FinalWin Prob.pScore
1247%97
84
1753%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
94.48992.1
HOU logo HOU
105.69087.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU84
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUHill 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)84
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0ATLTeague 3' Layup (6 PTS)84
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUScola 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 18 AST)82
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14ATLJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)82
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 1:30HOUMartin 23' Jump Shot (27 PTS)80
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 1:53HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 1:55ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.0%
89
99.0%
Q4 - 2:11HOUScola 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lowry 17 AST)80
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 2:35ATLTeague 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)80
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 2:40HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T12)78
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 2:45HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 2:47ATLHill BLOCK (1 BLK)78
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 2:59HOUScola 3' Layup (17 PTS)78
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 3:16ATLHorford 4' Layup (15 PTS)78
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q4 - 3:32ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 3:34HOUMISS Scola 21' Jump Shot76
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 3:54ATLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)76
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 4:10HOUMartin Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)73
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 4:10ATLHawks Rebound73
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 4:12ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot73
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 4:31HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lowry 16 AST)73
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 4:46ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)73
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 4:55HOUHill 2' Layup (9 PTS)73
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q4 - 4:58ATLScola STEAL (2 STL)73
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 5:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
10.8%
79
89.2%
Q4 - 5:02HOUMISS Scola 8' Hook Shot73
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMcGrady 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)73
10.1%
79
89.9%
Q4 - 5:30ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q4 - 5:31HOUMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot71
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q4 - 5:48ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 6:11HOUMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Lowry 15 AST)69
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 6:18HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 6:20ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup69
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q4 - 6:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
12.4%
76
87.6%
Q4 - 6:43HOUMISS Martin 4' Jump Shot69
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q4 - 7:04HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)69
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q4 - 7:05ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q4 - 7:12ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q4 - 7:13HOUMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot69
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q4 - 7:29HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)69
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q4 - 7:29ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 269
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 7:29ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q4 - 7:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q4 - 7:33HOUMISS Scola 7' Jump Shot68
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q4 - 8:00ATLTeague 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)68
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q4 - 8:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q4 - 8:23HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot66
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q4 - 8:30ATLLee STEAL (1 STL)66
6.5%
76
93.5%
Q4 - 8:44HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)66
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 8:55ATLPachulia 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)66
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q4 - 9:06ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 9:08ATLPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)64
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q4 - 9:13HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)64
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 9:30ATLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q4 - 9:48HOULowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q4 - 9:48HOULowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 9:50HOUPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q4 - 9:52ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 9:52ATLMISS Radmanovic 1' Layup62
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q4 - 9:55ATLLowry BLOCK (1 BLK)62
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q4 - 10:00HOUDragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)62
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 10:23ATLMcGrady 3' Layup (6 PTS)62
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q4 - 10:44HOUPatterson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)60
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q4 - 11:01ATLGreen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)60
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q4 - 11:18HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)60
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q4 - 11:22HOULee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q4 - 11:23ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q4 - 11:35ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
7.7%
72
92.3%
Q4 - 11:37HOUMISS Lowry 23' Pullup Jump Shot60
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU60
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLPargo 1' Layup (4 PTS)60
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Martin 16' Pullup Jump Shot58
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)58
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLMISS McGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot58
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 0:53.0HOUMISS Martin 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 1:05HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)58
