FinalWin Prob.pScore
959%105
103
2341%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
109.69498.5
UTA logo UTA
115.19388.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA103
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0UTAJAZZ Rebound103
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)103
2.5%
107
97.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)103
3.3%
106
96.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENSmith Foul Turnover (P6.T16)103
7.6%
105
92.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0UTAJefferson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)103
28.4%
105
71.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENHarris STEAL (1 STL)103
48.9%
103
51.1%
Q4 - 1:08UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)103
66.1%
103
33.9%
Q4 - 1:08UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)103
69.5%
102
30.5%
Q4 - 1:27UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
76.0%
101
24.0%
Q4 - 1:28DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
79.2%
101
20.8%
Q4 - 1:50DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)103
82.8%
101
17.2%
Q4 - 1:52UTAMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 1103
82.0%
101
18.0%
Q4 - 2:10DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)103
88.2%
99
11.8%
Q4 - 2:28UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)100
76.8%
99
23.2%
Q4 - 2:51UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
62.6%
99
37.4%
Q4 - 2:53DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot100
66.7%
99
33.3%
Q4 - 3:02UTAHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)100
75.3%
99
24.7%
Q4 - 3:19DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)100
62.3%
99
37.7%
Q4 - 3:40UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)97
45.0%
99
55.0%
Q4 - 3:56UTAJump Ball Watson vs. Harrington: Tip to Jefferson97
63.0%
96
37.0%
Q4 - 4:11UTAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)97
72.2%
96
27.8%
Q4 - 4:26UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)97
63.0%
96
37.0%
Q4 - 4:27DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot97
66.0%
96
34.0%
Q4 - 4:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)97
72.3%
96
27.7%
Q4 - 4:43UTAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 297
71.2%
96
28.8%
Q4 - 4:43UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)97
65.8%
96
34.2%
Q4 - 4:53DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)97
71.7%
95
28.3%
Q4 - 4:58UTAWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)97
79.5%
95
20.5%
Q4 - 5:11DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)97
70.2%
95
29.8%
Q4 - 5:11DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)96
68.2%
95
31.8%
Q4 - 5:19DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
63.2%
95
36.8%
Q4 - 5:20UTAMISS Harris 4' Jump Shot95
60.6%
95
39.4%
Q4 - 5:37DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)95
54.4%
95
45.6%
Q4 - 5:55UTAFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
46.4%
95
53.6%
Q4 - 5:55UTAFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)93
49.2%
94
50.8%
Q4 - 5:55UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)93
54.4%
93
45.6%
Q4 - 5:55UTAMISS Favors 3' Jump Shot93
60.6%
93
39.4%
Q4 - 6:15DENChandler 19' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)93
55.7%
93
44.3%
Q4 - 6:24DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
48.6%
93
51.4%
Q4 - 6:25UTAMISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
46.1%
93
53.9%
Q4 - 6:51DENForbes 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)91
40.4%
93
59.6%
Q4 - 7:14DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
36.7%
93
63.3%
Q4 - 7:15UTAMISS Favors 8' Fadeaway Jumper89
34.6%
93
65.4%
Q4 - 7:36DENSmith 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)89
29.9%
93
70.1%
Q4 - 7:52UTAHayward 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)87
24.7%
93
75.3%
Q4 - 8:09DENAndersen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)87
32.7%
91
67.3%
Q4 - 8:29UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Favors 3 AST)85
27.1%
91
72.9%
Q4 - 8:45DENMillsap STEAL (2 STL)85
38.4%
88
61.6%
Q4 - 8:57DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
44.6%
88
55.4%
Q4 - 8:58DENMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot85
40.3%
88
59.7%
Q4 - 9:15UTAMillsap Foul Turnover (P2.T12)85
45.9%
88
54.1%
Q4 - 9:35DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
40.1%
88
59.9%
Q4 - 9:35DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
38.7%
88
61.3%
Q4 - 9:46UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)83
34.3%
88
65.7%
Q4 - 9:46UTAJAZZ Rebound83
29.2%
88
70.8%
Q4 - 9:46UTAMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot83
32.7%
88
67.3%
Q4 - 10:11DENFavors STEAL (3 STL)83
30.7%
88
69.3%
