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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Clippers28%9596
11Mavericks72%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.3
43.0
30.2
29
73%
5
6
2
1
0
7
1
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
5-9
56%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
42.0
35.3
11
41%
2
6
4
1
0
5
0
2
3-3
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
0-3
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.1
40.5
35.9
23
54%
9
6
2
1
1
2
3
6
1-5
20%
11-19
8-15
58%
50%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
26.0
20.6
9
77%
10
0
1
0
4
2
4
6
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
64%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.8
18.2
17.2
4
33%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.4
26.5
10.9
9
68%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.5
23.3
23.8
5
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
15.5
14.2
4
40%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
3.0
3.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.3
2.0
17.0
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.9
29.5
0
6-12
48%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
2.9
0
0-1
52%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 32.8
37.6
32.7
20
63%
8
7
1
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
10-16
7-13
63%
53%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
30.2
28.4
13
55%
10
4
2
1
1
2
4
6
3-4
75%
5-10
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 25.1
30.0
13.8
20
56%
6
4
4
1
1
4
5
1
4-4
100%
8-15
1-3
53%
46%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.1
25.3
18.3
0
0%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
0-6
3-5
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 28.5
21.7
19.3
15
83%
7
0
0
0
2
0
1
6
3-7
43%
6-6
3-4
100%
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.8
33.1
25.4
15
48%
4
5
1
1
0
6
3
1
6-6
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
1-5
20%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 31.4
18.4
21.8
7
49%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-5
20%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.0
12.1
9.1
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 33.8
11.9
18.1
10
71%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 24.4
7.9
13.9
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
7.9
28.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
51%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
4.0
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.5
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 38.0
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.