FinalWin Prob.pScore
1525%94
83
175%103
118
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
87.49595.9
MIA logo MIA
124.29594.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDHarris STEAL (2 STL)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 2 of 283
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 1 of 283
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDPacers Rebound83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Howard 2' Layup83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDCole STEAL (2 STL)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:22MIACole Traveling Turnover (P5.T11)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:27MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:28INDMISS Hansbrough 20' Jump Shot81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:43MIAHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:59MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:00INDMISS George 1' Driving Dunk81
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:05INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:21INDAmundson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:21INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 1 of 280
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:30MIAPittman 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)80
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 2:38MIAHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:39INDMISS Hansbrough 17' Jump Shot80
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:57MIAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:59INDHarris STEAL (1 STL)80
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 3:14MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)80
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:54MIAPittman 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23INDHansbrough 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (George 3 AST)76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 174
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)72
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15INDHaslem STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53INDCole STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (33 PTS)72
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIABosh 2' Dunk (22 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00INDHibbert 1' Layup (16 PTS)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIABattier 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 13 AST)70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIABosh 8' Hook Shot (20 PTS)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31INDHibbert 8' Hook Shot (14 PTS)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (31 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11INDMISS Hill 1' Driving Layup68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27INDMISS George Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 268
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41MIACole 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (James 12 AST)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48INDMISS George 12' Fadeaway Jumper68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIABosh 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 11 AST)68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:27INDHansbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 10:43MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (29 PTS)68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 10:47INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 10:50INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot68
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 11:02MIAHEAT Rebound68
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 11:28INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 11:37INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Hill 65' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS)66
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 266
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem 2' Layup (8 PTS)65
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup65
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0INDJames STEAL (2 STL)65
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)65
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 265
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 1:18INDHill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)65
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q3 - 1:27MIABattier 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 10 AST)65
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 1:40INDMISS Hibbert 12' Hook Shot65
2.6%
79
97.4%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 2:16INDWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)65
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 2:39MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)62
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 2:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q3 - 3:19INDCollison 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 3:24INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot60
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 3:46MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 4:05INDHibbert 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (West 2 AST)60
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 4:25MIAChalmers 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS)58
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:44INDCollison 6' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 5:00INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)56
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 5:10INDCollison 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)56
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 5:23INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 5:37MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 5:39INDMISS West 4' Hook Shot54
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 5:57INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 6:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 6:15INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 254
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 6:15INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 6:24INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Hook Shot53
2.1%
71
97.9%
Q3 - 6:44INDHibbert 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)53
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 6:45INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 6:46INDMISS Collison 16' Jump Shot51
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 6:58INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 7:10INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q3 - 7:10INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q3 - 7:18INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q3 - 7:19INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 7:40INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 249
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)49
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 7:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 7:49INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot49
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 8:08MIABosh Dunk (16 PTS) (James 9 AST)49
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 8:20INDMISS West 11' Jump Shot49
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q3 - 8:30INDGranger Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)49
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 8:40INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS James 1' Reverse Layup48
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 8:46INDJones STEAL (1 STL)48
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 8:50INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot48
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 9:12INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 9:12INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 9:32INDGranger 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (George 2 AST)46
