FinalWin Prob.pScore
172%104
96
3028%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.29395.9
CHA logo CHA
100.09592.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA96
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)96
96.1%
95
3.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Augustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)96
89.2%
95
10.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0CHAHenderson 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Diaw 8 AST)94
50.8%
95
49.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)94
87.1%
92
12.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0CHAHenderson 2' Layup (18 PTS)94
93.6%
92
6.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)94
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHAMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)92
90.5%
90
9.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0CHAMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
91.3%
89
8.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
94.6%
88
5.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0CHAMISS Henderson 23' Jump Shot92
96.6%
88
3.4%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)92
93.9%
88
6.1%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
93.1%
88
6.9%
Q4 - 1:21CHAAugustin 1' Layup (20 PTS)90
88.6%
88
11.4%
Q4 - 1:26CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
92.6%
86
7.4%
Q4 - 1:27MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot90
93.7%
86
6.3%
Q4 - 1:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
94.7%
86
5.3%
Q4 - 1:48CHAMISS White 19' Jump Shot90
93.7%
86
6.3%
Q4 - 2:11MIAJames Reverse Dunk (35 PTS)90
90.7%
86
9.3%
Q4 - 2:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
87.9%
86
12.1%
Q4 - 2:29CHAMISS Maggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
85.4%
86
14.6%
Q4 - 2:48MIAWade 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)88
77.8%
86
22.2%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
71.9%
86
28.1%
Q4 - 2:54CHAMISS Maggette 1' Layup86
68.2%
86
31.8%
Q4 - 2:59CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
58.3%
86
41.7%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot86
62.8%
86
37.2%
Q4 - 3:20CHAMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
72.5%
86
27.5%
Q4 - 3:20CHAMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)86
73.8%
85
26.2%
Q4 - 3:27CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
77.7%
84
22.3%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 186
79.2%
84
20.8%
Q4 - 3:49CHAAugustin 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
70.9%
84
29.1%
Q4 - 4:05MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)84
77.6%
82
22.4%
Q4 - 4:26CHAMaggette 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)82
70.9%
82
29.1%
Q4 - 4:33CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)82
77.7%
80
22.3%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS James 2' Dunk82
79.8%
80
20.2%
Q4 - 4:45CHAHenderson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T22)82
84.2%
80
15.8%
Q4 - 5:06MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)82
76.7%
80
23.3%
Q4 - 5:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
82.4%
80
17.6%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Wade 2' Dunk82
78.6%
80
21.4%
Q4 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
82.5%
80
17.5%
Q4 - 5:15CHAMISS Henderson 1' Reverse Layup82
80.9%
80
19.1%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (31 PTS)82
76.8%
80
23.2%
Q4 - 5:46CHAWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
70.6%
80
29.4%
Q4 - 5:46CHAMISS White Free Throw 1 of 280
72.1%
79
27.9%
Q4 - 5:47CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)80
70.2%
79
29.8%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMaggette BLOCK (1 BLK)80
72.4%
79
27.6%
Q4 - 5:53MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
77.2%
79
22.8%
Q4 - 5:54CHAMISS White 1' Layup80
75.2%
79
24.8%
Q4 - 6:08CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
71.0%
79
29.0%
Q4 - 6:09CHAMISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot80
75.4%
79
24.6%
Q4 - 6:37MIABosh 3' Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)80
71.0%
79
29.0%
Q4 - 6:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
64.7%
79
35.3%
Q4 - 6:43CHAMISS Henderson Layup78
62.4%
79
37.6%
Q4 - 6:50CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 6:52CHAMISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot78
62.4%
79
37.6%
Q4 - 7:13CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
59.6%
79
40.4%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 178
60.5%
79
39.5%
Q4 - 7:26CHAAugustin Traveling Turnover (P5.T21)76
53.2%
79
46.8%
Q4 - 7:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)76
45.6%
79
54.4%
Q4 - 7:47MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)75
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAHeat Rebound74
39.3%
79
60.7%
Q4 - 7:59CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
37.1%
79
62.9%
Q4 - 8:20CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
36.3%
79
63.7%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot74
38.1%
79
61.9%
Q4 - 8:48CHAMullens 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Henderson 4 AST)74
42.2%
79
57.8%
Q4 - 9:07MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T8)74
50.6%
77
49.4%
Q4 - 9:18CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
56.4%
77
43.6%
Q4 - 9:46MIABosh 9' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)74
67.7%
74
32.3%
Q4 - 9:58CHAMullens 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)72
62.1%
74
37.9%
Q4 - 10:22MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)72
67.9%
72
32.1%
Q4 - 10:35CHABOBCATS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)70
