0% | 14 59.0% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIA | MISS James 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 23 40.3% | 14 59.7% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | SAS | Parker 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 23 37.8% | 14 62.2% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 21 36.1% | 14 63.9% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | SAS | MISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 34.6% | 14 65.4% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | MIA | Bosh 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) | 21 36.1% | 14 63.9% |
| Q1 - 5:58 | SAS | Duncan 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 21 37.9% | 12 62.1% |
| Q1 - 6:18 | MIA | Anthony 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 19 35.2% | 12 64.8% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | SAS | Blair 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 19 36.9% | 10 63.1% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 17 35.2% | 10 64.8% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 17 35.5% | 9 64.5% |
| Q1 - 6:54 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 17 35.1% | 9 64.9% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 17 36.0% | 9 64.0% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 17 35.8% | 9 64.2% |
| Q1 - 7:04 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 17 34.6% | 9 65.4% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | SAS | Blair 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 17 35.9% | 8 64.1% |
| Q1 - 7:34 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 15 34.3% | 8 65.7% |
| Q1 - 7:47 | SAS | Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST) | 15 37.8% | 5 62.2% |
| Q1 - 8:01 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 33.6% | 5 66.4% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 12 33.1% | 5 66.9% |
| Q1 - 8:24 | SAS | Parker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) | 12 31.9% | 5 68.1% |
| Q1 - 8:31 | MIA | Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 10 30.3% | 5 69.7% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | SAS | Parker 10' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 10 28.7% | 5 71.3% |
| Q1 - 8:53 | MIA | Bosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 8 27.1% | 5 72.9% |
| Q1 - 9:01 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 8 25.4% | 5 74.6% |
| Q1 - 9:02 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 26.4% | 5 73.6% |
| Q1 - 9:09 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 25.4% | 5 74.6% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | SAS | Blair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 8 26.9% | 5 73.1% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | SAS | MISS Blair 1' Tip Shot | 8 25.9% | 5 74.1% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | SAS | MISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot | 8 25.9% | 5 74.1% |
| Q1 - 9:33 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2) | 8 26.9% | 5 73.1% |
| Q1 - 9:33 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 8 25.4% | 5 74.6% |
| Q1 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 8 26.4% | 5 73.6% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | SAS | Leonard 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 8 25.4% | 5 74.6% |
| Q1 - 10:17 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 6 23.9% | 5 76.1% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 6 25.1% | 3 74.9% |
| Q1 - 10:26 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 6 26.1% | 3 73.9% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | SAS | Parker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST) | 6 25.1% | 3 74.9% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 4 23.3% | 3 76.7% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | SAS | Blair 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST) | 4 25.9% | 0 74.1% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 24.5% | 0 75.5% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | SAS | Blair 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 2 23.4% | 0 76.6% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker | 0 22.2% | 0 77.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
9
20
45%
MIA
14
19
74%
Midrange
SAS
19
35
54%
MIA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
MIA
16
24.0
26
62%
92%
Free Throws
SAS
12
17
71%
MIA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 20 | 83% | 10.0 / 12 | |
| T. Parker | 18 | 64% | 9.0 / 14 | |
| D. Blair | 13 | 59% | 6.5 / 11 | |
| K. Leonard | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| G. Neal | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| T. Duncan | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| C. Joseph | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| T. Splitter | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| M. Bonner | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| J. Anderson | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| M. Thomas | 1 | 25% | 0.5 / 2 | |
| R. Jefferson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 33 | 66% | 16.5 / 25 | |
| C. Bosh | 30 | 63% | 15.0 / 24 | |
| M. Miller | 18 | 150% | 9.0 / 6 | |
| M. Chalmers | 13 | 72% | 6.5 / 9 | |
| N. Cole | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| J. Anthony | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| S. Battier | 5 | 83% | 2.5 / 3 | |
| U. Haslem | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| J. Jones | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 | |
| J. Howard | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
SAS
72
+16
-16
88
MIA
78
+12
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
SAS
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.30 65.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.9 106.6 | SAS 111.4 MIA 134.8 +23.5 |
| Pace | 93.0 91.3 | SAS 85.9 MIA 91.2 +5.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.5 15.8 | SAS 16.8 MIA 15.8 +1.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 52.8% 50.5% | SAS 53.8% MIA 68.4% +14.6% |
| TO % | 14.1% 15.9% | SAS 16.3% MIA 12.1% +4.2% |
| ORB % | 25.1% 26.6% | SAS 31.4% +4.9% MIA 26.5% |
| FTrt | 26.1 30.7 | SAS 21.3 MIA 24.1 +2.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.5% 53.8% | SAS 55.3% +3.1% MIA 52.2% |
| STL % | 8.0% 9.6% | SAS 8.0% +0.1% MIA 7.9% |
| BLK % | 6.7% 9.0% | SAS 1.9% +0.1% MIA 1.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 54.9% 53.5% | SAS 55.1% MIA 65.2% +10.1% |
| Rim FG% | 60.6% 61.1% | SAS 45.0% MIA 73.7% +28.7% |
| Mid FG% | 41.4% 40.0% | SAS 54.3% +7.2% MIA 47.1% |
| 3P % | 39.3% 35.9% | SAS 40.0% MIA 61.5% +21.5% |
| FT % | 74.8% 77.5% | SAS 70.6% +7.4% MIA 63.2% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.1% 36.7% | SAS 25.0% +0.9% MIA 24.1% |
| Mid Att. % | 38.2% 43.6% | SAS 43.8% MIA 43.0% +0.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 25.7% 19.8% | SAS 31.3% MIA 32.9% +1.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.
| Game Totals | SAS | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.6 | 23.4 |
| Points | 98 | 120 |
| Rebounds | 36 | 33 |
| Assists | 21 | 24 |
| Steals | 7 | 7 |
| Blocks | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (1) | 11 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 11 (5) | 9 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 25 (0) | 24 (3) |
| Field Goals | 38-80 | 46-79 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-20 | 14-19 |
| Midrange FG | 19-35 | 16-34 |
| 2-Point FG | 28-55 | 30-53 |
| 3-Point FG | 10-25 | 16-26 |
| Free Throws | 12-17 | 12-19 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.