Q4 - 10:34UTAEvans 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)83
35.7%
88
64.3%
Q4 - 11:00DENForbes 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
41.0%
86
59.0%
Q4 - 11:16UTAHayward 18' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)81
36.9%
86
63.1%
Q4 - 11:30DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)81
42.0%
84
58.0%
Q4 - 11:38UTAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
32.0%
84
68.0%
Q4 - 11:38UTAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
32.7%
83
67.3%
Q4 - 11:43UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
36.8%
82
63.2%
Q4 - 11:44DENMISS Koufos 4' Jump Hook Shot78
38.4%
82
61.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN78
41.9%
82
58.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
42.8%
82
57.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0UTAMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
41.4%
82
58.6%
Q3 - 0:06.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
38.3%
82
61.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
39.7%
82
60.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)78
42.8%
82
57.2%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENMISS Smith 3' Running Layup78
39.6%
82
60.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
42.7%
82
57.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTAMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot78
41.3%
82
58.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
38.2%
82
61.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 277
36.7%
82
63.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENChandler Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)77
37.8%
82
62.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)76
33.1%
82
66.9%
Q3 - 1:01UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
30.3%
82
69.7%
Q3 - 1:03DENJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)76
31.4%
82
68.6%
Q3 - 1:15DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
34.2%
82
65.8%
Q3 - 1:17UTAMISS Harris 23' Jump Shot76
32.9%
82
67.1%
Q3 - 1:31DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)76
30.2%
82
69.8%
Q3 - 1:35DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
22.2%
82
77.8%
Q3 - 1:36UTAMISS Watson 2' Layup73
21.3%
82
78.7%
Q3 - 1:50UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
19.3%
82
80.7%
Q3 - 1:52DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot73
20.1%
82
79.9%
Q3 - 2:00DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
22.2%
82
77.8%
Q3 - 2:01UTAMISS Millsap 21' Jump Shot73
22.8%
82
77.2%
Q3 - 2:10UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
20.6%
82
79.4%
Q3 - 2:11DENMISS Forbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
21.5%
82
78.5%
Q3 - 2:30UTAHarris Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)73
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q3 - 2:47DENChandler 17' Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
20.5%
82
79.5%
Q3 - 2:58UTAHayward Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)71
17.5%
82
82.5%
Q3 - 3:11UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 271
25.9%
79
74.1%
Q3 - 3:13DENEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
27.9%
79
72.1%
Q3 - 3:29UTAJefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q3 - 3:47DENEly 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)70
28.9%
77
71.1%
Q3 - 4:09UTAHayward Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)68
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q3 - 4:19DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)68
22.8%
77
77.2%
Q3 - 4:46UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)68
26.6%
77
73.4%
Q3 - 4:53UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
33.3%
74
66.7%
Q3 - 4:55DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q3 - 5:02DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
38.4%
74
61.6%
Q3 - 5:02UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup68
37.1%
74
62.9%
Q3 - 5:25DENSmith 2' Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Forbes 3 AST)68
34.1%
74
65.9%
Q3 - 5:29UTAHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)66
30.8%
74
69.2%
Q3 - 5:37DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)66
26.9%
74
73.1%
Q3 - 5:37DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)65
26.4%
74
73.6%
Q3 - 5:39DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
24.1%
74
75.9%
Q3 - 5:41DENMISS Chandler 21' Jump Shot64
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q3 - 5:49DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
24.1%
74
75.9%
Q3 - 5:51UTAMISS Favors 4' Hook Shot64
23.0%
74
77.0%
Q3 - 6:03UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
22.5%
74
77.5%
Q3 - 6:05DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot64
23.4%
74
76.6%
Q3 - 6:11DENNuggets Rebound64
25.7%
74
