FinalWin Prob.pScore
1432%95
100
168%102
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
109.99182.3
MIA logo MIA
103.48999.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL100
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (28 PTS)100
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)100
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)97
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 296
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)96
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 1:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)96
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 1:10ATLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)96
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 1:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)93
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 1:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
97.0%
85
3.0%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 2:07MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)93
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 293
98.5%
84
1.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot93
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 2:26ATLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)93
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 2:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
95.9%
84
4.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup90
95.0%
84
5.0%
Q4 - 3:07ATLSmith 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)90
89.6%
84
10.4%
Q4 - 3:23ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
86.4%
84
13.6%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 288
85.5%
84
14.5%
Q4 - 3:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
81.6%
84
18.4%
Q4 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
84.8%
83
15.2%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper88
89.4%
83
10.6%
Q4 - 3:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
78.4%
83
21.6%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot88
80.5%
83
19.5%
Q4 - 3:57ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
85.2%
83
14.8%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 188
84.5%
83
15.5%
Q4 - 4:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
89.2%
81
10.8%
Q4 - 4:13ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 288
89.8%
81
10.2%
Q4 - 4:13ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
91.6%
81
8.4%
Q4 - 4:30MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)87
89.7%
81
10.3%
Q4 - 4:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
85.2%
81
14.8%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot87
86.8%
81
13.2%
Q4 - 5:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
85.4%
81
14.6%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 287
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 5:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 5:19ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)87
85.4%
80
14.6%
Q4 - 5:45MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
75.5%
80
24.5%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
81.0%
78
19.0%
Q4 - 5:59ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
79.9%
78
20.1%
Q4 - 6:18MIABosh 2' Layup (17 PTS) (James 6 AST)82
71.4%
78
28.6%
Q4 - 6:34ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T10)82
77.0%
76
23.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)82
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q4 - 7:12ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)82
83.0%
74
17.0%
Q4 - 7:30ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
74.2%
74
25.8%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot79
72.4%
74
27.6%
Q4 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
68.1%
74
31.9%
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Green 23' Jump Shot79
70.1%
74
29.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)79
74.3%
74
25.7%
Q4 - 8:03ATLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Radmanovic 3 AST)79
65.6%
74
34.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIABosh 8' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (James 5 AST)76
53.4%
74
46.6%
Q4 - 8:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
59.8%
72
40.2%
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot76
64.0%
72
36.0%
Q4 - 8:57ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
59.9%
72
40.1%
Q4 - 8:57ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
58.4%
72
41.6%
Q4 - 9:10MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)74
51.8%
72
48.2%
Q4 - 9:18MIAHEAT Rebound74
46.0%
72
54.0%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot74
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q4 - 9:36ATLPargo 4' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)74
46.0%
72
54.0%
Q4 - 9:41ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
40.0%
72
60.0%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot72
38.3%
72
61.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIACole Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)72
34.6%
72
65.4%
Q4 - 9:58ATLPachulia 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)72
40.2%
71
59.8%
Q4 - 10:10ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
34.2%
71
65.8%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q4 - 10:27ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
34.2%
71
65.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Bosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper70
32.6%
71
67.4%
Q4 - 10:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
29.3%
71
70.7%
Q4 - 10:51ATLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 170
29.9%
71
70.1%
Q4 - 11:10ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
25.1%
71
74.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot68
23.9%
71
76.1%
Q4 - 11:29ATLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)68
21.3%
71
78.7%
Q4 - 11:29ATLMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 267
20.6%
71
79.4%
Q4 - 11:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)67
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 11:35ATLMISS Green 21' Jump Shot67
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL67
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound67
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot67
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
21.6%
71
78.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 267
22.3%
70
77.7%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
21.9%
70
78.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot67
22.8%
70
77.2%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)67
25.2%
70
74.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot67
37.0%
67
63.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)67
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)67
38.4%
67
61.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
34.0%
67
66.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
35.3%
67
64.7%
Q3 - 1:11ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot67
36.5%
67
63.5%
Q3 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
33.6%
67
66.4%
Q3 - 1:37ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 167
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)65
29.1%
67
70.9%
Q3 - 2:10MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
32.8%
65
67.2%
Q3 - 2:11ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper65
34.1%
65
65.9%
Q3 - 2:30ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
37.1%
65
62.9%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot65
35.8%
65
64.2%
Q3 - 2:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
32.8%
65
67.2%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot65
34.1%
65
65.9%
Q3 - 3:15MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)65
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 3:30ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
40.6%
63
59.4%
Q3 - 3:30ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
39.8%
63
60.2%
Q3 - 3:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
36.6%
63
63.4%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Bosh 4' Running Hook Shot63
35.3%
63
64.7%
Q3 - 3:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
32.4%
63
67.6%
Q3 - 3:57ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot63
33.6%
63
66.4%
Q3 - 4:22MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)63
36.5%
63
63.5%
Q3 - 4:39ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
44.1%
60
55.9%
