FinalWin Prob.pScore
2817%93
94
483%106
81
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
105.68979.3
DEN logo DEN
90.090102.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH94
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENCarroll 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)94
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0NOHVasquez Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T17)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENAfflalo 8' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOHLandry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04DENCarroll 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18NOHMISS Summers 17' Jump Shot94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49DENMISS Brewer 22' Jump Shot94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56NOHLandry 2' Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Summers 2 AST)94
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15DENBrewer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21NOHMISS Landry 19' Jump Shot92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48DENBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57NOHMISS Jack 21' Jump Shot92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 292
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22NOHSummers 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)92
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43NOHJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot90
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 3:53NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)90
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 4:06DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 4:16NOHHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)87
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 4:16NOHHornets Rebound87
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 4:17NOHAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)87
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 4:40DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P4.T16)87
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 5:12NOHJack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)87
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 5:34NOHSummers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 5:35DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.4%
71
2.6%
Q4 - 6:04NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
94.6%
71
5.4%
Q4 - 6:04NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
94.4%
71
5.6%
Q4 - 6:08DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)82
93.0%
71
7.0%
Q4 - 6:16NOHKaman Foul Turnover (P2.T14)82
90.7%
71
9.3%
Q4 - 6:37NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 6:38DENMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
92.5%
71
7.5%
Q4 - 6:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
90.9%
71
9.1%
Q4 - 6:48DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
92.6%
71
7.4%
Q4 - 7:07DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
87.6%
71
12.4%
Q4 - 7:07NOHMISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot82
88.5%
71
11.5%
Q4 - 7:26NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
90.6%
71
9.4%
Q4 - 7:26DENMISS Fernandez 1' Driving Layup82
89.8%
71
10.2%
Q4 - 7:47DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
87.8%
71
12.2%
Q4 - 7:48NOHMISS Jack 13' Jump Shot82
88.8%
71
11.2%
Q4 - 8:07DENFernandez 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
87.6%
71
12.4%
Q4 - 8:32NOHKaman 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jack 9 AST)82
90.3%
69
9.7%
Q4 - 8:57DENFernandez 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)80
87.9%
69
12.1%
Q4 - 9:13DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q4 - 9:14DENMISS Afflalo 6' Jump Shot80
91.5%
66
8.5%
Q4 - 9:27NOHKaman 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jack 8 AST)80
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q4 - 9:45NOHHornets Rebound78
87.9%
66
12.1%
Q4 - 9:46DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
87.2%
66
12.8%
Q4 - 9:51DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
85.3%
66
14.7%
Q4 - 9:52NOHMISS C. Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot78
86.1%
66
13.9%
Q4 - 10:18DENFernandez 9' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
85.7%
66
14.3%
Q4 - 10:40NOHLandry Foul Turnover (P3.T13)78
88.3%
64
11.7%
Q4 - 10:54DENLawson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)78
90.5%
64
9.5%
Q4 - 11:04NOHKaman 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)78
86.2%
64
13.8%
Q4 - 11:26NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
88.6%
64
11.4%
Q4 - 11:26DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
88.0%
64
12.0%
Q4 - 11:38DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
86.4%
64
13.6%
Q4 - 11:39NOHMISS Summers 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
87.1%
64
12.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
88.7%
64
11.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound78
86.4%
64
13.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 13' Fadeaway Jumper78
88.0%
64
12.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOHC. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
84.2%
64
15.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T13)78
86.7%
64
13.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
