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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 7, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Trail Blazers67%9898
23Jazz33%9287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
43.5
35.1
29
72%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
5-5
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
4-6
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
42.6
37.0
12
32%
11
1
0
1
0
0
5
6
0-0
-
6-19
8-16
32%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.0
36.3
29.5
5
24%
5
12
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
1-8
4-9
13%
49%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.3
34.6
29.9
21
78%
3
0
2
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
55%
2-3
67%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.5
32.3
27.6
18
86%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
8-8
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.7
21.0
19.2
11
62%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 26.0
13.8
22.6
0
0%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 25.7
9.9
6.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
6.0
6.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.0
17.3
1
1-3
46%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
3.3
0
1-1
48%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.8
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 26.2
37.6
35.9
19
53%
10
1
2
1
0
3
6
4
4-7
57%
6-14
7-13
43%
54%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 26.3
37.2
33.4
10
46%
14
5
0
1
3
0
5
9
2-2
100%
4-10
8-16
40%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.1
36.1
6.6
26
75%
2
5
0
0
1
7
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
5-9
56%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 21.0
35.8
32.0
10
59%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
8-8
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-3
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
27.9
25.8
6
27%
0
3
0
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-4
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.8
29.8
32.5
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.7
20.2
22.8
8
57%
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.5
7.8
16.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 25.1
7.6
15.5
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 24.3
7.6
0
1-2
51%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
7.1
0
1-1
42%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35.1
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.5
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.9
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.