for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, April 13, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
4
Heat
75%101
97
25
Raptors
25%92
79
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.18581.1
TOR logo TOR
91.98690.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR97
100%
79
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Rebound97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIABayless BLOCK (1 BLK)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0TORMISS Alabi 15' Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMagloire 1' Layup (8 PTS)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMagloire 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 13 AST)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04TORMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14MIAHoward 10' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43TORRAPTORS Rebound91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 291
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54TORMISS DeRozan 9' Pullup Jump Shot90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)90
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)87
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS Bayless Free Throw 2 of 287
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 3:32TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)87
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)87
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 4:03TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 4:03TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 4:07TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 4:08MIAMISS House 16' Pullup Jump Shot87
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 4:34TORBayless 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHoward 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)87
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13MIAHeat Rebound85
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:14TORMISS Bayless 21' Jump Shot85
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 5:20TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot85
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 5:25TORDorsey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)85
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:28MIADorsey STEAL (4 STL)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 5:44TORDorsey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)85
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 5:47MIADorsey STEAL (3 STL)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 6:05TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)85
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Chalmers 12 AST)85
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 6:29MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot82
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Chalmers 11 AST)82
98.3%
71
1.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHeat Rebound79
97.0%
71
3.0%
Q4 - 6:59TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot79
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 7:17MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)79
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 7:40TORDeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST)77
94.0%
71
6.0%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T10)77
95.3%
69
4.7%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)77
95.9%
69
4.1%
Q4 - 8:15TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q4 - 8:25TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
95.1%
69
4.9%
Q4 - 8:46TORDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)77
95.9%
69
4.1%
Q4 - 8:49TORDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)77
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 8:50TORMISS Davis 3' Layup77
95.6%
69
4.4%
Q4 - 9:10MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)77
94.1%
69
5.9%
Q4 - 9:33TORBayless Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)74
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
88.7%
69
11.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
88.2%
69
11.8%
Q4 - 10:03MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
85.5%
69
14.5%
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot72
83.4%
69
16.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)72
85.5%
69
14.5%
Q4 - 10:17TORMISS Ajinca 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
84.6%
69
15.4%
Q4 - 10:33TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
82.5%
69
17.5%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
83.5%
69
16.5%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot72
83.5%
69
16.5%
Q4 - 11:00TORAlabi Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)72
85.6%
69
14.4%
Q4 - 11:03TORAlabi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
82.1%
69
17.9%
Q4 - 11:04TORMISS Wright 5' Floating Jump Shot72
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q4 - 11:23MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
82.2%
69
17.8%
Q4 - 11:23MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
81.5%
69
18.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
78.8%
69
21.2%
Q4 - 11:46TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot70
77.6%
69
22.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR70
74.9%
69
25.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
74.9%
69
25.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup70
