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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 12, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Spurs26%9493
1Lakers74%102102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.3
27.9
13.1
8
35%
8
1
1
0
0
1
6
2
2-3
67%
3-10
2-3
30%
52%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
27.1
28.3
11
46%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
7-7
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
26.0
21.7
16
58%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
48%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.0
25.7
20.6
12
55%
11
0
2
1
0
1
5
6
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
22.9
29.2
10
43%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
1-6
2-3
17%
50%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
23.5
21.7
13
111%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
3-3
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
22.5
6.9
5
28%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
46%
1-4
25%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
22.0
13.3
2
14%
3
9
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
21.9
5.9
10
73%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
20.5
6.0
6
30%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
0-5
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
29.2
1
6-11
51%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
22.6
1
3-6
48%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.8
40.7
30.7
17
62%
17
5
0
0
1
0
3
14
3-4
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.6
36.6
30.8
27
54%
6
4
0
1
0
4
2
4
9-9
100%
6-15
7-14
40%
49%
2-6
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.7
35.6
28.0
13
55%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
42%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.4
29.7
29.7
7
75%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
1-1
3-6
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.5
13.1
34.0
4
67%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
5-8
67%
57%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.4
36.2
26.4
23
57%
7
4
0
1
0
1
0
7
4-5
80%
8-12
4-7
67%
54%
1-6
17%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.4
25.6
17.1
9
41%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.0
16.5
4.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.7
4.5
2.0
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 38.0
1.5
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.1
18.2
0
1-2
41%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 31.1
15.6
0
1-3
55%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.9
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.