Q3 - 5:17MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)61
39.7%
60
60.3%
Q3 - 5:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
43.3%
58
56.7%
Q3 - 5:25ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
44.7%
58
55.3%
Q3 - 5:27ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
47.9%
58
52.1%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup61
46.5%
58
53.5%
Q3 - 5:48ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)61
43.4%
58
56.6%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T12)59
38.9%
58
61.1%
Q3 - 6:13ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)59
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 6:18MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)59
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 6:31ATLWilliams 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)59
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 6:36ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 6:37ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot57
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 6:46ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
31.6%
58
68.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 6:59ATLWilliams 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)57
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q3 - 7:17MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)55
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q3 - 7:17MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 7:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
27.8%
56
72.2%
Q3 - 7:31ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot55
28.8%
56
71.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)55
31.2%
56
68.8%
Q3 - 7:51ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)55
27.8%
56
72.2%
Q3 - 8:01ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot53
24.0%
56
76.0%
Q3 - 8:11MIAHEAT Rebound53
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q3 - 8:12ATLMISS Teague 1' Layup53
22.9%
56
77.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)53
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 253
25.5%
55
74.5%
Q3 - 8:37MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
24.7%
55
75.3%
Q3 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot53
25.7%
55
74.3%
Q3 - 8:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot53
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q3 - 9:10ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)53
24.6%
55
75.4%
Q3 - 9:22MIAJames 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)51
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 9:41ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
24.6%
53
75.4%
Q3 - 10:04ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot49
21.2%
53
78.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q3 - 10:15ATLMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup49
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIABosh 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (James 2 AST)49
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 10:53ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
24.4%
51
75.6%
Q3 - 10:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
27.3%
51
72.7%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup49
26.4%
51
73.6%
Q3 - 11:23ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)49
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 11:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 11:25ATLMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup47
20.4%
51
79.6%
Q3 - 11:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
22.1%
51
77.9%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 247
21.8%
51
78.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)47
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
17.8%
50
82.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
18.2%
49
81.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
20.4%
48
79.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot44
20.9%
48
79.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)44
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup44
26.4%
46
73.6%
Q2 - 1:07ATLSmith Illegal Assist Turnover (P2.T7)44
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 1:07ATLHawks Rebound44
26.8%
46
73.2%
Q2 - 1:08ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot44
25.6%
46
74.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
26.8%
46
73.2%
Q2 - 1:35ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)44
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 1:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
32.2%
44
67.8%
Q2 - 1:39ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot44
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q2 - 2:03MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q2 - 2:17ATLHorford 2' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)44
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)42
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 2:44ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
29.6%
42
70.4%
Q2 - 3:04ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
27.1%
42
72.9%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot40
26.2%
42
73.8%
Q2 - 3:24ATLJohnson 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)40
24.3%
42
75.7%
Q2 - 3:43MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)38
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 4:07ATLTeague 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)38
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 4:32MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)36
18.4%
42
81.6%
Q2 - 4:48ATLJohnson 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)36
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q2 - 4:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
20.3%
39
79.7%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot34
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 5:18ATLTeague 1' Dunk (11 PTS)34
18.6%
39
81.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 5:28ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 5:46MIACole 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)32
16.9%
39
83.1%
Q2 - 6:04ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)32
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 6:11MIABattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 6:24ATLHorford 4' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)29
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 6:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Green 21' Jump Shot27
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIACole 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)27
15.8%
35
84.2%
Q2 - 7:23MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 7:24ATLMISS Radmanovic 18' Jump Shot27
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q2 - 7:50MIACole 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 8:09ATLHorford 2' Layup (6 PTS)27
20.7%
31
79.3%
Q2 - 8:10ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 8:11ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
18.0%
31
82.0%
Q2 - 8:28MIABosh 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)25
19.1%
31
80.9%
Q2 - 8:46ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)25
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q2 - 9:06ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Cole 7' Floating Jump Shot22
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 9:12MIAHEAT Rebound22
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup22
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Green 16' Jump Shot22
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 9:23ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 9:24ATLMISS Pargo 15' Jump Shot22
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 9:48MIABattier Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 10:02ATLHorford 7' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q2 - 10:20ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot20
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 10:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q2 - 10:28ATLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot20
19.7%
25
80.3%
Q2 - 10:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
21.3%
24
78.7%
Q2 - 10:44ATLWade STEAL (3 STL)20
20.8%
24
79.2%
Q2 - 11:01MIABattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 220
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q2 - 11:11ATLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)20
