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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards43%9893
28Cavaliers57%100100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.5
30.3
35.4
4
14%
2
6
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-11
6-13
18%
47%
0-3
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.6
24.0
35.4
10
73%
5
4
4
2
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
6-13
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
24.0
29.8
20
59%
7
4
2
1
0
5
3
4
6-9
67%
7-12
7-14
58%
48%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
24.0
23.4
15
107%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
3-3
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
19.1
26.3
10
71%
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
5-8
71%
55%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
25.3
21.8
7
35%
7
2
1
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.5
24.0
20.3
10
46%
12
0
0
1
1
0
4
8
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.3
24.0
19.7
3
25%
2
4
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.3
18.4
16.5
6
60%
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
16.4
4.8
8
31%
2
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
4-12
1-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.2
10.4
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
8.0
0
1-3
48%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.0
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
35.8
24.8
12
92%
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
8-8
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.6
32.9
29.8
15
56%
13
3
1
1
0
3
6
7
1-3
33%
7-12
7-13
58%
50%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
32.8
22.7
27
74%
4
3
0
1
0
5
1
3
11-12
92%
8-12
5-9
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
26.9
28.2
6
33%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.8
24.0
15.1
5
36%
2
4
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
27.3
25.2
10
30%
1
3
1
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
44%
0-7
0%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
17.3
18.9
9
56%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
16.9
15.8
4
25%
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
0-0
-
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
16.2
14.1
6
61%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
10.0
5.7
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
52%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.0
23.5
1
3-6
47%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
16.2
0
2-3
54%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.8
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.3
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.