76.3%
69
23.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0TORAjinca Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)70
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)70
75.2%
69
24.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0TORWright Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)67
66.4%
69
33.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
62.1%
69
37.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
63.4%
69
36.6%
Q3 - 1:20TORDavis 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)67
67.0%
69
33.0%
Q3 - 1:34TORRAPTORS Rebound67
71.6%
67
28.4%
Q3 - 1:36MIAAjinca BLOCK (1 BLK)67
72.7%
67
27.3%
Q3 - 1:58TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)67
75.1%
67
24.9%
Q3 - 2:15TORRAPTORS Rebound67
78.8%
65
21.2%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
79.7%
65
20.3%
Q3 - 2:24MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
81.7%
65
18.3%
Q3 - 2:26TORMISS Bayless 23' Pullup Jump Shot67
80.9%
65
19.1%
Q3 - 2:34TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
78.8%
65
21.2%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot67
79.7%
65
20.3%
Q3 - 2:44MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
81.7%
65
18.3%
Q3 - 2:45TORMISS Ajinca 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
80.9%
65
19.1%
Q3 - 3:07MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
79.4%
65
20.6%
Q3 - 3:17TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)64
73.0%
65
27.0%
Q3 - 3:37MIABibby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
69.0%
65
31.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
65.2%
65
34.8%
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS House 19' Jump Bank Shot62
62.2%
65
37.8%
Q3 - 4:14TORJohnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
66.0%
65
34.0%
Q3 - 4:31MIAHouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)62
69.1%
63
30.9%
Q3 - 5:00TORDavis 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)59
61.9%
63
38.1%
Q3 - 5:22TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot59
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q3 - 5:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
69.7%
61
30.3%
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 259
69.1%
61
30.9%
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 259
67.3%
61
32.7%
Q3 - 5:42TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q3 - 5:48TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q3 - 5:49TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot59
68.5%
61
31.5%
Q3 - 6:09MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)59
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound59
70.6%
61
29.4%
Q3 - 6:16MIADorsey BLOCK (1 BLK)59
68.0%
61
32.0%
Q3 - 6:30TORDorsey 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)59
70.6%
61
29.4%
Q3 - 6:45MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)59
73.5%
59
26.5%
Q3 - 7:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
76.8%
59
23.2%
Q3 - 7:05TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
77.2%
58
22.8%
Q3 - 7:11TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
79.3%
57
20.7%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot59
80.1%
57
19.9%
Q3 - 7:26MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
81.9%
57
18.1%
Q3 - 7:27TORMISS Bayless 18' Pullup Jump Shot59
81.1%
57
18.9%
Q3 - 7:38TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
79.3%
57
20.7%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Bibby 16' Pullup Jump Shot59
80.1%
57
19.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
81.9%
57
18.1%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot59
80.1%
57
19.9%
Q3 - 8:15TORDeRozan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
81.9%
57
18.1%
Q3 - 8:27MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (9 PTS)59
83.9%
55
16.1%
Q3 - 8:28MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)57
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 8:30MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)57
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q3 - 8:45TORDorsey 2' Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)57
81.9%
55
18.1%
Q3 - 9:02MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)57
84.0%
53
16.0%
Q3 - 9:17TORBayless 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)54
79.7%
53
20.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIAIlgauskas 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
81.9%
51
18.1%
Q3 - 10:03TORBayless Traveling Turnover (P4.T8)52
80.1%
51
19.9%
Q3 - 10:11MIADorsey STEAL (2 STL)52
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q3 - 10:30TORJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)52
80.0%
51
20.0%
Q3 - 10:57MIAHouse 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ilgauskas 2 AST)52
77.6%
51
22.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
75.1%
51
24.9%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 11:16TORDavis Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)50
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 11:16TORRAPTORS Rebound50
72.9%
51
27.1%
Q3 - 11:16TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot50
74.9%
51
25.1%
Q3 - 11:35TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
72.9%
51
27.1%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Ilgauskas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot50
73.7%
51
26.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound50
72.8%
