FinalWin Prob.pScore
839%99
104
1061%103
96
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
111.89397.5
DAL logo DAL
104.39288.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN104
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALBeaubois 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)104
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENFelton Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)104
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)103
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)100
99.0%
94
1.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)100
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 1:17DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)100
97.6%
94
2.4%
Q4 - 1:18DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot100
97.1%
94
2.9%
Q4 - 1:38DENMartin 1' Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)100
93.9%
94
6.1%
Q4 - 1:56DALBarea Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)98
89.6%
94
10.4%
Q4 - 2:04DENSmith 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS)98
82.9%
94
17.1%
Q4 - 2:10DENNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)96
77.6%
94
22.4%
Q4 - 2:13DENHaywood BLOCK (5 BLK)96
68.5%
94
31.5%
Q4 - 2:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)96
78.0%
94
22.0%
Q4 - 2:27DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
74.2%
94
25.8%
Q4 - 2:37DENSmith 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)96
63.8%
94
36.2%
Q4 - 2:51DALBeaubois Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)94
54.1%
94
45.9%
Q4 - 2:51DALBeaubois Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)94
56.0%
93
44.0%
Q4 - 2:52DENBeaubois STEAL (1 STL)94
62.2%
92
37.8%
Q4 - 3:14DALMarion 2' Driving Jump Shot (21 PTS)94
75.3%
92
24.7%
Q4 - 3:26DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)94
80.8%
90
19.2%
Q4 - 3:27DENMISS Nene 2' Layup94
83.6%
90
16.4%
Q4 - 3:56DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)94
82.9%
90
17.1%
Q4 - 4:09DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
91.2%
87
8.8%
Q4 - 4:12DENNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)94
92.2%
87
7.8%
Q4 - 4:14DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)94
94.0%
87
6.0%
Q4 - 4:16DALMISS Beaubois 9' Driving Jump Shot94
93.3%
87
6.7%
Q4 - 4:40DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)94
91.4%
87
8.6%
Q4 - 4:41DENMISS Lawson 3PT Jump Shot94
92.4%
87
7.6%
Q4 - 4:54DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)94
94.2%
87
5.8%
Q4 - 4:54DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
94.5%
86
5.5%
Q4 - 4:58DENTerry STEAL (3 STL)94
95.9%
85
4.1%
Q4 - 5:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
95.4%
85
4.6%
Q4 - 5:15DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 294
95.1%
85
4.9%
Q4 - 5:15DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 294
94.4%
85
5.6%
Q4 - 5:15DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)94
93.5%
85
6.5%
Q4 - 5:16DALMISS Brewer 2' Layup94
94.9%
85
5.1%
Q4 - 5:31DENFelton 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)94
93.6%
85
6.4%
Q4 - 5:37DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
88.4%
85
11.6%
Q4 - 5:38DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
85.5%
85
14.5%
Q4 - 5:46DALBarea Foul Turnover (P3.T15)91
88.4%
85
11.6%
Q4 - 5:54DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)91
84.2%
85
15.8%
Q4 - 5:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
73.4%
85
26.6%
Q4 - 5:59DENHaywood BLOCK (4 BLK)88
68.2%
85
31.8%
Q4 - 6:15DALBarea 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)88
70.1%
85
29.9%
Q4 - 6:33DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)88
75.8%
83
24.2%
Q4 - 6:33DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)87
74.6%
83
25.4%
Q4 - 6:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)86
70.3%
83
29.7%
Q4 - 6:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
70.8%
82
29.2%
Q4 - 6:58DENFelton 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)86
75.9%
81
24.1%
Q4 - 7:14DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)84
67.8%
81
32.2%
Q4 - 7:30DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)84
73.2%
79
26.8%
Q4 - 7:46DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barea 10 AST)81
61.5%
79
38.5%
Q4 - 8:14DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)81
65.7%
77
34.3%
Q4 - 8:19DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
59.5%
77
40.5%
Q4 - 8:20DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot79
55.2%
77
44.8%
Q4 - 8:43DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
59.6%
77
40.4%
Q4 - 8:43DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot79
57.7%
77
42.3%
Q4 - 8:58DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)79
53.4%
77
46.6%
Q4 - 9:24DALNowitzki 10' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barea 9 AST)76
40.4%
77
59.6%
Q4 - 9:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
46.4%
75
53.6%
Q4 - 9:44DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
48.2%
75
51.8%
Q4 - 10:08DALBarea 2' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
51.4%
75
48.6%
Q4 - 10:30DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)76
57.1%
73
42.9%
Q4 - 10:52DALStojakovic 9' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
51.5%
73
48.5%
Q4 - 11:18DENMartin Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)74
56.0%
71
44.0%
Q4 - 11:31DALMarion 6' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)72
50.7%
71
49.3%
Q4 - 11:51DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q4 - 11:52DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup72
57.7%
69
42.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL72
61.3%
69
38.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
56.1%
69
43.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 32' 3PT Jump Shot72
59.7%
69
40.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
55.3%
69
44.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot72
