| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 BOS | 104.9 | 102 | 102.7 |
 MIA | 113.9 | 101 | 100.3 |
Scoring Opportunities
BOS
78
+5
-24
83
MIA
81
+10
-20
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
BOS
1.27 63.7%
MIA
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | BOS | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 107 0% | 115 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | BOS | MISS Rondo 19' Jump Shot | 107 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 107 0.1% | 115 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:09.0 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 107 0.1% | 114 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | BOS | Cole STEAL (3 STL) | 107 0.1% | 113 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS) | 107 0.5% | 113 99.5% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 107 0.7% | 112 99.3% |
| Q4 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 107 0.6% | 112 99.4% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 107 1.3% | 112 98.7% |
| Q4 - 0:43.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 107 1.4% | 112 98.6% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | BOS | MISS Bass 9' Jump Shot | 107 1.8% | 112 98.2% |
| Q4 - 0:59.0 | MIA | Cole 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 107 4.1% | 112 95.9% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | BOS | Bass 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 107 9.2% | 110 90.8% |
| Q4 - 1:31 | MIA | Cole 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 105 6.5% | 110 93.5% |
| Q4 - 1:43 | BOS | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 105 10.9% | 108 89.1% |
| Q4 - 1:46 | BOS | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 105 17.6% | 108 82.4% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | MIA | MISS Wade 14' Jump Bank Shot | 105 15.5% | 108 84.5% |
| Q4 - 2:02 | BOS | Dooling 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Allen 4 AST) | 105 10.8% | 108 89.2% |
| Q4 - 2:07 | BOS | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 102 5.0% | 108 95.0% |
| Q4 - 2:09 | MIA | MISS Cole 21' Jump Shot | 102 4.1% | 108 95.9% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | BOS | Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 102 2.5% | 108 97.5% |
| Q4 - 2:25 | BOS | Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 101 2.3% | 108 97.7% |
| Q4 - 2:29 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 100 1.9% | 108 98.1% |
| Q4 - 2:30 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 100 1.5% | 108 98.5% |
| Q4 - 2:45 | BOS | Dooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 100 0.9% | 108 99.1% |
| Q4 - 2:45 | BOS | Dooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 99 0.9% | 108 99.1% |
| Q4 - 3:01 | MIA | Cole 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 8 AST) | 98 1.0% | 108 99.0% |
| Q4 - 3:15 | BOS | Bass Foul Turnover (P2.T22) | 98 1.4% | 106 98.6% |
| Q4 - 3:16 | BOS | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 98 2.5% | 106 97.5% |
| Q4 - 3:18 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 98 2.1% | 106 97.9% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | BOS | Bass Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 98 2.8% | 106 97.2% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | BOS | MISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 2 | 97 2.6% | 106 97.4% |
| Q4 - 3:37 | BOS | Bass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 97 2.8% | 106 97.2% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | BOS | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 97 2.1% | 106 97.9% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | James 2' Driving Layup (26 PTS) | 97 2.7% | 106 97.3% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 97 3.7% | 104 96.3% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | BOS | MISS Bass 19' Jump Shot | 97 4.2% | 104 95.8% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | BOS | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 97 5.3% | 104 94.7% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | MIA | MISS Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot | 97 4.7% | 104 95.3% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 97 3.6% | 104 96.4% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | MIA | MISS Cole 1' Driving Layup | 97 4.7% | 104 95.3% |
| Q4 - 5:01 | BOS | Rondo 10' Floating Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 97 5.1% | 104 94.9% |
| Q4 - 5:11 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 95 3.8% | 104 96.2% |
| Q4 - 5:13 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 95 3.4% | 104 96.6% |
| Q4 - 5:27 | BOS | Garnett 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 3 AST) | 95 2.6% | 104 97.4% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST) | 93 1.9% | 104 98.1% |
| Q4 - 6:01 | BOS | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST) | 93 3.5% | 102 96.5% |
| Q4 - 6:06 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20) | 90 2.0% | 102 98.0% |
| Q4 - 6:22 | BOS | Bass Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 90 1.4% | 102 98.6% |