74.3%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Chandler 15' Jump Shot64
23.4%
74
76.6%
Q3 - 6:21DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
25.6%
74
74.4%
Q3 - 6:22UTAMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
24.6%
74
75.4%
Q3 - 6:32UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
22.4%
74
77.6%
Q3 - 6:33DENMISS Forbes 1' Driving Layup64
23.3%
74
76.7%
Q3 - 6:48UTAMillsap 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)64
25.5%
74
74.5%
Q3 - 7:10DENHarrington 2' Layup (12 PTS)64
33.0%
71
67.0%
Q3 - 7:23UTAMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)62
29.8%
71
70.2%
Q3 - 7:38DENFavors STEAL (2 STL)62
26.5%
71
73.5%
Q3 - 8:03UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)62
30.6%
71
69.4%
Q3 - 8:03UTAFavors 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)62
30.6%
71
69.4%
Q3 - 8:05UTAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot62
36.2%
69
63.8%
Q3 - 8:20UTAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
33.6%
69
66.4%
Q3 - 8:22DENMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)62
34.7%
69
65.3%
Q3 - 8:46UTAHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
37.3%
69
62.7%
Q3 - 8:46UTAHarris 2' Layup (17 PTS)62
37.3%
69
62.7%
Q3 - 8:47UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)62
40.6%
67
59.4%
Q3 - 8:47UTAMISS Favors 2' Tip Shot62
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 8:49UTAMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup62
43.4%
67
56.6%
Q3 - 9:09DENKoufos 2' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)62
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 9:21DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
37.9%
67
62.1%
Q3 - 9:23UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
34.4%
67
65.6%
Q3 - 9:23UTAMISS Favors 1' Tip Shot60
36.8%
67
63.2%
Q3 - 9:26UTAMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.8%
67
63.2%
Q3 - 9:32UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
34.4%
67
65.6%
Q3 - 9:33DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot60
35.4%
67
64.6%
Q3 - 9:40DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 9:41DENMISS Forbes 19' Jump Shot60
35.4%
67
64.6%
Q3 - 9:57UTAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)60
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q3 - 10:09DENHayward STEAL (1 STL)60
42.3%
65
57.7%
Q3 - 10:21UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q3 - 10:21UTAJefferson 2' Layup (10 PTS)60
45.9%
65
54.1%
Q3 - 10:23UTAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup60
51.9%
63
48.1%
Q3 - 10:44UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
49.3%
63
50.7%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
50.4%
63
49.6%
Q3 - 10:56DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
53.0%
63
47.0%
Q3 - 10:58UTAMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 160
52.5%
63
47.5%
Q3 - 11:13DENSmith 17' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)60
56.9%
61
43.1%
Q3 - 11:36DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
53.6%
61
46.4%
Q3 - 11:37UTAMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot58
52.5%
61
47.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN58
49.9%
61
50.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound58
53.6%
61
46.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
51.1%
61
48.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0UTAHarris 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
53.7%
61
46.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
57.7%
59
42.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
58.5%
59
41.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
60.2%
59
39.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0UTAMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 258
59.9%
59
40.1%
Q2 - 0:36.0UTAEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
57.8%
59
42.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENEvans STEAL (1 STL)58
60.9%
58
39.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0UTAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)58
63.4%
58
36.6%
Q2 - 1:13DENKoufos 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS)58
67.2%
56
32.8%
Q2 - 1:29UTAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)56
63.4%
56
36.6%
Q2 - 1:35UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
67.2%
54
32.8%
Q2 - 1:37DENMISS Harrington 5' Jump Shot56
67.8%
54
32.2%
Q2 - 2:01UTAHarris 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)56
69.5%
54
30.5%
Q2 - 2:27DENForbes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)56
72.1%
52
27.9%
Q2 - 2:33UTAHayward 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)56
74.6%
52
25.4%
Q2 - 2:57DENKoufos 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)56
79.1%
49
20.9%
Q2 - 2:59DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