84.4%
64
15.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot78
86.0%
64
14.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0NOHVasquez 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)78
84.4%
64
15.6%
Q3 - 1:08DENFernandez Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
79.1%
64
20.9%
Q3 - 1:09DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
75.9%
64
24.1%
Q3 - 1:10DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
78.2%
64
21.8%
Q3 - 1:23NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
76.0%
64
24.0%
Q3 - 1:23NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 1:37NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q3 - 1:38DENMISS Fernandez 20' Jump Shot74
70.9%
64
29.1%
Q3 - 1:51NOHLandry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
68.2%
64
31.8%
Q3 - 1:51NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 273
67.4%
64
32.6%
Q3 - 1:59NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
68.0%
64
32.0%
Q3 - 2:00DENMISS Harrington 3' Layup73
66.8%
64
33.2%
Q3 - 2:31NOHJack 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
60.6%
64
39.4%
Q3 - 2:58DENFernandez 13' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)71
56.3%
64
43.7%
Q3 - 3:15NOHLandry Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)71
57.8%
62
42.2%
Q3 - 3:21NOHJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
62.3%
62
37.7%
Q3 - 3:22NOHMISS Landry 18' Jump Shot71
59.3%
62
40.7%
Q3 - 3:53DENGallinari 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Nene 4 AST)71
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 4:13NOHJack 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)71
64.2%
60
35.8%
Q3 - 4:20NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 4:21DENMISS Lawson 3' Driving Layup69
59.4%
60
40.6%
Q3 - 4:35NOHOkafor 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 7 AST)69
56.0%
60
44.0%
Q3 - 4:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
52.4%
60
47.6%
Q3 - 4:54DENMISS Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.9%
60
49.1%
Q3 - 5:02DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 5:04DENMISS Lawson 13' Running Jump Shot67
48.9%
60
51.1%
Q3 - 5:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 5:16NOHMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot67
47.1%
60
52.9%
Q3 - 5:34DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)67
50.4%
60
49.6%
Q3 - 5:46NOHAminu Foul Turnover (P2.T9)67
54.2%
58
45.8%
Q3 - 5:57DENLawson 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
58.8%
58
41.2%
Q3 - 6:13NOHBelinelli Foul Turnover (P1.T8)67
59.8%
56
40.2%
Q3 - 6:30DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)67
64.0%
56
36.0%
Q3 - 6:49NOHKaman Dunk (16 PTS) (Okafor 2 AST)67
70.8%
53
29.2%
Q3 - 7:16DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)65
64.9%
53
35.1%
Q3 - 7:27NOHKaman 2' Reverse Layup (14 PTS)65
71.5%
50
28.5%
Q3 - 7:43DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)63
68.5%
50
31.5%
Q3 - 7:50NOHJack Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)63
64.9%
50
35.1%
Q3 - 8:04DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)63
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q3 - 8:10NOHBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Aminu 5 AST)63
63.3%
50
36.7%
Q3 - 8:30DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
56.4%
50
43.6%
Q3 - 8:30DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q3 - 8:37DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
59.8%
48
40.2%
Q3 - 8:38NOHMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
61.0%
48
39.0%
Q3 - 8:55NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q3 - 8:55DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
62.5%
48
37.5%
Q3 - 9:07NOHKaman 5' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)60
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q3 - 9:18NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
54.5%
48
45.5%
Q3 - 9:19DENMISS Miller 3' Driving Layup58
53.3%
48
46.7%
Q3 - 9:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
50.7%
48
49.3%
Q3 - 9:25NOHMISS Kaman 10' Jump Shot58
51.9%
48
48.1%
Q3 - 9:41NOHHornets Rebound58
54.6%
48
45.4%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Afflalo 3' Layup58
53.4%
48
46.6%
Q3 - 9:59NOHKaman 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)58
50.8%
48
49.2%
Q3 - 10:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q3 - 10:13NOHGallinari BLOCK (2 BLK)56
42.7%
48
57.3%
Q3 - 10:38NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q3 - 10:38DENMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot56
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q3 - 10:55NOHAminu 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
41.7%
48
58.3%
Q3 - 11:20DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q3 - 11:20DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
37.7%
47
62.3%
Q3 - 11:23NOHNene STEAL (1 STL)54
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q3 - 11:40NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
43.8%
46
56.2%
Q3 - 11:41DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Shot54
42.8%
46
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN54
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound54
40.3%
46
59.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Gallinari 58' 3PT Jump Shot54
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
39.6%
46
60.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 2 of 254