| Q4 - 6:43 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) | 87 0.8% | 102 99.2% |
| Q4 - 6:53 | BOS | Garnett 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST) | 87 1.1% | 100 98.9% |
| Q4 - 6:56 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 85 0.8% | 100 99.2% |
| Q4 - 7:00 | BOS | Wade BLOCK (4 BLK) | 85 0.6% | 100 99.4% |
| Q4 - 7:16 | BOS | Celtics Rebound | 85 1.1% | 100 98.9% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 1.0% | 100 99.0% |
| Q4 - 7:34 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 85 0.8% | 100 99.2% |
| Q4 - 7:35 | BOS | MISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 0.9% | 100 99.1% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | MIA | Cole 9' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 85 1.1% | 100 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:19 | BOS | Bass Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21) | 85 1.9% | 98 98.1% |
| Q4 - 8:36 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 85 2.4% | 98 97.6% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | MIA | MISS Wade 20' Jump Shot | 85 2.2% | 98 97.8% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 85 1.9% | 98 98.1% |
| Q4 - 9:01 | BOS | MISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 85 2.5% | 98 97.5% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | BOS | O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 85 2.9% | 98 97.1% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 85 2.3% | 98 97.7% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 85 2.9% | 98 97.1% |
| Q4 - 9:23 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 85 2.4% | 98 97.6% |
| Q4 - 9:24 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 85 2.3% | 98 97.7% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | BOS | MISS Rondo 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 85 2.5% | 98 97.5% |
| Q4 - 9:48 | MIA | Bosh Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T19) | 85 2.9% | 98 97.1% |
| Q4 - 10:08 | BOS | Rondo Traveling Turnover (P5.T20) | 85 2.7% | 98 97.3% |
| Q4 - 10:21 | MIA | Cole 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 85 3.4% | 98 96.6% |
| Q4 - 10:32 | BOS | Bass 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST) | 85 4.2% | 96 95.8% |
| Q4 - 10:54 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST) | 83 3.4% | 96 96.6% |
| Q4 - 11:06 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 83 5.8% | 93 94.2% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | MIA | MISS Haslem 1' Layup | 83 6.7% | 93 93.3% |
| Q4 - 11:20 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 83 5.8% | 93 94.2% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | BOS | MISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 6.2% | 93 93.8% |
| Q4 - 11:36 | MIA | Cole 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST) | 83 7.1% | 93 92.9% |
| Q4 - 11:48 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 83 8.6% | 91 91.4% |
| Q4 - 11:51 | BOS | MISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 83 9.1% | 91 90.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 83 10.4% | 91 89.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 83 8.6% | 91 91.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | BOS | MISS Bass Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 8.8% | 91 91.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | BOS | Bass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 83 10.2% | 91 89.8% |
| Q3 - 0:04.0 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18) | 82 9.2% | 91 90.8% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | James Free Throw Technical (24 PTS) | 82 7.7% | 91 92.3% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 82 9.3% | 90 90.7% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 1' Layup | 82 10.5% | 90 89.5% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | BOS | Dooling 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST) | 82 9.3% | 90 90.7% |
| Q3 - 0:47.0 | BOS | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 79 6.3% | 90 93.7% |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | MIA | MISS James 14' Jump Shot | 79 6.0% | 90 94.0% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 79 5.6% | 90 94.4% |
| Q3 - 1:07 | BOS | MISS Bass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot | 79 5.9% | 90 94.1% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | BOS | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 79 6.7% | 90 93.3% |
| Q3 - 1:23 | MIA | MISS Haslem 1' Layup | 79 6.3% | 90 93.7% |
| Q3 - 1:26 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 79 5.6% | 90 94.4% |
| Q3 - 1:27 | MIA | MISS Cole 14' Floating Jump Shot | 79 6.3% | 90 93.7% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 79 5.6% | 90 94.4% |
| Q3 - 1:39 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 6.3% | 90 93.7% |
| Q3 - 1:59 | BOS | Rondo Foul Turnover (P4.T19) | 79 5.6% | 90 94.4% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | MIA | Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17) | 79 7.2% | 90 92.8% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 79 6.0% | 90 94.0% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | BOS | James BLOCK (1 BLK) | 79 6.3% | 90 93.7% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | BOS | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 79 7.2% | 90 92.8% |