77.0%
49
23.0%
Q2 - 3:00DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup54
75.3%
49
24.7%
Q2 - 3:10DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
77.1%
49
22.9%
Q2 - 3:11UTAMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
76.3%
49
23.7%
Q2 - 3:27DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
74.4%
49
25.6%
Q2 - 3:27DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
73.9%
49
26.1%
Q2 - 3:44UTAHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hayward 4 AST)52
72.4%
49
27.6%
Q2 - 4:03DENKoufos 3' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)52
76.5%
46
23.5%
Q2 - 4:22DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
74.5%
46
25.5%
Q2 - 4:24DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot50
72.7%
46
27.3%
Q2 - 4:33DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
74.5%
46
25.5%
Q2 - 4:34UTAMISS Hayward 2' Alley Oop Layup50
73.7%
46
26.3%
Q2 - 4:41UTAHarris Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)50
71.9%
46
28.1%
Q2 - 4:54DENChandler 2' Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)50
74.3%
45
25.7%
Q2 - 5:16UTAHayward 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)48
72.0%
45
28.0%
Q2 - 5:28DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
74.4%
43
25.6%
Q2 - 5:28DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
73.9%
43
26.1%
Q2 - 5:37DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
72.0%
43
28.0%
Q2 - 5:39UTAMISS Hayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
71.3%
43
28.7%
Q2 - 5:56DENHarrington 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)46
69.6%
43
30.4%
Q2 - 6:08UTAMillsap 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Hayward 3 AST)44
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 6:28DENForbes 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
69.1%
41
30.9%
Q2 - 6:40DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
67.0%
41
33.0%
Q2 - 6:41UTAMISS Hayward 19' Jump Shot42
66.1%
41
33.9%
Q2 - 7:01DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
64.4%
41
35.6%
Q2 - 7:01DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
63.7%
41
36.3%
Q2 - 7:10UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
61.9%
41
38.1%
Q2 - 7:10UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 240
62.5%
40
37.5%
Q2 - 7:20UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
61.8%
40
38.2%
Q2 - 7:23DENMISS Forbes 2' Alley Oop Layup40
62.6%
40
37.4%
Q2 - 7:34UTAWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
64.5%
40
35.5%
Q2 - 7:34UTAWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q2 - 7:37DENWatson STEAL (1 STL)40
66.8%
38
33.2%
Q2 - 7:51DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
69.4%
38
30.6%
Q2 - 7:53UTAMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot40
68.6%
38
31.4%
Q2 - 8:09DENForbes 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
66.9%
38
33.1%
Q2 - 8:17UTAFavors Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
64.6%
38
35.4%
Q2 - 8:40DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)38
62.0%
38
38.0%
Q2 - 8:51UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
56.9%
38
43.1%
Q2 - 8:55UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
54.1%
38
45.9%
Q2 - 8:57DENFavors BLOCK (2 BLK)35
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q2 - 9:13DENNuggets Rebound35
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 9:13UTAMISS Watson 20' Jump Shot35
56.2%
38
43.8%
Q2 - 9:21UTAElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
54.4%
38
45.6%
Q2 - 9:22DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
55.2%
38
44.8%
Q2 - 9:43UTAEvans 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)35
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 9:49UTAElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
59.5%
36
40.5%
Q2 - 9:51DENElson BLOCK (1 BLK)35
60.3%
36
39.7%
Q2 - 10:03UTAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
61.9%
36
38.1%
Q2 - 10:03UTAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 10:07UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
64.0%
34
36.0%
Q2 - 10:09UTAMISS Hayward 20' Jump Shot35
65.8%
34
34.2%
Q2 - 10:31DENForbes 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
64.1%
34
35.9%
Q2 - 10:50UTAEvans 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)33
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 11:14DENEly 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)33
63.9%
32
36.1%
Q2 - 11:37UTAHayward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA31
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound31
66.2%
29
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Elson 16' Jump Shot31
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q1 - 0:20.0DENElson STEAL (1 STL)31
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENNuggets Rebound31