62.7%
72
37.3%
Q4 - 10:38CHABrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
57.3%
72
42.7%
Q4 - 10:38CHAMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot70
61.1%
72
38.9%
Q4 - 11:01CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
58.2%
72
41.8%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 270
58.8%
72
41.2%
Q4 - 11:03MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
62.4%
72
37.6%
Q4 - 11:13CHAMullens 1' Layup (2 PTS)69
58.0%
72
42.0%
Q4 - 11:17CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
63.2%
70
36.8%
Q4 - 11:18CHAMISS Brown Layup69
66.5%
70
33.5%
Q4 - 11:25CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
63.2%
70
36.8%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Battier 1' Layup69
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q4 - 11:28MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
67.9%
70
32.1%
Q4 - 11:31MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)69
64.7%
70
35.3%
Q4 - 11:37CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)69
67.9%
70
32.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA69
63.2%
70
36.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHenderson STEAL (2 STL)69
64.1%
70
35.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0CHAWalker Foul Turnover (P3.T18)69
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T6)69
64.1%
70
35.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
68.3%
70
31.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0CHAMISS Henderson 3' Layup69
67.0%
70
33.0%
Q3 - 1:02CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
64.6%
70
35.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot69
65.9%
70
34.1%
Q3 - 1:30CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)69
68.7%
70
31.3%
Q3 - 1:55MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (27 PTS)69
64.6%
70
35.4%
Q3 - 2:00CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)67
59.7%
70
40.3%
Q3 - 2:15MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
56.2%
70
43.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
51.6%
70
48.4%
Q3 - 2:35CHAMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot65
50.1%
70
49.9%
Q3 - 2:39CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot65
48.3%
70
51.7%
Q3 - 2:53CHAWalker 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (White 1 AST)65
51.5%
70
48.5%
Q3 - 3:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)65
57.8%
68
42.2%
Q3 - 3:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)64
56.9%
68
43.1%
Q3 - 3:21CHAAugustin Foul Turnover (P4.T15)63
53.5%
68
46.5%
Q3 - 3:24CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
48.9%
68
51.1%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot63
50.3%
68
49.7%
Q3 - 3:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
53.5%
68
46.5%
Q3 - 3:36CHAMISS Diaw 3' Layup63
52.1%
68
47.9%
Q3 - 3:56CHABOBCATS Rebound63
48.8%
68
51.2%
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot63
50.2%
68
49.8%
Q3 - 4:11CHADiaw Foul Turnover (P4.T14)63
54.6%
68
45.4%
Q3 - 4:32MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (23 PTS)63
49.5%
68
50.5%
Q3 - 4:37CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)61
45.9%
68
54.1%
Q3 - 4:49CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q3 - 4:51MIAWhite BLOCK (3 BLK)61
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
46.9%
68
53.1%
Q3 - 5:10CHAMISS Henderson 23' Jump Shot61
45.5%
68
54.5%
Q3 - 5:31MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)61
42.2%
68
57.8%
Q3 - 5:49CHAWalker 1' Layup (9 PTS)59
38.6%
68
61.4%
Q3 - 5:54CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
42.2%
66
57.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS James 10' Turnaround Jump Shot59
43.6%
66
56.4%
Q3 - 6:14CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)59
48.5%
66
51.5%
Q3 - 6:33MIAJames 4' Dunk (21 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)59
44.1%
66
55.9%
Q3 - 6:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
40.5%
66
59.5%
Q3 - 6:37CHAMISS White 1' Layup57
39.2%
66
60.8%
Q3 - 6:39CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)57
36.3%
66
63.7%
Q3 - 6:41CHAMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
39.2%
66
60.8%
Q3 - 7:00MIAJames 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)57
36.3%
66
63.7%
Q3 - 7:10CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
34.5%
66
65.5%
Q3 - 7:10CHAMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
33.4%
66
66.6%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
34.4%
66
65.6%
Q3 - 7:42CHAMISS White 2' Layup53
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 7:43CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q3 - 7:45CHAMISS Walker 21' Jump Shot53
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 7:51MIADiaw STEAL (1 STL)53
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q3 - 7:54CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)53
27.8%
66
72.2%
Q3 - 8:11MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
25.3%
66
74.7%
Q3 - 8:14CHADiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)51
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 8:17CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)51
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Layup51
21.3%
66
78.7%
Q3 - 8:38CHAHenderson 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)51
23.2%
66
76.8%
Q3 - 8:42CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)51
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWhite BLOCK (2 BLK)51
26.7%
64
73.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 8:52CHAMISS Augustin 5' Jump Shot51
28.0%
64
72.0%
Q3 - 9:00CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)51
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAHenderson BLOCK (2 BLK)51