| Q3 - 2:21 | MIA | MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot | 79 6.8% | 90 93.2% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | BOS | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS) | 79 6.0% | 90 94.0% |
| Q3 - 2:42 | BOS | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS) | 78 5.9% | 90 94.1% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 77 5.0% | 90 95.0% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | MIA | MISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 2 | 77 5.2% | 89 94.8% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | BOS | Bass 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 77 5.4% | 89 94.6% |
| Q3 - 3:25 | BOS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 75 4.6% | 89 95.4% |
| Q3 - 3:26 | MIA | MISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot | 75 4.3% | 89 95.7% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | BOS | Battier STEAL (2 STL) | 75 3.8% | 89 96.2% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 75 4.9% | 89 95.1% |
| Q3 - 4:06 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 75 4.7% | 89 95.3% |
| Q3 - 4:23 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS) | 75 4.0% | 89 96.0% |
| Q3 - 4:26 | MIA | Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) | 72 3.0% | 89 97.0% |
| Q3 - 4:39 | BOS | Daniels 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST) | 72 3.4% | 87 96.6% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | Bosh 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) | 70 3.0% | 87 97.0% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | BOS | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST) | 70 3.7% | 85 96.3% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | BOS | Celtics Rebound | 67 2.7% | 85 97.3% |
| Q3 - 5:34 | MIA | MISS James 18' Jump Shot | 67 2.6% | 85 97.4% |
| Q3 - 5:45 | BOS | Daniels 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 67 2.3% | 85 97.7% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | MIA | James 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 65 2.2% | 85 97.8% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 65 2.5% | 83 97.5% |
| Q3 - 6:09 | BOS | MISS Rondo 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 2.7% | 83 97.3% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | MIA | James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST) | 65 3.0% | 83 97.0% |
| Q3 - 6:43 | BOS | Chalmers STEAL (5 STL) | 65 3.4% | 81 96.6% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | MIA | James 16' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 65 4.4% | 81 95.6% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 65 5.1% | 79 94.9% |
| Q3 - 7:10 | BOS | MISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot | 65 5.3% | 79 94.7% |
| Q3 - 7:26 | MIA | Wade 1' Reverse Layup (19 PTS) | 65 5.9% | 79 94.1% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 65 6.7% | 77 93.3% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | BOS | MISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot | 65 7.0% | 77 93.0% |
| Q3 - 7:54 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 65 7.8% | 77 92.2% |
| Q3 - 8:06 | BOS | Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 65 9.2% | 75 90.8% |
| Q3 - 8:34 | MIA | Wade 4' Running Hook Shot (17 PTS) | 62 7.0% | 75 93.0% |
| Q3 - 8:54 | BOS | Pavlovic 2' Reverse Layup (5 PTS) | 62 8.0% | 73 92.0% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | MIA | Bosh 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST) | 60 7.2% | 73 92.8% |
| Q3 - 9:26 | BOS | Garnett 8' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 60 8.2% | 71 91.8% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 58 7.2% | 71 92.8% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 58 7.4% | 70 92.6% |
| Q3 - 9:48 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 58 8.2% | 69 91.8% |
| Q3 - 9:50 | BOS | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 8.5% | 69 91.5% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | MIA | Anthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16) | 58 9.7% | 69 90.3% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | BOS | Rondo 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST) | 58 8.4% | 69 91.6% |
| Q3 - 10:28 | MIA | Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15) | 56 7.5% | 69 92.5% |
| Q3 - 10:44 | BOS | Allen 5' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) | 56 6.5% | 69 93.5% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | BOS | Celtics Rebound | 54 5.7% | 69 94.3% |
| Q3 - 10:53 | BOS | Bosh BLOCK (1 BLK) | 54 5.2% | 69 94.8% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14) | 54 5.7% | 69 94.3% |
| Q3 - 11:08 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 54 5.3% | 69 94.7% |
| Q3 - 11:09 | BOS | MISS Garnett 3' Running Layup | 54 5.5% | 69 94.5% |
