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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Clippers22%93108
7Thunder78%103112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
43.2
32.3
16
44%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
2-4
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 22.1
38.1
36.3
35
74%
11
6
1
1
1
0
3
8
5-8
63%
15-20
8-15
75%
50%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 28.3
34.1
29.3
16
73%
4
9
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
4-6
67%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.9
31.6
29.2
12
41%
8
0
1
0
6
1
1
7
2-6
33%
5-12
6-13
42%
48%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 30.8
16.4
18.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 27.5
23.3
24.8
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
16.0
23.2
10
105%
8
0
0
0
1
1
4
4
4-4
100%
3-3
3-4
100%
64%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.3
13.9
19.0
5
51%
2
2
1
1
0
3
2
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
13.2
14.6
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 27.4
10.2
10.9
10
51%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
56%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
3.3
0
1-1
51%
Willie Warren
G · 6'4" 203 · 21.5
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
38.5
31.0
26
53%
7
7
3
1
0
2
2
5
6-6
100%
10-21
6-13
48%
47%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
38.0
38.8
29
52%
7
3
0
1
0
3
0
7
9-11
82%
7-15
7-14
47%
52%
2-8
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.4
32.5
24.7
5
21%
17
0
0
0
1
2
10
7
1-2
50%
2-11
3-4
18%
58%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
25.1
23.5
4
40%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
25.0
29.4
15
61%
8
0
0
1
2
0
4
4
3-3
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
56%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.6
23.3
27.6
7
48%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
22.8
20.5
6
75%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.6
15.3
15.5
8
74%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-1
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
10.0
9.5
9
85%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
9.6
16.3
3
38%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
3.6
0
0-1
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.3
2.5
0
0-0
42%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.