51
27.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 44' 3PT Running Jump Shot50
74.8%
51
25.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
73.7%
51
26.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot50
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0TORWright 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)50
75.6%
51
24.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAPittman 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)50
78.5%
49
21.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORDeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk (8 PTS)48
75.7%
49
24.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIADeRozan STEAL (2 STL)48
78.5%
47
21.5%
Q2 - 1:16TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
80.4%
47
19.6%
Q2 - 1:16TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 248
81.1%
46
18.9%
Q2 - 1:23TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
80.9%
46
19.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot48
81.4%
46
18.6%
Q2 - 1:45TORBayless Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)48
82.3%
46
17.7%
Q2 - 1:55TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
80.9%
46
19.1%
Q2 - 1:56MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot48
81.4%
46
18.6%
Q2 - 2:07MIAHeat Rebound48
82.7%
46
17.3%
Q2 - 2:07MIADeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)48
81.3%
46
18.7%
Q2 - 2:13MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
82.7%
46
17.3%
Q2 - 2:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
81.3%
46
18.7%
Q2 - 2:23TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)48
82.6%
46
17.4%
Q2 - 2:30TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
80.7%
46
19.3%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Howard 6' Jump Hook Shot48
81.3%
46
18.7%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)48
82.6%
46
17.4%
Q2 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 148
82.4%
46
17.6%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)48
84.5%
44
15.5%
Q2 - 3:33TORDavis 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)46
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q2 - 3:41TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
84.5%
42
15.5%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot46
85.1%
42
14.9%
Q2 - 3:57TORBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)46
86.3%
42
13.7%
Q2 - 4:11MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
84.6%
42
15.4%
Q2 - 4:28TORDorsey 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)46
86.2%
42
13.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)46
87.5%
40
12.5%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 245
86.9%
40
13.1%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHeat Rebound45
87.6%
40
12.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot45
86.6%
40
13.4%
Q2 - 5:02TORAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
87.6%
40
12.4%
Q2 - 5:02TORAjinca Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
87.9%
39
12.1%
Q2 - 5:02TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)45
88.9%
38
11.1%
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Davis 2' Layup45
89.6%
38
10.4%
Q2 - 5:02TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
88.9%
38
11.1%
Q2 - 5:02TORMISS Davis 4' Layup45
89.6%
38
10.4%
Q2 - 5:05TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
88.8%
38
11.2%
Q2 - 5:07TORMISS Bayless 2' Driving Layup45
89.6%
38
10.4%
Q2 - 5:11TORBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
88.8%
38
11.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS Howard 15' Jump Bank Shot45
89.2%
38
10.8%
Q2 - 5:39TORAjinca 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)45
89.9%
38
10.1%
Q2 - 5:51TORRAPTORS Rebound45
91.9%
35
8.1%
Q2 - 5:52TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 145
92.6%
35
7.4%
Q2 - 6:05MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)45
93.1%
33
6.9%
Q2 - 6:35TORBayless 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
92.5%
33
7.5%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMagloire Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)43
93.1%
31
6.9%
Q2 - 7:13TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
93.8%
31
6.2%
Q2 - 7:13TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
93.9%
30
6.1%
Q2 - 7:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)43
94.4%
29
5.6%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)40
93.1%
29
6.9%
Q2 - 7:41TORMISS Johnson 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot40
92.9%
29
7.1%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMagloire 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
92.3%
29
7.7%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
91.5%
29
8.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Pittman 3' Layup38
90.9%
29
9.1%
Q2 - 7:58MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
91.5%
29
8.5%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot38
90.9%
29
9.1%
Q2 - 8:23TORJohnson 2' Driving Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)38
91.4%
29
8.6%
Q2 - 8:37MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)38
92.2%
27
7.8%
Q2 - 9:13TORWright 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
90.3%
27
9.7%
Q2 - 9:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
91.1%
25
8.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
91.4%
25
8.6%
Q2 - 9:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
92.0%
25
8.0%