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 9:27CHADiaw 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)51
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 9:44CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q3 - 9:46MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot51
34.3%
62
65.7%
Q3 - 10:09CHAHenderson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)51
38.8%
62
61.2%
Q3 - 10:20CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)51
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot51
43.0%
60
57.0%
Q3 - 10:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
45.6%
60
54.4%
Q3 - 10:36CHAMISS Diaw 2' Layup51
44.4%
60
55.6%
Q3 - 10:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
41.8%
60
58.2%
Q3 - 10:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
41.2%
60
58.8%
Q3 - 11:07CHAMaggette Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)49
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIAJames 1' Layup (17 PTS)49
37.1%
60
62.9%
Q3 - 11:29CHAAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)47
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 11:43MIABosh 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)47
30.9%
60
69.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAAugustin 29' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)45
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)45
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 245
36.6%
57
63.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
38.9%
57
61.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot44
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAAugustin 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)44
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)44
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
41.7%
54
58.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
38.5%
54
61.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0CHAMISS Maggette 22' Jump Shot42
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q2 - 1:09CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)42
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot42
38.1%
54
61.9%
Q2 - 1:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q2 - 1:33CHAMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot42
38.8%
54
61.2%
Q2 - 1:52MIAChalmers 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q2 - 1:58MIAHeat Rebound40
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWhite BLOCK (1 BLK)40
32.1%
54
67.9%
Q2 - 2:12CHAAugustin Foul Turnover (P1.T6)40
35.4%
54
64.6%
Q2 - 2:19CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
32.6%
54
67.4%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup40
33.4%
54
66.6%
Q2 - 2:36CHADiaw 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Augustin 6 AST)40
35.3%
54
64.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)40
38.2%
52
61.8%
Q2 - 3:04CHADiaw Palming Turnover (P1.T5)37
34.5%
52
65.5%
Q2 - 3:12CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
31.3%
52
68.7%
Q2 - 3:14CHAMISS Maggette 1' Layup37
33.5%
52
66.5%
Q2 - 3:15CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
31.3%
52
68.7%
Q2 - 3:16CHAMISS Maggette 3' Layup37
33.5%
52
66.5%
Q2 - 3:20CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
31.3%
52
68.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot37
32.2%
52
67.8%
Q2 - 3:40CHAHenderson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)37
34.4%
52
65.6%
Q2 - 4:07MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)37
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q2 - 4:31CHAWalker 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
32.8%
50
67.2%
Q2 - 4:36CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade 2' Reverse Layup34
36.2%
48
63.8%
Q2 - 4:56CHAWalker 1' Layup (5 PTS)34
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)34
42.7%
46
57.3%
Q2 - 5:11CHABiyombo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)34
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)34
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q2 - 5:42MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
39.6%
46
60.4%
Q2 - 5:43CHAMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
38.7%
46
61.3%
Q2 - 5:47CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
36.9%
46
63.1%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot32
37.7%
46
62.3%
Q2 - 6:09CHADiaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)32
41.2%
46
58.8%
Q2 - 6:29MIACole 24' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
46.2%
43
53.8%
Q2 - 6:51CHADiaw 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)30
43.9%
43
56.1%
Q2 - 7:09CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47.8%
41
52.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 230
48.2%
41
51.8%
Q2 - 7:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
50.0%
41
50.0%
Q2 - 7:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
48.0%
41
52.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)29
45.9%
41
54.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIACole Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)29
48.0%
41
52.0%
Q2 - 7:46CHABiyombo 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)28
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 7:55CHABOBCATS Rebound28
47.6%
39
52.4%
Q2 - 7:56CHAMISS Brown 2' Layup28
49.7%
39
50.3%
Q2 - 8:13MIACole 3' Layup (2 PTS)28
49.1%
39
50.9%
Q2 - 8:20CHAWalker 20' Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
46.5%
39
53.5%
Q2 - 8:37MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
49.0%
37
51.0%
Q2 - 8:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 8:48MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
46.5%
37
53.5%
Q2 - 8:49CHAMISS Mullens 19' Jump Shot24
45.6%
37
54.4%
