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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 8, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Suns40%9797
15Hornets60%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
39.5
26.7
18
77%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
2-2
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
33.0
30.1
9
45%
7
2
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.5
32.5
24.3
15
69%
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
30.0
20.3
9
45%
2
9
1
0
0
2
1
1
5-7
71%
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
28.7
30.5
17
76%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
5-5
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
26.1
21.1
14
53%
3
1
3
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.6
18.0
8.6
9
56%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.8
10.0
20.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.8
9.9
21.0
4
45%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
6.8
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.5
5.6
3.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.2
23.4
0
3-5
52%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
40.9
35.0
21
59%
8
4
3
2
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
8-13
4-7
62%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
35.8
36.0
7
44%
5
12
2
2
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
6-11
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.6
32.6
31.5
17
81%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-1
100%
8-10
6-11
80%
53%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
29.0
30.3
10
45%
5
1
1
1
2
1
2
3
4-7
57%
3-8
4-7
38%
57%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
17.4
20.9
9
41%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
30.6
15.6
31
87%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-11
2-4
64%
50%
5-6
83%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
18.6
26.5
8
52%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
17.3
12.4
6
75%
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.1
8.4
7.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
8.4
14.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Ewing
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.9
1.0
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.3
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.4
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.