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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Jazz19%93102
3Spurs81%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
40.1
19.8
13
45%
1
9
3
1
0
2
0
1
6-8
75%
2-8
2-5
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.3
36.6
33.9
23
65%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
3-6
50%
10-15
8-16
67%
49%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.0
33.4
32.6
9
64%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.2
23.1
35.8
16
64%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
6-9
7-13
67%
52%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
17.1
26.5
2
20%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.7
29.1
21.4
17
63%
5
2
1
0
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.8
28.9
30.5
9
64%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.5
21.0
13.0
8
67%
5
3
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 25.1
10.6
12.4
5
51%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
6.5
0
1-1
40%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.3
5.9
0
1-1
48%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.1
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.9
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.8
34.9
26.1
20
85%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
4-7
57%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.9
29.3
29.7
13
67%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-8
7-12
63%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.7
27.4
28.2
12
77%
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.0
24.4
18.0
12
56%
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-4
0%
6-9
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.0
22.4
26.4
10
51%
3
4
0
1
4
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.9
30.7
27.4
9
61%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
24.8
19.8
12
76%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.0
22.1
21.4
7
39%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
1-6
17%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.3
18.9
8.0
13
67%
8
0
1
0
1
1
5
3
3-6
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
5.2
5.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 22.0
9.7
0
1-1
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
8.7
0
1-1
53%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.6
Da'Sean Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.2
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.