| Q3 - 11:22 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13) | 54 6.0% | 69 94.0% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | BOS | Chalmers STEAL (4 STL) | 54 5.3% | 69 94.7% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T12) | 54 6.0% | 69 94.0% |
| Q3 - 11:46 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 54 5.2% | 69 94.8% |
| Q3 - 11:47 | MIA | MISS Bosh 3' Layup | 54 5.8% | 69 94.2% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 54 5.2% | 69 94.8% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 54 5.2% | 69 94.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | BOS | MISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 | 54 5.3% | 69 94.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 54 5.7% | 69 94.3% |
| Q2 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Bosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 53 5.6% | 69 94.4% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 53 6.5% | 67 93.5% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | BOS | MISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 6.3% | 67 93.7% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | BOS | Allen Free Throw Technical (18 PTS) | 52 6.3% | 67 93.7% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 51 5.6% | 67 94.4% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 51 5.7% | 66 94.3% |
| Q2 - 1:04 | BOS | Garnett 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST) | 51 6.8% | 65 93.2% |
| Q2 - 1:14 | MIA | James 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST) | 49 5.8% | 65 94.2% |
| Q2 - 1:18 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 49 6.8% | 63 93.2% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | BOS | MISS Garnett 2' Layup | 49 6.9% | 63 93.1% |
| Q2 - 1:27 | MIA | James 2' Putback Layup (13 PTS) | 49 7.4% | 63 92.6% |
| Q2 - 1:28 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 49 8.6% | 61 91.4% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | MIA | MISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup | 49 9.1% | 61 90.9% |
| Q2 - 1:37 | BOS | Chalmers STEAL (3 STL) | 49 8.6% | 61 91.4% |
| Q2 - 1:59 | MIA | James 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 49 9.3% | 61 90.7% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw Technical | 49 10.9% | 59 89.1% |
| Q2 - 2:34 | BOS | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST) | 49 10.9% | 59 89.1% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 46 8.7% | 59 91.3% |
| Q2 - 2:40 | MIA | MISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot | 46 8.4% | 59 91.6% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | BOS | Dooling 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 46 7.7% | 59 92.3% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 43 6.4% | 59 93.6% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 43 6.6% | 58 93.4% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | BOS | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST) | 43 7.0% | 57 93.0% |
| Q2 - 3:51 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cole 4 AST) | 40 5.7% | 57 94.3% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | BOS | Allen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14) | 40 7.3% | 54 92.7% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 40 8.2% | 54 91.8% |
| Q2 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot | 40 7.9% | 54 92.1% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 40 7.3% | 54 92.7% |
| Q2 - 4:44 | BOS | Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK) | 40 7.5% | 54 92.5% |
| Q2 - 5:05 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 3 AST) | 40 8.5% | 54 91.5% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | BOS | Anthony STEAL (1 STL) | 40 10.5% | 51 89.5% |
| Q2 - 5:12 | MIA | Cole Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 40 11.6% | 51 88.4% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | BOS | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST) | 40 10.5% | 51 89.5% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | BOS | Allen Free Throw Technical (8 PTS) | 37 8.5% | 51 91.5% |
| Q2 - 5:56 | MIA | Anthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 36 7.6% | 51 92.4% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 36 8.7% | 49 91.3% |
| Q2 - 6:11 | BOS | MISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 | 35 8.5% | 49 91.5% |
| Q2 - 6:17 | MIA | Bosh 2' Dunk (8 PTS) (Cole 2 AST) | 35 8.9% | 49 91.1% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | BOS | Cole STEAL (2 STL) | 35 9.7% | 47 90.3% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | BOS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 10.9% | 47 89.1% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | BOS | Wade BLOCK (3 BLK) | 35 10.0% | 47 90.0% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST) | 35 10.9% | 47 89.1% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 35 13.1% | 44 86.9% |
| Q2 - 6:49 | BOS | MISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot | 35 13.5% | 44 86.5% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 35 14.8% | 44 85.2% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 35 15.0% | 43 85.0% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | BOS | Allen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bass 1 AST) | 35 16.1% | 42 83.9% |