Q2 - 9:26TORMISS Bayless 2' Driving Layup35
91.7%
25
8.3%
Q2 - 9:44MIAHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)35
91.2%
25
8.8%
Q2 - 10:10TORBayless 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
90.0%
25
10.0%
Q2 - 10:27MIAHoward 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
90.8%
23
9.2%
Q2 - 10:49TORBayless 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)31
90.1%
23
9.9%
Q2 - 10:56MIAHoward 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)31
90.9%
21
9.1%
Q2 - 11:05MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
89.8%
21
10.2%
Q2 - 11:07TORMISS Davis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot29
89.5%
21
10.5%
Q2 - 11:16TORBayless Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)29
88.8%
21
11.2%
Q2 - 11:35TORRAPTORS Rebound29
89.7%
20
10.3%
Q2 - 11:35MIAAlabi BLOCK (2 BLK)29
90.0%
20
10.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
90.0%
20
10.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR29
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
89.7%
20
10.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAlabi BLOCK (1 BLK)29
90.0%
20
10.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0TORWright 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)29
90.3%
20
9.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)29
91.3%
18
8.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
90.4%
18
9.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORMISS DeRozan 12' Pullup Jump Shot27
90.2%
18
9.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)27
89.6%
18
10.4%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
87.4%
18
12.6%
Q1 - 1:28TORMISS Johnson 5' Running Bank Shot24
87.2%
18
12.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAHouse 8' Running Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)24
86.6%
18
13.4%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
85.2%
18
14.8%
Q1 - 1:46TORMISS Alabi 6' Jump Hook Shot22
84.9%
18
15.1%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHouse 23' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
84.1%
18
15.9%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
82.7%
18
17.3%
Q1 - 2:30TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 220
82.6%
18
17.4%
Q1 - 2:30TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
81.7%
18
18.3%
Q1 - 2:42MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)20
82.9%
17
17.1%
Q1 - 2:56MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
81.4%
17
18.6%
Q1 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 218
81.2%
17
18.8%
Q1 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 218
80.1%
17
19.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
80.3%
17
19.7%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
77.3%
17
22.7%
Q1 - 3:35TORMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot15
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q1 - 3:40TORBayless Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)15
75.6%
17
24.4%
Q1 - 3:56MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
77.2%
16
22.8%
Q1 - 3:56MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
76.9%
16
23.1%
Q1 - 4:11TORBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
76.1%
16
23.9%
Q1 - 4:11TORBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
76.3%
15
23.7%
Q1 - 4:14TORAlabi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
77.5%
14
22.5%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Ilgauskas 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
78.0%
14
22.0%
Q1 - 4:40TORDeRozan 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
79.2%
14
20.8%
Q1 - 5:03MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
80.2%
12
19.8%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 212
79.9%
12
20.1%
Q1 - 5:17TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
80.4%
12
19.6%
Q1 - 5:17TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
80.7%
11
19.3%
Q1 - 5:34MIAIlgauskas 7' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
81.5%
10
18.5%
Q1 - 5:58TORJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
80.4%
10
19.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)10
81.7%
8
18.3%
Q1 - 6:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
79.1%
8
20.9%
Q1 - 6:25TORMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot7
78.7%
8
21.3%
Q1 - 6:41MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)7
77.6%
8
22.4%
Q1 - 6:53TORAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
79.1%
8
20.9%
Q1 - 6:53TORAjinca Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)7
79.5%
7
20.5%
Q1 - 7:14MIAHouse 19' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)7
80.6%
6
19.4%
Q1 - 7:29TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 7:43MIAHouse 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
78.0%
6
22.0%
Q1 - 7:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
76.7%
6
23.3%
Q1 - 7:52TORMISS Dorsey 3' Driving Hook Shot3
76.2%
6
23.8%
Q1 - 8:09MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
75.8%
6
24.2%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 22
75.3%
6
24.7%
Q1 - 8:25TORAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
75.7%
6
24.3%
Q1 - 8:25TORMISS Ajinca Free Throw 1 of 22
76.1%
5
23.9%
Q1 - 8:37TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
75.7%
5
24.3%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot2
76.1%
5
23.9%
Q1 - 8:46TORDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
77.1%
5
22.9%
Q1 - 8:54TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