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 1:07ATLMISS Green 4' Running Layup58
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 1:32HOUDalembert 2' Layup (7 PTS)58
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 1:33HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)58
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 1:34HOUMISS Dragic 9' Running Jump Shot58
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 2:00ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 2:09ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 2:11HOUMISS Dalembert 3' Reverse Layup55
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 2:17HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q3 - 2:18ATLMISS McGrady 10' Jump Shot55
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 2:39ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 2:41HOUMISS Budinger 2' Layup55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 3:01ATLSmith 1' Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 3:23HOUScola 2' Layup (15 PTS)53
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 3:25HOUScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 3:27HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 3:49HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 3:51ATLDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)53
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 4:14HOUMartin 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 14 AST)53
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 4:20ATLScola STEAL (1 STL)53
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 4:51HOUHill 2' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Lowry 13 AST)53
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 5:05ATLPargo 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)53
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 5:26HOUMartin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 12 AST)51
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 5:43ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)51
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 6:01HOUMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q3 - 6:01HOUMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q3 - 6:11HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 6:13ATLMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 6:34HOUBudinger 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 11 AST)49
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 6:46HOUROCKETS Rebound49
22.0%
56
78.0%
Q3 - 6:47ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot49
22.9%
56
77.1%
Q3 - 7:04HOUScola Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)49
25.7%
56
74.3%
Q3 - 7:18ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
22.7%
56
77.3%
Q3 - 7:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
21.9%
56
78.1%
Q3 - 7:35HOUScola 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lowry 10 AST)47
20.2%
56
79.8%
Q3 - 7:46HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)47
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q3 - 7:47ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q3 - 7:59ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)47
25.6%
54
74.4%
Q3 - 8:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 8:11HOUMISS Scola 8' Turnaround Hook Shot46
22.4%
54
77.6%
Q3 - 8:23ATLHorford 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)46
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q3 - 8:29ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 8:31HOUMISS Martin 3' Jump Shot46
22.4%
54
77.6%
Q3 - 8:44HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q3 - 8:46ATLMISS Smith 9' Running Jump Shot46
21.3%
54
78.7%
Q3 - 9:00HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
23.3%
54
76.7%
Q3 - 9:00HOUMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 246
23.8%
53
76.2%
Q3 - 9:06HOUHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)46
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 9:07HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 9:26ATLJohnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 9:45HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)44
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q3 - 9:48HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q3 - 9:50ATLMISS Horford 8' Turnaround Jump Shot44
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 10:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 10:11HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
21.0%
53
79.0%
Q3 - 10:25HOUROCKETS Rebound44
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 10:26ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q3 - 10:29ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 10:31ATLMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot44
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q3 - 10:47HOUBudinger 2' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)44
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q3 - 10:50HOUHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 10:52HOUMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q3 - 10:59ATLLowry STEAL (2 STL)44
24.1%
51
75.9%
Q3 - 11:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q3 - 11:10ATLMISS Teague 6' Jump Shot44
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q3 - 11:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS Budinger 23' Step Back Jump Shot44
26.8%
51
73.2%
Q3 - 11:40HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
24.9%
51
75.1%
Q3 - 11:42ATLBudinger BLOCK (1 BLK)44
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL44
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Lowry 16' Running Jump Shot44
27.5%
51
72.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)44
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot44
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUDalembert 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)44
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLSmith 2' Layup (10 PTS)44
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q2 - 1:07HOUBudinger 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)42
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q2 - 1:18ATLHorford 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
34.8%
46
65.2%
Q2 - 1:41HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)40
31.0%
46
69.0%
Q2 - 1:59ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)40
37.8%
43
62.2%
Q2 - 2:20HOUHill 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
31.8%
43
68.2%
Q2 - 2:23HOUHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 2:24HOUMISS Martin 12' Running Jump Shot37
36.6%
41
63.4%
Q2 - 2:40HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 2:42ATLMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot37
35.5%
41
64.5%
Q2 - 2:57ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)37
37.5%
41
62.5%
Q2 - 3:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
35.2%
41
64.8%
Q2 - 3:07HOUMISS Dragic 20' Jump Shot36
34.3%
41
65.7%
Q2 - 3:27ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
32.1%
41
67.9%
Q2 - 3:38ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
27.3%