Q2 - 9:11MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
44.5%
37
55.5%
Q2 - 9:22CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
42.5%
37
57.5%
Q2 - 9:22CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 222
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 9:44MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)22
42.3%
36
57.7%
Q2 - 10:02CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 10:10CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot20
38.6%
36
61.4%
Q2 - 10:30CHACarroll 10' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 10:39CHABOBCATS Rebound20
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 10:42CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 220
45.0%
34
55.0%
Q2 - 10:42CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 220
43.6%
34
56.4%
Q2 - 10:48CHAMullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Cole 6' Jump Shot20
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 11:01CHAHenderson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
45.8%
34
54.2%
Q2 - 11:16CHABOBCATS Rebound20
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 11:16CHAMISS Henderson 17' Jump Shot20
49.9%
32
50.1%
Q2 - 11:36CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.1%
32
51.9%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot20
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA20
50.7%
32
49.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABOBCATS Rebound20
48.0%
32
52.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Diaw 23' Jump Shot20
50.7%
32
49.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
49.5%
32
50.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Brown Dunk20
50.7%
32
49.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)20
49.4%
32
50.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0CHADiaw 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)20
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
56.5%
29
43.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0CHAWhite 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)20
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
61.1%
27
38.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
61.7%
27
38.3%
Q1 - 1:18CHAMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
63.6%
27
36.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)20
62.0%
27
38.0%
Q1 - 1:33MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
59.2%
27
40.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIADiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)18
58.0%
27
42.0%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
59.1%
27
40.9%
Q1 - 1:49CHAMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
58.6%
27
41.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
58.0%
27
42.0%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
57.6%
27
42.4%
Q1 - 2:19CHAAugustin 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)16
55.6%
27
44.4%
Q1 - 2:25CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
60.2%
24
39.8%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Cole 2' Layup16
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q1 - 2:38CHAWhite 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)16
62.2%
24
37.8%
Q1 - 2:53MIAJames 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
64.5%
22
35.5%
Q1 - 3:16CHAHenderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
63.1%
22
36.9%
Q1 - 3:21CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Battier 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
61.5%
22
38.5%
Q1 - 3:41MIAHeat Rebound14
63.0%
22
37.0%
Q1 - 3:41CHAMISS White Layup14
62.4%
22
37.6%
Q1 - 3:41CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q1 - 3:43CHAMISS Augustin Free Throw 2 of 214
62.7%
22
37.3%
Q1 - 3:43CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
61.1%
22
38.9%
Q1 - 4:01MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
63.5%
21
36.5%
Q1 - 4:25CHADiaw 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)12
61.6%
21
38.4%
Q1 - 4:46MIABosh 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)12
63.4%
19
36.6%
Q1 - 5:09CHAWhite 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)10
61.9%
19
38.1%
Q1 - 5:24MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 5:39CHAHenderson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)8
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAChalmers 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)8
63.6%
15
36.4%
Q1 - 5:54CHAAugustin 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)6
61.9%
15
38.1%
Q1 - 6:11MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)6
64.4%
13
35.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
62.6%
13
37.4%
Q1 - 6:29CHAMISS Diaw 1' Layup4
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 6:32CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 6:33CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot4
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 6:39CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
60.5%
13
39.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot4
61.1%
13
38.9%
Q1 - 6:47MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
62.6%
13
37.4%
Q1 - 6:49CHAMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
61.9%
13
38.1%
Q1 - 6:57CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
60.4%
13
39.6%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot4
61.1%
13
38.9%
Q1 - 7:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 7:11CHAMISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 7:32CHAJump Ball Henderson vs. James: Tip to4
61.5%
13
38.5%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHenderson BLOCK (1 BLK)4
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 7:44CHAHenderson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)4