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q2 - 11:11ATLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 219
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q2 - 11:14MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q2 - 11:30ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)19
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q2 - 11:41MIAWade 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)19
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL19
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot19
22.0%
23
78.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMcGrady 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAAnthony 12' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)17
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot17
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 1:13ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 1:23MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 1:38ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 1:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 2:16ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 2:29ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot12
16.6%
20
83.4%
Q1 - 2:54ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
15.9%
20
84.1%
Q1 - 3:03ATLHawks Rebound12
17.1%
20
82.9%
Q1 - 3:04MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot12
16.7%
20
83.3%
Q1 - 3:16ATLTeague 12' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)12
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 3:33MIAJames 2' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)10
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 3:43ATLPachulia 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 3:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 3:46ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup8
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 3:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 3:50ATLChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)8
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
14.9%
17
85.1%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHEAT Rebound8
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup8
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 4:12ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)8
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 4:16MIAChalmers 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 4:24ATLMISS Radmanovic 2' Layup8
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 4:39ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.2%
14
80.8%
Q1 - 4:54ATLTeague 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)6
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 5:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 5:34ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot6
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 6:05ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)6
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 6:19ATLHawks Rebound6
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 6:21ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup6
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 6:27ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot6
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:49MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper6
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIAHEAT Rebound6
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 7:23ATLMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 7:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
20.0%
12
80.0%
Q1 - 7:51ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot6
19.0%
12
81.0%
Q1 - 8:12MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)6
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
21.2%
10
78.8%
Q1 - 8:21ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot6
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 8:36MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 8:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 8:42ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Hook Shot6
24.3%
8
75.7%
Q1 - 9:04MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 9:18ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)6
24.0%
8
76.0%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 9:49ATLTeague 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
23.9%
6
76.1%
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
22.6%
6
77.4%
Q1 - 10:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.3%
6
78.7%
Q1 - 10:01ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup2
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 10:27MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
22.9%
6
77.1%
Q1 - 10:49MIAHEAT Rebound2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:50ATLMISS Horford 2' Layup2
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 11:08MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 11:20ATLHorford 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:38MIAJames 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
25.1%
2
74.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:43ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Teague0
27.7%
0
72.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
20
31
65%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
ATL
10
35
29%
MIA
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
ATL
13
20
65%
MIA
19
28
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2162%10.5 / 17
A. Horford1673%8.0 / 11
T. McGrady1673%8.0 / 11
J. Teague1568%7.5 / 11
J. Smith935%4.5 / 13
M. Williams867%4.0 / 6
J. Pargo880%4.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia650%3.0 / 6
W. Green18%0.5 / 6
V. Radmanovic0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2864%14.0 / 22
C. Bosh1948%9.5 / 20
D. Wade1230%6.0 / 20
S. Battier11110%5.5 / 5
N. Cole1071%5.0 / 7
M. Chalmers660%3.0 / 5
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
81
+13
-10
94
MIA
73
+12
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.07 53.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
106.6
ATL 109.9 +6.5
MIA 103.4
Pace
89.9
91.3
ATL 82.3
MIA 99.6 +17.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
ATL 17.5
MIA 14.5 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.5%
ATL 53.0% +3.0%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
14.5%
15.9%
ATL 9.9% +5.9%
MIA 15.8%
ORB %
23.9%
26.6%
ATL 24.4% +1.3%
MIA 23.1%
FTrt
25.9
30.7
ATL 24.4
MIA 38.4 +14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
53.8%
ATL 48.7%
MIA 67.6% +18.9%
STL %
8.8%
9.6%
ATL 11.0% +5.4%
MIA 5.6%
BLK %
7.2%
9.0%
ATL 8.3% +3.8%
MIA 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.5%
ATL 53.2%
MIA 53.5% +0.3%
Rim FG%
60.0%
61.1%
ATL 64.5%
MIA 70.8% +6.3%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.0%
ATL 28.6%
MIA 33.3% +4.7%
3P %
37.0%
35.9%
ATL 56.3% +17.8%
MIA 38.5%
FT %
74.0%
77.5%
ATL 65.0%
MIA 67.9% +2.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
36.7%
ATL 37.8% +4.9%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
43.6%
ATL 42.7% +6.6%
MIA 49.3%
3P Att. %
24.9%
19.8%
ATL 19.5% +1.7%
MIA 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points10092
Rebounds4040
Assists1923
Steals105
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals39-8234-73
At-the-Rim FG20-3117-24
Midrange FG10-3512-36
2-Point FG30-6629-60
3-Point FG9-165-13
Free Throws13-2019-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 245 · 26
39.1
16
73%
9
2
1
2
1
2
3
6
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 31
37.7
21
62%
5
1
0
0
2
3
2
3
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 189 · 24
35.3
15
68%
1
5
4
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
27.7
9
35%
6
3
1
2
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 26
22.5
8
67%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
25.5
16
73%
7
4
1
0
1
0
1
6
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
20.3
0
0%
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
12.6
8
80%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 205 · 30
10.4
1
8%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 28
8.8
6
50%
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
F · 6'8" 255 · 28
F · 6'6" 218 · 37
#12 · G · 6'3" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'4" 190 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
40
19
10
5
10
0
10
30
13-20
65%
30-66
45%
9-16
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.