41
72.7%
Q2 - 3:41HOUMISS Martin 28' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.5%
41
73.5%
Q2 - 3:57HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 3:58ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot33
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 4:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 4:04HOUMISS Lowry 6' Jump Shot33
26.8%
41
73.2%
Q2 - 4:19ATLBudinger STEAL (1 STL)33
25.1%
41
74.9%
Q2 - 4:39HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)33
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 4:44HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
32.4%
38
67.6%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot33
33.2%
38
66.8%
Q2 - 4:53ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
35.3%
38
64.7%
Q2 - 4:54HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 5:17ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)33
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 5:23ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
28.0%
38
72.0%
Q2 - 5:25HOUMISS Martin 10' Running Jump Shot30
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 5:48ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 5:48ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 229
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 6:05ATLHawks Rebound29
26.6%
38
73.4%
Q2 - 6:06HOUMISS Lee 9' Running Jump Shot29
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 6:15HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
24.0%
38
76.0%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot29
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 6:32HOUPatterson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)29
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 6:35HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)29
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 6:37HOUMISS Dalembert 10' Jump Shot29
30.3%
36
69.7%
Q2 - 6:56ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 6:56ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 228
27.9%
36
72.1%
Q2 - 7:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 7:14HOUMISS Patterson 11' Turnaround Hook Shot28
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 7:25HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 7:26ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
27.5%
36
72.5%
Q2 - 7:42HOUScola Foul Turnover (P2.T5)28
29.2%
36
70.8%
Q2 - 7:49HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
26.7%
36
73.3%
Q2 - 7:51ATLMISS Green 14' Turnaround Jump Shot28
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 8:14ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 8:15HOUMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 8:39ATLMcGrady 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)28
27.4%
36
72.6%
Q2 - 8:53HOUScola Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 8:53HOUScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
23.4%
36
76.6%
Q2 - 8:55HOUMISS Scola 13' Jump Shot26
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 9:22ATLGreen 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)26
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 9:36HOUDragic 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 9:54HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
23.8%
34
76.2%
Q2 - 9:55ATLMISS Radmanovic 22' Pullup Jump Shot24
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 10:10HOUMISS Dragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper24
25.5%
34
74.5%
Q2 - 10:23HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
24.0%
34
76.0%
Q2 - 10:24ATLMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot24
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q2 - 10:42ATLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
26.1%
34
73.9%
Q2 - 10:42HOUMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 224
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q2 - 10:42HOUDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
24.6%
34
75.4%
Q2 - 10:42HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)24
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 10:42HOUMISS Lee 3' Reverse Layup24
27.4%
33
72.6%
Q2 - 11:01HOUROCKETS Rebound24
26.3%
33
73.7%
Q2 - 11:01ATLLee BLOCK (1 BLK)24
26.9%
33
73.1%
Q2 - 11:21HOUPatterson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)24
28.3%
33
71.7%
Q2 - 11:44ATLMcGrady 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound22
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot22
26.8%
31
73.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0HOUDalembert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)22
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)22
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0HOULee 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q1 - 1:09ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T4)19
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q1 - 1:23HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q1 - 1:23HOUDalembert 1' Layup (2 PTS)19
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q1 - 1:24HOUMISS Dalembert 2' Tip Shot19
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q1 - 1:26HOUDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 1:27HOUMISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot19
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q1 - 1:49HOUROCKETS Rebound19
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 1:49ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
30.8%
27
69.2%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Tip Shot19
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 1:50ATLMISS McGrady 9' Hook Shot19
29.8%
27
70.2%
Q1 - 2:03ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31.5%
27
68.5%
Q1 - 2:05HOUMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot19
30.9%
27
69.1%
Q1 - 2:19ATLSmith 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q1 - 2:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q1 - 2:36HOUMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 2:47ATLJohnson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)17
26.0%
27
74.0%
Q1 - 3:07HOUMartin 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 3:12HOUMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot15
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 3:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q1 - 3:33HOUMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot15
27.5%
25
72.5%
Q1 - 3:47HOUROCKETS Rebound15
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 3:48ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot15
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q1 - 4:09HOUScola 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)15
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q1 - 4:14ATLLowry STEAL (1 STL)15
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 4:18HOUHill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)15
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 4:20HOUHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 4:22HOUMISS Budinger 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 4:37ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)15
