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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 9, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks61%9983
30Wizards39%95115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 24.8
29.4
25.7
8
51%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
28.1
34.0
21
68%
10
2
1
1
2
5
3
7
1-1
100%
10-15
6-11
67%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.8
27.3
32.4
16
53%
7
3
0
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-11
6-11
45%
50%
2-4
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
27.0
28.2
3
30%
0
4
2
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.2
14.1
24.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.1
27.4
27.4
13
60%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 22.8
26.4
18.0
7
30%
1
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-10
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
18.4
9.7
4
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 31.2
15.7
11.7
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 26.4
14.6
8.2
2
25%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
0-0
-
Pape Sy
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
8.7
3.7
7
66%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 33.0
2.9
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 25.3
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.6
32.0
34.8
19
58%
5
7
2
2
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
8-14
5-12
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
27.3
35.6
23
65%
7
1
2
1
1
4
2
5
5-6
83%
9-15
8-16
60%
48%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
27.1
26.7
12
52%
7
0
0
1
2
0
3
4
2-6
33%
5-9
4-8
56%
55%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.5
27.0
37.6
6
33%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
6-14
33%
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
25.7
27.0
10
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-5
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
29.9
20.0
13
67%
11
2
3
1
0
0
2
9
5-6
83%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-0
-
Larry Owens
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.2
22.3
19.9
10
63%
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.3
20.9
13.0
4
67%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
20.7
16.9
15
48%
9
1
0
0
0
0
6
3
5-6
83%
5-13
2-5
38%
44%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
7.0
5.4
3
52%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.9
8.2
0
1-3
47%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.2
2.4
0
0-0
51%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.4
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.7
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.