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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs49%104103
12Suns51%105106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
30.6
24.7
17
50%
12
1
0
1
2
1
2
10
3-7
43%
7-14
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
27.3
25.9
7
39%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
25.5
17.9
12
41%
5
7
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-6
67%
4-11
4-7
36%
53%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
19.6
14.7
8
67%
10
2
0
0
0
0
2
8
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
2.2
27.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
36.7
23.6
14
55%
5
3
1
0
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
28.3
27.5
13
51%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
24.1
13.7
13
72%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
3-6
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.0
16.1
23.0
8
84%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
16.1
22.8
9
47%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
7-8
88%
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
9.4
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.3
4.3
20.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.1
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
37.0
30.5
17
48%
9
2
0
1
2
0
0
9
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
3-10
30%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.2
35.7
29.3
21
61%
13
1
0
1
0
2
4
9
1-3
33%
10-16
5-10
63%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.8
32.6
30.5
17
53%
8
2
1
1
0
1
4
4
6-7
86%
1-7
4-7
14%
52%
3-6
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.2
30.7
24.2
8
37%
2
10
1
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-10
3-5
30%
52%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.5
29.7
27.0
14
62%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
1-1
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
21.3
15.1
8
45%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
1-1
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
17.3
20.5
4
23%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-6
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.8
12.4
19.8
2
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
12.2
6.1
11
81%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.8
11.1
16.6
4
41%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.6
11.1
0
2-4
45%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-3
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.