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENNuggets Rebound72
59.9%
69
40.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)72
56.7%
69
43.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
59.9%
69
40.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
58.6%
69
41.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALMISS Barea 2' Layup72
58.6%
69
41.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENMahinmi STEAL (1 STL)72
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENMartin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
60.0%
69
40.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENMISS Martin 2' Layup72
56.8%
69
43.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0DALBarea 11' Turnaround Bank Shot (8 PTS)72
60.0%
69
40.0%
Q3 - 1:10DENHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)72
64.0%
67
36.0%
Q3 - 1:28DALMarion 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)69
54.1%
67
45.9%
Q3 - 1:29DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
59.4%
65
40.6%
Q3 - 1:30DALMISS Barea 9' Jump Shot69
62.3%
65
37.7%
Q3 - 1:43DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T10)69
59.4%
65
40.6%
Q3 - 2:00DALMarion 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
63.7%
65
36.3%
Q3 - 2:10DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
66.6%
63
33.4%
Q3 - 2:10DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
65.6%
63
34.4%
Q3 - 2:27DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
62.3%
63
37.7%
Q3 - 2:27DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
63.0%
62
37.0%
Q3 - 2:41DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
66.7%
61
33.3%
Q3 - 2:50DENFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
62.3%
61
37.7%
Q3 - 2:51DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
61.0%
61
39.0%
Q3 - 3:05DENFelton Foul Turnover (P4.T9)65
56.7%
61
43.3%
Q3 - 3:22DALMarion 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Barea 8 AST)65
61.3%
61
38.7%
Q3 - 3:32DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)65
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Gallinari 16' Jump Shot65
66.6%
59
33.4%
Q3 - 3:50DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
69.5%
59
30.5%
Q3 - 3:52DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
68.3%
59
31.7%
Q3 - 3:57DENBarea STEAL (1 STL)65
65.4%
59
34.6%
Q3 - 4:06DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)65
68.8%
59
31.2%
Q3 - 4:11DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)65
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 4:12DALMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
77.8%
56
22.2%
Q3 - 4:33DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)65
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 4:33DENMISS Martin 11' Jump Hook Shot65
76.4%
56
23.6%
Q3 - 4:46DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)65
78.9%
56
21.1%
Q3 - 5:17DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
73.8%
56
26.2%
Q3 - 5:17DENMartin 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)65
73.8%
56
26.2%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Felton 9' Driving Jump Shot63
68.0%
56
32.0%
Q3 - 5:38DALBrewer 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barea 7 AST)63
70.9%
56
29.1%
Q3 - 5:55DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)63
73.9%
54
26.1%
Q3 - 5:56DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot63
75.0%
54
25.0%
Q3 - 6:12DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)63
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q3 - 6:27DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)63
78.4%
52
21.6%
Q3 - 6:29DENHaywood BLOCK (3 BLK)63
79.3%
52
20.7%
Q3 - 6:51DALNowitzki 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)63
81.3%
52
18.7%
Q3 - 7:07DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)63
81.8%
50
18.2%
Q3 - 7:08DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot63
82.5%
50
17.5%
Q3 - 7:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)63
84.2%
50
15.8%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 263
83.9%
50
16.1%
Q3 - 7:28DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 263
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 7:37DALBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
81.9%
50
18.1%
Q3 - 7:38DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot63
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q3 - 7:52DALBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
84.2%
50
15.8%
Q3 - 7:52DALBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
84.8%
49
15.2%
Q3 - 7:56DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)63
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 7:57DALMISS Barea 4' Running Bank Shot63
87.4%
48
12.6%
Q3 - 8:13DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)63
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 8:15DENMISS Gallinari 2' Slam Dunk63
85.9%
48
14.1%
Q3 - 8:19DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
87.2%
48
12.8%
Q3 - 8:20DALMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
86.7%
48
13.3%
Q3 - 8:38DENMartin 1' Running Slam Dunk (10 PTS)63
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 8:43DALBeaubois Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)61
83.5%
48
16.5%
Q3 - 8:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
81.1%
48
18.9%
Q3 - 8:54DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
81.9%
48
18.1%
Q3 - 9:10DALStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)61
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 9:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 9:30DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 261
86.6%
45
13.4%
Q3 - 9:30DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
87.6%
45
12.4%
Q3 - 9:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q3 - 9:42DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot60
85.9%
45
14.1%
Q3 - 9:53DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)60