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 4:53ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 4:53HOUMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 213
28.0%
23
72.0%
Q1 - 4:53HOUHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
26.9%
23
73.1%
Q1 - 5:05HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 5:06ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot13
29.2%
22
70.8%
Q1 - 5:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 5:14HOUMISS Scola 9' Jump Shot13
29.9%
22
70.1%
Q1 - 5:28HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 113
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 5:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 5:36HOUMISS Hill 9' Hook Shot11
26.5%
22
73.5%
Q1 - 5:51ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
25.2%
22
74.8%
Q1 - 6:03HOUScola 9' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)11
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 6:25ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 6:25ATLHorford 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 6:26ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot9
26.3%
20
73.7%
Q1 - 6:41HOUBudinger 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)9
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 6:51ATLHill STEAL (1 STL)9
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 6:57HOUScola 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)9
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 7:18ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 7:28HOULowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 7:29HOUROCKETS Rebound7
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 7:30ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 7:47HOUBudinger 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)7
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 7:55ATLWilliams 20' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)7
32.9%
14
67.1%
Q1 - 8:18HOUMartin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)5
31.7%
14
68.3%
Q1 - 8:32HOUBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
35.1%
11
64.9%
Q1 - 8:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 25
35.4%
11
64.6%
Q1 - 8:32ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 25
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 8:51HOUBudinger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)5
36.9%
11
63.1%
Q1 - 9:07ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)5
41.0%
8
59.0%
Q1 - 9:19HOUMartin 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 9:37ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 9:50HOUScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 9:50HOUScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
37.8%
5
62.2%
Q1 - 9:56HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:58ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot0
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:19HOUHill 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)0
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 10:30HOUScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:32ATLMISS Johnson 15' Fadeaway Jumper0
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 10:51HOUScola 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)0
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 11:03HOUHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot0
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:12HOUMISS Scola 8' Jump Shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:26HOULowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:27ATLMISS Horford 8' Jump Bank Shot0
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 11:40ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:42HOUMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Hill vs. Smith: Tip to Lowry0
46.5%
0
53.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.97 48.3%
HOU
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
18
27
67%
HOU
14
21
67%
Midrange
ATL
13
37
35%
HOU
15
42
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
HOU
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
ATL
10
16
63%
HOU
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1550%7.5 / 15
A. Horford1563%7.5 / 12
J. Smith1444%7.0 / 16
T. McGrady1359%6.5 / 11
M. Williams964%4.5 / 7
J. Teague643%3.0 / 7
W. Green550%2.5 / 5
J. Pargo450%2.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia350%1.5 / 3
V. Radmanovic0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2764%13.5 / 21
L. Scola2150%10.5 / 21
C. Budinger1785%8.5 / 10
J. Hill1161%5.5 / 9
S. Dalembert750%3.5 / 7
P. Patterson660%3.0 / 5
K. Lowry214%1.0 / 7
C. Lee233%1.0 / 3
G. Dragic220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
77
+8
-12
85
HOU
78
+11
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.97 48.3%
HOU
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
105.3
ATL 94.4 +11.2
HOU 105.6
Pace
89.9
92.0
ATL 92.1 +5.1
HOU 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.6
ATL 15.6 +0.9
HOU 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.2%
ATL 46.3%
HOU 51.8% +5.5%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
ATL 12.1%
HOU 12.0% +0.1%
ORB %
23.9%
27.5%
ATL 15.0%
HOU 24.4% +9.4%
FTrt
25.9
23.5
ATL 20.0 +4.1
HOU 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
56.4%
ATL 45.7%
HOU 68.4% +22.7%
STL %
8.8%
8.1%
ATL 4.5%
HOU 7.8% +3.3%
BLK %
7.2%
7.4%
ATL 9.5% +0.1%
HOU 9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.4%
ATL 48.3%
HOU 52.8% +4.5%
Rim FG%
60.0%
57.8%
ATL 66.7%
HOU 66.7%
Mid FG%
38.2%
39.6%
ATL 35.1%
HOU 35.7% +0.6%
3P %
37.0%
35.9%
ATL 25.0%
HOU 47.4% +22.4%
FT %
74.0%
78.2%
ATL 62.5%
HOU 76.9% +14.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
33.9%
ATL 33.8% +8.1%
HOU 25.6%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
42.1%
ATL 46.3% +5.0%
HOU 51.2%
3P Att. %
24.9%
24.0%
ATL 20.0%
HOU 23.2% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8495
Rebounds4045
Assists1626
Steals47
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)34 (6)
Field Goals35-8038-82
At-the-Rim FG18-2714-21
Midrange FG13-3715-42
2-Point FG31-6429-63
3-Point FG4-169-19
Free Throws10-1610-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 31
35.1
15
50%
4
3
1
2
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
31.9
14
44%
7
2
0
1
2
1
0
7
4-8
50%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 26
31.3
15
63%
6
2
0
1
2
1
1
5
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 24
30.1
6
43%
3
5
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 26
21.0
9
64%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
25.2
13
59%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 205 · 30
16.7
5
50%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
15.9
4
50%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
15.2
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 28
12.2
3
50%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 255 · 28
F · 6'6" 218 · 37
#6 · G · 6'4" 190 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'3" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
48%
40
16
4
6
12
0
6
34
10-16
63%
31-64
48%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.