| Q2 - 7:33 | MIA | Haslem 2' Layup (4 PTS) | 32 13.4% | 42 86.6% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 32 14.6% | 40 85.4% |
| Q2 - 7:37 | MIA | MISS Cole 5' Jump Shot | 32 15.7% | 40 84.3% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | BOS | Garnett 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST) | 32 14.6% | 40 85.4% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | MIA | Cole Traveling Turnover (P1.T10) | 30 13.4% | 40 86.6% |
| Q2 - 7:56 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 30 12.1% | 40 87.9% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | BOS | MISS Pavlovic 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 30 12.5% | 40 87.5% |
| Q2 - 8:08 | BOS | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 30 13.7% | 40 86.3% |
| Q2 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 30 13.4% | 40 86.6% |
| Q2 - 8:21 | BOS | Garnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11) | 30 12.5% | 40 87.5% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 30 13.7% | 40 86.3% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 30 14.0% | 39 86.0% |
| Q2 - 8:54 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 30 15.0% | 38 85.0% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | BOS | MISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 | 30 15.2% | 38 84.8% |
| Q2 - 8:56 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 30 15.9% | 38 84.1% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | MIA | Cole 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 29 15.2% | 38 84.8% |
| Q2 - 9:20 | BOS | Pavlovic Traveling Turnover (P2.T10) | 29 16.5% | 36 83.5% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | BOS | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 18.0% | 36 82.0% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | MIA | MISS Wade 2' Driving Layup | 29 17.5% | 36 82.5% |
| Q2 - 9:38 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 29 16.5% | 36 83.5% |
| Q2 - 9:40 | BOS | MISS Rondo 3' Driving Layup | 29 16.9% | 36 83.1% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | MIA | Battier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9) | 29 18.0% | 36 82.0% |
| Q2 - 9:54 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 16.5% | 36 83.5% |
| Q2 - 9:56 | BOS | MISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot | 29 16.9% | 36 83.1% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | MIA | Wade 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) | 29 18.2% | 36 81.8% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 29 19.6% | 34 80.4% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | BOS | Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 28 19.1% | 34 80.9% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 27 18.2% | 34 81.8% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | BOS | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 27 16.6% | 34 83.4% |
| Q2 - 11:02 | MIA | Cole 5' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) | 27 18.3% | 34 81.7% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 19.8% | 32 80.2% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | BOS | Wade BLOCK (2 BLK) | 27 20.3% | 32 79.7% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 27 21.5% | 32 78.5% |
| Q2 - 11:22 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 27 21.8% | 31 78.2% |
| Q2 - 11:29 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 23.1% | 30 76.9% |
| Q2 - 11:30 | BOS | Wade BLOCK (1 BLK) | 27 23.7% | 30 76.3% |
| Q2 - 11:43 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7) | 27 25.0% | 30 75.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | BOS | 27 23.1% | 30 76.9% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | BOS | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 25.0% | 30 75.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 9' Running Jump Shot | 27 24.4% | 30 75.6% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | BOS | Cole STEAL (1 STL) | 27 23.3% | 30 76.7% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | BOS | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 27 24.7% | 30 75.3% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | MISS Cole Free Throw 2 of 2 | 27 24.5% | 30 75.5% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Cole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 27 23.4% | 30 76.6% |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 25.1% | 29 74.9% |
| Q1 - 0:44.0 | BOS | MISS Dooling 13' Jump Shot | 27 25.5% | 29 74.5% |
| Q1 - 0:59.0 | BOS | Bass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 26.5% | 29 73.5% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | MIA | MISS Howard 2' Layup | 27 26.1% | 29 73.9% |
| Q1 - 1:21 | BOS | Dooling 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 27 25.2% | 29 74.8% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | BOS | Daniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 23.0% | 29 77.0% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 22.6% | 29 77.4% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | BOS | Howard STEAL (1 STL) | 25 21.8% | 29 78.2% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | MIA | Howard 2' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 25 23.0% | 29 77.0% |