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOHLandry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)54
42.2%
46
57.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
38.8%
46
61.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0NOHMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot53
37.2%
46
62.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)53
38.9%
46
61.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
46.2%
43
53.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0NOHJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q2 - 1:03NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 1:17NOHC. Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)51
38.8%
43
61.2%
Q2 - 1:41DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)48
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 1:51DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
38.8%
40
61.2%
Q2 - 1:52NOHGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)48
39.5%
40
60.5%
Q2 - 2:09NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 2:09NOHMISS Landry 10' Fadeaway Jumper48
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q2 - 2:26NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
40.1%
40
59.9%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot48
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 2:49NOHAyon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)48
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 2:49NOHMISS Ayon Free Throw 1 of 247
36.4%
40
63.6%
Q2 - 2:49NOHHornets Rebound47
37.2%
40
62.8%
Q2 - 2:49DENMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot47
36.3%
40
63.7%
Q2 - 3:08NOHLandry 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)47
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 3:26NOHAyon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
30.7%
40
69.3%
Q2 - 3:28DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 245
30.3%
40
69.7%
Q2 - 3:28DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
28.8%
40
71.2%
Q2 - 3:28DENNUGGETS Rebound45
30.3%
39
69.7%
Q2 - 3:28NOHMISS Landry 17' Jump Shot45
31.3%
39
68.7%
Q2 - 3:47NOHC. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
33.4%
39
66.6%
Q2 - 3:50DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 245
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 3:50DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
31.2%
39
68.8%
Q2 - 3:53NOHLawson STEAL (1 STL)45
33.0%
38
67.0%
Q2 - 4:17DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)45
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 4:22DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 245
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 4:24DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 4:40NOHLandry 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)45
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 4:49DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 4:59NOHBelinelli 11' Running Bank Shot (16 PTS)43
34.8%
35
65.2%
Q2 - 5:25DENGallinari Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)41
31.5%
35
68.5%
Q2 - 5:43NOHLandry 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Aminu 4 AST)41
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 5:49DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 5:53NOHGallinari STEAL (1 STL)39
29.1%
33
70.9%
Q2 - 5:56NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 5:58NOHMISS Aminu 20' Jump Shot39
29.8%
33
70.2%
Q2 - 6:18DENLawson 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
30.9%
33
69.1%
Q2 - 6:36NOHJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)39
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q2 - 6:44NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 6:44DENMISS Fernandez 21' Fadeaway Jumper39
35.0%
31
65.0%
Q2 - 7:01NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Aminu 3 AST)39
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 7:17NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 7:17DENMISS Brewer 3' Reverse Layup36
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 7:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
25.3%
31
74.7%
Q2 - 7:32NOHMISS Jack 13' Fadeaway Jumper36
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 7:51NOHJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 7:51DENMISS Brewer 14' Jump Shot36
27.0%
31
73.0%
Q2 - 8:05NOHBelinelli 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Aminu 2 AST)36
24.8%
31
75.2%
Q2 - 8:12NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 8:12NOHMISS Belinelli 16' Fadeaway Jumper34
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 8:36NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 8:37DENMISS Nene 1' Dunk34
22.4%
31
77.6%
Q2 - 9:04NOHJack 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q2 - 9:29DENBrewer Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Fernandez 2 AST)32
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 9:33DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 9:34NOHMISS Vasquez 3PT Jump Shot32
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 9:39DENHarrington Inbound Turnover (P2.T7)32
22.5%
29
77.5%
Q2 - 9:39NOHLandry 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)32
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 10:01DENHarrington 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)30
