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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 6, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Cavaliers37%98104
25Raptors63%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.6
36.6
33.0
28
60%
10
3
0
1
1
3
2
8
10-14
71%
9-17
7-14
53%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.9
36.1
27.1
10
51%
9
0
0
1
0
1
5
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
34.5
26.7
14
73%
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
3
4-6
67%
5-7
3-5
71%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.8
30.3
28.1
7
102%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
2-2
100%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.0
30.2
24.5
19
48%
2
12
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
46%
3-7
43%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
17.8
22.6
15
66%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
7-10
70%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
17.1
19.6
4
29%
10
0
0
1
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
16.9
25.3
4
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
12.7
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
7.8
7.1
3
31%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-0
-
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
12.3
0
2-4
50%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
12.2
0
1-3
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.8
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.7
38.4
36.7
19
49%
5
0
0
1
0
4
3
2
5-5
100%
7-15
9-17
47%
52%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.9
32.4
21.1
15
65%
13
0
0
1
0
2
4
9
3-8
38%
6-8
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
30.8
31.3
2
17%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-6
5-8
17%
59%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
27.7
26.1
4
23%
1
9
1
1
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
23.2
26.6
2
20%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
3-7
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
30.3
30.2
28
65%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-8
75%
8-13
4-8
62%
48%
2-5
40%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
26.8
22.0
17
72%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
2-4
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.9
22.9
8.6
9
43%
7
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
0-1
0%
3-8
1-3
38%
54%
1-2
50%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.9
4.5
8.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.3
3.0
5.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
22.2
1
4-6
60%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
2.5
0
0-1
54%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.3
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.