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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 10, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets37%9189
10Grizzlies63%96111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
34.7
36.1
11
50%
4
4
2
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
28.6
35.0
0
0%
3
10
2
2
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-5
5-10
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
28.5
29.0
7
48%
7
0
2
1
0
2
5
2
1-3
33%
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
27.9
19.3
18
70%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
4-9
44%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.6
19.7
30.9
11
59%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
19.9
21.9
11
56%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
19.8
22.6
10
54%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
5-5
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
18.9
14.4
8
67%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
15.4
11.8
2
17%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
54%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
13.3
8.2
3
39%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
7.4
2.8
5
64%
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Patrick Ewing
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
6.0
2.3
3
32%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.4
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.2
28.6
31.7
16
83%
7
2
1
1
3
3
1
6
6-6
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
25.5
36.1
2
20%
3
3
3
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
5-10
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.7
25.0
36.1
14
69%
5
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-5
80%
5-8
7-14
63%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 29.2
21.8
32.7
4
50%
3
1
2
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
5-10
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
21.8
24.8
14
73%
6
2
0
1
0
3
0
6
4-6
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
26.3
16.3
18
65%
1
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 24.2
22.5
8.2
13
103%
1
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
3-3
1-1
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
21.0
21.0
5
83%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 25.9
19.4
4.5
9
80%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
5-6
83%
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
15.6
14.8
8
57%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.2
7.4
5.5
4
32%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-3
0%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.8
5.3
3.9
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.1
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.