FinalWin Prob.pScore
2117%95
100
383%108
117
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
97.110395.6
DEN logo DEN
115.8101109.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN100
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0UTABurks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T22)100
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot100
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0UTABurks 1' Reverse Dunk (15 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)100
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENFernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0UTAKanter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Kanter Free Throw 1 of 297
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DENKoufos 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)97
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19DENFernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30UTATinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39UTATinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39DENMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58UTAEvans Putback Dunk (4 PTS)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58UTAMISS Burks 10' Running Jump Shot92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15DENCarroll 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36UTAEvans 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)92
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55DENFernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00UTAMISS Kanter 13' Jump Shot90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20DENKoufos 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fernandez 8 AST)90
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28UTAMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46DENMISS Faried 2' Layup90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01UTABurks Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01UTABurks Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)89
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26UTAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26UTAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38DENMISS Brewer 10' Running Jump Shot86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55UTABurks 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DENFernandez 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26UTAHoward 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36DENMISS Koufos 7' Jump Hook Shot82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52UTAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52UTAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06DENMISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15UTAMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26DENFernandez 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 12 AST)80
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37UTABurks 2' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)80
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43DENMISS Faried 2' Layup78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53UTAFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12DENMISS Miller 11' Running Jump Shot78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36UTABurks 2' Dunk (4 PTS)78
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55DENMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 176
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58UTABrewer STEAL (2 STL)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05DENFernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)76
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24UTABurks 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30DENFernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45UTAHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)74
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05DENHarrington 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11UTAMISS Burks 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32UTAJefferson 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)72
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:44UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:51DENMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 270
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:51DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:53UTABrewer STEAL (1 STL)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 10:00DENBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:05DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:06UTAMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:24UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:25DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 170
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 10:29UTAHarrington STEAL (4 STL)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:32UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:33DENMISS Miller 4' Jump Shot70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:55UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:55UTAMillsap 1' Putback Dunk (13 PTS)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 10:56UTAMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot68
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 11:17DENFernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)68
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 11:26UTAMiles 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)68
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 11:35DENAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)66
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 11:42UTAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)66
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN66
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound66
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Millsap 10' Jump Shot66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENGallinari 2' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Fernandez 6 AST)66
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0UTAGallinari STEAL (2 STL)66
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENMISS Andersen 2' Layup66
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 1:05DENHarrington 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Fernandez 5 AST)66
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 1:13UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hayward 7 AST)66
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:36DENHarrington 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 1:57DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 1:58UTAMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 2:19DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)63
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 2:38UTAHayward 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)63
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 2:53DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)61
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 3:06DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 3:07UTAMISS Miles 22' Jump Shot61
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 3:24DENMiller 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Fernandez 4 AST)61
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 3:47UTAFavors Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)61
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 3:52UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 3:52DENMISS Miller 8' Jump Bank Shot61
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 4:09DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 4:11UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 2 of 261
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 4:11UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 261
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 4:15UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 4:17DENMISS Lawson 14' Running Jump Shot61
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 4:37DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 4:37UTAMISS Favors 2' Layup61
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 4:57DENLawson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)61
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 5:13UTAMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 4 AST)61
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 5:26UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:27DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 5:34UTAGallinari STEAL (1 STL)58
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 5:35UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot58
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 5:43DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 5:45UTAMISS Miles 2' Layup58
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 5:49UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:49UTAMISS Hayward 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 6:10DENNene 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)58
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 6:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 6:33UTAMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 158
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 6:52DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 6:54DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)56
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 6:55DENMISS Mozgov 2' Layup56
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 6:56DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 6:56DENMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot56
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 7:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 7:19UTAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 7:35DENNene 2' Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)56
