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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 13, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Knicks36%93102
16Celtics64%98112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.1
31.1
26.7
8
47%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
29.7
24.6
16
60%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
2-5
40%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
23.8
19.3
12
69%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
1-3
33%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
20.4
35.1
14
43%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
2-3
67%
6-15
8-16
40%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 28.2
11.6
19.2
8
80%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
54%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.6
31.1
4.8
8
42%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
1-5
20%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
24.3
25.5
9
43%
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.6
21.8
9.2
7
50%
7
2
3
0
1
5
6
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 35.8
20.3
15.6
9
92%
1
6
1
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 29.4
15.9
19.7
5
43%
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
10.0
9.2
6
61%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
5.9
0
1-1
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 34.5
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.4
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.7
36.2
17.5
14
54%
6
5
1
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
2-6
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
34.4
26.0
14
50%
8
3
1
1
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.7
29.5
11.5
6
51%
3
4
1
0
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.3
26.9
28.9
17
57%
8
3
1
1
0
0
1
7
1-2
50%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
24.6
16.8
13
67%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
3-4
75%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.4
35.0
5.3
19
84%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
3-5
0-1
60%
44%
4-5
80%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.4
26.8
4.6
20
63%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
10-14
1-2
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
26.8
8.5
9
75%
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.1
34.4
2
5-10
53%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.5
24.7
1
3-6
54%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
20.2
0
3-6
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.7
18.5
1
2-4
51%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.1
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.