FinalWin Prob.pScore
153%103
104
947%102
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.396104.6
DEN logo DEN
123.29587.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN104
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)104
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENKoufos Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)101
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENKoufos Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)101
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAChalmers 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)101
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02DENNene 2' Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DENMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DENFernandez Traveling Turnover (P1.T19)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIACole 1' Layup (10 PTS)98
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)96
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)94
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 4:04DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)91
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Cole 5' Running Hook Shot91
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:30DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)91
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:44MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)91
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 5:00DENMiller 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)88
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 5:22MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)88
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:30DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)88
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 5:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot88
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 6:08DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)88
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 6:08DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 288
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 6:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 6:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 6:49DENLawson 22' Jump Shot (22 PTS)86
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 7:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot86
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 7:32DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)86
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 7:46MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (29 PTS)86
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q4 - 7:58DENNene 1' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)84
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q4 - 8:20MIABosh Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)84
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 8:36DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)82
2.2%
98
97.8%
Q4 - 8:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 281
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 9:09DENMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS)81
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 9:10DENMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
5.8%
93
94.2%
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot81
6.8%
93
93.2%
Q4 - 9:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)81
5.8%
93
94.2%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Bosh 4' Running Hook Shot81
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 9:51DENFernandez 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)81
7.1%
93
92.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)81
8.9%
91
91.1%
Q4 - 9:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup81
9.5%
91
90.5%
Q4 - 10:09DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
12.4%
91
87.6%
Q4 - 10:09DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 10:16DENFernandez Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)81
15.0%
89
85.0%
Q4 - 10:25MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T15)81
18.1%
88
81.9%
Q4 - 10:29DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)81
21.7%
88
78.3%
Q4 - 10:54DENNUGGETS Rebound81
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot81
19.1%
88
80.9%
Q4 - 11:16DENHarrington 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)81
22.9%
88
77.1%
Q4 - 11:40MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)81
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA81
31.2%
86
68.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
31.2%
86
68.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
31.1%
86
68.9%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
28.3%
86
71.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
27.4%
86
72.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)79
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
32.5%
83
67.5%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
35.5%
83
64.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)79
32.5%
83
67.5%
Q3 - 1:07DENHarrington 1' Layup (10 PTS)79
37.4%
83
62.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIACole 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
42.4%
81
57.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)77
37.4%
81
62.6%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
36.1%
81
63.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
32.2%
81
67.8%
Q3 - 2:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q3 - 2:01DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 275
29.3%
81
70.7%
Q3 - 2:01DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 275
26.7%
81
73.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIAJames 21' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)75
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
22.6%
81
77.4%
Q3 - 2:32DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAPittman Foul Turnover (P1.T12)73
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q3 - 3:06DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 273
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q3 - 3:06DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q3 - 3:22MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)73
23.8%
80
76.2%
Q3 - 3:31MIACole Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)73
27.3%
80
72.7%
Q3 - 3:42DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)72
23.9%
80
76.1%
Q3 - 3:43DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
30.8%
77
69.2%
Q3 - 3:44DENMISS Afflalo Layup72
33.6%
77
66.4%
Q3 - 3:48DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
30.8%
77