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 7:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 7:47UTANene BLOCK (2 BLK)56
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 7:59DENAfflalo 1' Layup (10 PTS)56
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 8:01UTAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)56
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 8:07DENGallinari 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 8:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 8:18UTANene BLOCK (1 BLK)56
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 8:22UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 8:23DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 8:32UTANene STEAL (3 STL)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 8:36UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 8:37DENMISS Mozgov 5' Jump Shot56
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q3 - 8:49UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)56
3.3%
69
96.7%
Q3 - 8:55UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 8:58UTAMISS Favors 13' Jump Shot53
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 9:15DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)53
2.5%
69
97.5%
Q3 - 9:38UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 9:38UTAFavors 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)53
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 9:41UTAMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 10:05DENNene 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)51
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 10:25UTAHarris 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Hayward 5 AST)51
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 10:33DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)49
2.6%
65
97.4%
Q3 - 10:39DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)49
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 10:41UTAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot49
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 11:02DENGallinari 1' Driving Dunk (7 PTS)49
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 11:15UTAHayward 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)49
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 11:36UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 11:37DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Gallinari 1' Tip Shot46
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot46
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN46
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T11)46
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENNene 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Fernandez 3 AST)46
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0UTAFernandez STEAL (1 STL)46
3.0%
61
97.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)46
3.3%
61
96.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0UTAMillsap 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)46
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 1:18DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)44
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 1:28DENNUGGETS Rebound44
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 1:29UTAMISS Harris 16' Running Jump Shot44
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q2 - 1:54DENMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 1:54DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 2:04UTAMillsap 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)44
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 2:33DENLawson 1' Layup (13 PTS)42
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 2:38UTALawson STEAL (1 STL)42
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 2:54UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.4%
52
93.6%
Q2 - 2:55DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 2:59DENNUGGETS Rebound42
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 2:59DENMISS Nene 3' Jump Shot42
6.2%
52
93.8%
Q2 - 3:15UTANene STEAL (2 STL)42
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 3:31DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)42
6.5%
52
93.5%
Q2 - 3:42UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q2 - 3:42UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 3:52DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T7)40
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 3:59DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 4:00UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot40
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q2 - 4:15DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)40
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q2 - 4:19UTAHarrington STEAL (3 STL)40
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 4:44DENNene 2' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)40
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 4:48UTANene STEAL (1 STL)40
11.1%
44
88.9%
Q2 - 4:59DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)40
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 5:05DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
11.2%
44
88.8%
Q2 - 5:05UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 5:24DENNene 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 5:39UTAHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)40
13.7%
42
86.3%
Q2 - 5:59DENMiller 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)37
11.2%
42
88.8%
Q2 - 6:17UTAJefferson 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)37
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 6:29DENMiller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 6:30DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 6:31DENMISS Nene 20' Jump Shot35
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 6:45UTAHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)35
10.1%
40
89.9%
Q2 - 7:00DENHarrington 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)32
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 7:06UTAMiller STEAL (2 STL)32
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 7:18DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)32
10.2%
38
89.8%
Q2 - 7:33UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 7:33UTAMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 231
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q2 - 7:51DENAfflalo 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)31
12.3%
35
87.7%
Q2 - 8:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
13.4%
33
86.6%
Q2 - 8:12UTAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 131
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 8:27DENAfflalo 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Fernandez 1 AST)29
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 8:32UTAHarrington STEAL (2 STL)29
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 8:40UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 8:41DENMISS Harrington 3' Driving Layup29
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 8:59DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 9:00UTAMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot29
13.8%
31
86.2%
Q2 - 9:19UTAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 9:20DENMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 229
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 9:20DENMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 9:34UTAMiller STEAL (1 STL)29
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 9:48UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 9:49DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 9:58DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 9:59UTAMISS Kanter 8' Turnaround Jump Shot29
14.9%
30
85.1%
Q2 - 10:21UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
16.0%
30
84.0%
Q2 - 10:21DENMISS Fernandez 21' Jump Shot29
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 10:34UTAKanter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 10:34UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q2 - 10:35UTAMISS Kanter 3' Jump Shot26
11.5%
30
88.5%
Q2 - 10:44DENAfflalo 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS)26
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q2 - 10:50DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)26
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q2 - 10:50DENMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 11:09UTAMillsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)26
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q2 - 11:31UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 11:32DENMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot23
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)23
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 11:34DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot23
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 11:35DENMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot23
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMiles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)23
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENAndersen 1' Dunk (2 PTS)20
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0UTAMISS Kanter 8' Jump Shot20
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)20
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENNUGGETS Rebound20
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0UTAMISS Howard 15' Running Bank Shot20
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 1:17DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T3)20
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q1 - 1:20DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 1:21UTAMISS Miles 7' Jump Bank Shot20
9.9%
26
90.1%
Q1 - 1:38DENHarrington 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)20