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q2 - 10:17DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 10:19NOHMISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 130
20.8%
27
79.2%
Q2 - 10:26NOHVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 10:27DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot28
18.6%
27
81.4%
Q2 - 10:38DENFernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q2 - 10:39NOHMISS Vasquez 10' Jump Shot28
18.0%
27
82.0%
Q2 - 10:54DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q2 - 11:06NOHOkafor 2' Layup (2 PTS)28
17.5%
27
82.5%
Q2 - 11:33NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q2 - 11:33DENMISS Gallinari 16' Jump Shot26
15.7%
27
84.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound26
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot26
15.5%
27
84.5%
Q1 - 0:07.0NOHLandry Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)26
14.8%
27
85.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENGallinari 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)26
15.8%
27
84.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0NOHFernandez STEAL (1 STL)26
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot26
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot26
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0NOHVasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
17.4%
25
82.6%
Q1 - 1:11DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)23
14.5%
25
85.5%
Q1 - 1:33NOHKaman 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Summers 1 AST)23
17.3%
22
82.7%
Q1 - 1:51NOHHornets Rebound21
15.7%
22
84.3%
Q1 - 1:52DENMISS Lawson 2' Driving Layup21
15.4%
22
84.6%
Q1 - 1:55NOHKaman 1' Layup (6 PTS)21
14.8%
22
85.2%
Q1 - 2:00NOHKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
13.3%
22
86.7%
Q1 - 2:00NOHMISS Landry 9' Jump Shot19
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q1 - 2:21DENFernandez 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)19
13.5%
22
86.5%
Q1 - 2:34NOHSummers 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)19
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 2:55DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)17
13.5%
20
86.5%
Q1 - 3:04DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 3:04NOHMISS Landry 21' Jump Shot17
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 3:25DENLawson 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)17
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 3:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.0%
15
82.0%
Q1 - 3:31NOHFernandez BLOCK (1 BLK)17
18.4%
15
81.6%
Q1 - 3:52NOHHornets Rebound17
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 3:52DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot17
19.0%
15
81.0%
Q1 - 4:09NOHKaman 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)17
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 4:27DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)15
16.4%
15
83.6%
Q1 - 4:34NOHBelinelli 1' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)15
15.1%
15
84.9%
Q1 - 4:40DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 4:54NOHAminu 4' Dunk (2 PTS)13
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 4:59NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 5:00NOHMISS Aminu 5' Jump Shot11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 5:17DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:22DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 5:23NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Fadeaway Jumper11
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 5:50NOHLandry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:53DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 211
12.1%
15
87.9%
Q1 - 5:53DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
11.6%
15
88.4%
Q1 - 5:53DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)11
12.1%
14
87.9%
Q1 - 5:54DENMISS Nene 1' Layup11
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:03NOHBelinelli 20' Fadeaway Bank Shot (7 PTS)11
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 6:25NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 6:26DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot9
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 6:29DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)9
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 6:31NOHMISS Kaman 2' Layup9
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 6:48DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)9
11.3%
14
88.7%
Q1 - 7:03NOHKaman 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)9
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 7:26DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 7:26DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 7:37NOHLandry Dunk (2 PTS)7
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 7:43DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
12.0%
9
88.0%
Q1 - 7:49DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
11.1%
9
88.9%
Q1 - 7:49NOHMISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot5
11.4%
9
88.6%
Q1 - 8:09DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
11.7%
9
88.3%
Q1 - 8:09DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 25
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 8:09DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 8:11NOHNene BLOCK (1 BLK)5
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 8:17NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