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 9:45INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 10:04INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)41
1.1%
66
98.9%
Q3 - 10:26MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 10:27INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIAChalmers Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)41
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 11:01INDWest 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)41
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 11:16MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 8 AST)39
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 11:35INDBosh STEAL (2 STL)39
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND39
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)39
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)39
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)39
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)39
2.2%
59
97.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAHEAT Rebound39
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot39
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDPacers Rebound39
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMISS Collison 7' Floating Jump Shot39
2.6%
58
97.4%
Q2 - 1:07MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 7 AST)39
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q2 - 1:25INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 1:25INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q2 - 1:25INDPacers Rebound37
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 1:26INDMISS George 3PT Jump Shot37
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)37
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 1:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q2 - 1:57INDMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 2:19INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot37
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 2:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 2:39INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot37
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 2:47INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 3:11INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)37
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 3:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot37
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 3:32MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q2 - 3:34INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot37
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)37
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 3:51INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.1%
50
93.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)37
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q2 - 4:24INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T11)37
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 4:39INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.1%
48
91.9%
Q2 - 5:02INDAnthony STEAL (1 STL)37
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 5:23MIAChalmers 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)37
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q2 - 5:35INDJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 5:35INDJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
9.3%
46
90.7%
Q2 - 5:47MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)35
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 6:01INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 6:01INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 6:13INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
8.9%
44
91.1%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot33
8.6%
44
91.4%
Q2 - 6:29MIAJones Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)33
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 6:29INDWest Foul Turnover (P3.T9)33
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 6:43MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)33
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)33
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 7:04INDWest Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)33
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 7:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
14.6%
39
85.4%
Q2 - 7:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
14.8%
38
85.2%
Q2 - 7:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
15.8%
37
84.2%
Q2 - 7:31INDMISS Amundson Free Throw 2 of 233
16.1%
37
83.9%
Q2 - 7:31INDAmundson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
16.7%
37
83.3%
Q2 - 7:32INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)32
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 7:33INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot32
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 7:57MIACole Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T5)32
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 8:01INDAmundson 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)32
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 8:12INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot30
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q2 - 8:37INDHill Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)30
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 8:41INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMISS Cole 10' Running Jump Shot30
13.0%
37
87.0%
Q2 - 8:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 8:53INDMISS West 17' Jump Shot30
12.5%
37
87.5%
Q2 - 9:19MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
13.4%
37
86.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 9:33INDHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 9:33INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 9:36MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 10:04INDAmundson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)28
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 10:05INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:07INDMISS Hill 3PT Jump Shot28
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 10:20INDPacers Rebound28
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:21INDMISS George 10' Turnaround Jump Shot28
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 10:36INDPacers Rebound28
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot28
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 10:48INDHansbrough Foul Turnover (P1.T5)28
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 11:02MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)28
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 11:07INDStephenson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)28
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)28
17.6%
32
82.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 11:38INDMISS Hansbrough 1' Layup28
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 11:39INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 11:41INDMISS Amundson 1' Tip Shot28
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 11:42INDAmundson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 11:43INDMISS Hansbrough 2' Layup28
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q2 - 11:49INDHill Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)28
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND27
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound27
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Stephenson 40' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.5%
29
80.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot27
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDHill 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)27
19.1%
29
80.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
16.0%
29
84.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup24
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup24
20.0%
26
80.0%
Q1 - 1:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q1 - 1:04INDMISS Stephenson 3' Driving Layup24
