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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons34%96104
1776ers66%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.0
43.0
34.6
29
73%
4
8
2
1
0
4
0
4
10-11
91%
8-12
5-12
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.9
31.6
29.4
10
40%
13
3
1
1
0
1
0
13
4-6
67%
3-10
4-8
30%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.2
27.6
25.0
9
59%
4
7
0
1
2
1
0
4
5-6
83%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.1
22.7
25.4
14
78%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-9
80%
47%
2-4
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
10.7
20.4
6
100%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.9
31.2
23.7
6
28%
7
5
1
1
2
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
25.3
21.6
10
63%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
25.3
3.5
10
51%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
22.6
23.7
10
57%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-4
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.6
18.1
0
2-5
48%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.9
9.9
0
1-3
44%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
9.6
0
1-3
46%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.6
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.1
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
32.6
35.9
21
82%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-4
5-10
100%
50%
3-7
43%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
32.1
34.7
8
31%
8
2
0
1
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-13
6-12
31%
53%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.4
30.6
18.8
18
65%
4
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.0
27.6
24.8
6
33%
5
1
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
27.5
30.3
6
30%
5
1
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
35.3
23.3
18
65%
6
7
2
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
49%
2-2
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
17.8
7.2
8
41%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
3-8
1-3
38%
53%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
17.4
28.1
13
59%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
7-12
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.2
10.3
2.2
2
25%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 36.1
8.7
9.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.2
2.9
0
0-1
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.2
2.9
0
0-1
52%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.