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMISS Lawson 1' Layup31
66.8%
29
33.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAMISS Millsap 1' Dunk31
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)31
66.3%
29
33.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
61.4%
29
38.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENChandler 4' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)28
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q1 - 1:11UTAFavors 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)26
57.0%
29
43.0%
Q1 - 1:17DENMillsap STEAL (1 STL)26
59.9%
27
40.1%
Q1 - 1:28UTAElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
61.5%
27
38.5%
Q1 - 1:28UTAElson 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
61.5%
27
38.5%
Q1 - 1:30UTAMISS Harris 2' Layup26
65.4%
25
34.6%
Q1 - 1:54DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 1:54DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 225
63.8%
25
36.2%
Q1 - 2:13UTAHarris Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)25
64.0%
25
36.0%
Q1 - 2:27DENChandler 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)25
62.1%
25
37.9%
Q1 - 2:31UTAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)23
59.6%
25
40.4%
Q1 - 2:47UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q1 - 2:48DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
58.2%
25
41.8%
Q1 - 3:14UTAHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
60.1%
25
39.9%
Q1 - 3:20UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
64.3%
22
35.7%
Q1 - 3:21DENMISS Lawson 22' Jump Shot23
64.9%
22
35.1%
Q1 - 3:36UTAJefferson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
66.4%
22
33.6%
Q1 - 3:47UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
68.3%
20
31.7%
Q1 - 3:48DENFavors BLOCK (1 BLK)23
69.0%
20
31.0%
Q1 - 4:00DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
70.4%
20
29.6%
Q1 - 4:01UTAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot23
69.6%
20
30.4%
Q1 - 4:26DENKoufos 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)23
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q1 - 4:38UTAHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q1 - 4:38UTAHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
66.7%
19
33.3%
Q1 - 5:01DENChandler 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)21
67.8%
18
32.2%
Q1 - 5:10UTAHayward 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
66.1%
18
33.9%
Q1 - 5:23DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
67.8%
16
32.2%
Q1 - 5:23DENKoufos 1' Layup (4 PTS)19
67.8%
16
32.2%
Q1 - 5:25DENMISS Koufos 2' Hook Shot17
64.6%
16
35.4%
Q1 - 5:28DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
66.1%
16
33.9%
Q1 - 5:29DENMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot17
64.6%
16
35.4%
Q1 - 5:49UTAHayward 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Favors 2 AST)17
66.1%
16
33.9%
Q1 - 6:16DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
67.8%
14
32.2%
Q1 - 6:21DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
66.1%
14
33.9%
Q1 - 6:22UTAMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot15
65.5%
14
34.5%
Q1 - 6:36DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
64.0%
14
36.0%
Q1 - 6:36DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
63.6%
14
36.4%
Q1 - 6:45DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
62.2%
14
37.8%
Q1 - 6:46UTAMISS Hayward 23' Jump Shot13
61.6%
14
38.4%
Q1 - 7:09DENLawson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)13
60.3%
14
39.7%
Q1 - 7:19UTAFavors 3' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Hayward 2 AST)11
58.5%
14
41.5%
Q1 - 7:36DENForbes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)11
60.3%
12
39.7%
Q1 - 7:40DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
58.5%
12
41.5%
Q1 - 7:41UTAMISS Millsap 8' Jump Shot9
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 8:04DENLawson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)9
57.0%
12
43.0%
Q1 - 8:10DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 8:11UTAMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot7
54.3%
12
45.7%
Q1 - 8:21UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
53.0%
12
47.0%
Q1 - 8:22DENMISS Koufos 8' Turnaround Hook Shot7
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 8:36UTAHayward 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)7
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 8:53DENKoufos 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
56.9%
10
43.1%
Q1 - 9:11UTAMillsap 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)5
55.7%
10
44.3%
Q1 - 9:33DENHarrington 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 9:41UTAFavors 1' Layup (2 PTS)3