84.6%
45
15.4%
Q3 - 9:57DALBeaubois Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)57
80.4%
45
19.6%
Q3 - 10:16DENGallinari 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)57
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q3 - 10:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
74.1%
45
25.9%
Q3 - 10:23DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot55
73.3%
45
26.7%
Q3 - 10:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
71.2%
45
28.8%
Q3 - 10:35DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
72.1%
45
27.9%
Q3 - 10:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
74.2%
45
25.8%
Q3 - 10:42DENMISS Nene 1' Driving Layup55
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q3 - 11:03DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beaubois 1 AST)55
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q3 - 11:20DENChandler 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
75.6%
43
24.4%
Q3 - 11:42DALHaywood 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)53
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound53
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Felton 40' 3PT Running Jump Shot53
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
71.6%
43
28.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Marion Free Throw 1 of 253
72.1%
42
27.9%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENTerry STEAL (2 STL)53
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALMarion 1' Putback Slam Dunk (10 PTS)53
74.3%
42
25.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot53
78.5%
40
21.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)53
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot53
78.6%
40
21.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)53
77.9%
40
22.1%
Q2 - 1:03DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 1:04DALMISS Marion 5' Turnaround Hook Shot53
77.8%
40
22.2%
Q2 - 1:19DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
76.6%
40
23.4%
Q2 - 1:20DENMISS Gallinari Driving Finger Roll Layup53
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 1:25DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)53
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 1:46DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)53
76.7%
40
23.3%
Q2 - 2:03DALMarion Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Barea 6 AST)51
73.0%
40
27.0%
Q2 - 2:24DENChandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)51
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q2 - 2:46DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)48
70.5%
38
29.5%
Q2 - 3:06DENNene 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)48
74.4%
35
25.6%
Q2 - 3:27DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 3:28DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Jump Shot46
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 3:50DENSmith 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
69.5%
35
30.5%
Q2 - 4:07DALBeaubois 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
66.1%
35
33.9%
Q2 - 4:20DENHarrington 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)44
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 4:40DALNowitzki 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
66.2%
33
33.8%
Q2 - 4:52DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)42
68.6%
31
31.4%
Q2 - 4:53DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot42
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 5:00DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)42
71.4%
31
28.6%
Q2 - 5:02DALMISS Brewer 2' Driving Jump Shot42
69.7%
31
30.3%
Q2 - 5:09DENChandler 8' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
68.0%
31
32.0%
Q2 - 5:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
64.6%
31
35.4%
Q2 - 5:44DALMAVERICKS Rebound40
62.7%
31
37.3%
Q2 - 5:44DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot40
63.5%
31
36.5%
Q2 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
65.4%
31
34.6%
Q2 - 5:58DALMISS Beaubois 2' Layup40
64.6%
31
35.4%
Q2 - 6:05DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
61.4%
31
38.6%
Q2 - 6:05DENSmith 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)40
61.4%
31
38.6%
Q2 - 6:07DENMISS Nene 1' Driving Layup38
56.9%
31
43.1%
Q2 - 6:29DALBeaubois Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)38
59.2%
31
40.8%
Q2 - 6:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
56.0%
31
44.0%
Q2 - 6:36DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q2 - 6:55DALBrewer 1' Running Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)38
59.3%
31
40.7%
Q2 - 6:59DENBrewer STEAL (3 STL)38
61.6%
29
38.4%
Q2 - 7:02DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q2 - 7:03DENMISS Harrington 19' Step Back Jump Shot38
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 7:20DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)38
63.6%
29
36.4%
Q2 - 7:30DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)38
60.9%
29
39.1%
Q2 - 7:44DALMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 7:44DALMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 235
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 7:54DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
55.5%
28
44.5%
Q2 - 7:55DENMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 8:11DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)35
57.5%
28
42.5%
Q2 - 8:27DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)35
60.1%
26
39.9%
Q2 - 8:47DALBrewer 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)32
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q2 - 8:57DENSmith 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS)32
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q2 - 9:02DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)30
54.1%
24
45.9%
Q2 - 9:11DENGallinari 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)30