69.2%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS James 18' Fadeaway Jumper72
32.0%
77
68.0%
Q3 - 4:05DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
35.7%
77
64.3%
Q3 - 4:05DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
36.4%
76
63.6%
Q3 - 4:16MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)72
39.0%
75
61.0%
Q3 - 4:36DENAfflalo 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)69
31.8%
75
68.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIAGallinari STEAL (3 STL)69
35.0%
73
65.0%
Q3 - 4:57DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)69
39.8%
73
60.2%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
47.7%
70
52.3%
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
46.9%
70
53.1%
Q3 - 5:31DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)67
44.0%
70
56.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)67
47.7%
68
52.3%
Q3 - 5:51DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)65
44.0%
68
56.0%
Q3 - 6:00MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)65
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q3 - 6:14DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)63
36.7%
68
63.3%
Q3 - 6:29DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
44.1%
65
55.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 263
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 263
47.3%
65
52.7%
Q3 - 6:36DENLawson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)63
48.4%
65
51.6%
Q3 - 6:46MIAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)63
44.1%
65
55.9%
Q3 - 7:06DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
48.2%
65
51.8%
Q3 - 7:06DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
48.8%
64
51.2%
Q3 - 7:20MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
51.9%
63
48.1%
Q3 - 7:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
48.3%
63
51.7%
Q3 - 7:27DENMISS Nene 2' Driving Layup61
47.0%
63
53.0%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 6 AST)61
44.2%
63
55.8%
Q3 - 7:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
40.7%
63
59.3%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper59
38.0%
63
62.0%
Q3 - 8:22DENNene 3' Dunk (9 PTS)59
41.0%
63
59.0%
Q3 - 8:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 8:24DENMISS Afflalo 1' Layup59
47.2%
61
52.8%
Q3 - 8:28DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
44.5%
61
55.5%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
45.7%
61
54.3%
Q3 - 8:40DENMozgov 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)59
48.5%
61
51.5%
Q3 - 8:59MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 5 AST)59
52.0%
59
48.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
48.5%
59
51.5%
Q3 - 9:11DENMISS Afflalo 22' Jump Shot57
47.3%
59
52.7%
Q3 - 9:34MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)57
44.7%
59
55.3%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical55
41.2%
59
58.8%
Q3 - 10:00DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)55
41.2%
59
58.8%
Q3 - 10:06DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
48.6%
56
51.4%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot55
49.8%
56
50.2%
Q3 - 10:23DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)55
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 10:40MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T8)55
48.6%
56
51.4%
Q3 - 10:57DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
52.4%
56
47.6%
Q3 - 10:57DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 255
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q3 - 11:01DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot55
53.7%
55
46.3%
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
56.2%
55
43.8%
Q3 - 11:09DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup55
55.1%
55
44.9%
Q3 - 11:28MIAChalmers 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q3 - 11:34DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)53
49.3%
55
50.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
45.7%
55
54.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound53
49.3%
55
50.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 76' 3PT Running Jump Shot53
46.8%
55
53.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Mozgov 1' Layup53
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAGallinari STEAL (2 STL)53
46.8%
55
53.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
49.1%
55
50.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0DENMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot53
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
46.7%
55
53.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)50
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
46.6%
52
53.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS)50
46.6%
52
53.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup48
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q2 - 1:12DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
42.8%
52
57.2%
Q2 - 1:29DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
50.2%
49
49.8%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 248
50.5%
49
49.5%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
52.7%
49
47.3%
Q2 - 1:42DENMozgov 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Fernandez 4 AST)47
49.2%
49
50.8%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)47
53.5%
47
46.5%
Q2 - 2:14DENMozgov 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)45
49.9%
47
50.1%
Q2 - 2:35MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)45
53.0%
45
47.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical43
49.8%
45
50.2%
Q2 - 2:46DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P1.T10)43
49.8%
45
50.2%
Q2 - 2:50DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q2 - 2:51MIAAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)43
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 2:58DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)43
49.8%
45
50.2%
Q2 - 3:03DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup43
48.0%
45
52.0%
Q2 - 3:15DENLawson 4' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 3:32MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)43
53.0%
43
47.0%
Q2 - 3:47DENLawson 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)40
47.3%
43
52.7%
Q2 - 3:52MIALawson STEAL (2 STL)40
49.9%
41
50.1%
Q2 - 4:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q2 - 4:09DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
52.3%
41
47.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5)40
50.1%
41
49.9%
Q2 - 4:31DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q2 - 4:31DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
53.8%
40
46.2%
Q2 - 4:48MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)40
56.0%
39