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q1 - 1:44DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q1 - 1:45UTAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot20
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q1 - 2:09DENLawson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)20
12.3%
24
87.7%
Q1 - 2:15DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 2:17UTAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot20
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 2:26UTAKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 2:26UTAMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot20
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 2:48DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)20
14.4%
22
85.6%
Q1 - 2:58UTAJefferson 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)20
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 3:14UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:14DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 3:33DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 3:34UTAMISS Millsap 2' Layup18
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 4:03DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)18
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 4:08UTAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)18
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:14UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 4:14DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 4:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:27UTAMISS Bell 17' Jump Shot18
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 4:33UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 4:33DENMISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.0%
17
83.0%
Q1 - 4:45UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 4:45UTAMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 217
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 4:57DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 4:57DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
16.5%
16
83.5%
Q1 - 5:11UTAMillsap 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
17.2%
15
82.8%
Q1 - 5:31DENMozgov 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)15
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 5:53UTAMillsap 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)15
17.2%
13
82.8%
Q1 - 6:08UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 6:10DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 213
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 6:10DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
14.9%
13
85.1%
Q1 - 6:13DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 6:14UTAMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 6:31DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS)13
16.9%
12
83.1%
Q1 - 6:40DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 6:41UTAMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot13
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 6:54DENNene 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)13
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 7:09UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
19.9%
8
80.1%
Q1 - 7:09UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 212
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 7:12DENNene Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
20.1%
8
79.9%
Q1 - 7:31UTABell 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)12
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 7:48DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 7:48DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
18.0%
7
82.0%
Q1 - 7:57UTAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)10
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 8:20DENMozgov Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
17.2%
6
82.8%
Q1 - 8:27UTAJefferson 1' Layup (6 PTS)8
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 8:30UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 8:32UTAMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot6
14.5%
6
85.5%
Q1 - 8:49DENMozgov 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)6
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 9:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 9:00UTAMISS Favors 15' Jump Shot6
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 9:13DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 9:13DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
17.1%
3
82.9%
Q1 - 9:16DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 9:17UTAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot6
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 9:36UTAJazz Rebound6
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 9:37DENMISS Lawson 7' Running Jump Shot6
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 9:47UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
18.1%
2
81.9%
Q1 - 9:47UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 10:08DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 10:08DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 24
17.0%
1
83.0%
Q1 - 10:08DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
16.7%
1
83.3%
Q1 - 10:08DENMISS Afflalo 2' Layup4
17.5%
1
82.5%
Q1 - 10:20UTAFavors Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
16.7%
1
83.3%
Q1 - 10:34DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
17.9%
1
82.1%
Q1 - 10:34DENMISS Afflalo Free Throw 1 of 24
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 10:35DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 10:36DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup4
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 10:40DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 10:42UTAMISS Jefferson 3' Finger Roll Layup4
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 10:48UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 10:48DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot4
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:12UTAHayward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)4
17.2%
0
82.8%
Q1 - 11:28UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 11:29DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 11:42UTAJefferson 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Favors: Tip to Harris0
14.5%
0
85.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.12 56.2%
DEN
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
17
26
65%
DEN
30
44
68%
Midrange
UTA
14
37
38%
DEN
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DEN
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
UTA
17
25
68%
DEN
19
26
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson1963%9.5 / 15
A. Burks1575%7.5 / 10
P. Millsap1372%6.5 / 9
C. Miles1359%6.5 / 11
G. Hayward1063%5.0 / 8
D. Harris1063%5.0 / 8
J. Howard836%4.0 / 11
E. Kanter433%2.0 / 6
J. Evans4100%2.0 / 2
R. Bell233%1.0 / 3
D. Favors220%1.0 / 5
E. Watson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Nene2583%12.5 / 15
A. Harrington1882%9.0 / 11
T. Lawson1563%7.5 / 12
D. Gallinari1169%5.5 / 8
R. Fernandez1179%5.5 / 7
A. Afflalo1042%5.0 / 12
A. Miller735%3.5 / 10
C. Brewer660%3.0 / 5
T. Mozgov450%2.0 / 4
C. Andersen440%2.0 / 5
K. Koufos467%2.0 / 3
D. Carroll2100%1.0 / 1
K. Faried0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
81
+8
-22
89
DEN
83
+13
-18
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.12 56.2%
DEN
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.4
109.3
UTA 97.1 +18.8
DEN 115.8
Pace
91.9
94.1
UTA 95.6
DEN 109.5 +14.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
14.6
UTA 15.1
DEN 13.1 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
51.6%
UTA 52.5%
DEN 57.0% +4.5%
TO %
14.5%
15.7%
UTA 19.6%
DEN 15.6% +4.0%
ORB %
30.3%
27.7%
UTA 19.5%
DEN 27.9% +8.4%
FTrt
30.2
32.6
UTA 31.6 +1.4
DEN 30.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
61.5%
UTA 65.8% +2.8%
DEN 63.0%
STL %
8.8%
8.6%
UTA 9.7%
DEN 16.8% +7.1%
BLK %
9.5%
8.1%
UTA 4.5%
DEN 4.8% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
54.2%
UTA 56.2%
DEN 58.5% +2.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
59.7%
UTA 65.4%
DEN 68.2% +2.8%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.3%
UTA 37.8%
DEN 43.5% +5.7%
3P %
32.3%
33.2%
UTA 43.8% +12.2%
DEN 31.6%
FT %
75.5%
73.6%
UTA 68.0%
DEN 73.1% +5.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
48.0%
UTA 32.9%
DEN 51.2% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
27.7%
UTA 46.8%
DEN 26.7% +20.1%
3P Att. %
15.3%
24.3%
UTA 20.3%
DEN 22.1% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points100117
Rebounds3945
Assists2529
Steals1017
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals38-7946-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2630-44
Midrange FG14-3710-23
2-Point FG31-6340-67
3-Point FG7-166-19
Free Throws17-2519-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 27
30.1
19
63%
5
4
1
1
4
3
1
4
3-4
75%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 226 · 22
27.3
10
63%
2
7
0
0
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 185 · 29
21.6
10
63%
0
2
2
0
2
3
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 35
18.6
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 265 · 20
16.8
2
20%
10
0
0
0
3
2
2
8
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 27
21.7
13
72%
8
1
2
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
21.7
13
59%
2
0
0
0
3
2
1
1
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
3-4
75%
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32
18.6
8
36%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 199 · 33
16.5
0
0%
1
4
0
0
4
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 245 · 20
14.2
4
33%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 200 · 24
13.1
4
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 214 · 20
9.8
15
75%
0
0
2
0
1
2
0
0
3-3
100%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 34
9.8
0
0%
2
4
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
56%
39
25
10
3
22
0
8
31
17-25
68%
31-63
49%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.