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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Lakers63%101116
22Kings37%96108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.8
46.9
33.9
18
53%
13
6
1
1
1
1
1
12
2-2
100%
8-16
7-13
50%
54%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.4
46.7
29.3
8
31%
5
3
4
1
1
4
0
5
3-4
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
1-5
20%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.4
45.2
29.9
22
64%
8
7
0
1
1
0
0
8
3-3
100%
8-12
5-8
67%
55%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.7
39.5
30.6
11
61%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.6
38.2
32.6
36
63%
9
6
1
1
1
2
2
7
9-10
90%
12-22
8-15
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.4
16.3
20.6
15
66%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.0
13.5
10.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.6
13.4
5.4
6
77%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.7
3.4
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.9
2.0
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.1
12.5
0
0-1
42%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 38.0
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.5
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.1
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.6
47.1
24.8
19
37%
6
7
1
1
1
4
1
5
6-8
75%
5-17
4-9
29%
46%
1-5
20%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.9
45.6
36.8
33
60%
6
4
2
1
0
1
2
4
1-3
33%
10-17
5-12
59%
47%
4-9
44%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
44.9
29.4
16
58%
18
1
0
1
2
4
9
9
0-2
0%
8-13
4-9
62%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.3
22.6
24.4
5
42%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.7
14.2
29.7
6
50%
6
2
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
5-11
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.7
38.7
26.2
16
63%
8
2
1
0
2
0
2
6
2-4
50%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
34.3
32.2
11
56%
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.1
13.0
18.5
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
3.7
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.4
0.9
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.4
5.9
0
1-2
44%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
3.9
0
1-1
49%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.