44.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
53.4%
39
46.6%
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAPittman 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)38
50.6%
39
49.4%
Q2 - 5:36DENLawson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)36
47.6%
39
52.4%
Q2 - 5:39DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup36
45.6%
39
54.4%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
45.6%
39
54.4%
Q2 - 6:06DENLawson 1' Layup (6 PTS)36
48.0%
39
52.0%
Q2 - 6:30MIACole 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)36
50.4%
37
49.6%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Cole Tip Shot34
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot34
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 6:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 6:42DENMISS Gallinari 8' Running Jump Shot34
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 6:49DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
44.8%
37
55.2%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup34
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
48.2%
37
51.8%
Q2 - 7:03DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot34
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 7:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot34
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 7:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
48.2%
37
51.8%
Q2 - 7:43DENMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot34
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 8:07MIABosh 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 8:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
43.1%
37
56.9%
Q2 - 8:20DENMISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot32
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 8:33MIABosh 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)32
40.5%
37
59.5%
Q2 - 8:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 8:35MIANene BLOCK (1 BLK)30
36.3%
37
63.7%
Q2 - 8:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
38.0%
37
62.0%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS Brewer 6' Running Hook Shot30
37.2%
37
62.8%
Q2 - 8:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
35.5%
37
64.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Battier 6' Jump Hook Shot30
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q2 - 9:01DENMISS Miller 1' Driving Reverse Layup30
37.7%
37
62.3%
Q2 - 9:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 9:27DENBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)27
31.4%
37
68.6%
Q2 - 9:37DENNUGGETS Rebound27
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 9:38DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
37.6%
34
62.4%
Q2 - 9:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 9:49DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 227
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 9:49DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
36.6%
34
63.4%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)27
38.3%
33
61.7%
Q2 - 10:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 10:17DENMISS Nene 1' Layup25
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 10:32MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)25
33.7%
33
66.3%
Q2 - 10:57DENFernandez Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)23
31.7%
33
68.3%
Q2 - 11:01DENNUGGETS Rebound23
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 11:03DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 11:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
36.2%
30
63.8%
Q2 - 11:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
35.8%
30
64.2%
Q2 - 11:37DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)21
34.1%
30
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN21
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound21
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Miller 74' 3PT Running Jump Shot21
33.4%
30
66.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 220
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
32.2%
30
67.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
31.7%
30
68.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T6)18
28.1%
30
71.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot18
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q1 - 1:05DENNene 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS)18
31.3%
28
68.7%
Q1 - 1:57DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)16
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q1 - 1:57DENNUGGETS Rebound16
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Fernandez 20' Fadeaway Jumper16
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
27.9%
28
72.1%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
27.5%
28
72.5%
Q1 - 2:23DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q1 - 2:27DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
24.3%
28
75.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMozgov BLOCK (3 BLK)14
24.8%
28
75.2%
Q1 - 2:36DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fernandez 3 AST)14
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q1 - 2:48MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 2:58DENHarrington 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)12
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q1 - 3:13DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Battier 1' Tip Shot12
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 3:15MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Pittman 8' Jump Hook Shot12
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 3:40DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)12
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 3:57DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot12
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 4:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 4:11DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 112
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 4:26DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
40.4%
18
59.6%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot12
41.1%
18
58.9%
Q1 - 4:32DENLawson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
42.7%
18
57.3%
Q1 - 4:42DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
44.7%
16
55.3%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot12
45.4%
16
54.6%
Q1 - 5:00DENLawson Dunk (2 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)12
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 5:04MIAFernandez STEAL (1 STL)12
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 5:09DENMISS Mozgov 2' Reverse Layup12
50.6%
14
49.4%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