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 9:43UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 9:44UTAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot3
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 10:00UTAFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
57.6%
6
42.4%
Q1 - 10:01DENMISS Chandler 21' Jump Shot3
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 10:04DENNuggets Rebound3
59.8%
6
40.2%
Q1 - 10:04DENMISS Koufos 6' Turnaround Hook Shot3
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 10:17UTAJefferson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayward 1 AST)3
59.8%
6
40.2%
Q1 - 10:35UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 10:36DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 23
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 10:36DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 10:47UTAMillsap 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 10:59DENFavors STEAL (1 STL)2
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 11:11UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 11:11UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
65.1%
1
34.9%
Q1 - 11:11UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 11:11UTAMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot2
67.3%
0
32.7%
Q1 - 11:23DENChandler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)2
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 11:27DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 11:28UTAMISS Millsap 4' Jump Bank Shot2
67.3%
0
32.7%
Q1 - 11:45DENChandler 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Koufos: Tip to Harrington0
64.7%
0
35.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.6%
UTA
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
22
36
61%
UTA
16
29
55%
Midrange
DEN
14
27
52%
UTA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
UTA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
DEN
22
26
85%
UTA
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler2761%13.5 / 22
G. Forbes1771%8.5 / 12
A. Harrington1544%7.5 / 17
K. Koufos1464%7.0 / 11
J. Smith1450%7.0 / 14
T. Lawson660%3.0 / 5
M. Ely660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hayward3489%17.0 / 19
D. Harris2153%10.5 / 20
A. Jefferson1753%8.5 / 16
P. Millsap1255%6.0 / 11
D. Favors1255%6.0 / 11
J. Evans788%3.5 / 4
E. Watson220%1.0 / 5
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+12
-15
91
UTA
79
+12
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.6%
UTA
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
108.2
DEN 109.6
UTA 115.1 +5.5
Pace
95.2
91.0
DEN 98.5 +9.6
UTA 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.2
DEN 14.6 +1.6
UTA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.8%
DEN 52.6%
UTA 55.8% +3.2%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
DEN 15.3%
UTA 15.3%
ORB %
23.8%
26.9%
DEN 22.9%
UTA 25.6% +2.7%
FTrt
36.7
31.3
DEN 33.8
UTA 33.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
62.7%
DEN 38.5%
UTA 64.1% +25.6%
STL %
7.7%
8.3%
DEN 7.4%
UTA 11.8% +4.4%
BLK %
6.8%
9.9%
DEN 4.8%
UTA 7.9% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.9%
DEN 56.6%
UTA 58.2% +1.6%
Rim FG%
58.5%
60.3%
DEN 61.1% +5.9%
UTA 55.2%
Mid FG%
40.0%
40.0%
DEN 51.9% +6.4%
UTA 45.5%
3P %
38.8%
34.6%
DEN 21.4%
UTA 53.3% +31.9%
FT %
76.6%
77.1%
DEN 84.6% +3.8%
UTA 80.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
37.2%
DEN 46.8% +9.1%
UTA 37.7%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
43.8%
DEN 35.1% +7.8%
UTA 42.9%
3P Att. %
25.8%
19.1%
DEN 18.2%
UTA 19.5% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENUTA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points103107
Rebounds3737
Assists1525
Steals711
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals39-7739-77
At-the-Rim FG22-3616-29
Midrange FG14-2715-33
2-Point FG36-6331-62
3-Point FG3-148-15
Free Throws22-2621-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 220 · 26
42.1
17
71%
6
3
1
1
3
3
0
6
3-3
100%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 24
40.8
27
61%
6
3
0
1
1
2
0
6
6-7
86%
9-17
53%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
34.1
15
44%
6
3
1
0
1
1
1
5
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
1-6
17%
C · 7'0" 265 · 22
26.7
14
64%
6
0
0
0
4
3
4
2
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
13.9
6
60%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26
38.0
14
50%
3
3
2
0
6
2
2
1
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
29.5
4
100%
10
0
2
1
0
5
1
9
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
14.8
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 205 · 27
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
C · 7'1" 275 · 25
#31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
57%
37
15
7
3
15
0
8
29
22-26
85%
36-63
57%
3-14
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.