75.7%
5
24.3%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot2
76.1%
5
23.9%
Q1 - 9:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
77.8%
5
22.2%
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 22
77.6%
5
22.4%
Q1 - 9:13TORDorsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
76.9%
5
23.1%
Q1 - 9:20MIADorsey STEAL (1 STL)2
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 9:43TORDeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)2
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 9:56TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
80.3%
2
19.7%
Q1 - 9:57TORMISS DeRozan 2' Layup2
81.1%
2
18.9%
Q1 - 10:04MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)2
80.2%
2
19.8%
Q1 - 10:15TORBayless 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
81.5%
2
18.5%
Q1 - 10:28TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
82.4%
0
17.6%
Q1 - 10:30TORMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot2
83.3%
0
16.7%
Q1 - 10:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.4%
0
17.6%
Q1 - 10:35MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
82.8%
0
17.2%
Q1 - 10:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
83.6%
0
16.4%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Anthony 4' Jump Shot2
82.8%
0
17.2%
Q1 - 10:51MIAHeat Rebound2
83.6%
0
16.4%
Q1 - 10:53TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot2
83.3%
0
16.7%
Q1 - 11:13MIABibby 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
82.7%
0
17.3%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHeat Rebound0
81.6%
0
18.4%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
80.9%
0
19.1%
Q1 - 11:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
81.6%
0
18.4%
Q1 - 11:38TORMISS DeRozan 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
81.3%
0
18.7%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Dorsey vs. Anthony: Tip to Davis0
80.6%
0
19.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
TOR
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
15
47%
TOR
15
26
58%
Midrange
MIA
17
40
43%
TOR
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
TOR
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
Free Throws
MIA
10
14
71%
TOR
22
34
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. House3565%17.5 / 27
J. Howard1864%9.0 / 14
J. Jones1255%6.0 / 11
Z. Ilgauskas950%4.5 / 9
J. Magloire867%4.0 / 6
M. Bibby744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
D. Pittman250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Bayless2162%10.5 / 17
D. DeRozan1841%9.0 / 22
J. Johnson1246%6.0 / 13
A. Ajinca867%4.0 / 6
E. Davis744%3.5 / 8
J. Dorsey758%3.5 / 6
J. Wright660%3.0 / 5
S. Alabi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+18
-14
89
TOR
69
+13
-17
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
TOR
0.95 47.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
105.9
MIA 114.1
TOR 91.9 +22.3
Pace
91.3
93.1
MIA 81.1
TOR 90.3 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.1
MIA 17.8
TOR 15.9 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.1%
MIA 53.7% +9.2%
TOR 44.5%
TO %
14.4%
15.0%
MIA 14.7% +3.0%
TOR 17.7%
ORB %
25.2%
28.3%
MIA 36.1% +9.1%
TOR 27.0%
FTrt
36.3
29.3
MIA 17.3
TOR 53.1 +35.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.1%
MIA 54.1%
TOR 57.1% +3.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.6%
MIA 7.1%
TOR 9.3% +2.2%
BLK %
8.5%
6.7%
MIA 1.8%
TOR 14.5% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.1%
MIA 54.5% +6.9%
TOR 47.6%
Rim FG%
64.7%
58.9%
MIA 46.7%
TOR 57.7% +11.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
41.2%
MIA 42.5% +2.5%
TOR 40.0%
3P %
37.0%
31.6%
MIA 50.0% +37.5%
TOR 12.5%
FT %
76.9%
75.5%
MIA 71.4% +6.7%
TOR 64.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
39.1%
MIA 18.5%
TOR 40.6% +22.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.7%
MIA 49.4%
TOR 46.9% +2.5%
3P Att. %
23.5%
16.2%
MIA 32.1% +19.6%
TOR 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9779
Rebounds4033
Assists2016
Steals68
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)23 (4)
Field Goals37-8128-64
At-the-Rim FG7-1515-26
Midrange FG17-4012-30
2-Point FG24-5527-56
3-Point FG13-261-8
Free Throws10-1422-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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4 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
45.0
35
65%
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
7-14
50%
7-13
54%
James Jones
F · 6'8" 218 · 31
35.5
12
55%
4
2
1
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
0%
4-6
67%
Joel Anthony
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
21.2
1
10%
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
20.2
9
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
3
1
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
16.0
7
44%
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
32.1
18
64%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
32.0
5
42%
2
13
2
1
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
29.0
8
67%
19
0
2
0
1
4
5
14
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23
9.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
Dwyane Wade
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Udonis Haslem
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mike Miller
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
40
20
6
1
14
0
13
27
10-14
71%
24-55
44%
13-26
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.