12.6%
8
87.4%
Q1 - 8:17DENMISS Nene 1' Layup5
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 8:45NOHBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)5
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 8:55NOHAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:56DENMISS Mozgov 6' Jump Hook Shot2
10.0%
8
90.0%
Q1 - 9:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 9:18NOHMISS Jack 22' Jump Shot2
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 9:28DENMozgov 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 9:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
11.0%
6
89.0%
Q1 - 9:37NOHMISS Aminu 3' Reverse Layup2
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:42NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 9:43NOHMISS Aminu 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:58DENNene 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)2
11.8%
6
88.2%
Q1 - 10:06DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.5%
4
87.5%
Q1 - 10:07NOHMISS Kaman 11' Turnaround Jump Shot2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:30DENGallinari 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 10:53NOHBelinelli 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)2
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 10:58DENMozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 11:12DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.5%
2
87.5%
Q1 - 11:12NOHMISS Okafor 7' Running Jump Shot0
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 11:33DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:33DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
13.3%
1
86.7%
Q1 - 11:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:36NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot0
14.2%
0
85.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Okafor: Tip to Jack0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.13 56.6%
DEN
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
18
24
75%
DEN
11
22
50%
Midrange
NOH
15
41
37%
DEN
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
DEN
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
NOH
10
14
71%
DEN
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Landry2158%10.5 / 18
C. Kaman2063%10.0 / 16
M. Belinelli1973%9.5 / 13
J. Jack1350%6.5 / 13
G. Vasquez563%2.5 / 4
A. Aminu429%2.0 / 7
E. Okafor467%2.0 / 3
D. Summers450%2.0 / 4
C. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
G. Ayon150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari1558%7.5 / 13
T. Lawson1568%7.5 / 11
R. Fernandez1458%7.0 / 12
A. Afflalo1350%6.5 / 13
Nene941%4.5 / 11
C. Brewer550%2.5 / 5
T. Mozgov450%2.0 / 4
D. Carroll4100%2.0 / 2
A. Harrington225%1.0 / 4
A. Miller0-0.0 / 5
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
73
+10
-16
83
DEN
73
+11
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
1.13 56.6%
DEN
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
109.3
NOH 105.6
DEN 90.0 +15.6
Pace
88.4
94.1
NOH 79.3
DEN 102.6 +23.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
14.6
NOH 18.2
DEN 14.0 +4.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
51.6%
NOH 56.0% +9.5%
DEN 46.5%
TO %
16.5%
15.7%
NOH 17.3% +0.2%
DEN 17.5%
ORB %
27.6%
27.7%
NOH 25.0% +4.5%
DEN 20.5%
FTrt
27.4
32.6
NOH 18.7
DEN 29.6 +10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
61.5%
NOH 66.7% +1.2%
DEN 65.5%
STL %
8.3%
8.6%
NOH 9.0% +4.6%
DEN 4.4%
BLK %
8.2%
8.1%
NOH 10.4% +2.7%
DEN 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
54.2%
NOH 56.6% +8.4%
DEN 48.2%
Rim FG%
56.0%
59.7%
NOH 75.0% +25.0%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.6%
39.3%
NOH 36.6%
DEN 38.5% +1.9%
3P %
33.3%
33.2%
NOH 60.0% +25.2%
DEN 34.8%
FT %
75.7%
73.6%
NOH 71.4%
DEN 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
48.0%
NOH 32.0% +1.0%
DEN 31.0%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
27.7%
NOH 54.7%
DEN 36.6% +18.0%
3P Att. %
15.2%
24.3%
NOH 13.3%
DEN 32.4% +19.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsNOHDEN
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes26.921.1
Points9481
Rebounds4035
Assists2619
Steals84
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (5)27 (1)
Field Goals39-7529-71
At-the-Rim FG18-2411-22
Midrange FG15-4110-26
2-Point FG33-6521-48
3-Point FG6-108-23
Free Throws10-1415-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
35.2
13
50%
4
9
2
0
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
30.4
19
73%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 7'0" 265 · 30
28.5
20
63%
7
1
0
1
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
10-16
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 21
26.1
4
29%
8
5
1
1
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
24.3
4
67%
7
2
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 28
37.0
21
58%
5
1
1
1
4
4
1
4
5-8
63%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
23.7
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 5'10" 180 · 29
14.4
3
75%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 217 · 25
14.2
5
63%
1
4
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
· 6'10" 250 · 27
5.3
1
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 27
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 23
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
57%
40
26
8
5
16
0
9
31
10-14
71%
33-65
51%
6-10
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.