| Q1 - 2:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 25.1% | 27 74.9% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | BOS | MISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot | 25 25.6% | 27 74.4% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | MIA | Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 25 26.7% | 27 73.3% |
| Q1 - 2:21 | MIA | MISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 | 25 27.2% | 26 72.8% |
| Q1 - 2:31 | BOS | Daniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 25 26.9% | 26 73.1% |
| Q1 - 2:48 | BOS | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 22 23.3% | 26 76.7% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | BOS | MISS Bass 8' Jump Shot | 22 22.3% | 26 77.7% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | MIA | Chalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6) | 22 23.3% | 26 76.7% |
| Q1 - 3:09 | BOS | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 22 21.6% | 26 78.4% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | BOS | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 22 23.3% | 26 76.7% |
| Q1 - 3:19 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 22 22.8% | 26 77.2% |
| Q1 - 3:40 | BOS | Daniels 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 22 21.7% | 26 78.3% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | Chalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 20 20.2% | 26 79.8% |
| Q1 - 3:57 | BOS | Battier STEAL (1 STL) | 20 18.8% | 26 81.2% |
| Q1 - 4:10 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 20 20.1% | 26 79.9% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | BOS | Rondo 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 20 18.6% | 26 81.4% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | MIA | Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 18 17.4% | 26 82.6% |
| Q1 - 4:32 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 18 16.1% | 26 83.9% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | BOS | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 18 16.5% | 26 83.5% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 18 17.4% | 26 82.6% |
| Q1 - 5:00 | BOS | Dooling 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST) | 18 16.1% | 26 83.9% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | MIA | Wade 7' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) | 15 14.4% | 26 85.6% |
| Q1 - 5:34 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw Technical (4 PTS) | 15 15.3% | 24 84.7% |
| Q1 - 5:37 | BOS | Rondo 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 15 16.4% | 23 83.6% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 13 15.4% | 23 84.6% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | BOS | Rondo 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 13 16.4% | 21 83.6% |
| Q1 - 6:02 | BOS | Rondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 11 15.6% | 21 84.4% |
| Q1 - 6:04 | MIA | MISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 11 15.2% | 21 84.8% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 11 14.4% | 21 85.6% |
| Q1 - 6:23 | BOS | MISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 11 14.8% | 21 85.2% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 11 15.6% | 21 84.4% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 11 15.8% | 20 84.2% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 | 11 16.6% | 19 83.4% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | MIA | James Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 11 15.7% | 19 84.3% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | BOS | James STEAL (2 STL) | 11 17.7% | 18 82.3% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | MIA | Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 11 19.1% | 18 80.9% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | BOS | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 11 21.6% | 15 78.4% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 11 23.2% | 15 76.8% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 11 23.5% | 14 76.5% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | BOS | Bass 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 11 23.0% | 14 77.0% |
| Q1 - 7:44 | MIA | James 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) | 9 21.8% | 14 78.2% |
| Q1 - 7:48 | BOS | James STEAL (1 STL) | 9 23.0% | 12 77.0% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 9 24.4% | 12 75.6% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 9 24.6% | 11 75.4% |
| Q1 - 8:14 | BOS | Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) | 9 24.4% | 11 75.6% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | MIA | Wade 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 6 21.6% | 11 78.4% |
| Q1 - 8:49 | BOS | Allen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST) | 6 23.0% | 9 77.0% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | MIA | James 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 21.9% | 9 78.1% |