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q2 - 9:37DALBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)30
54.2%
24
45.8%
Q2 - 9:49DENHarrington 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q2 - 10:10DALBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q2 - 10:17DENBrewer STEAL (2 STL)28
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q2 - 10:29DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q2 - 10:47DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
58.6%
19
41.4%
Q2 - 10:56DALBarea 9' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
53.8%
19
46.2%
Q2 - 11:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
55.7%
17
44.3%
Q2 - 11:10DENMartin 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)25
55.7%
17
44.3%
Q2 - 11:12DENMISS Smith 7' Driving Hook Shot23
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q2 - 11:36DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q2 - 11:37DALMISS Brewer 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup23
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN23
50.8%
17
49.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound23
53.4%
17
46.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 29' 3PT Jump Shot23
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
52.3%
17
47.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0DENBrewer STEAL (1 STL)23
50.4%
17
49.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0DALBrewer 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 3 AST)23
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMartin 6' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)23
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 1:09DALStojakovic 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)21
51.7%
15
48.3%
Q1 - 1:15DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 1:16DALMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 1:29DENFelton Foul Turnover (P1.T2)21
54.7%
13
45.3%
Q1 - 1:36DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
56.5%
13
43.5%
Q1 - 1:37DALMISS Barea 20' Jump Shot21
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 2:01DENFelton 22' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 2:08DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 2:09DALMISS Mahinmi 10' Jump Shot19
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 2:23DALStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 2:24DENMISS Harrington 17' Floating Jump Shot19
50.3%
13
49.7%
Q1 - 2:38DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 2:39DALMISS Marion 4' Jump Hook Shot19
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 2:47DENTerry STEAL (1 STL)19
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 2:55DENFelton Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)19
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 3:08DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 3:09DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 218
48.9%
13
51.1%
Q1 - 3:09DALHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 3:20DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)18
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 3:22DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 3:24DENHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)15
43.1%
12
56.9%
Q1 - 3:37DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 3:38DALMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 3:54DENMartin 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)15
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 4:07DALTerry 7' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)13
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 4:17DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)13
41.8%
10
58.2%
Q1 - 4:18DENMISS Felton 19' Jump Shot13
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 4:24DENNuggets Rebound13
44.2%
10
55.8%
Q1 - 4:24DENStojakovic BLOCK (1 BLK)13
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 4:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
44.2%
10
55.8%
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Barea 3' Driving Bank Hook Shot13
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 4:46DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)13
41.8%
10
58.2%
Q1 - 4:47DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.5%
10
57.5%
Q1 - 4:57DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
44.2%
10
55.8%
Q1 - 4:58DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
43.5%
10
56.5%
Q1 - 5:15DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)13
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 5:20DALBarea Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 5:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
37.3%
10
62.7%
Q1 - 5:32DENMISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot11
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 5:51DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)11
39.6%
10
60.4%
Q1 - 6:06DENChandler 15' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)11
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 6:13DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 6:14DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot9
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 6:37DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
37.2%
8
62.8%
Q1 - 6:38DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 29
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 6:38DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 6:40DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
37.3%
8
62.7%
Q1 - 6:44DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 6:45DALMISS Beaubois 3' Driving Layup8
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 6:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 6:52DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)8
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 7:12DALBeaubois Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)8
37.1%
8
62.9%
