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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Heat75%10197
25Raptors25%9279
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
45.0
5.3
35
65%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
7-14
0-1
50%
45%
7-13
54%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
35.5
20.8
12
55%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
43%
4-6
67%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.7
21.2
25.1
1
10%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.9
20.2
15.3
9
51%
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
16.0
29.2
7
44%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.2
32.1
7.1
18
65%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
7-12
1-2
58%
49%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
32.0
18.0
5
42%
2
13
2
1
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.9
29.0
3.4
8
69%
19
0
2
0
0
1
5
14
2-4
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
9.0
3.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.3
37.1
2
9-15
57%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.1
31.4
1
6-11
53%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
11.1
0
1-1
61%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
41.9
31.6
12
46%
6
6
0
1
1
1
3
3
4-7
57%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
41.7
36.3
21
60%
3
4
0
1
1
5
0
3
9-10
90%
6-11
4-10
55%
44%
0-2
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.7
41.3
36.2
18
41%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
2-5
40%
8-18
7-15
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
36.4
33.3
7
44%
8
1
2
1
1
4
4
4
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
55%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.3
32.1
16.1
7
61%
7
2
4
1
1
2
2
5
1-4
25%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.9
18.2
20.0
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.9
15.5
16.2
8
71%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
5-6
83%
0-0
3-5
-
49%
1-3
33%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.1
13.1
4.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.9
21.1
1
1-3
44%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
9.8
0
2-3
51%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.4
9.5
0
2-3
49%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
8.5
0
1-2
56%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.