19.5%
26
80.5%
Q1 - 1:11MIACole 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
20.2%
26
79.8%
Q1 - 1:13MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:15MIAMISS Pittman 8' Turnaround Hook Shot24
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 1:35INDPacers Rebound24
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAJump Ball Battier vs. Granger: Tip to24
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:35INDBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)24
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 1:39MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)24
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q1 - 1:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:48INDMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot24
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q1 - 2:07INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 2:31INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)24
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 2:48INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Battier 10' Turnaround Hook Shot21
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q1 - 2:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17.7%
24
82.3%
Q1 - 3:00INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIAAnthony 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)21
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q1 - 3:30INDMISS Hansbrough 16' Jump Shot21
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 3:47MIAAnthony 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)21
21.8%
22
78.2%
Q1 - 4:08INDHibbert 1' Dunk (4 PTS)21
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 4:08INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 4:09INDMISS Hansbrough 19' Jump Shot19
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 4:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot19
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 4:41INDMISS Hibbert 11' Running Jump Shot19
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 5:02MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 5:19INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)19
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 5:42MIAJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 5:54INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 5:54INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 5:54INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
24.4%
16
75.6%
Q1 - 5:55INDMISS Collison 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 6:01INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 6:02MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot17
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 6:25INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)17
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 6:31MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 6:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 6:38INDMISS Granger 13' Jump Shot14
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 6:59MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 6:59MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 7:16INDGeorge 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)14
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 7:23INDPacers Rebound11
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 7:24INDMISS West 10' Jump Shot11
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 7:37MIABosh 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 7:59INDCollison 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
18.1%
12
81.9%
Q1 - 8:24INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (West 1 AST)9
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 8:38MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)6
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot6
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 9:06INDCollison 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)6
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 9:29INDJames STEAL (1 STL)4
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 9:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 9:58INDMISS Granger 12' Jump Shot4
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 10:25MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 10:48INDGeorge 1' Layup (2 PTS)4
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:05MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 11:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot2
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 11:29INDHibbert 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:43INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.2%
0
78.8%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Hibbert: Tip to Chalmers0
20.2%
0
79.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
9
17
53%
MIA
20
26
77%
Midrange
IND
10
33
30%
MIA
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
IND
30
39
77%
MIA
26
28
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hibbert1667%8.0 / 12
T. Hansbrough1454%7.0 / 13
P. George1350%6.5 / 13
D. Collison1056%5.0 / 9
D. West956%4.5 / 8
G. Hill956%4.5 / 8
D. Granger623%3.0 / 13
L. Amundson440%2.0 / 5
D. Jones233%1.0 / 3
L. Stephenson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3366%16.5 / 25
C. Bosh2273%11.0 / 15
M. Chalmers1470%7.0 / 10
J. Jones1478%7.0 / 9
N. Cole1042%5.0 / 12
U. Haslem880%4.0 / 5
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
T. Harris5125%2.5 / 2
S. Battier433%2.0 / 6
D. Pittman250%1.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
72
+16
-23
88
MIA
82
+10
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.93 46.6%
MIA
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
106.6
IND 87.4 +36.8
MIA 124.2
Pace
91.1
91.3
IND 95.9 +1.8
MIA 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.8
IND 15.0 +0.3
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.5%
IND 38.4%
MIA 57.5% +19.1%
TO %
14.4%
15.9%
IND 21.1%
MIA 12.3% +8.8%
ORB %
29.3%
26.6%
IND 20.5%
MIA 20.6% +0.1%
FTrt
32.1
30.7
IND 56.5 +21.5
MIA 35.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
53.8%
IND 50.0%
MIA 59.5% +9.5%
STL %
8.7%
9.6%
IND 7.4%
MIA 12.6% +5.2%
BLK %
8.8%
9.0%
IND 5.1% +3.1%
MIA 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.5%
IND 46.6%
MIA 64.1% +17.5%
Rim FG%
53.6%
61.1%
IND 52.9%
MIA 76.9% +24.0%
Mid FG%
38.3%
40.0%
IND 30.3%
MIA 42.4% +12.1%
3P %
36.8%
35.9%
IND 26.3%
MIA 38.1% +11.8%
FT %
78.3%
77.5%
IND 76.9%
MIA 92.9% +16.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
36.7%
IND 24.6%
MIA 32.5% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
43.6%
IND 47.8%
MIA 41.3% +6.6%
3P Att. %
19.8%
19.8%
IND 27.5% +1.3%
MIA 26.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points83118
Rebounds3642
Assists1225
Steals712
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)23 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (7)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)35 (0)
Field Goals24-6942-80
At-the-Rim FG9-1720-26
Midrange FG10-3314-33
2-Point FG19-5034-59
3-Point FG5-198-21
Free Throws30-3926-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 22
40.0
13
50%
4
3
1
1
4
4
1
3
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 222 · 29
33.4
6
23%
4
2
1
1
4
3
0
4
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
1-7
14%
C · 7'2" 270 · 25
32.4
16
67%
12
2
0
0
2
3
2
10
2-3
67%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
25.1
10
56%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 31
19.8
9
56%
4
2
0
0
3
3
1
3
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 250 · 26
30.7
14
54%
3
0
2
0
2
4
1
2
10-11
91%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 26
21.9
9
56%
1
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
6-7
86%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31
15.5
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 29
12.2
4
40%
4
0
1
1
2
4
3
1
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
5.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 21
3.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
36
12
7
3
23
0
9
27
30-39
77%
19-50
38%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.