Q1 - 7:20DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)8
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 7:21DALMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot8
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 7:30DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 7:30DALMISS Beaubois 15' Pullup Jump Shot8
36.5%
8
63.5%
Q1 - 7:40DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 7:41DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
35.7%
8
64.3%
Q1 - 8:05DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haywood 2 AST)8
36.9%
8
63.1%
Q1 - 8:09DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:10DALMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot8
40.1%
6
59.9%
Q1 - 8:32DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:32DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 27
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 8:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 8:43DALMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 8:47DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
36.9%
6
63.1%
Q1 - 8:48DALMISS Beaubois 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 9:04DENMartin 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 9:22DALMarion 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)5
35.2%
6
64.8%
Q1 - 9:40DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:40DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 24
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:44DALStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 9:50DALBeaubois REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:52DENMISS Chandler 19' Pullup Jump Shot4
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:58DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 9:59DALMISS Haywood 6' Jump Shot4
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 10:20DENNene 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)4
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:37DALMarion 14' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)2
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:54DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.0%
2
65.0%
Q1 - 10:54DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 11:13DALMarion 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:23DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:24DALMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot2
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:46DENNene Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:47DENMISS Chandler 13' Driving Jump Shot0
35.4%
0
64.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Haywood vs. Nene: Tip to Lawson0
36.4%
0
63.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
17
30
57%
DAL
13
23
57%
Midrange
DEN
16
33
48%
DAL
21
35
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
DAL
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
Free Throws
DEN
14
18
78%
DAL
13
20
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2377%11.5 / 15
K. Martin1860%9.0 / 15
W. Chandler1662%8.0 / 13
D. Gallinari1056%5.0 / 9
A. Harrington1056%5.0 / 9
Nene945%4.5 / 10
T. Lawson935%4.5 / 13
R. Felton956%4.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marion2170%10.5 / 15
D. Nowitzki2059%10.0 / 17
J. Terry1568%7.5 / 11
C. Brewer1365%6.5 / 10
J. Barea1246%6.0 / 13
P. Stojakovic750%3.5 / 7
R. Beaubois638%3.0 / 8
B. Haywood113%0.5 / 4
I. Mahinmi125%0.5 / 2
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+16
-14
95
DAL
76
+16
-16
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.09 54.7%
DAL
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
109.5
DEN 111.8 +7.5
DAL 104.3
Pace
95.2
91.5
DEN 97.5 +9.5
DAL 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.9
DEN 14.8 +1.6
DAL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
52.5%
DEN 52.3% +0.4%
DAL 51.9%
TO %
14.5%
14.7%
DEN 13.0% +3.1%
DAL 16.1%
ORB %
23.8%
24.1%
DEN 28.6%
DAL 34.9% +6.3%
FTrt
36.7
28.6
DEN 20.9
DAL 25.0 +4.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
63.7%
DEN 56.1% +4.8%
DAL 51.3%
STL %
7.7%
7.4%
DEN 9.7%
DAL 9.8% +0.1%
BLK %
6.8%
6.8%
DEN 6.9%
DAL 14.3% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
54.9%
DEN 54.7% +2.5%
DAL 52.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.5%
DEN 56.7% +0.2%
DAL 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.0%
44.0%
DEN 48.5%
DAL 60.0% +11.5%
3P %
38.8%
36.5%
DEN 34.8% +12.1%
DAL 22.7%
FT %
76.6%
77.7%
DEN 77.8% +12.8%
DAL 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
29.9%
DEN 34.9% +6.1%
DAL 28.7%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
42.8%
DEN 38.4% +5.4%
DAL 43.8%
3P Att. %
25.8%
27.4%
DEN 26.7%
DAL 27.5% +0.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10496
Rebounds4045
Assists2320
Steals99
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals41-8639-80
At-the-Rim FG17-3013-23
Midrange FG16-3321-35
2-Point FG33-6334-58
3-Point FG8-235-22
Free Throws14-1813-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 33
36.4
18
60%
6
1
3
0
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
9-15
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 29
35.8
9
45%
15
1
0
1
1
5
5
10
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
30.8
10
56%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'9" 225 · 24
29.3
16
62%
3
2
1
1
2
3
0
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
28.2
9
35%
3
8
0
1
2
1
2
1
3-3
100%
3-9
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 205 · 27
31.9
9
56%
1
6
4
0
4
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26
28.4
23
77%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
19.3
10
56%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
C · 7'0" 265 · 22
#6 · G · 6'5" 210 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C · 7'1" 275 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
55%
40
23
9
4
14
0
12
28
14-18
78%
33-63
52%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.