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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 10, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Suns32%9990
9Mavericks68%105115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
28.1
29.3
15
50%
9
0
1
1
0
0
4
5
3-7
43%
6-10
5-9
60%
55%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
27.9
30.7
11
46%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
0-3
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.5
25.4
26.8
7
25%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-4
25%
3-10
3-7
30%
49%
0-2
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.2
25.1
17.2
6
43%
2
9
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
23.6
30.5
6
38%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.8
29.0
17.1
8
58%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
22.9
23.3
9
44%
1
4
1
1
0
3
1
0
2-3
67%
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.8
19.1
17.0
11
55%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
5-7
71%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
18.0
22.5
7
60%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.5
12.0
4.8
6
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
5.0
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.6
3.9
12.3
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.0
28.5
28.0
7
50%
2
7
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
27.9
28.5
18
45%
11
2
1
1
1
2
6
5
0-0
-
9-20
6-11
45%
55%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
27.7
33.9
19
72%
7
3
1
1
1
2
0
7
5-5
100%
7-11
7-14
64%
53%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.5
18.9
20.3
4
67%
12
0
0
0
0
1
4
8
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
63%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
11.8
21.1
5
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.4
29.1
20.2
5
44%
11
0
1
0
1
1
4
7
3-6
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
26.6
28.1
15
66%
1
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
25.2
20.5
17
72%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
3-7
43%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.8
20.6
15.6
17
61%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
3-8
38%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.1
10.7
20.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
9.1
5.3
3
150%
1
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.0
3.9
10.7
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.4
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.