| Q1 - 9:27 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 23.2% | 7 76.8% |
| Q1 - 9:28 | BOS | MISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot | 4 23.6% | 7 76.4% |
| Q1 - 9:40 | MIA | Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 24.5% | 7 75.5% |
| Q1 - 9:42 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 23.2% | 7 76.8% |
| Q1 - 9:44 | BOS | MISS Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 23.6% | 7 76.4% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 4 24.7% | 7 75.3% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | BOS | O'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 27.2% | 4 72.8% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | BOS | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 28.9% | 4 71.1% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot | 4 28.4% | 4 71.6% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | BOS | Garnett 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 27.2% | 4 72.8% |
| Q1 - 11:06 | MIA | Anthony 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 2 25.7% | 4 74.3% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 27.1% | 2 72.9% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | BOS | MISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot | 2 27.5% | 2 72.5% |
| Q1 - 11:35 | MIA | Bosh 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 28.4% | 2 71.6% |
| Q1 - 11:49 | BOS | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 29.8% | 0 70.2% |
| Q1 - 11:49 | BOS | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 29.7% | 0 70.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Anthony vs. O'Neal: Tip to Garnett | 0 28.4% | 0 71.6% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
BOS
1.27 63.7%
MIA
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
10
18
56%
MIA
23
32
72%
Midrange
BOS
15
35
43%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
12
18.0
19
63%
95%
MIA
6
9.0
10
60%
90%
Free Throws
BOS
21
27
78%
MIA
25
35
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Celtics| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allen | 28 | 100% | 14.0 / 14 | |
| R. Rondo | 22 | 55% | 11.0 / 20 | |
| K. Dooling | 18 | 75% | 9.0 / 12 | |
| B. Bass | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| K. Garnett | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| M. Daniels | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| S. Pavlovic | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| J. O'Neal | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 26 | 76% | 13.0 / 17 | |
| D. Wade | 24 | 60% | 12.0 / 20 | |
| N. Cole | 20 | 53% | 10.0 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 18 | 69% | 9.0 / 13 | |
| J. Jones | 9 | 150% | 4.5 / 3 | |
| J. Anthony | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| M. Chalmers | 4 | 200% | 2.0 / 1 | |
| U. Haslem | 4 | 20% | 2.0 / 10 | |
| S. Battier | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| J. Howard | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
BOS
78
+5
-24
83
MIA
81
+10
-20
91
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
BOS
1.27 63.7%
MIA
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 100.6 106.6 | BOS 104.9 MIA 113.9 +9.0 |
| Pace | 90.8 91.3 | BOS 102.7 +2.4 MIA 100.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 15.8 | BOS 14.0 +0.3 MIA 14.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.6% 50.5% | BOS 59.7% MIA 60.0% +0.3% |
| TO % | 15.4% 15.9% | BOS 22.2% MIA 18.1% +4.1% |
| ORB % | 19.9% 26.6% | BOS 11.1% MIA 20.0% +8.9% |
| FTrt | 25.7 30.7 | BOS 37.5 MIA 46.7 +9.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 66.5% 53.8% | BOS 54.1% +1.7% MIA 52.4% |
| STL % | 8.3% 9.6% | BOS 8.8% MIA 15.8% +7.0% |
| BLK % | 8.7% 9.0% | BOS 4.6% MIA 15.1% +10.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.75 and 2.75.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.8% 53.5% | BOS 63.7% +1.9% MIA 61.8% |
| Rim FG% | 57.7% 61.1% | BOS 55.6% MIA 71.9% +16.3% |
| Mid FG% | 41.9% 40.0% | BOS 42.9% +3.5% MIA 39.4% |
| 3P % | 36.7% 35.9% | BOS 63.2% +3.2% MIA 60.0% |
| FT % | 77.8% 77.5% | BOS 77.8% +6.4% MIA 71.4% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 32.5% 36.7% | BOS 25.0% MIA 42.7% +17.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 48.0% 43.6% | BOS 48.6% MIA 44.0% +4.6% |
| 3P Att. % | 19.4% 19.8% | BOS 26.4% +13.1% MIA 13.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | BOS | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 102 | 101 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.8 | 24.2 |
| Points | 107 | 115 |
| Rebounds | 28 | 38 |
| Assists | 20 | 22 |
| Steals | 9 | 16 |
| Blocks | 3 | 8 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 24 (0) | 20 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 4 (1) | 6 (4) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 24 (2) | 32 (1) |
| Field Goals | 37-72 | 42-75 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 10-18 | 23-32 |
| Midrange FG | 15-35 | 13-33 |
| 2-Point FG | 25-53 | 36-65 |
| 3-Point FG | 12-19 | 6-10 |
| Free Throws | 21-27 | 25-35 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.