63.6%
13
36.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAWade 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
65.2%
11
34.8%
Q1 - 8:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 8:07CHAMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
63.9%
11
36.1%
Q1 - 8:32MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
62.6%
11
37.4%
Q1 - 8:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
60.7%
11
39.3%
Q1 - 8:41CHAMISS Henderson 21' Jump Shot0
60.2%
11
39.8%
Q1 - 8:55CHABOBCATS Rebound0
58.9%
11
41.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot0
59.4%
11
40.6%
Q1 - 9:09CHADiaw 1' Layup (2 PTS)0
62.0%
11
38.0%
Q1 - 9:11CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
63.8%
9
36.2%
Q1 - 9:12CHAMISS Maggette 3PT Jump Shot0
65.0%
9
35.0%
Q1 - 9:29CHAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
63.7%
9
36.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS James 8' Jump Shot0
64.2%
9
35.8%
Q1 - 9:50CHAAugustin 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
65.4%
9
34.6%
Q1 - 9:56MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)0
67.0%
7
33.0%
Q1 - 10:19CHAHenderson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)0
69.4%
7
30.6%
Q1 - 10:30CHAMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.6%
5
29.4%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot0
71.1%
5
28.9%
Q1 - 10:50CHAHenderson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)0
72.3%
5
27.7%
Q1 - 11:02CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.2%
3
25.8%
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Anthony 1' Reverse Layup0
74.5%
3
25.5%
Q1 - 11:20CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
75.3%
3
24.7%
Q1 - 11:20CHAAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
75.4%
2
24.6%
Q1 - 11:26CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
76.6%
1
23.4%
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot0
76.9%
1
23.1%
Q1 - 11:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
77.7%
1
22.3%
Q1 - 11:39CHAMISS White Free Throw 2 of 20
77.5%
1
22.5%
Q1 - 11:39CHAWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
76.8%
1
23.2%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball White vs. Anthony: Tip to Diaw0
77.7%
0
22.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
CHA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
33
55%
CHA
17
34
50%
Midrange
MIA
17
39
44%
CHA
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
CHA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
23
28
82%
CHA
10
16
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3565%17.5 / 27
C. Bosh2566%12.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1558%7.5 / 13
D. Wade1038%5.0 / 13
N. Cole531%2.5 / 8
U. Haslem440%2.0 / 5
J. Jones250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
S. Battier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Henderson2155%10.5 / 19
D. Augustin2077%10.0 / 13
B. Diaw1657%8.0 / 14
K. Walker1470%7.0 / 10
D. White840%4.0 / 10
C. Maggette625%3.0 / 12
B. Mullens675%3.0 / 4
B. Biyombo250%1.0 / 2
M. Carroll250%1.0 / 2
D. Brown0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+6
-10
89
CHA
74
+19
-21
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.7%
CHA
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
95.4
MIA 103.2 +3.2
CHA 100.0
Pace
91.3
90.9
MIA 95.9 +3.6
CHA 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
MIA 15.0 +0.6
CHA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
43.9%
MIA 46.8%
CHA 51.8% +5.0%
TO %
15.9%
14.9%
MIA 10.0% +9.8%
CHA 19.8%
ORB %
26.6%
23.6%
MIA 11.6%
CHA 37.5% +25.9%
FTrt
30.7
27.6
MIA 35.9 +16.4
CHA 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.8%
60.5%
MIA 52.8%
CHA 56.4% +3.6%
STL %
9.6%
6.6%
MIA 7.5% +2.2%
CHA 5.3%
BLK %
9.0%
8.5%
MIA 15.6% +3.1%
CHA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
46.9%
MIA 52.7% +2.2%
CHA 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.1%
54.8%
MIA 54.5% +4.5%
CHA 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.0%
36.1%
MIA 43.6%
CHA 50.0% +6.4%
3P %
35.9%
29.5%
MIA 16.7%
CHA 38.9% +22.2%
FT %
77.5%
74.6%
MIA 82.1% +19.6%
CHA 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
34.4%
MIA 42.3% +0.8%
CHA 41.5%
Mid Att. %
43.6%
48.8%
MIA 50.0%
CHA 36.6% +13.4%
3P Att. %
19.8%
16.9%
MIA 7.7%
CHA 22.0% +14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9695
Rebounds3053
Assists1922
Steals75
Blocks109
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)21 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)38 (3)
Field Goals36-7839-82
At-the-Rim FG18-3317-34
Midrange FG17-3915-30
2-Point FG35-7232-64
3-Point FG1-67-18
Free Throws23-2810-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 28
39.3
25
66%
6
2
0
2
1
1
2
4
9-14
64%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
38.8
35
65%
6
7
3
2
2
0
0
6
9-9
100%
13-23
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 30
32.0
10
38%
1
4
1
2
3
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-13
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 26
31.3
15
58%
1
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
18.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
29.1
4
40%
6
0
1
0
3
4
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 33
19.9
0
0%
2
0
1
3
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
16.5
5
31%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
12.0
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 39
2.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 24
C · 6'11" 285 · 24
C · 6'11" 220 · 25
#32 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · C · 7'0" 295 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
30
19
7
10
10
0
5
25
23-28
82%
35-72
49%
1-6
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.