49.0%
14
51.0%
Q1 - 5:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMozgov BLOCK (2 BLK)10
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 5:47DENNene 2' Layup (2 PTS)10
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 5:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 5:54DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot10
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 6:05DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 210
49.4%
12
50.6%
Q1 - 6:06MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)10
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound9
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)9
47.7%
12
52.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot9
47.7%
12
52.3%
Q1 - 6:26DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)9
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 6:31MIAGallinari STEAL (1 STL)9
53.2%
9
46.8%
Q1 - 6:34DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
55.4%
9
44.6%
Q1 - 6:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
53.2%
9
46.8%
Q1 - 6:56DENAfflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)6
49.3%
9
50.7%
Q1 - 7:04DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
53.3%
6
46.7%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot6
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 7:14DENMozgov 1' Layup (6 PTS)6
55.4%
6
44.6%
Q1 - 7:16DENMISS Afflalo 2' Layup6
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 7:16DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMozgov STEAL (1 STL)6
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 7:41DENJump Ball Nene vs. Anthony: Tip to Bosh6
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 7:48DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
57.2%
4
42.8%
Q1 - 7:49DENMISS Gallinari 1' Layup6
58.6%
4
41.4%
Q1 - 7:54MIALawson STEAL (1 STL)6
57.2%
4
42.8%
Q1 - 7:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 8:12DENMozgov 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)6
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 8:33DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.1%
2
38.9%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot6
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 8:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 8:57DENMISS Mozgov 2' Dunk6
62.4%
2
37.6%
Q1 - 9:11DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.2%
2
38.8%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
61.7%
2
38.3%
Q1 - 9:27DENMozgov 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)6
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 9:48MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 9:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 9:59DENMISS Nene 3' Layup4
62.4%
0
37.6%
Q1 - 10:18MIAWade 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 10:39DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
59.3%
0
40.7%
Q1 - 10:39DENNUGGETS Rebound2
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 10:42DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 11:02MIAJames 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 11:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 11:29MIAMISS Anthony 2' Dunk0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Hook Shot0
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Anthony: Tip to James0
55.5%
0
44.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
DEN
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
31
52%
DEN
21
33
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
34
44%
DEN
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DEN
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
Free Throws
MIA
21
29
72%
DEN
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3570%17.5 / 25
C. Bosh1750%8.5 / 17
N. Cole1354%6.5 / 12
D. Wade1243%6.0 / 14
U. Haslem1275%6.0 / 8
M. Chalmers1071%5.0 / 7
S. Battier350%1.5 / 3
D. Pittman225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
T. Harris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2486%12.0 / 14
Nene1757%8.5 / 15
R. Fernandez1583%7.5 / 9
A. Harrington1583%7.5 / 9
D. Gallinari1454%7.0 / 13
T. Mozgov1260%6.0 / 10
A. Afflalo850%4.0 / 8
A. Miller758%3.5 / 6
C. Brewer350%1.5 / 3
K. Koufos2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+16
-17
95
DEN
77
+13
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.7%
DEN
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
109.3
MIA 108.3
DEN 123.2 +14.8
Pace
91.3
94.1
MIA 104.6 +16.9
DEN 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.6
MIA 13.8 +2.7
DEN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
51.6%
MIA 51.2%
DEN 62.8% +11.6%
TO %
15.9%
15.7%
MIA 15.3% +2.2%
DEN 17.5%
ORB %
26.6%
27.7%
MIA 32.6% +9.1%
DEN 23.5%
FTrt
30.7
32.6
MIA 35.8 +2.5
DEN 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
61.5%
MIA 50.0%
DEN 60.5% +10.5%
STL %
9.6%
8.6%
MIA 11.5% +1.0%
DEN 10.5%
BLK %
9.0%
8.1%
MIA 7.5%
DEN 7.7% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
54.2%
MIA 54.7%
DEN 64.3% +9.6%
Rim FG%
61.1%
59.7%
MIA 51.6%
DEN 63.6% +12.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.3%
MIA 44.1%
DEN 50.0% +5.9%
3P %
35.9%
33.2%
MIA 43.8%
DEN 48.0% +4.2%
FT %
77.5%
73.6%
MIA 72.4%
DEN 73.1% +0.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
48.0%
MIA 38.3%
DEN 42.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
27.7%
MIA 42.0%
DEN 25.6% +16.3%
3P Att. %
19.8%
24.3%
MIA 19.8%
DEN 32.1% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points104117
Rebounds4037
Assists1926
Steals1110
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)29 (1)
Field Goals38-8143-78
At-the-Rim FG16-3121-33
Midrange FG15-3410-20
2-Point FG31-6531-53
3-Point FG7-1612-25
Free Throws21-2919-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
38.4
17
50%
8
2
1
3
1
2
2
6
5-5
100%
6-14
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
37.2
35
70%
5
6
2
1
4
0
1
4
6-11
55%
10-15
67%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
31.6
10
71%
2
2
2
0
3
5
2
0
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
28.6
12
43%
7
6
2
0
3
4
4
3
0-0
-
6-14
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
7.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
26.9
12
75%
11
1
0
0
1
3
2
9
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
23.2
3
50%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
21.2
13
54%
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
14.8
2
25%
0
1
1
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
5.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 220 · 25
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
#34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
40
19
11
4
17
0
14
26
21-29
72%
31-65
48%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.